Five weeks into the 2013 college football season, we have a pretty good idea of which teams are good and which teams are probably going to struggle all season long. It's no surprise that the top-ranked team, yet again, is Alabama. The Crimson Tide already have impressive victories over #11 Texas A&M, #35 Virginia Tech and #39 Ole Miss - in each case, the only loss that those teams have suffered so far this year. #2 might be a bit of surprise to some people, since Washington is only ranked as high as #15 in the human polls right now, but the Huskies have big victories over #24 Arizona and at #25 Illinois, the only losses those teams have suffered, while other undefeated teams have not faced as difficult of challenges yet. One of the advantages of a computer analysis-based ranking is that the analysis is based entirely on performance this year, not on pre-conceived ideas of how good a team might be or pre-season rankings that handicap some teams while anointing others with rankings they haven't yet earned. The ranking does not predict that the Huskies would beat some of these other unbeaten teams if they played them, it only says that they have proven more so far this season - that they've had a better season so far.
1. Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) - 1.6
2. Washington Huskies (4-0) - 2.7
3. Florida State Seminoles (4-0) - 3.8
4. Oregon Ducks (4-0) - 4.1
5. Stanford Cardinal (4-0) - 4.4
6. Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) - 5.3
7. Missouri Tigers (4-0) - 7.7
8. UCLA Bruins (3-0) - 7.9
9. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0) - 9.8
10. Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) - 10.6
11. Texas A&M Aggies (4-1) - 12.9
12. Clemson Tigers (4-0) - 13.7
13. Northwestern Wildcats (4-0) - 13.8
14. Maryland Terrapins (4-0) - 14.3
15. LSU Tigers (4-1) - 14.8
16. Miami Hurricanes (4-0) - 15.1
17. Georgia Bulldogs (3-1) - 16.3
18. Baylor Bears (3-0) - 17.9
19. Florida Gators (3-1) - 18.4
20. Louisville Cardinals (4-0) - 20.0
21. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1) - 20.9
22. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) - 21.7
23. Houston Cougars (4-0) - 22.5
24. Arizona Wildcats (3-1) - 24.4
25. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-1) - 25.4
26. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-1) - 27.7
27. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1) - 28.2
28. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-1) - 29.6
(tie) UCF Knights (3-1) - 29.6
30. Wisconsin Badgers (3-2) - 32.3
31. ECU Pirates (3-1) - 32.6
32. Northern Illinois Huskies (4-0) - 33.2
(tie) Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-1) - 33.2
34. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) - 33.3
35. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-1) - 34.5
36. Auburn Tigers (3-1) - 36.0
37. Ball State Cardinals (4-1) - 37.8
(tie) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-1) - 37.8
39. Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) - 38.8
(tie) Utah State Aggies (3-2) - 38.8
41. Utah Utes (3-1) - 41.0
42. Texas State Bobcats (3-1) - 43.0
43. Michigan Wolverines (4-0) - 43.2
44. Boise State Broncos (3-2) - 45.8
45. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2) - 46.7
46. USC Trojans (3-2) - 46.9
47. BYU Cougars (2-2) - 48.3
48. Bowling Green Falcons (4-1) - 49.5
49. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-1) - 50.1
50. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) - 50.4
51. Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0) - 51.7
52. Washington State Cougars (3-2) - 52.1
53. Indiana Hoosiers (2-2) - 53.1
54. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) - 53.8
55. Tennessee Volunteers (3-2) - 54.0
56. Ohio Bobcats (3-1) - 54.5
57. Syracuse Orange (2-2) - 55.5
58. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) - 56.2
59. TCU Horned Frogs (2-2) - 57.5
60. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) - 58.6
61. Michigan State Spartans (3-1) - 58.7
(tie) NC State Wolfpack (3-1) - 58.7
63. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-2) - 62.5
64. North Texas Mean Green (2-2) - 63.3
65. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2) - 64.7
66. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1) - 66.2
67. Wyoming Cowboys (3-2) - 66.3
68. Duke Blue Devils (3-2) - 67.0
69. Oregon State Beavers (4-1) - 67.2
70. Navy Midshipmen (2-1) - 69.1
71. Rice Owls (2-2) - 70.9
72. Tulane Green Wave (3-2) - 72.6
73. Toledo Rockets (2-3) - 73.2
74. Iowa State Cyclones (1-2) - 73.3
75. Virginia Cavaliers (2-2) - 75.1
76. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2) - 76.4
77. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-2) - 77.6
78. Colorado Buffaloes (2-1) - 77.9
79. Boston College Eagles (2-2) - 79.8
(tie) North Carolina Tar Heels (1-3) - 79.8
81. Texas Longhorns (2-2) - 80.9
82. UNLV Rebels (3-2) - 81.8
83. Memphis Tigers (1-2) - 82.1
84. Kansas Jayhawks (2-1) - 83.0
85. Kansas State Wildcats (2-2) - 83.8
86. UTSA Roadrunners (2-3) - 86.8
87. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-3) - 87.9
88. Colorado State Rams (2-3) - 89.5
89. Kentucky Wildcats (1-3) - 90.3
90. Buffalo Bulls (2-2) - 91.2
91. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-2) - 91.7
92. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-3) - 91.8
93. South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) - 92.2
94. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-4) - 93.5
95. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-3) - 95.1
96. San Jose State Spartans (1-3) - 96.5
97. Troy Trojans (2-3) - 97.0
98. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-2) - 97.6
99. Army Black Knights (2-3) - 97.9
100. UAB Blazers (1-3) - 98.6
101. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-3) - 99.9
102. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-3) - 101.6
103. Air Force Falcons (1-4) - 103.3
104. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3) - 105.0
105. Akron Zips (1-4) - 105.1
106. California Golden Bears (1-3) - 105.3
107. UTEP Miners (1-3) - 106.2
108. New Mexico Lobos (1-3) - 107.9
109. San Diego State Aztecs (1-3) - 109.5
110. Purdue Boilermakers (1-4) - 109.8
111. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-4) - 110.7
112. Idaho Vandals (1-4) - 111.5
113. Hawaii Warriors (0-4) - 113.3
114. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0-4) - 113.5
115. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-4) - 114.2
116. SMU Mustangs (1-3) - 115.4
117. Temple Owls (0-4) - 116.1
118. Miami University RedHawks (0-4) - 118.4
119. Connecticut Huskies (0-4) - 119.3
120. Massachusetts Minutemen (0-4) - 120.2
121. Western Michigan Broncos (0-5) - 121.6
122. South Florida Bulls (0-4) - 122.6
123. New Mexico State Aggies (0-5) - 123.4
124. FIU Golden Panthers (0-4) - 124.1
125. Georgia State Panthers (0-4) - 125.9
Monday, September 30, 2013
Week 4 - 2013 College Football Rankings
The 2013 college football season is in full swing. One of the nice things about using a computer analysis to rank teams is that you really can go back into the past and rank them as if any of the following weeks had not yet happened. Last week, due to circumstances beyond our control, we were unable to post our Week 4 rankings. So, here they are - exactly as they would have been a week ago. Week 5 rankings are only a few minutes away. (Don't worry that UCLA is ranked #1. Alabama's victory in week 5 was enough to move them up to the top spot in the next rankings.)
1. UCLA Bruins (3-0) - 2.4
2. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-0) - 5.4
3. LSU Tigers (4-0) - 5.5
4. Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) - 5.8
5. Florida State Seminoles (3-0) - 6.0
6. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) - 6.2
7. Oregon Ducks (3-0) - 6.6
8. Arizona Wildcats (3-0) - 6.9
(tie) Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) - 6.9
10. Northwestern Wildcats (4-0) - 10.3
11. Washington Huskies (3-0) - 11.5
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0) - 12.0
13. Maryland Terrapins (4-0) - 12.2
14. Missouri Tigers (3-0) - 12.7
15. Stanford Cardinal (3-0) - 14.0
16. Baylor Bears (3-0) - 15.4
17. Louisville Cardinals (4-0) - 15.9
18. Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) - 18.1
19. UCF Knights (3-0) - 19.0
20. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0) - 19.1
21. Miami Hurricanes (3-0) - 21.0
22. Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) - 22.5
23. Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) - 25.0
24. Georgia Bulldogs (2-1) - 25.6
(tie) USC Trojans (3-1) - 25.6
26. Clemson Tigers (3-0) - 26.8
27. Florida Gators (2-1) - 27.8
28. Auburn Tigers (3-1) - 28.7
29. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1) - 28.8
30. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-1) - 30.5
31. Washington State Cougars (3-1) - 30.7
32. Wyoming Cowboys (3-1) - 33.1
33. Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) - 33.9
34. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) - 34.1
35. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-1) - 34.3
36. Michigan Wolverines (4-0) - 34.4
37. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1) - 34.7
38. Navy Midshipmen (2-0) - 39.0
39. Houston Cougars (3-0) - 40.5
40. Ball State Cardinals (3-1) - 40.9
41. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-1) - 41.9
42. Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1) - 42.1
43. Colorado Buffaloes (2-0) - 42.2
44. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) - 44.0
45. Utah State Aggies (2-2) - 45.6
46. Michigan State Spartans (3-1) - 47.4
(tie) Utah Utes (3-1) - 47.4
48. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) - 47.8
49. Ohio Bobcats (3-1) - 51.8
50. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-0) - 52.4
(tie) Pittsburgh Panthers (2-1) - 52.4
52. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) - 52.9
(tie) Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2) - 52.9
54. ECU Pirates (2-1) - 53.7
55. Indiana Hoosiers (2-2) - 53.9
56. Syracuse Orange (2-2) - 54.1
57. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) - 54.2
58. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1) - 58.0
59. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-2) - 59.2
60. Boise State Broncos (2-2) - 59.5
61. Bowling Green Falcons (3-1) - 59.6
62. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) - 61.5
63. Duke Blue Devils (2-2) - 62.4
64. Tennessee Volunteers (2-2) - 64.0
65. North Texas Mean Green (2-2) - 64.1
66. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1) - 64.3
67. Boston College Eagles (2-1) - 66.3
(tie) BYU Cougars (1-2) - 66.3
69. UTSA Roadrunners (2-2) - 68.0
70. NC State Wolfpack (2-1) - 68.3
71. TCU Horned Frogs (1-2) - 69.3
72. Toledo Rockets (2-2) - 72.0
73. Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) - 72.1
74. Rice Owls (1-2) - 75.3
75. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) - 77.2
76. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-2) - 77.3
(tie) Texas State Bobcats (2-1) - 77.3
78. Memphis Tigers (1-2) - 77.4
79. West Virginia Mountaineers (2-2) - 79.7
80. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) - 79.8
81. Tulane Green Wave (2-2) - 80.8
82. Texas Longhorns (2-2) - 82.5
83. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-2) - 82.7
84. Kansas Jayhawks (2-1) - 83.2
85. Kansas State Wildcats (2-2) - 84.1
86. San Jose State Spartans (1-2) - 85.0
87. Kentucky Wildcats (1-2) - 85.7
88. UAB Blazers (1-2) - 87.9
89. UNLV Rebels (2-2) - 89.4
90. Oregon State Beavers (3-1) - 91.4
91. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) - 91.8
92. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2) - 93.5
93. Iowa State Cyclones (0-2) - 93.8
94. Troy Trojans (2-2) - 93.9
95. UTEP Miners (1-2) - 94.2
96. South Alabama Jaguars (2-1) - 94.9
97. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-3) - 95.1
98. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-2) - 96.5
99. Colorado State Rams (1-3) - 100.0
100. New Mexico Lobos (1-2) - 100.2
101. California Golden Bears (1-2) - 100.9
102. Akron Zips (1-3) - 101.4
103. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-2) - 101.5
104. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-3) - 103.1
105. Air Force Falcons (1-3) - 105.5
106. Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) - 106.2
107. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-3) - 106.8
108. Army Black Knights (1-3) - 107.4
109. Buffalo Bulls (1-2) - 107.7
110. SMU Mustangs (1-2) - 109.0
111. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0-3) - 111.2
112. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) - 112.5
113. Connecticut Huskies (0-3) - 112.8
114. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) - 113.1
115. Temple Owls (0-3) - 115.4
116. Idaho Vandals (0-4) - 116.2
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (0-3) - 116.2
118. Western Michigan Broncos (0-4) - 117.8
119. Hawaii Warriors (0-3) - 118.5
120. San Diego State Aztecs (0-3) - 119.2
121. New Mexico State Aggies (0-4) - 120.7
122. Massachusetts Minutemen (0-4) - 122.7
123. South Florida Bulls (0-3) - 122.8
124. FIU Golden Panthers (0-4) - 124.7
125. Georgia State Panthers (0-4) - 125.9
1. UCLA Bruins (3-0) - 2.4
2. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-0) - 5.4
3. LSU Tigers (4-0) - 5.5
4. Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) - 5.8
5. Florida State Seminoles (3-0) - 6.0
6. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) - 6.2
7. Oregon Ducks (3-0) - 6.6
8. Arizona Wildcats (3-0) - 6.9
(tie) Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) - 6.9
10. Northwestern Wildcats (4-0) - 10.3
11. Washington Huskies (3-0) - 11.5
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0) - 12.0
13. Maryland Terrapins (4-0) - 12.2
14. Missouri Tigers (3-0) - 12.7
15. Stanford Cardinal (3-0) - 14.0
16. Baylor Bears (3-0) - 15.4
17. Louisville Cardinals (4-0) - 15.9
18. Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) - 18.1
19. UCF Knights (3-0) - 19.0
20. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0) - 19.1
21. Miami Hurricanes (3-0) - 21.0
22. Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) - 22.5
23. Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) - 25.0
24. Georgia Bulldogs (2-1) - 25.6
(tie) USC Trojans (3-1) - 25.6
26. Clemson Tigers (3-0) - 26.8
27. Florida Gators (2-1) - 27.8
28. Auburn Tigers (3-1) - 28.7
29. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1) - 28.8
30. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-1) - 30.5
31. Washington State Cougars (3-1) - 30.7
32. Wyoming Cowboys (3-1) - 33.1
33. Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) - 33.9
34. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) - 34.1
35. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-1) - 34.3
36. Michigan Wolverines (4-0) - 34.4
37. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1) - 34.7
38. Navy Midshipmen (2-0) - 39.0
39. Houston Cougars (3-0) - 40.5
40. Ball State Cardinals (3-1) - 40.9
41. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-1) - 41.9
42. Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1) - 42.1
43. Colorado Buffaloes (2-0) - 42.2
44. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) - 44.0
45. Utah State Aggies (2-2) - 45.6
46. Michigan State Spartans (3-1) - 47.4
(tie) Utah Utes (3-1) - 47.4
48. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) - 47.8
49. Ohio Bobcats (3-1) - 51.8
50. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-0) - 52.4
(tie) Pittsburgh Panthers (2-1) - 52.4
52. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) - 52.9
(tie) Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2) - 52.9
54. ECU Pirates (2-1) - 53.7
55. Indiana Hoosiers (2-2) - 53.9
56. Syracuse Orange (2-2) - 54.1
57. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) - 54.2
58. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1) - 58.0
59. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-2) - 59.2
60. Boise State Broncos (2-2) - 59.5
61. Bowling Green Falcons (3-1) - 59.6
62. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) - 61.5
63. Duke Blue Devils (2-2) - 62.4
64. Tennessee Volunteers (2-2) - 64.0
65. North Texas Mean Green (2-2) - 64.1
66. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1) - 64.3
67. Boston College Eagles (2-1) - 66.3
(tie) BYU Cougars (1-2) - 66.3
69. UTSA Roadrunners (2-2) - 68.0
70. NC State Wolfpack (2-1) - 68.3
71. TCU Horned Frogs (1-2) - 69.3
72. Toledo Rockets (2-2) - 72.0
73. Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) - 72.1
74. Rice Owls (1-2) - 75.3
75. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) - 77.2
76. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-2) - 77.3
(tie) Texas State Bobcats (2-1) - 77.3
78. Memphis Tigers (1-2) - 77.4
79. West Virginia Mountaineers (2-2) - 79.7
80. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) - 79.8
81. Tulane Green Wave (2-2) - 80.8
82. Texas Longhorns (2-2) - 82.5
83. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-2) - 82.7
84. Kansas Jayhawks (2-1) - 83.2
85. Kansas State Wildcats (2-2) - 84.1
86. San Jose State Spartans (1-2) - 85.0
87. Kentucky Wildcats (1-2) - 85.7
88. UAB Blazers (1-2) - 87.9
89. UNLV Rebels (2-2) - 89.4
90. Oregon State Beavers (3-1) - 91.4
91. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) - 91.8
92. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2) - 93.5
93. Iowa State Cyclones (0-2) - 93.8
94. Troy Trojans (2-2) - 93.9
95. UTEP Miners (1-2) - 94.2
96. South Alabama Jaguars (2-1) - 94.9
97. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-3) - 95.1
98. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-2) - 96.5
99. Colorado State Rams (1-3) - 100.0
100. New Mexico Lobos (1-2) - 100.2
101. California Golden Bears (1-2) - 100.9
102. Akron Zips (1-3) - 101.4
103. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-2) - 101.5
104. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-3) - 103.1
105. Air Force Falcons (1-3) - 105.5
106. Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) - 106.2
107. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-3) - 106.8
108. Army Black Knights (1-3) - 107.4
109. Buffalo Bulls (1-2) - 107.7
110. SMU Mustangs (1-2) - 109.0
111. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0-3) - 111.2
112. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) - 112.5
113. Connecticut Huskies (0-3) - 112.8
114. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) - 113.1
115. Temple Owls (0-3) - 115.4
116. Idaho Vandals (0-4) - 116.2
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (0-3) - 116.2
118. Western Michigan Broncos (0-4) - 117.8
119. Hawaii Warriors (0-3) - 118.5
120. San Diego State Aztecs (0-3) - 119.2
121. New Mexico State Aggies (0-4) - 120.7
122. Massachusetts Minutemen (0-4) - 122.7
123. South Florida Bulls (0-3) - 122.8
124. FIU Golden Panthers (0-4) - 124.7
125. Georgia State Panthers (0-4) - 125.9
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