We took a few years off. But we're caught up now. Better late than never. Here are the program rankings for all 130 Division 1-A schools as they sat entering the 2021 season. We'll put out new program rankings including 2021 after the bowl games have been played. Remember that these program rankings are based on the historical level of success for each of the programs counting only the years that the program competed at the highest division of college football. Data included goes back 109 years. More recent years are weighted heavier than years further in the past. Younger programs that have quick success might climb a bit too quickly under this system. On the other hand, a bad year hurts younger programs more than programs with an extensive history of success.
Notes: Ohio State has had the #1 program in the rankings since 2006 and 2020's program rating is actually the highest rating Ohio State has ever had. Prior to 2006 it was Michigan, who was #1 from 2002-2006 and briefly in 1999. For 2000 and 2001, the top ranked program was Nebraska. Nebraska is now #17. Michigan is #9. Notre Dame (now #4) held the top spot in 1993 and from 1995-1998. Alabama (#2 since 2011) was #1 from 1979-1986, then again in 1989, 1992, and 1994.
The top five programs are the same as they were before 2020, although from 2018-2019 there was a bit of shuffling, as USC was at #4 and Notre Dame was at #5 at the end of 2018. #6 Georgia is up one spot from #7 at the end of 2019 and #7 Florida is up four spots from a previous #11.
Here are the program rankings as they stood heading into the 2021 season:
1. Ohio State Buckeyes - 0.882980484
2. Alabama Crimson Tide - 0.881005463
3. Oklahoma Sooners - 0.855655343
4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 0.821338769
5. USC Trojans - 0.815049045
6. Georgia Bulldogs - 0.812767457
7. Florida Gators - 0.796874656
8. Texas Longhorns - 0.784290292
9. Michigan Wolverines - 0.783578472
10. LSU Tigers - 0.783357535
11. Penn State Nittany Lions - 0.777131244
12. Florida State Seminoles - 0.765862152
13. Auburn Tigers - 0.761586252
14. Boise State Broncos - 0.750972983
15. Clemson Tigers - 0.750758753
16. Miami Hurricanes - 0.736616435
17. Nebraska Cornhuskers - 0.729023845
18. Tennessee Volunteers - 0.722544579
19. Texas A&M Aggies - 0.715639614
20. Oregon Ducks - 0.67850575
21. Washington Huskies - 0.675564819
22. Wisconsin Badgers - 0.670839623
23. Michigan State Spartans - 0.669024761
24. Virginia Tech Hokies - 0.651352462
25. UCLA Bruins - 0.647902028
26. Arizona State Sun Devils - 0.645381616
27. West Virginia Mountaineers - 0.642926185
28. Iowa Hawkeyes - 0.638599783
29. Stanford Cardinal - 0.63783588
30. Arkansas Razorbacks - 0.636116465
31. BYU Cougars - 0.6222132
32. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 0.621044637
33. Appalachian State Mountaineers - 0.617609989
34. Utah Utes - 0.613757765
35. Ole Miss Rebels - 0.603433816
36. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - 0.598459333
37. Pittsburgh Panthers - 0.597444232
38. North Carolina Tar Heels - 0.586704672
39. Missouri Tigers - 0.581696934
40. Mississippi State Bulldogs - 0.578512727
41. TCU Horned Frogs - 0.576843377
42. South Carolina Gamecocks - 0.573737243
43. Boston College Eagles - 0.5697528
44. Texas Tech Red Raiders - 0.568896383
45. UCF Knights - 0.545891834
46. NC State Wolfpack - 0.544929107
47. California Golden Bears - 0.543298777
48. Colorado Buffaloes - 0.542542037
49. Houston Cougars - 0.535552175
50. Minnesota Golden Gophers - 0.531450303
51. Louisville Cardinals - 0.531387453
52. Air Force Falcons - 0.525754759
53. Arizona Wildcats - 0.525222909
54. Georgia Southern Eagles - 0.524519541
55. Kansas State Wildcats - 0.521437125
56. Baylor Bears - 0.520698596
57. Syracuse Orange - 0.5203826
58. San Diego State Aztecs - 0.516230406
59. Purdue Boilermakers - 0.512255162
60. Kentucky Wildcats - 0.508086169
61. Cincinnati Bearcats - 0.502176142
62. Maryland Terrapins - 0.499227005
63. Virginia Cavaliers - 0.489952237
64. Southern Miss Golden Eagles - 0.488776679
65. Fresno State Bulldogs - 0.488492178
66. Toledo Rockets - 0.486943495
67. Washington State Cougars - 0.485798662
68. Navy Midshipmen - 0.478625937
69. South Florida Bulls - 0.471222377
70. Memphis Tigers - 0.468078947
71. Liberty Flames - 0.456155888
72. Northwestern Wildcats - 0.451066051
73. Tulsa Golden Hurricane - 0.450480121
74. Iowa State Cyclones - 0.439418796
75. Miami University RedHawks - 0.435976327
76. Oregon State Beavers - 0.432386134
77. Illinois Fighting Illini - 0.430588003
78. Marshall Thundering Herd - 0.427949421
79. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - 0.426607835
80. Troy Trojans - 0.421768778
81. Indiana Hoosiers - 0.412509835
82. ECU Pirates - 0.411908171
83. Wyoming Cowboys - 0.411655606
84. Duke Blue Devils - 0.410448837
85. SMU Mustangs - 0.410013134
86. Wake Forest Demon Deacons - 0.408037669
87. Western Michigan Broncos - 0.401653321
88. Hawaii Warriors - 0.3997051
89. Bowling Green Falcons - 0.397007825
90. Nevada Wolf Pack - 0.393741664
91. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - 0.388223986
92. Central Michigan Chippewas - 0.381075695
93. Army Black Knights - 0.374030257
94. Rutgers Scarlet Knights - 0.373489631
95. Colorado State Rams - 0.372162498
96. Vanderbilt Commodores - 0.371084498
97. Utah State Aggies - 0.361360109
98. Kansas Jayhawks - 0.360715774
99. Temple Owls - 0.356959029
100. Ohio Bobcats - 0.355738903
101. Northern Illinois Huskies - 0.352891458
102. Tulane Green Wave - 0.346879456
103. Ball State Cardinals - 0.344317643
104. San Jose State Spartans - 0.32413887
105. Florida Atlantic Owls - 0.324078771
106. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 0.321281495
107. UAB Blazers - 0.318903105
108. Rice Owls - 0.315498374
109. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns - 0.315228247
110. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - 0.304942239
111. Connecticut Huskies - 0.302392935
112. Arkansas State Red Wolves - 0.300925826
113. New Mexico Lobos - 0.294412139
114. Buffalo Bulls - 0.29007608
115. North Texas Mean Green - 0.27395592
116. UTSA Roadrunners - 0.269875219
117. Georgia State Panthers - 0.240044429
118. South Alabama Jaguars - 0.224414777
119. Kent State Golden Flashes - 0.220290729
120. Old Dominion Monarchs - 0.214061352
121. UTEP Miners - 0.207166838
122. UNLV Rebels - 0.20709044
123. Akron Zips - 0.188273763
124. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - 0.185659086
125. Eastern Michigan Eagles - 0.185003223
126. FIU Golden Panthers - 0.16991895
127. Charlotte 49ers - 0.153211181
128. New Mexico State Aggies - 0.142046612
129. Texas State Bobcats - 0.138847168
130. Massachusetts Minutemen - 0.087450683