Sunday, December 1, 2024

College Football Playoff - Baggaley Version - After Week 14

Here's the Week 14 Update:

If the Baggaley Rankings were used to determine the seedings of the CFP...

(Now that the championship game matchups are set, the champion is assumed to be the higher ranked team between the two participants in that game.)

Game 1 #12 Army Black Knights @ #5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Game 2 #11 Miami Hurricanes @ #6 Ohio State Buckeyes
Game 3 #10 Ole Miss Rebels @ #7 Indiana Hoosiers
Game 4 #9 Penn State Nittany Lions @ #8 Georgia Bulldogs

Game 5 Winner of Game 1 vs. #4 SMU Mustangs
Game 6 Winner of Game 2 vs. #3 Boise State Broncos
Game 7 Winner of Game 3 vs. #2 Texas Longhorns
Game 8 Winner of Game 4 vs. #1 Oregon Ducks

Note that the Big 12 Winner does not play in the playoff at all at this point the way our evaluation works out. The highest rank Big 12 team is still the BYU Cougars at #15, but they are not in the championship game, which features #20 Iowa State Cyclones vs #23 Arizona State Sun Devils.
First four teams outside the CFP: Alabama Crimson Tide, South Carolina Gamecocks, BYU Cougars, and Tennessee Volunteers.

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