Friday, August 17, 2018

2017 College Football Final Rankings (Too Late)

Okay, we're late weighing in on the 2017 college football season. 2018 is just about to start. But the results are interesting anyway. If anything, they demonstrate that actual strength of schedule (not just perceived strength of schedule) and head-to-head matchups really matter in our system of analysis.

The biggest question with regard to the 2017 season is how does UCF - the only undefeated team remaining at the end of the year - actually measure up against the other top teams in the country? Is their claim of a national title justified?

In short, no. But we do feel they should have been allowed into the college football playoff. In fact, we think that 2017 was the worst year for the selection committee so far, as we only agreed on two of the four teams in the playoff. Heading into the bowls, here was our Top 25: (Remember this was prior to any bowl games or any of the playoff games.)

1. Georgia Bulldogs (12-1) - 1.1
2. Wisconsin Badgers (12-1) - 2.8
3. Oklahoma Sooners (12-1) - 3.0
4. UCF Knights (12-0) - 4.4
5. Auburn Tigers (10-3) - 4.6
6. Clemson Tigers (12-1) - 5.9
7. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 6.7
8. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 8.2
9. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) - 8.4
10. Washington Huskies (10-2) - 10.0
11. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-3) - 11.1
12. Miami Hurricanes (10-2) - 12.5
13. TCU Horned Frogs (10-3) - 12.9
14. USC Trojans (11-2) - 14.8
15. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 15.2
16. Stanford Cardinal (9-4) - 16.7
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 17.6
18. Memphis Tigers (10-2) - 19.6
19. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) - 20.1
20. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) - 21.4
21. Michigan Wolverines (8-4) - 21.5
22. South Florida Bulls (9-2) - 22.1
23. Michigan State Spartans (9-3) - 22.2
24. NC State Wolfpack (8-4) - 23.4
25. Northwestern Wildcats (9-3) - 24.9

Notice that when you analyze their resumes (again, we don't make a judgment about which is the better team, but which actually did more during the season), eventual champion, Alabama's claim to inclusion in the playoff was as weak as Clemson's in 2016. In our opinion, Auburn actually had a better claim, even with three losses, to inclusion than Alabama did, but we do feel that UCF should have barely squeaked in. Wisconsin, however, was the team that had the most reason to complain about being left out (even though they lost to Ohio State in the Big 10 Championship Game. Their claim is certainly better than Alabama, who didn't even play in a championship game at all (and therefore ended up with one less chance to lose, simply because they actually lost earlier). And, in fact, an analysis of their resume shows that they had had the second best season in the country, up to that point.

An interesting thing we are learning, though, is that inclusion in the College Football Playoff matters, because you are typically playing games against another top team, and your performance in the playoff (combined with the performance of other teams in the bowls) can have a huge impact on the final rankings. UCF's win over Auburn should actually not only not be too surprising - after all we had them ranked ahead of Auburn going into the bowls - but it turns out that, despite arguments that it justifies UCF's claim to their own national championship, UCF did not gain any ground in the rankings once the bowls and playoff are included in the analysis. Mostly this is due to Alabama leapfrogging them because of the additions to their resume made possible by playing (and beating) top notch competition in two games during the playoff.

So, seeing that Alabama entered the playoff ranked #7, was two wins in the playoff enough to actually catapult them to #1 in our full-season analysis? Almost. It was an overtime game after all. Alabama still managed to leap up to #2 in our final rankings, but winning an overtime head-to-head game against the team that had been ranked #1 already wasn't enough to put them ahead of Georgia in our final rankings.

Here are our final rankings for 2017 with Georgia still in the #1 spot, followed by Alabama. Wisconsin fell to #3 despite winning their bowl game, and UCF remains at #4.

1. Georgia Bulldogs (13-2) - 1.3
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-1) - 2.3
3. Wisconsin Badgers (13-1) - 3.0
4. UCF Knights (13-0) - 4.2
5. Oklahoma Sooners (12-2) - 4.5
6. Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2) - 6.3
7. Auburn Tigers (10-4) - 7.1
8. Penn State Nittany Lions (11-2) - 7.3
9. Clemson Tigers (12-2) - 9.0
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-3) - 10.3
11. Washington Huskies (10-3) - 10.9
12. TCU Horned Frogs (11-3) - 12.0
13. Miami Hurricanes (10-3) - 13.0
14. LSU Tigers (9-4) - 15.5
15. Michigan State Spartans (10-3) - 17.3
16. Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-4) - 17.6
17. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) - 17.9
18. USC Trojans (11-3) - 18.1
19. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-3) - 18.2
20. NC State Wolfpack (9-4) - 19.7
21. Florida Atlantic Owls (11-3) - 22.0
22. Stanford Cardinal (9-5) - 22.5
23. Iowa State Cyclones (8-5) - 23.1
(tie) South Florida Bulls (10-2) - 23.1
25. Northwestern Wildcats (10-3) - 24.1
26. Memphis Tigers (10-3) - 24.8
(tie) Michigan Wolverines (8-5) - 24.8
28. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-5) - 28.7
29. Boise State Broncos (11-3) - 28.8
30. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-4) - 29.8
31. Louisville Cardinals (8-5) - 30.5
32. Boston College Eagles (7-6) - 33.5
33. Troy Trojans (11-2) - 34.2
34. San Diego State Aztecs (10-3) - 34.5
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (9-4) - 34.5
36. Texas Longhorns (7-6) - 35.1
37. Fresno State Bulldogs (10-4) - 37.8
38. Kansas State Wildcats (8-5) - 39.0
39. Florida State Seminoles (7-6) - 39.8
40. Purdue Boilermakers (7-6) - 40.4
41. Washington State Cougars (9-4) - 41.0
42. Army Black Knights (10-3) - 41.5
43. Duke Blue Devils (7-6) - 43.2
44. Navy Midshipmen (7-6) - 43.7
45. Utah Utes (7-6) - 44.3
46. Oregon Ducks (7-6) - 45.7
47. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-6) - 47.2
48. Toledo Rockets (11-3) - 47.7
49. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-6) - 48.7
50. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-6) - 49.2
51. Houston Cougars (7-5) - 51.8
52. Arizona Wildcats (7-6) - 53.6
53. Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-4) - 54.1
54. Indiana Hoosiers (5-7) - 54.6
55. Texas A&M Aggies (7-6) - 55.0
56. Ole Miss Rebels (6-6) - 55.2
57. Ohio Bobcats (9-4) - 56.0
58. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-7) - 57.3
59. SMU Mustangs (7-6) - 60.0
60. Kentucky Wildcats (7-6) - 60.6
61. Missouri Tigers (7-6) - 60.8
62. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-6) - 62.1
63. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-7) - 62.4
64. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 65.6
65. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5) - 66.3
66. Temple Owls (7-6) - 67.3
67. UCLA Bruins (6-7) - 67.5
68. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-7) - 67.8
69. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-5) - 68.1
70. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 70.3
(tie) North Texas Mean Green (9-5) - 70.3
72. Buffalo Bulls (6-6) - 70.4
73. Florida Gators (4-7) - 73.2
74. Virginia Cavaliers (6-7) - 73.4
75. Maryland Terrapins (4-8) - 76.5
76. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 78.1
77. Tulane Green Wave (5-7) - 78.3
78. Wyoming Cowboys (8-5) - 78.4
79. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) - 78.7
80. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-7) - 79.0
81. Akron Zips (7-7) - 80.9
82. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-7) - 81.0
83. Colorado State Rams (7-6) - 83.2
84. Western Michigan Broncos (6-6) - 84.1
85. Utah State Aggies (6-7) - 84.5
86. Arkansas Razorbacks (4-8) - 85.4
87. Central Michigan Chippewas (8-5) - 86.7
(tie) Southern Miss Golden Eagles (8-5) - 86.7
89. UTSA Roadrunners (6-5) - 88.0
90. Colorado Buffaloes (5-7) - 88.6
91. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-6) - 89.5
92. FIU Golden Panthers (8-5) - 90.4
93. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 93.5
94. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-9) - 94.0
95. Tennessee Volunteers (4-8) - 94.7
96. Air Force Falcons (5-7) - 94.8
97. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-10) - 97.2
98. UAB Blazers (8-5) - 98.1
99. Miami University RedHawks (5-7) - 98.6
100. New Mexico State Aggies (7-6) - 99.0
101. South Alabama Jaguars (4-8) - 102.5
102. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 103.6
103. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-8) - 104.4
104. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-8) - 104.5
105. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 105.7
106. Georgia State Panthers (7-5) - 107.3
107. Idaho Vandals (4-8) - 108.0
108. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 108.6
109. BYU Cougars (4-9) - 109.1
110. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-7) - 110.4
111. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-9) - 111.4
112. Baylor Bears (1-11) - 111.5
113. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-7) - 111.8
114. Connecticut Huskies (3-9) - 112.4
115. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (5-7) - 112.5
116. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-10) - 113.9
117. Hawaii Warriors (3-9) - 117.7
118. Bowling Green Falcons (2-10) - 118.0
119. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-9) - 119.8
120. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 120.3
121. Ball State Cardinals (2-10) - 120.6
122. Rice Owls (1-11) - 121.1
123. Texas State Bobcats (2-10) - 123.0
124. Kansas Jayhawks (1-11) - 124.2
125. Georgia Southern Eagles (2-10) - 125.1
126. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-10) - 126.0
127. Oregon State Beavers (1-11) - 126.7
128. San Jose State Spartans (2-11) - 127.2
129. Charlotte 49ers (1-11) - 127.4
130. UTEP Miners (0-12) - 130.7

Thursday, August 16, 2018

2016 College Football Final Rankings

We're a little late with this - well over a year late - but we're back! After running the numbers on the completed 2016 FBS college football season, our analysis confirms the validity of, well, playing it out on the field. When last we left you, we were insisting the Clemson had not done enough to merit their inclusion in the college football playoff for 2016. Of course, Clemson turned around and won their first game in the playoff, then lost a close game to champion Alabama, thereby justifying their inclusion in the playoff. And our analysis? After including all the bowl games, we agree that Clemson justified their inclusion with their performance in the actual playoff. Remember that our analysis does not try to indicate that one team was better than another team (except, of course, on a given day when those teams play head-to-head). It only seeks to show which has demonstrated that they had a better season. Clemson had not had a good enough season, or at least, it had not shown more than several other teams that they were worthy to be included in the "Final Four" of football.

Well, during the actual playoff, they showed plenty. And when all is said and done, they demonstrated through the entirety of their season that they had the second best season of any team in the FBS. Only Alabama had a better season in 2016.

Here are the final rankings as they finally shook out for the 2016 season:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (14-1) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (14-1) - 2.3
3. Washington Huskies (12-2) - 3.4
4. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) - 4.2
5. Western Michigan Broncos (13-1) - 5.6
6. Michigan Wolverines (10-3) - 5.9
7. USC Trojans (10-3) - 6.9
8. Wisconsin Badgers (11-3) - 7.8
9. Florida State Seminoles (10-3) - 10.1
(tie) Penn State Nittany Lions (11-3) - 10.1
11. Oklahoma Sooners (11-2) - 10.4
12. LSU Tigers (8-4) - 10.5
13. Miami Hurricanes (9-4) - 13.6
14. Stanford Cardinal (10-3) - 15.6
15. Louisville Cardinals (9-4) - 16.7
16. Colorado Buffaloes (10-4) - 16.9
17. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-3) - 17.0
18. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-3) - 17.7
19. Florida Gators (9-4) - 19.8
20. Tennessee Volunteers (9-4) - 20.2
21. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-3) - 20.3
22. Auburn Tigers (8-5) - 20.7
23. Virginia Tech Hokies (10-4) - 24.1
24. Kansas State Wildcats (9-4) - 25.6
25. South Florida Bulls (11-2) - 26.0
26. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (10-3) - 26.1
27. Minnesota Golden Gophers (9-4) - 27.1
28. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-5) - 28.4
29. West Virginia Mountaineers (10-3) - 29.5
30. Houston Cougars (9-4) - 31.3
31. Air Force Falcons (10-3) - 32.0
32. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-5) - 33.7
33. Boise State Broncos (10-3) - 34.5
(tie) NC State Wolfpack (7-6) - 34.5
35. Toledo Rockets (9-4) - 34.9
36. Troy Trojans (10-3) - 36.2
37. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (9-4) - 36.4
38. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-4) - 36.8
39. Temple Owls (10-4) - 39.0
40. San Diego State Aztecs (11-3) - 39.3
41. Texas A&M Aggies (8-5) - 39.5
42. Washington State Cougars (8-5) - 41.6
43. BYU Cougars (9-4) - 42.0
44. Utah Utes (9-4) - 42.3
45. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) - 45.1
46. Memphis Tigers (8-5) - 46.8
(tie) Navy Midshipmen (9-5) - 46.8
48. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (9-5) - 47.6
49. Georgia Bulldogs (8-5) - 47.8
50. Colorado State Rams (7-6) - 50.0
51. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-6) - 50.8
(tie) Baylor Bears (7-6) - 50.8
53. Old Dominion Monarchs (10-3) - 51.1
54. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-7) - 53.1
55. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 53.7
56. Kentucky Wildcats (7-6) - 56.5
57. Wyoming Cowboys (8-6) - 57.6
58. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-7) - 59.9
59. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-5) - 60.2
60. TCU Horned Frogs (6-7) - 61.0
61. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-8) - 62.3
62. UCLA Bruins (4-8) - 63.8
63. Boston College Eagles (7-6) - 64.2
64. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 65.4
65. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 65.6
66. Northwestern Wildcats (7-6) - 66.6
67. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-6) - 66.9
68. Idaho Vandals (9-4) - 67.0
69. UCF Knights (6-7) - 68.5
70. Oregon Ducks (4-8) - 69.9
71. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-7) - 70.5
72. Oregon State Beavers (4-8) - 71.6
73. Missouri Tigers (4-8) - 72.2
74. Ohio Bobcats (8-6) - 75.0
75. New Mexico Lobos (9-4) - 75.9
(tie) UTSA Roadrunners (6-7) - 75.9
77. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 76.2
78. Indiana Hoosiers (6-7) - 77.4
79. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-6) - 79.1
80. Maryland Terrapins (6-7) - 79.2
81. Georgia Southern Eagles (5-7) - 79.6
82. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-6) - 81.0
83. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 81.1
84. South Alabama Jaguars (6-7) - 83.8
85. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-5) - 84.8
86. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-7) - 86.0
(tie) Army Black Knights (8-5) - 86.0
88. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-7) - 87.2
89. Duke Blue Devils (4-8) - 88.2
90. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 90.1
91. Central Michigan Chippewas (6-7) - 91.0
92. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-7) - 94.7
93. Utah State Aggies (3-9) - 95.2
94. Arizona Wildcats (3-9) - 95.3
(tie) Hawaii Warriors (7-7) - 95.3
(tie) Tulane Green Wave (4-8) - 95.3
97. Michigan State Spartans (3-9) - 95.7
98. Miami University RedHawks (6-7) - 96.7
99. Akron Zips (5-7) - 99.5
100. North Texas Mean Green (5-8) - 99.6
101. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 102.4
102. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 103.3
103. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-8) - 103.9
104. Charlotte 49ers (4-8) - 105.3
105. Georgia State Panthers (3-9) - 105.5
106. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 105.6
107. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-9) - 106.4
108. FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 108.0
109. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 109.4
110. Bowling Green Falcons (4-8) - 110.2
111. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-7) - 110.5
112. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 111.4
113. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 111.7
114. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 113.2
115. San Jose State Spartans (4-8) - 114.7
(tie) UTEP Miners (4-8) - 114.7
117. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-9) - 116.0
118. Purdue Boilermakers (3-9) - 117.9
119. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 118.3
120. Rice Owls (3-9) - 120.0
121. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-10) - 120.6
122. Virginia Cavaliers (2-10) - 121.7
123. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-10) - 122.8
124. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 123.1
125. Connecticut Huskies (3-9) - 123.8
126. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-11) - 125.5
127. Texas State Bobcats (2-10) - 126.8
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-10) - 127.7

Monday, December 5, 2016

2016 College Football Rankings - Week 14

"Wait!" you exclaim. "Western Michigan in the College Football Playoff over Clemson?" Our unbiased computer analysis says, "Yes. Clemson lost to Pittsburgh, who we have ranked at #28 (and only that high because of its victory over Clemson) while Western Michigan didn't lose to anyone. In fact, we don't even have Clemson on the edge of the playoffs. We have them at #7, behind 3-loss USC. Their performance this year was that weak. And besides, how less reasonable is this than ranking four-loss Auburn higher than ANY undefeated team like the college football playoff committee did?"

There's still one game left in the regular season (Army-Navy), so there might be some changes - the outcome of any game impacts to some degree every team in FBS because of the way we do our analysis - but our rankings this week are pretty close to what they will be heading into bowl season.

Here's what we have:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) - 1.0
2. Washington Huskies (12-1) - 2.9
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 3.3
4. Western Michigan Broncos (13-0) - 3.4
5. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 4.6
6. USC Trojans (9-3) - 6.7
7. Clemson Tigers (12-1) - 7.0
8. Penn State Nittany Lions (11-2) - 7.5
9. Wisconsin Badgers (10-3) - 9.3
10. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2) - 10.1
11. Colorado Buffaloes (10-3) - 10.4
12. Florida State Seminoles (9-3) - 12.8
13. Louisville Cardinals (9-3) - 13.6
14. LSU Tigers (7-4) - 14.6
15. Stanford Cardinal (9-3) - 15.6
16. Miami Hurricanes (8-4) - 16.8
17. Houston Cougars (9-3) - 18.5
18. Auburn Tigers (8-4) - 18.8
19. Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-3) - 19.3
20. Boise State Broncos (10-2) - 20.7
21. South Florida Bulls (10-2) - 21.0
22. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-3) - 21.8
23. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 23.2
24. Temple Owls (10-3) - 24.2
25. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (9-3) - 26.5
26. West Virginia Mountaineers (10-2) - 26.6
27. Florida Gators (8-4) - 27.2
28. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 27.8
29. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) - 29.8
30. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-4) - 30.5
31. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-4) - 32.9
32. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) - 33.1
33. Toledo Rockets (9-3) - 33.8
34. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) - 34.5
35. Navy Midshipmen (9-3) - 34.9
36. Kansas State Wildcats (8-4) - 35.4
37. Memphis Tigers (8-4) - 36.7
38. Air Force Falcons (9-3) - 37.0
39. Washington State Cougars (8-4) - 37.5
40. Utah Utes (8-4) - 39.4
41. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 39.6
42. BYU Cougars (8-4) - 40.6
43. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 41.0
44. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 42.7
45. Colorado State Rams (7-5) - 45.1
46. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-4) - 45.3
47. NC State Wolfpack (6-6) - 47.5
48. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 48.0
49. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 50.1
50. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-5) - 50.2
51. San Diego State Aztecs (10-3) - 50.8
52. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) - 51.0
53. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 52.2
54. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 53.7
55. Old Dominion Monarchs (9-3) - 53.9
56. Wyoming Cowboys (8-5) - 56.3
57. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7) - 57.6
58. UCF Knights (6-6) - 57.7
59. TCU Horned Frogs (6-6) - 59.2
60. UCLA Bruins (4-8) - 60.8
61. Baylor Bears (6-6) - 62.8
62. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-8) - 63.0
63. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 64.4
64. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 66.0
65. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) - 66.1
66. Oregon Ducks (4-8) - 66.5
67. Boston College Eagles (6-6) - 68.7
68. Oregon State Beavers (4-8) - 68.9
69. Missouri Tigers (4-8) - 70.1
70. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-4) - 71.0
71. Northwestern Wildcats (6-6) - 71.5
72. UTSA Roadrunners (6-6) - 72.0
73. Maryland Terrapins (6-6) - 72.7
74. Ohio Bobcats (8-5) - 73.3
75. Idaho Vandals (8-4) - 75.3
76. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-6) - 75.4
77. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 76.4
78. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 77.1
79. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 79.0
80. Indiana Hoosiers (6-6) - 79.3
81. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 79.8
82. New Mexico Lobos (8-4) - 80.1
83. Georgia Southern Eagles (5-7) - 81.2
84. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-6) - 82.3
85. South Alabama Jaguars (6-6) - 82.4
86. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-7) - 85.0
87. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6) - 85.5
88. Central Michigan Chippewas (6-6) - 89.0
89. Army Black Knights (6-5) - 89.9
90. Duke Blue Devils (4-8) - 90.6
91. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 91.4
92. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-7) - 92.4
93. Tulane Green Wave (4-8) - 93.4
94. Arizona Wildcats (3-9) - 95.4
(tie) Utah State Aggies (3-9) - 95.4
96. Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 95.6
97. Michigan State Spartans (3-9) - 96.3
98. Akron Zips (5-7) - 98.4
99. North Texas Mean Green (5-7) - 99.6
100. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 100.9
101. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-8) - 101.2
102. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 103.0
103. Charlotte 49ers (4-8) - 103.9
104. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 104.2
105. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 104.7
106. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-9) - 106.1
107. Georgia State Panthers (3-9) - 107.0
108. FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 107.5
109. Bowling Green Falcons (4-8) - 109.0
110. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 110.1
111. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 111.7
112. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 111.8
113. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-7) - 112.0
114. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 112.2
115. UTEP Miners (4-8) - 115.2
116. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-9) - 115.4
(tie) San Jose State Spartans (4-8) - 115.4
118. Purdue Boilermakers (3-9) - 117.2
119. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 117.9
120. Rice Owls (3-9) - 119.8
121. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-10) - 121.2
122. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-10) - 122.1
123. Virginia Cavaliers (2-10) - 122.4
124. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 123.0
125. Connecticut Huskies (3-9) - 123.9
126. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-11) - 125.5
127. Texas State Bobcats (2-10) - 126.8
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-10) - 127.7

Thursday, December 1, 2016

2016 College Football Rankings - Week 13

We have to ask the question. What does Western Michigan have to do to get into the College Football Playoff? All they've done is win every game put before them, and usually by a lot of points. Can it really be called an FBS championship if it simply is impossible for half of the FBS teams to even be included in the playoff? As it is, people are discussing teams with two losses over an undefeated Western Michigan. Granted, we are talking about Western Michigan, but at a fundamental level, something about that just doesn't seem right - especially in light of our latest unbiased, computer analysis. (That's the advantage of ranking the teams based on their wins and losses this season rather than their names, conferences, or previous years' histories.).

As for the Big Ten dilemma, we just remind everyone that a conference championship only includes the in-conference games. It doesn't include the three or four non-conference games that make up 1/4 to 1/3 of every team's full season. Our analysis is based on the entirety of a team's season and doesn't weight conference games any more importantly than non-conference games. Every game is equally important and how a team performs in non-conference is about 1/4 to 1/3 of their overall rating - fitting since that's how much of their season ... well, you get the idea. The end result is a ranking based on who had the best overall season, not just the best performance in-conference. We think that until there are enough slots in the playoff to justify automatic bids to all conference champions, the decision about who to place in the playoff should be based on the whole season. Otherwise, it just increases the committee's inherent bias toward power conferences and continues to lock out possibly deserving teams from outside the P5. Sorry, Badgers and Nittany Lions.

Here are our results after week 13:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) - 1.0
2. Western Michigan Broncos (12-0) - 2.7
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 2.9
4. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 4.1
5. Washington Huskies (11-1) - 4.5
6. Clemson Tigers (11-1) - 6.2
7. USC Trojans (9-3) - 7.4
8. Colorado Buffaloes (10-2) - 8.6
9. Wisconsin Badgers (10-2) - 8.8
10. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 9.0
11. Florida State Seminoles (9-3) - 11.8
12. Louisville Cardinals (9-3) - 12.8
13. Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) - 13.8
14. LSU Tigers (7-4) - 13.9
15. Stanford Cardinal (9-3) - 15.8
16. Miami Hurricanes (8-4) - 16.9
17. Houston Cougars (9-3) - 18.6
18. Auburn Tigers (8-4) - 18.7
19. Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-3) - 18.8
20. South Florida Bulls (10-2) - 20.8
21. Boise State Broncos (10-2) - 21.3
22. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 23.4
23. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 23.9
24. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-3) - 25.2
25. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-2) - 25.5
26. Florida Gators (8-3) - 25.8
27. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (9-3) - 26.6
28. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-2) - 26.7
29. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 28.7
30. Troy Trojans (9-2) - 28.8
31. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) - 30.2
32. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3) - 33.2
33. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-4) - 33.4
34. Toledo Rockets (9-3) - 34.0
35. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) - 36.0
36. Air Force Falcons (9-3) - 36.6
37. Memphis Tigers (8-4) - 37.4
38. Temple Owls (9-3) - 38.4
39. Utah Utes (8-4) - 38.5
40. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 39.4
41. BYU Cougars (8-4) - 40.3
42. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 40.4
(tie) Washington State Cougars (8-4) - 40.4
44. Colorado State Rams (7-5) - 44.0
45. Kansas State Wildcats (7-4) - 45.6
46. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-4) - 46.1
47. NC State Wolfpack (6-6) - 46.9
48. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 48.4
49. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 49.2
50. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) - 49.9
51. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) - 51.2
52. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) - 51.3
53. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 53.6
54. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 53.7
55. TCU Horned Frogs (6-5) - 53.9
56. Old Dominion Monarchs (9-3) - 54.2
57. Wyoming Cowboys (8-4) - 56.5
58. UCF Knights (6-6) - 58.1
59. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7) - 58.4
60. UCLA Bruins (4-8) - 61.3
61. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-8) - 62.8
62. Baylor Bears (6-5) - 63.5
63. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 64.2
64. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 65.7
65. Oregon Ducks (4-8) - 66.0
66. Boston College Eagles (6-6) - 68.3
67. Oregon State Beavers (4-8) - 68.5
68. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-5) - 68.9
69. Missouri Tigers (4-8) - 69.7
70. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-4) - 70.8
71. Northwestern Wildcats (6-6) - 70.9
(tie) UTSA Roadrunners (6-6) - 70.9
73. Maryland Terrapins (6-6) - 72.6
74. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 73.3
75. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-6) - 74.7
76. Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 75.6
77. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 76.4
78. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 77.1
79. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 78.4
80. Indiana Hoosiers (6-6) - 78.5
81. New Mexico Lobos (8-4) - 79.3
82. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-6) - 80.3
83. Idaho Vandals (7-4) - 81.4
84. South Alabama Jaguars (5-6) - 83.1
85. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-7) - 85.2
86. Central Michigan Chippewas (6-6) - 86.4
87. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (5-6) - 88.5
88. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-7) - 89.0
89. Duke Blue Devils (4-8) - 89.4
90. Army Black Knights (6-5) - 89.7
91. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 90.8
92. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-7) - 91.0
93. Tulane Green Wave (4-8) - 93.9
94. Arizona Wildcats (3-9) - 95.5
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 95.5
96. Utah State Aggies (3-9) - 95.8
97. Michigan State Spartans (3-9) - 96.7
98. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-7) - 98.7
99. Akron Zips (5-7) - 99.2
100. Georgia State Panthers (3-8) - 100.8
101. North Texas Mean Green (5-7) - 101.0
102. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 101.1
103. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-8) - 102.2
104. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 104.2
105. Charlotte 49ers (4-8) - 104.6
106. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-9) - 106.1
107. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 106.2
108. FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 107.7
109. Bowling Green Falcons (4-8) - 109.5
110. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 110.3
111. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 112.1
112. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-7) - 112.2
113. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 112.6
114. New Mexico State Aggies (3-8) - 112.7
115. UTEP Miners (4-8) - 115.1
116. San Jose State Spartans (4-8) - 115.3
117. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-9) - 115.5
118. Purdue Boilermakers (3-9) - 117.2
119. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 118.0
120. Rice Owls (3-9) - 119.9
121. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-10) - 121.1
122. Virginia Cavaliers (2-10) - 122.1
123. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-10) - 122.3
124. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 123.0
125. Connecticut Huskies (3-9) - 124.0
126. Texas State Bobcats (2-9) - 125.5
127. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-11) - 126.0
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-10) - 128.0

Sunday, November 20, 2016

2016 College Football Rankings - Week 12

Louisville lost. Ohio State and Michigan both had games that were closer than they should have been. How does this affect the rankings this week? Take a look and see.

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) - 1.0
2. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-1) - 2.3
3. Michigan Wolverines (10-1) - 3.5
4. Western Michigan Broncos (11-0) - 4.3
5. Clemson Tigers (10-1) - 5.8
6. Washington Huskies (10-1) - 6.5
7. USC Trojans (8-3) - 7.6
8. Louisville Cardinals (9-2) - 7.7
9. Colorado Buffaloes (9-2) - 8.6
10. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) - 10.0
11. Wisconsin Badgers (9-2) - 10.4
12. Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) - 12.4
13. Houston Cougars (9-2) - 13.4
14. Florida State Seminoles (8-3) - 16.3
15. Auburn Tigers (8-3) - 17.2
16. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2) - 17.8
17. Boise State Broncos (10-1) - 18.0
(tie) Stanford Cardinal (8-3) - 18.0
19. LSU Tigers (6-4) - 18.5
20. Tennessee Volunteers (8-3) - 18.6
21. Miami Hurricanes (7-4) - 20.9
22. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (8-3) - 21.9
23. Florida Gators (8-2) - 22.7
24. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-3) - 23.0
25. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-2) - 25.2
26. Toledo Rockets (9-2) - 25.5
27. Texas A&M Aggies (8-3) - 28.7
28. South Florida Bulls (9-2) - 29.6
29. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-3) - 29.8
30. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4) - 30.5
31. Navy Midshipmen (8-2) - 31.7
32. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-3) - 31.8
33. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-2) - 33.8
34. Virginia Tech Hokies (8-3) - 34.4
35. Troy Trojans (8-2) - 34.6
36. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) - 35.1
37. Washington State Cougars (8-3) - 35.4
38. San Diego State Aztecs (9-2) - 37.7
39. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-3) - 38.1
40. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-4) - 40.4
(tie) Utah Utes (8-3) - 40.4
42. Temple Owls (8-3) - 43.4
43. BYU Cougars (7-4) - 43.5
44. Wyoming Cowboys (8-3) - 43.7
45. Ole Miss Rebels (5-6) - 44.9
46. Kansas State Wildcats (6-4) - 45.1
47. Air Force Falcons (8-3) - 45.4
48. Memphis Tigers (7-4) - 45.6
49. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) - 48.7
50. Georgia Bulldogs (7-4) - 50.0
51. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4) - 50.9
52. NC State Wolfpack (5-6) - 51.9
53. UCLA Bruins (4-7) - 53.8
54. Colorado State Rams (6-5) - 54.1
55. UCF Knights (6-5) - 54.3
56. Baylor Bears (6-4) - 55.6
57. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6) - 56.6
58. Old Dominion Monarchs (8-3) - 57.9
59. TCU Horned Frogs (5-5) - 58.5
60. Oregon Ducks (4-7) - 60.4
61. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-7) - 61.3
62. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4) - 62.4
63. Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) - 63.0
64. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-7) - 66.1
65. SMU Mustangs (5-6) - 66.7
66. Texas Longhorns (5-6) - 68.5
67. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-6) - 69.2
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-7) - 69.2
69. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 70.4
70. California Golden Bears (4-7) - 72.2
71. Boston College Eagles (5-6) - 72.6
72. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-5) - 73.0
73. Maryland Terrapins (5-6) - 74.3
(tie) Ohio Bobcats (7-4) - 74.3
75. Indiana Hoosiers (5-6) - 74.5
76. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-4) - 74.8
77. Northwestern Wildcats (5-6) - 75.7
78. UTSA Roadrunners (5-6) - 76.2
79. South Alabama Jaguars (5-5) - 77.1
80. Oregon State Beavers (3-8) - 77.5
81. Eastern Michigan Eagles (6-5) - 78.3
82. Missouri Tigers (3-8) - 80.1
83. Central Michigan Chippewas (6-5) - 82.9
84. Idaho Vandals (6-4) - 83.8
85. Duke Blue Devils (4-7) - 86.3
86. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-7) - 86.8
87. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-6) - 87.9
88. Syracuse Orange (4-7) - 88.7
89. Army Black Knights (6-5) - 88.9
90. New Mexico Lobos (7-4) - 89.5
91. Michigan State Spartans (3-8) - 91.1
92. North Texas Mean Green (5-6) - 91.6
93. Northern Illinois Huskies (4-7) - 93.0
94. Utah State Aggies (3-8) - 93.4
95. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-6) - 95.7
96. Ball State Cardinals (4-7) - 98.4
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (5-6) - 98.4
98. Akron Zips (5-6) - 98.8
99. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-7) - 99.1
100. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-8) - 99.4
101. Tulane Green Wave (3-8) - 100.3
102. UNLV Rebels (4-7) - 100.5
103. Georgia State Panthers (3-8) - 102.3
104. Charlotte 49ers (4-7) - 102.4
105. ECU Pirates (3-8) - 103.7
106. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-7) - 105.2
107. FIU Golden Panthers (4-7) - 107.5
108. Hawaii Warriors (5-7) - 109.2
109. Iowa State Cyclones (3-8) - 109.6
110. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-8) - 109.9
111. Bowling Green Falcons (3-8) - 110.5
112. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-8) - 111.7
113. Arizona Wildcats (2-9) - 112.1
114. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-8) - 112.8
115. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 115.0
116. San Jose State Spartans (3-8) - 115.8
117. Rice Owls (3-8) - 117.0
118. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-9) - 119.4
119. Connecticut Huskies (3-8) - 119.8
(tie) Virginia Cavaliers (2-9) - 119.8
121. Nevada Wolf Pack (4-7) - 120.1
122. Purdue Boilermakers (3-8) - 120.6
123. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-9) - 120.7
124. UTEP Miners (3-8) - 122.8
125. Kansas Jayhawks (2-9) - 123.1
126. Texas State Bobcats (2-8) - 125.6
127. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-10) - 126.1
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-9) - 128.0

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

2016 College Football Rankings - Week 11

After Clemson, Washington and Michigan all lost this last weekend, a lot of people are looking with interest to find out what will happen to the rankings, most specifically to the rankings that drive the selections for the college football playoff. Here are our rankings based on our analysis of which teams have the best overall resume of games.

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-0) - 1.0
2. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) - 2.8
3. Louisville Cardinals (9-1) - 2.9
4. Michigan Wolverines (9-1) - 4.4
5. Western Michigan Broncos (10-0) - 4.5
6. Clemson Tigers (9-1) - 6.1
7. Washington Huskies (9-1) - 6.9
8. USC Trojans (7-3) - 9.0
(tie) Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) - 9.0
10. Colorado Buffaloes (8-2) - 10.5
11. Penn State Nittany Lions (8-2) - 10.9
12. LSU Tigers (6-3) - 12.2
13. Troy Trojans (8-1) - 13.0
14. Florida State Seminoles (7-3) - 15.3
15. Auburn Tigers (7-3) - 15.8
16. Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) - 16.7
17. Boise State Broncos (9-1) - 18.4
18. Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-2) - 20.4
19. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-1) - 20.5
20. Stanford Cardinal (7-3) - 20.6
21. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-3) - 21.0
22. Tennessee Volunteers (7-3) - 21.3
23. Miami Hurricanes (6-4) - 24.8
24. Texas A&M Aggies (7-3) - 25.9
25. San Diego State Aztecs (9-1) - 26.7
26. Utah Utes (8-2) - 27.9
27. Houston Cougars (8-2) - 28.0
28. Toledo Rockets (8-2) - 28.6
29. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-3) - 29.1
30. Florida Gators (7-2) - 29.4
31. Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-2) - 29.6
32. Washington State Cougars (8-2) - 29.8
33. South Florida Bulls (8-2) - 31.5
34. Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) - 31.7
35. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-3) - 32.8
36. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-3) - 34.6
37. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-3) - 37.3
38. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-4) - 37.7
39. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-3) - 38.7
40. Navy Midshipmen (7-2) - 39.8
41. Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-3) - 40.4
42. BYU Cougars (6-4) - 41.6
43. NC State Wolfpack (5-5) - 42.9
44. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4) - 43.7
45. UCF Knights (6-4) - 45.6
46. Temple Owls (7-3) - 46.0
47. Air Force Falcons (7-3) - 46.2
48. UCLA Bruins (4-6) - 49.2
49. TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) - 49.3
50. Baylor Bears (6-3) - 50.7
51. Wyoming Cowboys (7-3) - 51.5
52. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4) - 51.8
53. Memphis Tigers (6-4) - 52.0
54. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-6) - 53.8
55. Georgia Bulldogs (6-4) - 53.9
56. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4) - 54.7
57. Kansas State Wildcats (5-4) - 55.4
58. Old Dominion Monarchs (7-3) - 58.5
59. Texas Longhorns (5-5) - 59.2
60. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-6) - 60.3
61. Colorado State Rams (5-5) - 61.6
62. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) - 63.1
63. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-5) - 64.8
64. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-4) - 66.7
65. Kentucky Wildcats (5-5) - 67.1
66. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6) - 67.2
67. Ohio Bobcats (7-3) - 68.4
68. California Golden Bears (4-6) - 69.4
69. Maryland Terrapins (5-5) - 69.5
(tie) SMU Mustangs (5-5) - 69.5
71. Northwestern Wildcats (5-5) - 70.6
72. Oregon Ducks (3-7) - 70.8
73. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-5) - 72.5
74. UTSA Roadrunners (5-5) - 73.3
75. Eastern Michigan Eagles (6-4) - 73.5
76. Indiana Hoosiers (5-5) - 74.5
77. Boston College Eagles (4-6) - 77.1
78. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-4) - 78.3
(tie) South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) - 78.3
80. Missouri Tigers (3-7) - 80.8
81. Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) - 81.1
82. Idaho Vandals (6-4) - 82.2
83. Duke Blue Devils (4-6) - 82.4
84. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-5) - 84.8
85. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-6) - 84.9
86. Oregon State Beavers (2-8) - 85.3
87. Syracuse Orange (4-6) - 86.2
88. New Mexico Lobos (7-3) - 86.4
89. Central Michigan Chippewas (5-5) - 88.6
90. Utah State Aggies (3-7) - 90.5
91. Army Black Knights (5-5) - 91.8
92. Michigan State Spartans (3-7) - 92.7
93. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-5) - 93.2
94. North Texas Mean Green (4-6) - 95.9
95. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7) - 96.2
96. Tulane Green Wave (3-7) - 96.7
97. Miami University RedHawks (5-6) - 98.3
98. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-7) - 99.5
99. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-6) - 99.7
100. Ball State Cardinals (4-6) - 99.9
101. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-6) - 100.9
102. ECU Pirates (3-7) - 101.0
(tie) Kent State Golden Flashes (3-7) - 101.0
104. Akron Zips (5-6) - 102.9
105. UNLV Rebels (4-6) - 104.0
106. Arizona Wildcats (2-8) - 104.6
107. Charlotte 49ers (4-6) - 105.5
108. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-7) - 106.4
109. Georgia State Panthers (2-8) - 106.5
110. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-7) - 109.1
111. Hawaii Warriors (4-7) - 109.2
112. Connecticut Huskies (3-7) - 113.5
113. FIU Golden Panthers (3-7) - 114.1
114. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-8) - 115.1
115. Purdue Boilermakers (3-7) - 116.5
116. UTEP Miners (3-7) - 117.4
117. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8) - 117.7
118. Virginia Cavaliers (2-8) - 117.8
119. Bowling Green Falcons (2-8) - 118.8
120. San Jose State Spartans (3-7) - 119.1
121. New Mexico State Aggies (2-7) - 119.6
122. Rice Owls (2-8) - 120.9
123. Iowa State Cyclones (2-8) - 121.1
124. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-7) - 123.1
(tie) Texas State Bobcats (2-7) - 123.1
126. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-9) - 125.3
127. Kansas Jayhawks (1-9) - 127.3
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-8) - 127.4

Monday, November 7, 2016

2016 College Football Rankings - Week 10

Pretty much everyone has Alabama and Michigan at the top of their rankings, and rightfully so. Most people also agree that if Clemson wins out, they will most likely be in the playoff as well. But who is the fourth team? The "committee" had Texas A&M in that slot last week - big mistake. (We had them at #9, now #17 after losing to Mississippi State.) This week, it's probably Washington, but they don't have us convinced yet. We actually feel that Louisville has shown us more this season so far. More, in fact, than even Clemson, even though they lost to Clemson (at Clemson in a very close game). Here are our rankings after 10 weeks of the college football season:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) - 1.0
2. Michigan Wolverines (9-0) - 2.0
3. Louisville Cardinals (8-1) - 4.1
4. Clemson Tigers (9-0) - 4.4
5. Washington Huskies (9-0) - 4.8
6. Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) - 5.5
7. Western Michigan Broncos (9-0) - 6.2
8. Auburn Tigers (7-2) - 8.5
9. Colorado Buffaloes (7-2) - 10.0
10. Wisconsin Badgers (7-2) - 10.3
11. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2) - 11.2
12. USC Trojans (6-3) - 13.3
13. Troy Trojans (7-1) - 14.8
14. LSU Tigers (5-3) - 15.7
15. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-2) - 16.0
16. Florida State Seminoles (6-3) - 16.1
17. Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) - 17.7
18. Tennessee Volunteers (6-3) - 18.8
19. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-1) - 19.2
20. Boise State Broncos (8-1) - 19.6
(tie) Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-2) - 19.6
22. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-2) - 23.6
23. Miami Hurricanes (5-4) - 25.5
24. Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) - 26.1
25. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-2) - 26.2
26. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2) - 27.3
27. Stanford Cardinal (6-3) - 28.1
28. Toledo Rockets (7-2) - 28.6
29. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2) - 29.1
30. San Diego State Aztecs (8-1) - 29.7
31. Florida Gators (6-2) - 29.8
32. Houston Cougars (7-2) - 30.8
33. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-3) - 33.0
34. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-3) - 34.3
35. South Florida Bulls (7-2) - 34.8
36. Utah Utes (7-2) - 35.8
37. Washington State Cougars (7-2) - 36.6
38. Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-2) - 37.2
39. Ole Miss Rebels (4-5) - 37.4
40. Baylor Bears (6-2) - 39.1
41. Wyoming Cowboys (7-2) - 39.6
42. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-3) - 39.7
43. Temple Owls (7-3) - 43.5
44. Air Force Falcons (6-3) - 43.7
45. NC State Wolfpack (4-5) - 44.9
46. BYU Cougars (5-4) - 45.5
47. Navy Midshipmen (6-2) - 46.3
48. UCF Knights (5-4) - 47.5
49. TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) - 47.8
50. Memphis Tigers (6-3) - 48.2
51. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-5) - 51.0
52. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-4) - 52.1
53. UCLA Bruins (3-6) - 52.4
54. Kansas State Wildcats (5-4) - 54.5
55. Texas Longhorns (5-4) - 56.7
56. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-4) - 58.8
57. Colorado State Rams (5-4) - 58.9
(tie) Georgia Bulldogs (5-4) - 58.9
(tie) Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5) - 58.9
60. Old Dominion Monarchs (6-3) - 61.4
61. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-5) - 61.6
62. Oregon Ducks (3-6) - 62.4
63. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-4) - 62.5
64. California Golden Bears (4-5) - 63.4
65. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-3) - 63.9
66. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-3) - 66.3
67. UTSA Roadrunners (5-4) - 67.1
68. Kentucky Wildcats (5-4) - 68.2
69. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-4) - 68.8
70. Maryland Terrapins (5-4) - 69.5
71. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-6) - 70.6
72. Ohio Bobcats (7-3) - 71.1
73. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-4) - 72.3
74. Indiana Hoosiers (5-4) - 73.6
75. Boston College Eagles (4-5) - 74.4
76. SMU Mustangs (4-5) - 77.7
77. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) - 78.0
78. Syracuse Orange (4-5) - 79.6
79. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-5) - 80.2
80. Northwestern Wildcats (4-5) - 80.4
81. South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) - 80.7
82. Oregon State Beavers (2-7) - 81.5
83. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-4) - 82.4
84. Army Black Knights (5-4) - 84.6
85. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) - 85.4
86. New Mexico Lobos (6-3) - 86.7
87. Utah State Aggies (3-6) - 88.7
88. Akron Zips (5-5) - 88.8
89. Missouri Tigers (2-7) - 89.3
90. Central Michigan Chippewas (5-5) - 89.9
91. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-6) - 90.7
92. ECU Pirates (3-6) - 91.7
93. Idaho Vandals (5-4) - 92.8
94. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-5) - 93.7
95. North Texas Mean Green (4-5) - 94.4
96. Duke Blue Devils (3-6) - 94.7
97. Ball State Cardinals (4-5) - 94.8
98. Georgia State Panthers (2-7) - 97.6
99. Charlotte 49ers (4-5) - 100.2
100. Tulane Green Wave (3-6) - 100.4
101. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6) - 101.1
102. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-6) - 102.5
103. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (3-5) - 102.8
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (4-6) - 102.8
105. Arizona Wildcats (2-7) - 103.1
106. Michigan State Spartans (2-7) - 104.6
107. Hawaii Warriors (4-6) - 106.7
108. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-7) - 108.3
109. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-6) - 108.7
110. Purdue Boilermakers (3-6) - 110.3
111. Connecticut Huskies (3-7) - 111.1
112. UNLV Rebels (3-6) - 111.2
113. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-7) - 112.5
114. FIU Golden Panthers (3-7) - 113.5
115. UTEP Miners (3-6) - 114.6
116. Virginia Cavaliers (2-7) - 115.9
117. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-7) - 116.6
118. New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) - 117.9
119. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8) - 118.5
120. Texas State Bobcats (2-6) - 119.5
121. San Jose State Spartans (3-7) - 119.6
122. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-6) - 120.6
123. Iowa State Cyclones (1-8) - 123.3
124. Rice Owls (1-8) - 123.4
125. Kansas Jayhawks (1-8) - 124.8
126. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-9) - 125.9
127. Bowling Green Falcons (1-8) - 126.1
128. Buffalo Bulls (2-7) - 127.3