Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Ranking the Programs

Our analysis is not yet complete - there are still a number of years to go - but with the start of a new football season approaching, we are proud to announce our interim rankings of current FBS football programs. These rankings take into account football team performance since 1964, with more recent years weighted more heavily than seasons that were played decades ago. Here are the final (interim) results. The results are interim because we intend to add further historic years to our analysis; however, we believe that the impact of years further back in history will be minimal as it would take decades of historic consistency for a team to make a large move in the rankings.:

1 Florida Gators
2 Ohio State Buckeyes
3 USC Trojans
4 Nebraska Cornhuskers
5 Florida State Seminoles
6 Oklahoma Sooners
7 Texas Longhorns
8 Alabama Crimson Tide
9 Penn State Nittany Lions
10 Georgia Bulldogs
11 Miami Hurricanes
12 Tennessee Volunteers
13 Auburn Tigers
14 Virginia Tech Hokies
15 Michigan Wolverines
16 LSU Tigers
17 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
18 Boise State Broncos
19 Clemson Tigers
20 West Virginia Mountaineers
21 BYU Cougars
22 Arkansas Razorbacks
23 Oregon Ducks
24 Texas Tech Red Raiders
25 Texas A&M Aggies
26 UCLA Bruins
27 Boston College Eagles
28 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
29 Wisconsin Badgers
30 Iowa Hawkeyes
31 Arizona State Sun Devils
32 Utah Utes
33 Michigan State Spartans
34 South Carolina Gamecocks
35 California Golden Bears
36 Arizona Wildcats
37 Washington Huskies
38 South Florida Bulls
39 Pittsburgh Panthers
40 Colorado Buffaloes
41 Ole Miss Rebels
42 Oklahoma State Cowboys
43 North Carolina Tar Heels
44 Virginia Cavaliers
45 TCU Horned Frogs
46 Missouri Tigers
47 Purdue Boilermakers
48 Southern Miss Golden Eagles
49 NC State Wolfpack
50 Air Force Falcons
51 Kansas State Wildcats
52 Stanford Cardinal
53 Fresno State Bulldogs
54 Maryland Terrapins
55 Oregon State Beavers
56 Louisville Cardinals
57 Syracuse Orange
58 Cincinnati Bearcats
59 Kansas Jayhawks
60 Kentucky Wildcats
61 Minnesota Golden Gophers
62 Mississippi State Bulldogs
63 Washington State Cougars
64 Connecticut Huskies
65 Houston Cougars
66 ECU Pirates
67 Illinois Fighting Illini
68 Hawaii Warriors
69 Bowling Green Falcons
70 Wake Forest Demon Deacons
71 Rutgers Scarlet Knights
72 Troy Trojans
73 Marshall Thundering Herd
74 Colorado State Rams
75 Toledo Rockets
76 Tulsa Golden Hurricane
77 Miami University RedHawks
78 UCF Knights
79 Nevada Wolf Pack
80 Navy Midshipmen
81 Northwestern Wildcats
82 Central Michigan Chippewas
83 Wyoming Cowboys
84 Baylor Bears
85 San Diego State Aztecs
86 Iowa State Cyclones
87 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
88 Indiana Hoosiers
89 Western Michigan Broncos
90 Memphis Tigers
91 New Mexico Lobos
92 Northern Illinois Huskies
93 Vanderbilt Commodores
94 Ball State Cardinals
95 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
96 SMU Mustangs
97 UAB Blazers
98 San Jose State Spartans
99 Rice Owls
100 Florida Atlantic Owls
101 Duke Blue Devils
102 Ohio Bobcats
103 Tulane Green Wave
104 UTEP Miners
105 Temple Owls
106 UNLV Rebels
107 Utah State Aggies
108 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
109 Akron Zips
110 Army Black Knights
111 North Texas Mean Green
112 Arkansas State Red Wolves
113 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
114 Idaho Vandals
115 Kent State Golden Flashes
116 Buffalo Bulls
117 Eastern Michigan Eagles
118 New Mexico State Aggies
119 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
120 FIU Golden Panthers

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

1970 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1970:

1. Dartmouth Big Green (9-0) - 1.5
2. Nebraska Cornhuskers (11-0-1) - 2.9
3. Toledo Rockets (12-0) - 3.3
4. Arizona State Sun Devils (11-0) - 4.4
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-1) - 5.2
6. Tennessee Volunteers (11-1) - 5.4
(tie) Texas Longhorns (10-1) - 5.4
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) - 8.2
9. Michigan Wolverines (9-1) - 9.4
10. Auburn Tigers (9-2) - 9.8
11. Arkansas Razorbacks (9-2) - 10.5
12. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 12.2
13. Yale Bulldogs (7-2) - 13.8
14. Stanford Cardinal (9-3) - 14.8
15. Air Force Falcons (9-3) - 16.3
16. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (9-3) - 16.5
17. USC Trojans (6-4-1) - 17.1
18. San Diego State Aztecs (9-2) - 17.6
19. Houston Cougars (8-3) - 17.8
20. Harvard Crimson (7-2) - 19.5
21. Alabama Crimson Tide (6-5-1) - 21.6
22. Western Michigan Broncos (7-3) - 23.1
23. Ole Miss Rebels (7-4) - 23.4
24. Oklahoma Sooners (7-4-1) - 24.7
25. Washington Huskies (6-4) - 24.8
26. UCLA Bruins (6-5) - 26.1
27. Colorado Buffaloes (6-5) - 27.7
28. Long Beach State 49ers (9-2-1) - 27.9
29. Tulane Green Wave (8-4) - 29.0
30. Georgia Bulldogs (5-5) - 30.0
31. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 30.9
32. Miami University RedHawks (7-3) - 33.5
33. Florida State Seminoles (7-4) - 33.8
34. Cornell Big Red (6-3) - 34.8
35. Northwestern Wildcats (6-4) - 35.6
36. Missouri Tigers (5-6) - 36.0
37. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 39.3
38. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) - 39.6
39. New Mexico Lobos (7-3) - 39.8
40. Princeton Tigers (5-4) - 40.5
41. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-4) - 40.6
42. Kansas State Wildcats (6-5) - 42.8
43. Kansas Jayhawks (5-6) - 43.4
44. Oregon State Beavers (6-5) - 43.5
45. Boston College Eagles (8-2) - 43.7
46. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 44.6
47. Iowa State Cyclones (5-6) - 46.4
48. Florida Gators (7-4) - 50.9
49. Louisville Cardinals (8-3-1) - 51.3
50. Oregon Ducks (6-4-1) - 51.5
51. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-5) - 51.9
52. Utah Utes (6-4) - 52.0
53. California Golden Bears (6-5) - 52.3
54. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-5) - 53.2
55. Memphis Tigers (6-4) - 53.9
56. Pennsylvania Relays (4-5) - 54.7
57. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-6-1) - 56.7
58. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-7) - 58.0
(tie) Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-4) - 58.0
60. Purdue Boilermakers (4-6) - 58.9
(tie) Syracuse Orange (6-4) - 58.9
62. Villanova Wildcats (9-2) - 60.2
63. Dayton Flyers (5-4-1) - 61.2
64. Wisconsin Badgers (4-5-1) - 63.9
65. Columbia Lions (3-6) - 64.5
66. Rice Owls (5-5) - 65.6
67. Duke Blue Devils (6-5) - 65.8
68. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (7-3) - 69.5
69. SMU Mustangs (5-6) - 69.6
70. TCU Horned Frogs (4-6-1) - 70.0
71. UTEP Miners (6-4) - 70.1
72. Ohio Bobcats (4-5) - 70.4
73. Michigan State Spartans (4-6) - 71.6
74. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-7) - 74.3
75. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) - 77.1
76. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-6-1) - 78.0
(tie) Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-6) - 78.0
78. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-6) - 78.5
79. Kentucky Wildcats (2-9) - 78.9
80. Colorado State Rams (4-7) - 79.0
81. Arizona Wildcats (4-6) - 80.0
82. Utah State Aggies (5-5) - 81.2
83. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-5) - 83.0
84. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-6) - 83.7
85. Virginia Cavaliers (5-6) - 85.6
86. New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) - 87.4
87. Texas A&M Aggies (2-9) - 87.5
88. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-6-1) - 88.0
89. North Texas Mean Green (3-8) - 89.1
90. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7) - 90.0
91. San Jose State Spartans (2-9) - 91.1
92. Brown Bears (2-7) - 91.6
93. Bowling Green Falcons (2-6-1) - 92.6
94. Pacific Tigers (5-6) - 94.4
95. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-7) - 96.2
96. Clemson Tigers (3-8) - 96.4
97. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-5) - 96.6
98. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-7) - 96.8
99. Baylor Bears (2-9) - 97.1
100. Citadel Bulldogs (5-6) - 100.5
101. Furman Paladins (8-3) - 101.2
(tie) NC State Wolfpack (3-7-1) - 101.2
103. Miami Hurricanes (3-8) - 103.6
104. BYU Cougars (3-8) - 103.9
(tie) Navy Midshipmen (2-9) - 103.9
106. Army Black Knights (1-9-1) - 105.0
107. Richmond Spiders (4-6) - 105.6
108. Maryland Terrapins (2-9) - 106.9
109. Colgate Raiders (5-6) - 109.7
110. William & Mary Tribe (5-7) - 111.2
111. Washington State Cougars (1-10) - 112.3
112. ECU Pirates (3-8) - 112.9
113. Wyoming Cowboys (1-9) - 114.0
114. Idaho Vandals (4-7) - 114.4
115. Buffalo Bulls (2-9) - 115.9
116. Indiana Hoosiers (1-9) - 117.5
117. UCSB Gauchos (2-9) - 117.6
118. Davidson Wildcats (2-8) - 118.5
119. VMI Keydets (1-10) - 120.5
120. Holy Cross Crusaders (0-10-1) - 120.9
121. Xavier Musketeers (1-9) - 121.9
122. Wichita State Shockers (0-9) - 122.8
123. Cal State Los Angeles Golden Eagles (1-9) - 123.9

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

1971 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1971:

1. Nebraska Cornhuskers (13-0) - 1.0
2. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 2.0
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 3.1
4. Toledo Rockets (12-0) - 4.4
5. Colorado Buffaloes (10-2) - 5.5
6. Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) - 7.0
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (11-1) - 7.1
8. Auburn Tigers (9-2) - 7.2
9. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 8.6
10. Arizona State Sun Devils (11-1) - 10.5
11. Michigan Wolverines (11-1) - 11.3
12. Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) - 11.8
13. Houston Cougars (9-3) - 12.4
14. Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) - 13.1
15. Iowa State Cyclones (8-4) - 15.6
16. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-2) - 16.6
17. Cornell Big Red (8-1) - 17.3
18. Texas Longhorns (8-3) - 19.4
19. Stanford Cardinal (9-3) - 19.6
20. USC Trojans (6-4-1) - 19.8
21. Washington Huskies (8-3) - 21.1
22. Dartmouth Big Green (8-1) - 22.7
23. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-3) - 23.3
(tie) Western Michigan Broncos (7-3) - 23.3
25. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-4) - 23.6
26. Florida State Seminoles (8-4) - 25.4
27. Boston College Eagles (9-2) - 26.1
28. Arkansas Razorbacks (8-3-1) - 27.2
29. Miami University RedHawks (7-3) - 29.7
(tie) Utah State Aggies (8-3) - 29.7
31. Northwestern Wildcats (7-4) - 33.8
32. Temple Owls (6-2-1) - 34.3
33. New Mexico Lobos (6-3-2) - 34.8
34. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-4) - 34.9
35. Memphis Tigers (5-6) - 35.8
36. Villanova Wildcats (6-4-1) - 36.3
37. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-6) - 36.5
38. Ohio Bobcats (5-5) - 38.3
39. Michigan State Spartans (6-5) - 38.9
40. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 40.2
41. Tampa Spartans (6-5) - 42.9
42. Duke Blue Devils (6-5) - 43.2
43. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-4) - 43.6
44. Columbia Lions (6-3) - 43.8
45. Long Beach State 49ers (8-4) - 45.8
46. California Golden Bears (6-5) - 46.2
47. Louisville Cardinals (6-3-1) - 46.4
48. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 46.8
49. Air Force Falcons (6-4) - 47.1
50. San Diego State Aztecs (6-5) - 48.6
51. Oregon Ducks (5-6) - 51.2
52. Kansas State Wildcats (5-6) - 51.9
53. Bowling Green Falcons (6-4) - 53.3
54. Oregon State Beavers (5-6) - 53.4
55. Hawaii Warriors (7-4) - 54.7
56. San Jose State Spartans (5-6-1) - 57.4
57. Harvard Crimson (5-4) - 58.6
58. Syracuse Orange (5-5-1) - 59.1
59. William & Mary Tribe (5-6) - 59.9
60. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-6) - 60.0
61. Washington State Cougars (4-7) - 62.3
62. Princeton Tigers (4-5) - 62.5
63. Idaho Vandals (8-3) - 62.9
64. BYU Cougars (5-6) - 63.6
65. Florida Gators (4-7) - 63.9
66. Drake Bulldogs (7-4) - 66.1
67. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-7) - 69.1
68. Dayton Flyers (5-6) - 69.9
69. Citadel Bulldogs (8-3) - 70.5
70. Yale Bulldogs (4-5) - 71.2
71. TCU Horned Frogs (6-4-1) - 72.9
72. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-5) - 73.2
73. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-6-1) - 74.4
74. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-5) - 74.5
75. Kansas Jayhawks (4-7) - 75.2
76. Army Black Knights (6-4) - 76.5
77. Wyoming Cowboys (5-6) - 77.1
78. Purdue Boilermakers (3-7) - 77.2
79. Clemson Tigers (5-6) - 77.3
80. Tulane Green Wave (3-8) - 77.8
81. Colgate Raiders (6-4) - 78.2
82. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-5-1) - 81.2
83. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-7) - 82.1
84. Arizona Wildcats (5-6) - 82.5
85. Texas A&M Aggies (5-6) - 83.6
86. Wisconsin Badgers (4-6-1) - 85.9
87. UTEP Miners (5-6) - 86.7
88. Richmond Spiders (5-6) - 87.2
89. Pacific Tigers (3-8) - 87.4
90. Rice Owls (3-7-1) - 89.4
91. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6-1) - 89.7
92. New Mexico State Aggies (5-5-1) - 90.2
93. Miami Hurricanes (4-7) - 90.9
94. UCLA Bruins (2-7-1) - 93.8
95. Utah Utes (3-8) - 93.9
96. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-7) - 95.0
97. Furman Paladins (5-5-1) - 97.7
98. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-8) - 98.5
99. SMU Mustangs (4-7) - 100.5
100. ECU Pirates (4-6) - 101.7
101. Kentucky Wildcats (3-8) - 102.9
102. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7) - 103.2
103. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-7) - 103.4
104. Navy Midshipmen (3-8) - 104.3
105. Holy Cross Crusaders (4-6) - 105.2
106. Colorado State Rams (3-8) - 106.7
107. North Texas Mean Green (3-8) - 109.0
108. Pennsylvania Relays (2-7) - 109.4
(tie) UCSB Gauchos (3-8) - 109.4
110. Maryland Terrapins (2-9) - 110.2
111. NC State Wolfpack (3-8) - 111.9
112. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-9) - 112.3
113. Indiana Hoosiers (3-8) - 112.8
114. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-8) - 114.1
115. Virginia Cavaliers (3-8) - 114.3
116. Brown Bears (0-9) - 118.0
117. Wichita State Shockers (3-8) - 118.7
118. Missouri Tigers (1-10) - 118.8
119. Xavier Musketeers (1-9) - 118.9
120. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (2-9) - 121.1
121. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs (2-9) - 121.3
122. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-8) - 122.4
123. Iowa Hawkeyes (1-10) - 124.2
124. Baylor Bears (1-9) - 125.3
125. VMI Keydets (1-10) - 125.8
126. Davidson Wildcats (1-9) - 127.5
127. Texas-Arlington Mavericks (2-9) - 127.7
128. Cal State Los Angeles Golden Eagles (2-8) - 128.4

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/

Sunday, August 1, 2010

1972 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1972:

1. USC Trojans (12-0) - 1.0
2. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 2.0
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) - 3.3
4. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2-1) - 4.5
5. Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) - 5.2
6. Texas Longhorns (10-1) - 6.2
7. Michigan Wolverines (10-1) - 7.5
8. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 7.6
9. Auburn Tigers (10-1) - 8.3
10. LSU Tigers (9-2-1) - 10.3
11. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-2) - 12.2
12. North Carolina Tar Heels (11-1) - 12.3
13. NC State Wolfpack (8-3-1) - 12.5
14. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) - 14.0
15. San Diego State Aztecs (10-1) - 15.4
16. Louisville Cardinals (9-1) - 15.5
17. Colorado Buffaloes (8-4) - 17.9
18. Florida Gators (5-5-1) - 18.7
19. UCLA Bruins (8-3) - 19.1
20. Arizona State Sun Devils (10-2) - 19.3
21. Dartmouth Big Green (7-1-1) - 20.6
22. Yale Bulldogs (7-2) - 21.7
23. Georgia Bulldogs (7-4) - 23.3
24. Tampa Spartans (10-2) - 24.7
25. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) - 26.9
26. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-5) - 28.0
27. SMU Mustangs (7-4) - 29.4
28. Utah State Aggies (8-3) - 30.0
29. Purdue Boilermakers (6-5) - 30.4
30. Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) - 31.0
31. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4-1) - 31.1
32. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-4) - 31.9
33. Houston Cougars (6-4-1) - 32.7
34. Iowa State Cyclones (5-6-1) - 34.8
35. Bowling Green Falcons (6-3-1) - 35.7
36. Miami Hurricanes (5-6) - 36.6
37. Washington State Cougars (7-4) - 36.9
38. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-5) - 37.3
39. ECU Pirates (9-2) - 38.2
40. Florida State Seminoles (7-4) - 38.7
41. Baylor Bears (5-6) - 39.9
42. Pacific Tigers (8-3) - 41.7
43. Washington Huskies (8-3) - 42.3
44. Tulane Green Wave (6-5) - 42.5
45. Stanford Cardinal (6-5) - 43.9
46. Miami University RedHawks (7-3) - 44.1
47. Cornell Big Red (6-3) - 45.1
48. Michigan State Spartans (5-5-1) - 46.5
49. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-4-1) - 48.3
50. Pennsylvania Relays (6-3) - 49.2
51. Air Force Falcons (6-4) - 51.6
52. Rice Owls (5-5-1) - 52.4
53. Missouri Tigers (6-6) - 52.9
54. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-4) - 54.4
55. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-7) - 55.0
56. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-4-1) - 56.1
57. Utah Utes (6-5) - 58.4
58. TCU Horned Frogs (5-6) - 58.9
(tie) Western Michigan Broncos (7-3-1) - 58.9
60. Kent State Golden Flashes (6-5-1) - 60.3
61. Duke Blue Devils (5-6) - 62.1
62. Maryland Terrapins (5-5-1) - 62.6
63. Richmond Spiders (6-4) - 65.8
64. Army Black Knights (6-4) - 65.9
(tie) Harvard Crimson (4-4-1) - 65.9
66. Kansas Jayhawks (4-7) - 67.0
67. Oregon Ducks (4-7) - 67.1
68. Texas A&M Aggies (3-8) - 67.9
69. Memphis Tigers (5-5-1) - 68.8
70. Columbia Lions (3-5-1) - 69.4
(tie) Northern Illinois Huskies (7-4) - 69.4
72. BYU Cougars (7-4) - 72.0
(tie) Holy Cross Crusaders (5-4-1) - 72.0
74. California Golden Bears (3-8) - 73.7
75. Kentucky Wildcats (3-8) - 75.3
76. Drake Bulldogs (7-5) - 75.5
77. Navy Midshipmen (4-7) - 77.6
78. Toledo Rockets (6-5) - 78.3
79. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-7) - 78.7
80. Colgate Raiders (5-4-1) - 80.7
81. Princeton Tigers (3-5-1) - 81.0
82. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-7) - 82.4
83. William & Mary Tribe (5-6) - 82.6
84. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-7-1) - 84.0
85. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-8) - 84.4
86. Indiana Hoosiers (5-6) - 86.5
87. Syracuse Orange (5-6) - 86.7
88. Boston College Eagles (4-7) - 88.6
89. Clemson Tigers (4-7) - 89.6
90. Wisconsin Badgers (4-7) - 91.4
91. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-7-1) - 93.6
92. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7) - 94.0
93. Kansas State Wildcats (3-8) - 94.7
(tie) Temple Owls (5-4) - 94.7
95. Dayton Flyers (4-6-1) - 94.9
96. Virginia Cavaliers (4-7) - 95.4
97. Arizona Wildcats (4-7) - 95.7
98. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (5-5) - 96.2
99. Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-5-1) - 97.7
100. San Jose State Spartans (4-7) - 98.0
101. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-8) - 98.5
102. Long Beach State 49ers (5-6) - 99.2
103. Oregon State Beavers (2-9) - 100.0
104. Citadel Bulldogs (5-6) - 101.9
105. Texas-Arlington Mavericks (5-6) - 105.4
106. Wichita State Shockers (6-5) - 107.7
107. Idaho Vandals (4-7) - 108.0
108. Wyoming Cowboys (4-7) - 109.3
109. Northwestern Wildcats (2-9) - 110.1
110. New Mexico Lobos (3-8) - 111.0
111. Brown Bears (1-8) - 111.1
112. Southern Illinois Salukis (1-8-1) - 112.3
113. Pittsburgh Panthers (1-10) - 115.1
114. Ohio Bobcats (3-8) - 115.8
(tie) Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs (2-9) - 115.8
116. Davidson Wildcats (3-7-1) - 117.3
117. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-9) - 118.0
118. VMI Keydets (2-9) - 118.1
119. Villanova Wildcats (2-9) - 119.2
120. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-8) - 119.9
121. Furman Paladins (2-9) - 122.3
122. New Mexico State Aggies (2-9) - 122.9
123. Xavier Musketeers (2-8) - 123.4
124. Cincinnati Bearcats (2-9) - 124.9
125. UTEP Miners (2-8) - 126.4
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-10) - 126.6
127. Colorado State Rams (1-10) - 128.0

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

1973 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1973:

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0-1) - 1.7
2. Oklahoma Sooners (10-0-1) - 1.8
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 3.3
4. Penn State Nittany Lions (12-0) - 3.5
5. Michigan Wolverines (10-0-1) - 5.2
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-0) - 5.5
7. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2-1) - 7.8
8. Arizona State Sun Devils (11-1) - 8.8
9. Houston Cougars (11-1) - 9.2
10. USC Trojans (9-2-1) - 10.7
11. Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-1) - 11.1
12. Miami University RedHawks (11-0) - 12.3
(tie) San Diego State Aztecs (9-1-1) - 12.3
14. NC State Wolfpack (9-3) - 14.5
15. Texas Longhorns (8-3) - 14.8
(tie) UCLA Bruins (9-2) - 14.8
17. Kent State Golden Flashes (9-2) - 16.6
18. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 18.8
19. ECU Pirates (9-2) - 19.1
20. Maryland Terrapins (8-4) - 19.7
21. Temple Owls (9-1) - 20.3
22. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 22.3
23. Georgia Bulldogs (7-4-1) - 23.8
24. Arizona Wildcats (8-3) - 25.6
25. Kansas Jayhawks (7-4-1) - 25.8
26. Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-4-2) - 26.3
27. Tulane Green Wave (9-3) - 27.1
28. Richmond Spiders (8-2) - 27.9
29. Boston College Eagles (7-4) - 29.6
30. Dartmouth Big Green (6-3) - 30.5
31. Harvard Crimson (7-2) - 32.7
(tie) Stanford Cardinal (7-4) - 32.7
33. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-4) - 32.8
34. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 34.0
35. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-4-1) - 34.9
36. Memphis Tigers (8-3) - 36.1
37. Pennsylvania Relays (6-3) - 36.7
38. Yale Bulldogs (6-3) - 37.6
39. Ole Miss Rebels (6-5) - 38.3
40. Colorado Buffaloes (5-6) - 40.9
41. Pacific Tigers (7-2-1) - 41.8
42. Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-4) - 41.9
43. Utah Utes (7-5) - 44.1
44. Bowling Green Falcons (7-3) - 45.0
45. Florida Gators (7-5) - 45.6
46. Kansas State Wildcats (5-6) - 46.5
47. Auburn Tigers (6-6) - 46.7
48. Texas A&M Aggies (5-6) - 46.8
49. Kentucky Wildcats (5-6) - 47.5
50. Utah State Aggies (7-4) - 48.6
51. Brown Bears (4-3-1) - 48.8
52. Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) - 49.7
53. Tampa Spartans (8-3) - 54.7
54. Air Force Falcons (6-4) - 54.8
55. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-5-1) - 55.8
56. SMU Mustangs (6-4-1) - 57.2
57. Miami Hurricanes (5-6) - 59.0
58. Rice Owls (5-6) - 59.3
59. San Jose State Spartans (5-4-2) - 61.0
60. Navy Midshipmen (4-7) - 61.3
61. Wyoming Cowboys (4-7) - 61.9
62. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-7) - 62.0
63. Purdue Boilermakers (5-6) - 64.4
64. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-5) - 65.0
65. Ohio Bobcats (5-5) - 66.0
66. BYU Cougars (5-6) - 66.8
67. Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5-1) - 67.4
(tie) Michigan State Spartans (5-6) - 67.4
69. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-6) - 67.7
70. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6) - 68.4
71. Wisconsin Badgers (4-7) - 71.2
72. Washington State Cougars (5-6) - 71.6
73. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5-2) - 72.1
74. Cornell Big Red (3-5-1) - 72.4
75. Furman Paladins (7-4) - 73.6
76. Northern Illinois Huskies (6-5) - 74.9
77. New Mexico Lobos (4-7) - 76.0
78. Western Michigan Broncos (6-5) - 76.6
79. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-5) - 77.7
80. Louisville Cardinals (5-6) - 78.3
81. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-5) - 79.9
82. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-6) - 80.7
83. North Carolina Tar Heels (4-7) - 84.2
84. Northwestern Wildcats (4-7) - 84.9
85. Villanova Wildcats (3-8) - 85.5
86. Colgate Raiders (5-5) - 86.7
87. Holy Cross Crusaders (5-6) - 87.4
88. William & Mary Tribe (6-5) - 87.6
89. TCU Horned Frogs (3-8) - 87.7
90. Clemson Tigers (5-6) - 88.1
91. Toledo Rockets (3-8) - 89.8
92. Dayton Flyers (5-5-1) - 92.0
93. Indiana Hoosiers (2-9) - 95.5
94. California Golden Bears (4-7) - 95.7
95. Marshall Thundering Herd (4-7) - 95.8
96. Colorado State Rams (5-6) - 96.0
97. Oregon Ducks (2-9) - 97.7
98. North Texas Mean Green (5-5-1) - 98.7
99. Texas-Arlington Mavericks (4-6) - 98.8
100. Xavier Musketeers (5-5-1) - 102.3
101. Duke Blue Devils (2-8-1) - 103.0
102. Southern Illinois Salukis (3-7-1) - 103.2
103. Syracuse Orange (2-9) - 104.2
104. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs (4-7) - 104.6
105. New Mexico State Aggies (5-6) - 106.8
106. Oregon State Beavers (2-9) - 107.3
107. Baylor Bears (2-9) - 108.0
108. Virginia Cavaliers (4-7) - 108.2
(tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (2-9) - 108.2
110. Princeton Tigers (1-8) - 112.3
111. Idaho Vandals (4-7) - 112.9
112. Washington Huskies (2-9) - 113.5
113. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-9) - 113.8
114. Wichita State Shockers (4-7) - 115.0
115. VMI Keydets (3-8) - 115.7
116. Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-7-1) - 116.1
117. Lamar Cardinals (5-5) - 116.8
118. Long Beach State 49ers (1-9-1) - 117.0
119. Citadel Bulldogs (3-8) - 119.4
120. Davidson Wildcats (2-8) - 121.2
121. Drake Bulldogs (2-9) - 122.5
122. Columbia Lions (1-7-1) - 122.9
123. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-9-1) - 124.8
(tie) West Texas A&M Buffaloes (2-9) - 124.8
125. Iowa Hawkeyes (0-11) - 125.1
126. Florida State Seminoles (0-11) - 127.0
127. Army Black Knights (0-10) - 128.1
128. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (0-10) - 128.7
129. UTEP Miners (0-11) - 129.8

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/

Friday, July 16, 2010

1974 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1974:

1. Oklahoma Sooners (11-0) - 1.0
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 2.4
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 3.1
4. Michigan Wolverines (10-1) - 4.2
5. USC Trojans (10-1-1) - 4.7
6. Miami University RedHawks (10-0-1) - 6.1
7. Auburn Tigers (10-2) - 6.5
8. Yale Bulldogs (8-1) - 8.4
9. Maryland Terrapins (8-4) - 9.6
10. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 10.3
11. Texas Longhorns (8-4) - 10.9
12. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2) - 13.4
13. Florida Gators (8-4) - 14.3
14. Temple Owls (8-2) - 14.5
15. Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-3) - 14.8
16. NC State Wolfpack (9-2-1) - 14.9
17. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) - 15.6
18. Tennessee Volunteers (7-3-2) - 19.0
19. Wisconsin Badgers (7-4) - 20.0
20. Texas A&M Aggies (8-3) - 20.4
21. Harvard Crimson (7-2) - 21.7
22. Michigan State Spartans (7-3-1) - 22.4
23. Baylor Bears (8-4) - 23.0
24. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4-1) - 24.0
25. Vanderbilt Commodores (7-3-2) - 24.6
26. San Diego State Aztecs (8-2-1) - 24.7
27. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4) - 26.1
28. Boston College Eagles (8-3) - 28.5
29. Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) - 29.1
30. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-5) - 30.2
31. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-5) - 31.9
32. Houston Cougars (8-3-1) - 33.4
33. California Golden Bears (7-3-1) - 33.6
34. Arizona Wildcats (9-2) - 34.5
35. Clemson Tigers (7-4) - 35.5
(tie) Tulsa Golden Hurricane (8-3) - 35.5
37. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-5) - 37.4
38. Missouri Tigers (7-4) - 38.2
39. LSU Tigers (5-5-1) - 38.8
40. Georgia Bulldogs (6-6) - 40.9
41. San Jose State Spartans (8-3-1) - 41.7
42. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5) - 42.3
43. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4-2) - 42.6
44. Memphis Tigers (7-4) - 43.8
45. Utah State Aggies (8-3) - 44.5
46. UCLA Bruins (6-3-2) - 44.7
47. Bowling Green Falcons (6-4-1) - 49.3
(tie) Duke Blue Devils (6-5) - 49.3
49. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-4) - 50.1
50. Kent State Golden Flashes (7-4) - 50.4
51. BYU Cougars (7-4-1) - 51.0
52. ECU Pirates (7-4) - 51.3
53. Stanford Cardinal (5-4-2) - 51.8
54. Ohio Bobcats (6-5) - 53.4
55. Pennsylvania Relays (6-2-1) - 55.5
56. Lamar Cardinals (8-2) - 55.7
57. Brown Bears (5-4) - 58.1
58. Miami Hurricanes (6-5) - 59.2
59. Princeton Tigers (4-4-1) - 59.7
60. Kansas State Wildcats (4-7) - 60.1
61. Tampa Spartans (6-5) - 61.5
62. SMU Mustangs (6-4-1) - 62.4
63. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-4-1) - 63.1
64. Colorado Buffaloes (5-6) - 63.2
65. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (6-5) - 63.3
66. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 64.8
67. VMI Keydets (7-4) - 66.0
68. Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) - 67.6
(tie) Purdue Boilermakers (4-6-1) - 67.6
70. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-3) - 68.5
71. Washington Huskies (5-6) - 70.4
72. West Virginia Mountaineers (4-7) - 72.3
73. Dartmouth Big Green (3-6) - 72.9
74. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-3-1) - 73.0
75. Kansas Jayhawks (4-7) - 73.9
76. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-7) - 76.2
77. Ole Miss Rebels (3-8) - 76.9
78. Cornell Big Red (3-5-1) - 78.5
79. Colorado State Rams (4-6-1) - 80.4
80. Virginia Cavaliers (4-7) - 80.5
81. Holy Cross Crusaders (5-5-1) - 81.2
82. Navy Midshipmen (4-7) - 81.4
83. Pacific Tigers (6-5) - 82.2
84. Hawaii Warriors (6-5) - 84.9
85. Tulane Green Wave (5-6) - 85.1
86. Long Beach State 49ers (6-5) - 86.3
87. Fresno State Bulldogs (5-7) - 86.8
88. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-7) - 87.3
89. Toledo Rockets (6-5) - 88.1
90. New Mexico State Aggies (5-6) - 91.1
91. Oregon State Beavers (3-8) - 91.2
92. Rice Owls (2-8-1) - 91.9
93. Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-5) - 93.7
(tie) Iowa Hawkeyes (3-8) - 93.7
(tie) Louisville Cardinals (4-7) - 93.7
96. New Mexico Lobos (4-6-1) - 95.8
97. William & Mary Tribe (4-7) - 96.8
98. Furman Paladins (5-6) - 97.2
99. Richmond Spiders (5-5) - 98.8
100. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-7) - 101.0
101. UTEP Miners (4-7) - 101.1
102. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs (4-7) - 101.9
103. Syracuse Orange (2-9) - 102.7
104. Colgate Raiders (4-6) - 104.3
105. Washington State Cougars (2-9) - 105.3
106. North Texas Mean Green (2-7-2) - 106.4
107. Air Force Falcons (2-9) - 107.7
108. Citadel Bulldogs (4-7) - 108.5
109. Florida State Seminoles (1-10) - 109.5
110. Villanova Wildcats (3-8) - 109.6
111. Western Michigan Broncos (3-8) - 112.6
112. Army Black Knights (3-8) - 113.1
113. Indiana Hoosiers (1-10) - 114.7
114. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-9) - 115.9
115. Idaho Vandals (2-8-1) - 116.0
116. Wyoming Cowboys (2-9) - 116.1
117. Northwestern Wildcats (3-8) - 116.8
118. Northern Illinois Huskies (4-7) - 117.6
119. Drake Bulldogs (3-7-1) - 119.6
120. Wichita State Shockers (1-9-1) - 120.9
121. Southern Illinois Salukis (2-9) - 121.1
122. Oregon Ducks (2-9) - 123.7
123. Dayton Flyers (3-8) - 124.4
124. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-10) - 124.8
125. Marshall Thundering Herd (1-10) - 125.3
126. Columbia Lions (1-8) - 127.8
(tie) TCU Horned Frogs (1-10) - 127.8
128. Utah Utes (1-10) - 128.4
129. Texas-Arlington Mavericks (1-10) - 129.8

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/

Monday, July 12, 2010

1975 Final Rankings

In the off-season, we will be running our computer analysis of each of the previous seasons of college football moving backward through time as far as it makes sense to do so. Here are the final rankings from 1975:

1. Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-0) - 1.0
2. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 2.5
3. Arizona State Sun Devils (12-0) - 3.5
4. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 4.0
5. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 4.2
6. Arkansas Razorbacks (10-2) - 6.1
7. Texas Longhorns (10-2) - 6.7
8. Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-2) - 8.0
9. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) - 9.9
10. Michigan Wolverines (8-2-2) - 10.0
11. Arizona Wildcats (9-2) - 11.2
12. UCLA Bruins (9-2-1) - 12.7
13. Texas A&M Aggies (10-2) - 13.9
14. Miami University RedHawks (11-1) - 14.9
15. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 15.6
16. San Jose State Spartans (9-2) - 16.0
17. Colorado Buffaloes (9-3) - 18.4
18. USC Trojans (8-4) - 19.6
19. California Golden Bears (8-3) - 19.7
20. Florida Gators (9-3) - 19.8
21. Maryland Terrapins (9-2-1) - 21.2
22. San Diego State Aztecs (8-3) - 22.3
23. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) - 22.7
24. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-3) - 23.0
25. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-2) - 24.1
26. Missouri Tigers (6-5) - 25.2
27. Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) - 26.0
28. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) - 27.0
29. Kansas Jayhawks (7-5) - 28.0
30. Harvard Crimson (7-2) - 29.6
31. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-4) - 30.8
32. Ball State Cardinals (9-2) - 33.7
33. Michigan State Spartans (7-4) - 33.9
34. Bowling Green Falcons (8-3) - 35.8
35. Long Beach State 49ers (9-2) - 36.2
36. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (9-2) - 36.4
37. Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) - 36.7
38. Washington Huskies (6-5) - 39.5
39. Navy Midshipmen (7-4) - 39.7
40. Central Michigan Chippewas (8-2-1) - 40.6
41. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-5) - 41.5
42. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-4-1) - 41.8
43. NC State Wolfpack (7-4-1) - 43.2
(tie) Yale Bulldogs (7-2) - 43.2
45. Ole Miss Rebels (6-5) - 44.3
46. Boston College Eagles (7-4) - 44.7
47. New Mexico Lobos (6-5) - 45.9
48. Stanford Cardinal (6-4-1) - 47.2
49. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4) - 48.2
50. Brown Bears (6-2-1) - 49.5
51. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 51.6
52. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) - 52.0
53. Syracuse Orange (6-5) - 52.2
54. ECU Pirates (8-3) - 53.9
55. Temple Owls (6-5) - 56.3
56. Memphis Tigers (7-4) - 59.1
57. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-6) - 59.3
58. Princeton Tigers (4-5) - 59.8
59. North Texas Mean Green (7-4) - 60.3
60. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-3) - 60.6
(tie) BYU Cougars (6-5) - 60.6
62. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-4) - 61.3
63. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-5) - 61.4
64. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-5) - 62.9
65. Vanderbilt Commodores (7-4) - 64.2
66. McNeese State Cowboys (7-4) - 65.0
67. Virginia Tech Hokies (8-3) - 65.5
68. Ohio Bobcats (5-5-1) - 68.1
69. LSU Tigers (4-7) - 68.2
70. Baylor Bears (3-6-2) - 69.0
71. Kentucky Wildcats (2-8-1) - 69.5
72. Dartmouth Big Green (5-3-1) - 71.2
73. Auburn Tigers (3-6-2) - 73.6
74. Duke Blue Devils (4-5-2) - 74.2
75. Colorado State Rams (6-5) - 76.1
76. Dayton Flyers (5-6) - 76.4
77. Pacific Tigers (5-6-1) - 77.4
78. Citadel Bulldogs (6-5) - 79.1
79. Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) - 80.1
80. Texas-Arlington Mavericks (4-7) - 80.5
81. Akron Zips (7-4) - 81.0
82. Richmond Spiders (5-6) - 82.6
83. Washington State Cougars (3-8) - 83.4
84. Purdue Boilermakers (4-7) - 85.0
85. Utah State Aggies (6-5) - 85.9
86. Miami Hurricanes (2-8) - 87.1
87. Hawaii Warriors (6-5) - 87.3
88. Tulane Green Wave (4-7) - 87.4
89. SMU Mustangs (4-7) - 88.5
90. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (5-6) - 90.3
91. Wisconsin Badgers (4-6-1) - 90.6
92. Florida State Seminoles (3-8) - 92.4
(tie) Toledo Rockets (5-6) - 92.4
94. Colgate Raiders (6-4) - 93.0
95. Furman Paladins (5-5-1) - 93.4
96. Indiana State Sycamores (5-5) - 95.9
97. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-8) - 96.4
98. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs (5-5-1) - 98.0
99. Oregon Ducks (3-8) - 98.2
100. Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-6) - 99.2
101. Kansas State Wildcats (3-8) - 99.3
102. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-8) - 102.5
103. Rice Owls (2-9) - 104.6
104. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 105.3
105. Kent State Golden Flashes (4-7) - 105.5
106. Northwestern Wildcats (3-8) - 105.7
107. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-7-1) - 107.9
108. Houston Cougars (2-8) - 108.4
109. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-6-1) - 108.5
110. Wyoming Cowboys (2-9) - 108.8
111. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-8) - 110.0
112. VMI Keydets (3-8) - 112.0
113. Air Force Falcons (2-8-1) - 112.4
114. New Mexico State Aggies (5-6) - 113.2
115. Indiana Hoosiers (2-8-1) - 114.3
116. Cornell Big Red (1-8) - 115.2
117. Columbia Lions (2-7) - 116.0
118. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-8) - 117.7
119. Clemson Tigers (2-9) - 119.0
120. Army Black Knights (2-9) - 121.6
121. Illinois State Redbirds (2-7-1) - 123.2
122. Oregon State Beavers (1-10) - 123.8
123. Villanova Wildcats (4-7) - 123.9
124. Drake Bulldogs (3-8) - 125.0
125. Wichita State Shockers (3-8) - 125.6
126. Virginia Cavaliers (1-10) - 127.8
127. TCU Horned Frogs (1-10) - 128.0
(tie) William & Mary Tribe (2-9) - 128.0
129. Lamar Cardinals (1-10) - 129.8
130. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-9) - 130.7
131. Cal State Fullerton Titans (2-9) - 131.3
132. Western Michigan Broncos (1-10) - 131.9
133. Holy Cross Crusaders (1-10) - 134.1
134. Louisville Cardinals (1-10) - 135.8
135. Utah Utes (1-10) - 136.0
(tie) UTEP Miners (1-10) - 136.0
137. Southern Illinois Salukis (1-9-1) - 137.5

Special acknowledgement and thanks to James Howell who provided the game score data used in this analysis on his website at http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/history/howell/