Monday, November 4, 2024

2024 College Football Rankings - Week 10

Tomorrow, the CFP Committee will come out with their first rankings of the 2024 season. Their stated purpose is to rank the teams based on who is "best" including such qualities as the "eye test." They specifically are not trying to rank teams based on who is "most deserving." Which sounds to us like an excuse for ranking teams higher based on which conference they belong to, whether they actually deserve to be in the playoff or not.

Regardless, our ranking system analyzes the resume of each team - essentially evaluating each team on whether they are "most deserving" to be in the playoff or not. That is a different metric than the CFP Committee's evaluation. We feel it is better in terms of fair competition. But everyone is entitled to their opinion. We are sure others will disagree with our ratings. And that's what's really fun. We have a lot of actual game data to support our opinions, (not just broad generalities like "my team plays in the most difficult conference in America") but we'd love to hear you support yours as well.

If the Baggaley Football Rankings were used to seed teams (highest ranked team from each conference is considered the "conference champion" until there actually is one), here is how the seedings would have turned out based on rankings after 10 weeks in this inaugural season of the 12-team playoff:

Round 1

Game 1 - #12 SMU Mustangs @ #5 Oregon Ducks

Game 2 - #11 Texas Longhorns @ #6 Ohio State Buckeyes

Game 3 - #10 Alabama Crimson Tide @ #7 Georgia Bulldogs

Game 4 - #9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ #8 BYU Cougars


Quarterfinals

Game 5 - #4 Boise State (MWC Champion) vs. Game 1 winner

Game 6 - #3 Army Black Knights (AAC Champion) vs. Game 2 winner

Game 7 - #2 Miami Hurricanes (ACC Champion) vs. Game 3 winner

Game 8 - #1 Indiana Hoosiers (Big Ten Champion) vs. Game 4 winner

(Game 5 winner plays Game 8 winner and Game 6 winner plays Game 7 winner in the semi-finals with the winner of those two games meetings in the finals.)

Conference representation: Big Ten - 3 teams, SEC - 3 teams, ACC - 2 teams, Big 12 - 1 team, Independent - 1 team, AAC (Group of 5) - 1 team, MWC (Group of 5) - 1 team.

Just outside the cut: Ole Miss Rebels (SEC), Penn State Nittany Lions (Big Ten), Louisville Cardinals (ACC), Iowa State Cyclones (Big 12).

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

2022 College Football Rankings - Week 15

So, the obvious question on seeing the final ratings for 2022 and seeing that the TCU Horned Frogs ended up in #6 is was this a result of being blown out so badly in the championship game by Georgia, or should they have been in the playoff at all? The short answer is that going into bowl season, TCU had the fifth best resume among teams, suggesting that losing in the Big 12 championship game to Kansas State should have knocked them out, and that even before the four-team playoff, there was another team that was more deserving of being in that playoff in the first place. Which team was that? See below for the full rankings heading into bowl season:

1. Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) - 1.2

2. Michigan Wolverines (13-0) - 1.8

3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 3.0

4. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) - 4.6

5. TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) - 5.5

6. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 6.7

7. Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) - 6.8

(tie) Utah Utes (10-3) - 6.8

9. Kansas State Wildcats (10-3) - 9.0

10. Oregon Ducks (9-3) - 10.9

11. USC Trojans (11-2) - 11.3

12. Clemson Tigers (11-2) - 11.4

13. Texas Longhorns (8-4) - 12.9

14. Florida State Seminoles (9-3) - 14.5

15. Tulane Green Wave (11-2) - 15.6

16. Oregon State Beavers (9-3) - 15.8

17. LSU Tigers (9-4) - 16.4

18. Washington Huskies (10-2) - 18.5

19. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 19.5

20. UCLA Bruins (9-3) - 20.4

21. South Carolina Gamecocks (8-4) - 21.4

22. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-4) - 23.2

23. Florida Gators (6-6) - 24.8

(tie) Ole Miss Rebels (8-4) - 24.8

25. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 25.6

26. South Alabama Jaguars (10-2) - 27.6

27. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-5) - 27.9

28. Troy Trojans (11-2) - 28.0

29. Illinois Fighting Illini (8-4) - 28.6

30. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3) - 30.5

31. Louisville Cardinals (7-5) - 30.6

32. Oklahoma Sooners (6-6) - 30.8

33. UTSA Roadrunners (11-2) - 34.8

34. Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) - 35.2

35. Duke Blue Devils (8-4) - 36.7

36. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6) - 37.2

37. UCF Knights (9-4) - 37.5

38. James Madison Dukes (8-3) - 38.5

39. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-4) - 38.6

40. Baylor Bears (6-6) - 38.7

41. Syracuse Orange (7-5) - 38.8

42. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-4) - 39.8

43. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 43.3

44. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) - 44.4

45. Washington State Cougars (7-5) - 46.3

46. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-5) - 46.7

47. Fresno State Bulldogs (9-4) - 47.8

48. NC State Wolfpack (8-4) - 48.5

49. Missouri Tigers (6-6) - 49.0

50. Kansas Jayhawks (6-6) - 49.2

51. Maryland Terrapins (7-5) - 49.7

52. SMU Mustangs (7-5) - 49.9

53. Purdue Boilermakers (8-5) - 50.6

54. Iowa State Cyclones (4-8) - 54.0

55. Air Force Falcons (9-3) - 56.2

56. Houston Cougars (7-5) - 56.3

57. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-4) - 57.9

58. ECU Pirates (7-5) - 58.1

59. Boise State Broncos (9-4) - 59.0

60. Memphis Tigers (6-6) - 59.8

61. Texas A&M Aggies (5-7) - 60.0

(tie) Wisconsin Badgers (6-6) - 60.0

63. Auburn Tigers (5-7) - 62.9

64. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-7) - 64.1

65. BYU Cougars (7-5) - 64.7

66. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (9-3) - 66.9

67. UAB Blazers (6-6) - 68.3

68. Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-6) - 68.4

69. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6) - 69.0

70. Army Black Knights (6-6) - 70.3

71. Ohio Bobcats (9-4) - 70.5

72. Michigan State Spartans (5-7) - 70.8

73. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-5) - 71.1

74. Liberty Flames (8-4) - 73.8

75. San Jose State Spartans (7-4) - 74.2

76. North Texas Mean Green (7-6) - 75.7

77. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-6) - 76.0

78. Toledo Rockets (8-5) - 77.9

79. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-7) - 79.5

80. Arizona Wildcats (5-7) - 80.3

81. Miami Hurricanes (5-7) - 80.7

82. Georgia Southern Eagles (6-6) - 82.0

83. San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) - 84.2

84. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-7) - 85.9

85. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 86.9

86. Georgia State Panthers (4-8) - 87.9

87. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) - 88.0

88. Wyoming Cowboys (7-5) - 88.1

89. California Golden Bears (4-8) - 89.0

90. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-7) - 89.3

91. Navy Midshipmen (4-8) - 90.0

92. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 93.0

93. Connecticut Huskies (6-6) - 93.6

94. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 94.2

95. Virginia Cavaliers (3-7) - 96.1

96. Eastern Michigan Eagles (8-4) - 97.0

97. Buffalo Bulls (6-6) - 97.2

98. Stanford Cardinal (3-9) - 97.8

99. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-9) - 98.7

100. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-9) - 99.1

101. Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 100.7

102. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 101.6

(tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (3-8) - 101.6

104. Utah State Aggies (6-6) - 103.4

105. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 104.9

106. Boston College Eagles (3-9) - 105.2

107. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 106.1

108. Rice Owls (5-7) - 106.3

109. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 108.7

110. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 108.8

111. Ball State Cardinals (5-7) - 109.3

112. Texas State Bobcats (4-8) - 112.0

113. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-9) - 113.8

114. Temple Owls (3-9) - 114.2

115. Western Michigan Broncos (5-7) - 114.6

116. New Mexico State Aggies (6-6) - 115.6

117. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-8) - 116.7

118. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-9) - 117.4

119. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-9) - 118.7

120. South Florida Bulls (1-11) - 120.4

121. Bowling Green Falcons (6-6) - 120.7

122. FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 121.7

123. Hawaii Warriors (3-10) - 123.5

124. Akron Zips (2-10) - 125.0

125. Charlotte 49ers (3-9) - 125.4

126. Northwestern Wildcats (1-11) - 125.9

127. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-10) - 126.3

128. Colorado Buffaloes (1-11) - 127.8

129. New Mexico Lobos (2-10) - 128.1

130. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 129.5

131. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-11) - 130.1

2022 College Football Final Rankings

In 2022, the Georgia Bulldogs maintained their dominance, repeating as champions. Here are how the final rankings turned out for 2022:

1. Georgia Bulldogs (15-0) - 1.0

2. Michigan Wolverines (13-1) - 2.0

3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) - 3.0

4. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-2) - 4.1

5. Tennessee Volunteers (11-2) - 5.4

6. TCU Horned Frogs (13-2) - 6.2

7. Penn State Nittany Lions (11-2) - 6.4

8. Utah Utes (10-4) - 8.6

9. Oregon Ducks (10-3) - 9.4

10. Oregon State Beavers (10-3) - 11.1

11. LSU Tigers (10-4) - 11.3

12. Kansas State Wildcats (10-4) - 12.2

13. USC Trojans (11-3) - 12.5

14. Tulane Green Wave (12-2) - 14.7

15. Florida State Seminoles (10-3) - 14.9

16. Clemson Tigers (11-3) - 15.1

17. Texas Longhorns (8-5) - 16.1

18. Washington Huskies (11-2) - 17.6

19. Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-4) - 18.8

20. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-4) - 20.4

21. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-5) - 22.5

22. Louisville Cardinals (8-5) - 23.3

23. South Carolina Gamecocks (8-5) - 23.7

24. UCLA Bruins (9-4) - 24.8

25. Duke Blue Devils (9-4) - 25.3

26. Troy Trojans (12-2) - 27.9

27. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-5) - 28.4

28. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) - 29.7

29. Illinois Fighting Illini (8-5) - 30.2

30. Oklahoma Sooners (6-7) - 30.7

31. Ole Miss Rebels (8-5) - 32.3

32. Minnesota Golden Gophers (9-4) - 33.2

33. Florida Gators (6-7) - 33.4

34. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-4) - 33.7

35. Fresno State Bulldogs (10-4) - 34.5

36. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-5) - 35.7

(tie) UTSA Roadrunners (11-3) - 35.7

38. Kentucky Wildcats (7-6) - 38.0

39. James Madison Dukes (8-3) - 38.6

40. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-4) - 38.7

41. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-6) - 39.1

42. Syracuse Orange (7-6) - 41.6

43. Maryland Terrapins (8-5) - 41.8

44. UCF Knights (9-5) - 45.1

45. Air Force Falcons (10-3) - 45.4

46. Baylor Bears (6-7) - 46.9

47. South Alabama Jaguars (10-3) - 47.4

48. ECU Pirates (8-5) - 48.2

49. NC State Wolfpack (8-5) - 48.7

50. Kansas Jayhawks (6-7) - 49.3

51. Memphis Tigers (7-6) - 52.0

52. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-6) - 52.6

53. SMU Mustangs (7-6) - 52.8

54. Houston Cougars (8-5) - 53.7

55. Boise State Broncos (10-4) - 54.7

56. Wisconsin Badgers (7-6) - 55.3

57. Iowa State Cyclones (4-8) - 55.5

58. Purdue Boilermakers (8-6) - 56.8

59. Missouri Tigers (6-7) - 57.3

60. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-4) - 59.9

61. Washington State Cougars (7-6) - 60.2

62. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-5) - 61.2

63. BYU Cougars (8-5) - 62.5

64. Texas A&M Aggies (5-7) - 62.9

65. Auburn Tigers (5-7) - 65.1

66. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-7) - 66.2

67. UAB Blazers (7-6) - 67.8

68. Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-6) - 69.4

69. Michigan State Spartans (5-7) - 69.7

70. Ohio Bobcats (10-4) - 70.0

71. Army Black Knights (6-6) - 70.7

72. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-7) - 71.6

73. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (9-4) - 73.2

74. Liberty Flames (8-5) - 74.1

75. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-6) - 74.7

76. Toledo Rockets (9-5) - 75.1

77. North Texas Mean Green (7-7) - 75.9

78. Miami Hurricanes (5-7) - 78.5

79. San Jose State Spartans (7-5) - 79.0

80. Arizona Wildcats (5-7) - 80.1

81. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-7) - 80.7

82. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-7) - 84.7

83. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-5) - 84.8

84. Georgia Southern Eagles (6-7) - 85.7

85. San Diego State Aztecs (7-6) - 86.8

86. Wyoming Cowboys (7-6) - 87.0

87. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 87.2

88. Navy Midshipmen (4-8) - 88.8

89. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-7) - 89.2

90. Georgia State Panthers (4-8) - 89.5

91. California Golden Bears (4-8) - 89.6

92. Eastern Michigan Eagles (9-4) - 91.2

93. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 94.0

94. Buffalo Bulls (7-6) - 94.3

95. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 94.4

96. Connecticut Huskies (6-7) - 94.9

97. Virginia Cavaliers (3-7) - 97.4

98. Stanford Cardinal (3-9) - 98.6

99. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-9) - 99.6

100. Miami University RedHawks (6-7) - 100.4

(tie) Old Dominion Monarchs (3-9) - 100.4

102. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 100.9

(tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (3-8) - 100.9

104. Boston College Eagles (3-9) - 103.8

105. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 104.5

106. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 106.8

107. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 107.0

108. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 107.1

109. Rice Owls (5-8) - 108.0

110. Utah State Aggies (6-7) - 108.6

111. Ball State Cardinals (5-7) - 108.8

112. New Mexico State Aggies (7-6) - 112.1

113. Texas State Bobcats (4-8) - 112.9

114. Temple Owls (3-9) - 114.0

115. Western Michigan Broncos (5-7) - 114.9

116. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-9) - 115.1

117. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-8) - 116.7

118. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-9) - 118.0

119. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-9) - 118.7

120. South Florida Bulls (1-11) - 120.3

121. Bowling Green Falcons (6-7) - 121.3

122. FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 121.7

123. Hawaii Warriors (3-10) - 123.3

124. Akron Zips (2-10) - 125.0

125. Charlotte 49ers (3-9) - 125.8

126. Northwestern Wildcats (1-11) - 125.9

127. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-10) - 126.1

128. Colorado Buffaloes (1-11) - 128.0

(tie) New Mexico Lobos (2-10) - 128.0

130. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 129.4

131. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-11) - 130.1 

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

2021 College Football Final Rankings

It's not surprising that Georgia ranks number one in our final rankings. How did the rest of the rankings shake out though? Here's the result of our final analysis for the 2021 season:

1. Georgia Bulldogs (14-1) - 1.0

2. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-2) - 2.0

3. Cincinnati Bearcats (13-1) - 3.0

4. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) - 4.5

5. Michigan Wolverines (12-2) - 4.6

6. Oklahoma State Cowboys (12-2) - 6.8

7. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-2) - 7.7

8. Michigan State Spartans (11-2) - 7.9

9. Baylor Bears (12-2) - 9.3

10. Utah Utes (10-4) - 9.9

11. Clemson Tigers (10-3) - 11.9

12. Pittsburgh Panthers (11-3) - 12.4

13. Oklahoma Sooners (11-2) - 13.7

14. Arkansas Razorbacks (9-4) - 14.8

15. Wisconsin Badgers (9-4) - 16.3

16. Ole Miss Rebels (10-3) - 17.3

17. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 17.6

18. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-6) - 20.1

19. Kansas State Wildcats (8-5) - 20.3

20. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (11-3) - 21.0

21. San Diego State Aztecs (12-2) - 21.6

22. Boise State Broncos (7-5) - 21.7

23. Kentucky Wildcats (10-3) - 23.7

24. BYU Cougars (10-3) - 23.8

25. Air Force Falcons (10-3) - 24.1

26. Purdue Boilermakers (9-4) - 25.2

27. Houston Cougars (12-2) - 25.5

28. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (13-1) - 26.8

29. NC State Wolfpack (9-3) - 29.8

30. Iowa State Cyclones (7-6) - 30.1

31. Oregon Ducks (10-4) - 32.9

32. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-4) - 33.6

33. Utah State Aggies (11-3) - 34.4

34. UTSA Roadrunners (12-2) - 34.7

35. Tennessee Volunteers (7-6) - 35.4

36. Auburn Tigers (6-7) - 35.6

37. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-5) - 36.9

38. Fresno State Bulldogs (10-3) - 37.0

39. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-4) - 37.7

40. UCLA Bruins (8-4) - 39.1

41. Minnesota Golden Gophers (9-4) - 40.9

42. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-6) - 42.1

43. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-5) - 42.7

44. Army Black Knights (9-4) - 43.0

45. SMU Mustangs (8-4) - 43.8

46. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-5) - 44.8

47. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (11-2) - 46.5

48. Miami Hurricanes (7-5) - 48.3

49. LSU Tigers (6-7) - 49.4

50. UAB Blazers (9-4) - 50.3

51. UCF Knights (9-4) - 50.8

52. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 51.7

53. Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-6) - 52.0

54. Oregon State Beavers (7-6) - 54.0

55. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-9) - 54.8

56. Liberty Flames (8-5) - 56.1

57. Washington State Cougars (7-6) - 57.5

58. Florida Gators (6-7) - 58.2

59. Louisville Cardinals (6-7) - 60.1

(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (7-6) - 60.1

61. Western Michigan Broncos (8-5) - 60.4

62. Central Michigan Chippewas (9-4) - 61.5

63. Marshall Thundering Herd (7-6) - 63.9

64. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-7) - 64.1

65. ECU Pirates (7-5) - 64.8

66. Georgia State Panthers (8-5) - 65.1

67. Maryland Terrapins (7-6) - 65.8

68. Missouri Tigers (6-7) - 66.0

69. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-7) - 68.6

70. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-7) - 70.2

71. Toledo Rockets (7-6) - 71.2

72. Boston College Eagles (6-6) - 73.2

73. TCU Horned Frogs (5-7) - 73.3

74. Virginia Cavaliers (6-6) - 73.4

75. Miami University RedHawks (7-6) - 75.7

76. Syracuse Orange (5-7) - 76.4

77. Memphis Tigers (6-6) - 77.9

78. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-7) - 78.4

79. Navy Midshipmen (4-8) - 79.8

80. Northern Illinois Huskies (9-5) - 79.9

81. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 82.1

82. Wyoming Cowboys (7-6) - 83.1

83. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-6) - 84.0

84. USC Trojans (4-8) - 84.9

85. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-6) - 86.9

86. Ball State Cardinals (6-7) - 87.1

87. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-8) - 87.4

88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-6) - 87.7

89. Florida State Seminoles (5-7) - 89.1

90. North Texas Mean Green (6-7) - 89.2

91. UTEP Miners (7-6) - 89.6

92. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 90.3

93. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9) - 90.6

94. Old Dominion Monarchs (6-7) - 92.5

95. Stanford Cardinal (3-9) - 94.3

96. South Alabama Jaguars (5-7) - 95.7

97. Washington Huskies (4-8) - 97.2

98. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 98.8

99. Tulane Green Wave (2-10) - 99.5

100. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 100.3

101. Troy Trojans (5-7) - 100.7

102. Rice Owls (4-8) - 102.1

103. Colorado Buffaloes (4-8) - 102.4

104. Kent State Golden Flashes (7-7) - 103.2

105. Indiana Hoosiers (2-10) - 104.2

106. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 107.1

107. UNLV Rebels (2-10) - 107.4

108. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-9) - 108.3

109. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 108.4

110. Northwestern Wildcats (3-9) - 108.6

111. Buffalo Bulls (4-8) - 109.3

112. Bowling Green Falcons (4-8) - 111.1

113. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) - 113.5

114. South Florida Bulls (2-10) - 113.9

115. Duke Blue Devils (3-9) - 115.1

116. Georgia Southern Eagles (3-9) - 115.2

117. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-9) - 115.6

118. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 118.1

119. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 119.5

120. Temple Owls (3-9) - 120.0

121. Ohio Bobcats (3-9) - 120.3

122. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-10) - 121.1

123. Arizona Wildcats (1-11) - 123.0

124. Texas State Bobcats (4-8) - 124.0

125. New Mexico State Aggies (2-10) - 124.9

126. Akron Zips (2-10) - 125.8

127. FIU Golden Panthers (1-11) - 127.7

128. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 128.5

129. Connecticut Huskies (1-11) - 129.6

130. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-11) - 130.9

Saturday, December 11, 2021

2021 College Football Rankings - Week 15

Well, week 15 had one game, as usual - the traditional Army-Navy game. Navy came in ranked behind Army, but beat them 17-13. Upsets like this usually have the most impact on the rankings if a single game is going to impact the rankings. A lot of teams moved by a spot or two. And, of course, Army and Navy moved. Here are the final rankings after the regular season (heading into the bowls):

1. Cincinnati Bearcats (13-0) - 1.4

2. Georgia Bulldogs (12-1) - 1.6

3. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) - 3.0

4. Michigan Wolverines (12-1) - 4.0

5. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 5.1

6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-1) - 6.0

7. Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-2) - 8.1

(tie) Utah Utes (10-3) - 8.1

9. Michigan State Spartans (10-2) - 8.9

10. Pittsburgh Panthers (11-2) - 10.1

11. Baylor Bears (11-2) - 12.5

12. Clemson Tigers (9-3) - 12.7

13. Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) - 13.7

14. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-5) - 16.3

(tie) Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 16.3

16. Wisconsin Badgers (8-4) - 17.0

17. BYU Cougars (10-2) - 17.4

18. Arkansas Razorbacks (8-4) - 17.9

19. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2) - 20.5

20. Boise State Broncos (7-5) - 22.1

21. Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) - 23.2

22. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (10-3) - 23.4

23. Air Force Falcons (9-3) - 23.7

24. Purdue Boilermakers (8-4) - 23.9

25. Oregon Ducks (10-3) - 25.0

26. San Diego State Aztecs (11-2) - 26.3

27. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-5) - 27.9

28. NC State Wolfpack (9-3) - 28.2

29. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-3) - 29.0

30. UTSA Roadrunners (12-1) - 30.0

31. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (12-1) - 32.5

32. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) - 32.6

33. Auburn Tigers (6-6) - 33.2

34. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-3) - 33.6

35. Houston Cougars (11-2) - 34.1

36. Kansas State Wildcats (7-5) - 34.6

37. Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) - 35.7

38. Fresno State Bulldogs (9-3) - 35.8

39. Iowa State Cyclones (7-5) - 36.5

40. UCLA Bruins (8-4) - 38.7

41. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-4) - 40.1

42. LSU Tigers (6-6) - 41.5

43. Utah State Aggies (10-3) - 42.2

44. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-4) - 44.3

45. SMU Mustangs (8-4) - 45.8

46. Miami Hurricanes (7-5) - 46.0

47. Army Black Knights (8-4) - 46.7

48. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (10-2) - 46.9

(tie) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-5) - 46.9

50. Oregon State Beavers (7-5) - 48.4

51. Florida Gators (6-6) - 51.4

52. Washington State Cougars (7-5) - 52.2

53. UAB Blazers (8-4) - 54.2

54. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 54.4

55. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-9) - 55.8

56. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-6) - 55.9

57. UCF Knights (8-4) - 56.7

58. Louisville Cardinals (6-6) - 58.8

59. Liberty Flames (7-5) - 59.1

60. Central Michigan Chippewas (8-4) - 59.3

61. Marshall Thundering Herd (7-5) - 60.3

62. Missouri Tigers (6-6) - 62.7

63. Toledo Rockets (7-5) - 63.7

64. ECU Pirates (7-5) - 64.0

65. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-6) - 64.5

66. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-6) - 64.6

67. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 67.5

68. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-6) - 68.6

69. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-7) - 69.4

70. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 69.5

71. Virginia Cavaliers (6-6) - 71.0

72. Georgia State Panthers (7-5) - 71.7

73. Boston College Eagles (6-6) - 73.6

74. Maryland Terrapins (6-6) - 74.8

75. Syracuse Orange (5-7) - 76.5

76. TCU Horned Frogs (5-7) - 77.1

77. Memphis Tigers (6-6) - 77.8

78. Northern Illinois Huskies (9-4) - 78.5

79. Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 79.1

80. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 80.7

81. Navy Midshipmen (4-8) - 81.2

82. Ball State Cardinals (6-6) - 82.7

83. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 82.8

84. USC Trojans (4-8) - 83.7

85. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-7) - 85.5

86. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 86.5

87. North Texas Mean Green (6-6) - 86.9

88. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-6) - 88.1

89. Florida State Seminoles (5-7) - 88.2

90. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9) - 90.0

91. Old Dominion Monarchs (6-6) - 90.1

92. UTEP Miners (7-5) - 90.3

93. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 91.2

94. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-6) - 93.2

95. Stanford Cardinal (3-9) - 94.1

96. Washington Huskies (4-8) - 96.3

97. South Alabama Jaguars (5-7) - 96.6

98. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 99.6

99. Tulane Green Wave (2-10) - 99.9

100. Kent State Golden Flashes (7-6) - 100.4

101. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 100.6

102. Colorado Buffaloes (4-8) - 100.7

103. Troy Trojans (5-7) - 102.4

104. Rice Owls (4-8) - 103.3

105. Indiana Hoosiers (2-10) - 105.4

106. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 106.4

107. UNLV Rebels (2-10) - 107.8

108. Northwestern Wildcats (3-9) - 107.9

109. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-9) - 108.1

110. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 108.9

111. Buffalo Bulls (4-8) - 109.0

112. Bowling Green Falcons (4-8) - 110.9

113. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) - 113.2

114. South Florida Bulls (2-10) - 114.0

115. Duke Blue Devils (3-9) - 114.4

116. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-9) - 115.6

117. Georgia Southern Eagles (3-9) - 115.8

118. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 118.3

119. Temple Owls (3-9) - 119.9

120. Ohio Bobcats (3-9) - 120.1

121. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 120.2

122. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-10) - 121.2

123. Arizona Wildcats (1-11) - 122.5

124. Texas State Bobcats (4-8) - 124.2

125. New Mexico State Aggies (2-10) - 124.9

126. Akron Zips (2-10) - 125.8

127. FIU Golden Panthers (1-11) - 127.7

128. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 128.4

129. Connecticut Huskies (1-11) - 129.6

130. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-11) - 130.9

Monday, December 6, 2021

Updated Program Rankings - Through 2020

We took a few years off. But we're caught up now. Better late than never. Here are the program rankings for all 130 Division 1-A schools as they sat entering the 2021 season. We'll put out new program rankings including 2021 after the bowl games have been played. Remember that these program rankings are based on the historical level of success for each of the programs counting only the years that the program competed at the highest division of college football. Data included goes back 109 years. More recent years are weighted heavier than years further in the past. Younger programs that have quick success might climb a bit too quickly under this system. On the other hand, a bad year hurts younger programs more than programs with an extensive history of success.

Notes: Ohio State has had the #1 program in the rankings since 2006 and 2020's program rating is actually the highest rating Ohio State has ever had. Prior to 2006 it was Michigan, who was #1 from 2002-2006 and briefly in 1999. For 2000 and 2001, the top ranked program was Nebraska. Nebraska is now #17. Michigan is #9. Notre Dame (now #4) held the top spot in 1993 and from 1995-1998. Alabama (#2 since 2011) was #1 from 1979-1986, then again in 1989, 1992, and 1994.

The top five programs are the same as they were before 2020, although from 2018-2019 there was a bit of shuffling, as USC was at #4 and Notre Dame was at #5 at the end of 2018. #6 Georgia is up one spot from #7 at the end of 2019 and #7 Florida is up four spots from a previous #11.

Here are the program rankings as they stood heading into the 2021 season:

1. Ohio State Buckeyes - 0.882980484

2. Alabama Crimson Tide - 0.881005463

3. Oklahoma Sooners - 0.855655343

4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 0.821338769

5. USC Trojans - 0.815049045

6. Georgia Bulldogs - 0.812767457

7. Florida Gators - 0.796874656

8. Texas Longhorns - 0.784290292

9. Michigan Wolverines - 0.783578472

10. LSU Tigers - 0.783357535

11. Penn State Nittany Lions - 0.777131244

12. Florida State Seminoles - 0.765862152

13. Auburn Tigers - 0.761586252

14. Boise State Broncos - 0.750972983

15. Clemson Tigers - 0.750758753

16. Miami Hurricanes - 0.736616435

17. Nebraska Cornhuskers - 0.729023845

18. Tennessee Volunteers - 0.722544579

19. Texas A&M Aggies - 0.715639614

20. Oregon Ducks - 0.67850575

21. Washington Huskies - 0.675564819

22. Wisconsin Badgers - 0.670839623

23. Michigan State Spartans - 0.669024761

24. Virginia Tech Hokies - 0.651352462

25. UCLA Bruins - 0.647902028

26. Arizona State Sun Devils - 0.645381616

27. West Virginia Mountaineers - 0.642926185

28. Iowa Hawkeyes - 0.638599783

29. Stanford Cardinal - 0.63783588

30. Arkansas Razorbacks - 0.636116465

31. BYU Cougars - 0.6222132

32. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 0.621044637

33. Appalachian State Mountaineers - 0.617609989

34. Utah Utes - 0.613757765

35. Ole Miss Rebels - 0.603433816

36. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - 0.598459333

37. Pittsburgh Panthers - 0.597444232

38. North Carolina Tar Heels - 0.586704672

39. Missouri Tigers - 0.581696934

40. Mississippi State Bulldogs - 0.578512727

41. TCU Horned Frogs - 0.576843377

42. South Carolina Gamecocks - 0.573737243

43. Boston College Eagles - 0.5697528

44. Texas Tech Red Raiders - 0.568896383

45. UCF Knights - 0.545891834

46. NC State Wolfpack - 0.544929107

47. California Golden Bears - 0.543298777

48. Colorado Buffaloes - 0.542542037

49. Houston Cougars - 0.535552175

50. Minnesota Golden Gophers - 0.531450303

51. Louisville Cardinals - 0.531387453

52. Air Force Falcons - 0.525754759

53. Arizona Wildcats - 0.525222909

54. Georgia Southern Eagles - 0.524519541

55. Kansas State Wildcats - 0.521437125

56. Baylor Bears - 0.520698596

57. Syracuse Orange - 0.5203826

58. San Diego State Aztecs - 0.516230406

59. Purdue Boilermakers - 0.512255162

60. Kentucky Wildcats - 0.508086169

61. Cincinnati Bearcats - 0.502176142

62. Maryland Terrapins - 0.499227005

63. Virginia Cavaliers - 0.489952237

64. Southern Miss Golden Eagles - 0.488776679

65. Fresno State Bulldogs - 0.488492178

66. Toledo Rockets - 0.486943495

67. Washington State Cougars - 0.485798662

68. Navy Midshipmen - 0.478625937

69. South Florida Bulls - 0.471222377

70. Memphis Tigers - 0.468078947

71. Liberty Flames - 0.456155888

72. Northwestern Wildcats - 0.451066051

73. Tulsa Golden Hurricane - 0.450480121

74. Iowa State Cyclones - 0.439418796

75. Miami University RedHawks - 0.435976327

76. Oregon State Beavers - 0.432386134

77. Illinois Fighting Illini - 0.430588003

78. Marshall Thundering Herd - 0.427949421

79. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - 0.426607835

80. Troy Trojans - 0.421768778

81. Indiana Hoosiers - 0.412509835

82. ECU Pirates - 0.411908171

83. Wyoming Cowboys - 0.411655606

84. Duke Blue Devils - 0.410448837

85. SMU Mustangs - 0.410013134

86. Wake Forest Demon Deacons - 0.408037669

87. Western Michigan Broncos - 0.401653321

88. Hawaii Warriors - 0.3997051

89. Bowling Green Falcons - 0.397007825

90. Nevada Wolf Pack - 0.393741664

91. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - 0.388223986

92. Central Michigan Chippewas - 0.381075695

93. Army Black Knights - 0.374030257

94. Rutgers Scarlet Knights - 0.373489631

95. Colorado State Rams - 0.372162498

96. Vanderbilt Commodores - 0.371084498

97. Utah State Aggies - 0.361360109

98. Kansas Jayhawks - 0.360715774

99. Temple Owls - 0.356959029

100. Ohio Bobcats - 0.355738903

101. Northern Illinois Huskies - 0.352891458

102. Tulane Green Wave - 0.346879456

103. Ball State Cardinals - 0.344317643

104. San Jose State Spartans - 0.32413887

105. Florida Atlantic Owls - 0.324078771

106. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 0.321281495

107. UAB Blazers - 0.318903105

108. Rice Owls - 0.315498374

109. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns - 0.315228247

110. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - 0.304942239

111. Connecticut Huskies - 0.302392935

112. Arkansas State Red Wolves - 0.300925826

113. New Mexico Lobos - 0.294412139

114. Buffalo Bulls - 0.29007608

115. North Texas Mean Green - 0.27395592

116. UTSA Roadrunners - 0.269875219

117. Georgia State Panthers - 0.240044429

118. South Alabama Jaguars - 0.224414777

119. Kent State Golden Flashes - 0.220290729

120. Old Dominion Monarchs - 0.214061352

121. UTEP Miners - 0.207166838

122. UNLV Rebels - 0.20709044

123. Akron Zips - 0.188273763

124. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - 0.185659086

125. Eastern Michigan Eagles - 0.185003223

126. FIU Golden Panthers - 0.16991895

127. Charlotte 49ers - 0.153211181

128. New Mexico State Aggies - 0.142046612

129. Texas State Bobcats - 0.138847168

130. Massachusetts Minutemen - 0.087450683


Sunday, December 5, 2021

Bowl Matchups

Bowl matchups are out. Certainly, the CFP games top the list, but there are some interesting other bowls games lined up for this holiday season. Here are this year's bowl rankings from the most intriguing matchups to the least intriguing ones:

(Remember: We define "intriguing" as the likelihood that the game will be a close game between two good teams.)

12/31/2021 CFP Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic #1 Cincinnati vs. #3 Alabama

12/31/2021 CFP Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl #2 Georgia vs. #4 Michigan

1/1/2022 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl #7 Oklahoma State vs. #6 Notre Dame

1/1/2022 Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Capital One Venture X #7 Utah vs. #5 Ohio State

12/30/2021 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl #10 Pittsburgh vs. #9 Michigan State

1/1/2022 Allstate Sugar Bowl #11 Baylor vs. #13 Ole Miss

1/1/2022 Outback Bowl #14 Penn State vs. #18 Arkansas

12/31/2021 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl #22 Wake Forest vs. #14 Texas A&M

12/29/2021 Valero Alamo Bowl #25 Oregon vs. #19 Oklahoma

12/21/2021 Tropical Smoothie Café Frisco Bowl #30 UTSA vs. #26 San Diego State

12/28/2021 TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl #35 Houston vs. #33 Auburn

1/1/2022 Vrbo Citrus Bowl #34 Iowa vs. #21 Kentucky

12/30/2021 TransPerfect Music City Bowl #37 Tennessee vs. #24 Purdue

1/4/2022 TaxAct Texas Bowl #42 LSU vs. #36 Kansas State

12/28/2021 San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl #40 UCLA vs. #28 NC State

12/29/2021 Cheez-It Bowl #12 Clemson vs. #39 Iowa State

12/18/2021 Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Presented by Stifel #43 Utah State vs. #50 Oregon State

12/30/2021 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl #16 Wisconsin vs. #41 Arizona State

12/31/2021 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl #52 Washington State vs. #46 Miami

12/18/2021 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl #48 Western Kentucky vs. #29 Appalachian State

12/23/2021 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl #57 UCF vs. #51 Florida

12/30/2021 Duke's Mayo Bowl #56 North Carolina vs. #65 South Carolina

12/22/2021 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl #62 Missouri vs. #47 Army

12/18/2021 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl #53 UAB vs. #17 BYU

12/28/2021 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl #23 Air Force vs. #58 Louisville

12/29/2021 New Era Pinstripe Bowl #74 Maryland vs. #70 Virginia Tech

12/18/2021 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl #31 Louisiana-Lafayette vs. #61 Marshall

12/27/2021 Military Bowl Presented by Peraton #73 Boston College vs. #64 ECU

12/28/2021 Guaranteed Rate Bowl #68 West Virginia vs. #44 Minnesota

12/31/2021 Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl #60 Central Michigan vs. #20 Boise State

12/29/2021 Wasabi Fenway Bowl #45 SMU vs. #71 Virginia

12/27/2021 Quick Lane Bowl #67 Western Michigan vs. #32 Nevada

12/28/2021 AutoZone Liberty Bowl #27 Mississippi State vs. #66 Texas Tech

12/25/2021 TaxAct Camellia Bowl #72 Georgia State vs. #82 Ball State

12/23/2021 Frisco Football Classic #87 North Texas vs. #79 Miami University

12/17/2021 Tailgreeter Cure Bowl #78 Northern Illinois vs. #48 Coastal Carolina

12/18/2021 LendingTree Bowl #83 Eastern Michigan vs. #59 Liberty

12/20/2021 Myrtle Beach Bowl Pres. By TaxAct #91 Old Dominion vs. #94 Tulsa

12/17/2021 Bahamas Bowl #88 Middle Tennessee vs. #63 Toledo

12/24/2021 EasyPost Hawaii Bowl #77 Memphis vs. #93 Hawaii

12/21/2021 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl #100 Kent State vs. #86 Wyoming

12/18/2021 PUBG Mobile New Mexico Bowl #92 UTEP vs. #38 Fresno State