Monday, May 23, 2011

Ranking the College Football Programs of the 60's

We had previously posted that San Diego State had the team of the 60's (or rather 1961-1970). However, with new rules instituted on our decade rankings, the Aztecs are inelligible because they only competed in the top division of college football for two years out of the decade. The minimum number of years to be ranked is three. This reflects a need for consistent success over multiple years in a decade to be so highly ranked. Our updated rankings properly place the Alabama Crimson Tide as the team of the 60's.
Here is the rest of the list:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide
2. Texas Longhorns
3. Ole Miss Rebels
4. Arkansas Razorbacks
5. USC Trojans
6. LSU Tigers
7. Penn State Nittany Lions
8. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9. Nebraska Cornhuskers
10. Dartmouth Big Green
11. Missouri Tigers
12. Tennessee Volunteers
13. Purdue Boilermakers
14. Arizona State Sun Devils
15. Michigan State Spartans
16. Ohio State Buckeyes
17. Auburn Tigers
18. Oklahoma Sooners
19. Memphis Tigers
20. Florida Gators
21. Florida State Seminoles
22. Georgia Bulldogs
23. Syracuse Orange
24. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
25. Miami University RedHawks
26. Princeton Tigers
27. Wyoming Cowboys
28. Houston Cougars
29. Oregon State Beavers
30. Harvard Crimson
31. UCLA Bruins
32. Utah State Aggies
33. Minnesota Golden Gophers
34. Michigan Wolverines
35. Miami Hurricanes
36. Bowling Green Falcons
37. Stanford Cardinal
38. Washington Huskies
39. Yale Bulldogs
40. Army Black Knights
41. West Virginia Mountaineers
42. Colorado Buffaloes
43. Oregon Ducks
44. Ohio Bobcats
45. Kansas Jayhawks
46. Boston College Eagles
47. Virginia Tech Hokies
48. Toledo Rockets
49. Utah Utes
50. Air Force Falcons
51. Mississippi State Bulldogs
52. NC State Wolfpack
53. Cornell Big Red
54. West Texas A&M Buffaloes
55. Duke Blue Devils
56. Texas Tech Red Raiders
57. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
58. Navy Midshipmen
59. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
60. Villanova Wildcats
61. Clemson Tigers
62. Kentucky Wildcats
63. Arizona Wildcats
64. North Texas Mean Green
65. Oklahoma State Cowboys
66. California Golden Bears
67. Northwestern Wildcats
68. North Carolina Tar Heels
69. SMU Mustangs
70. TCU Horned Frogs
71. Baylor Bears
72. Texas A&M Aggies
73. Western Michigan Broncos
74. UTEP Miners
75. New Mexico State Aggies
76. Rice Owls
77. Iowa Hawkeyes
78. Illinois Fighting Illini
79. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
80. BYU Cougars
81. Cincinnati Bearcats
82. South Carolina Gamecocks
83. Wisconsin Badgers
84. Buffalo Bulls
85. Iowa State Cyclones
86. Louisville Cardinals
87. Colgate Raiders
88. Pittsburgh Panthers
89. New Mexico Lobos
90. Holy Cross Crusaders
91. Indiana Hoosiers
92. Kent State Golden Flashes
93. ECU Pirates
94. Maryland Terrapins
95. Virginia Cavaliers
96. Tulane Green Wave
97. Washington State Cougars
98. Xavier Musketeers
99. Columbia Lions
100. Vanderbilt Commodores
101. George Washington Colonials
102. Tampa Spartans
103. Dayton Flyers
104. Colorado State Rams
105. Richmond Spiders
106. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
107. William & Mary Tribe
108. Kansas State Wildcats
109. Pennsylvania Relays
110. Idaho Vandals
111. Pacific Tigers
112. Wichita State Shockers
113. San Jose State Spartans
114. Citadel Bulldogs
115. Detroit Mercy Titans
116. VMI Keydets
117. Marshall Thundering Herd
118. Brown Bears
119. Furman Paladins
120. Davidson Wildcats
121. Northern Illinois Huskies
122. Boston University Terriers
123. Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided much of the data for our analysis.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

1960 College Football Final Rankings

It's all been downhill since 1960 for the New Mexico State Aggies. Our most recent post listed the Aggies as the 150th most successful college program of the last 50 years - out of the 155 teams qualifying for the list. But in 1960, the Aggies went undefeated, beat Utah State in the Sun Bowl, and the program actually captured enough attention to be ranked in the Final Top 20 of both major polls. Our analysis goes a step further than the human polls. The Aggies' wins - while not against major teams - were impressive enough to rank the team #1 in our analysis for the 1960 season. Of course, this is in part due to the fact that no major teams finished the season undefeated. The AP and UPI national champion Minnesota Golden Gophers actually lost two games, in fact.

Only three of the Aggies' games were closer than 20 points - a three-point victory over Arizona State (who finished the season 7-3), a 12-point victory over the UTEP Miners, and the Sun Bowl 7-point victory over Utah State (who finished 9-2 and ranked #10 in our analysis). It was a season the Aggies have not come close to duplicating since.

1. New Mexico State Aggies (11-0) - 1.0
2. Ole Miss Rebels (10-0-1) - 2.4
3. Missouri Tigers (10-1) - 3.6
4. Yale Bulldogs (9-0) - 4.0
5. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1) - 4.5
6. Kansas Jayhawks (7-2-1) - 7.5
7. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-2) - 8.8
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2) - 9.1
9. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 9.2
10. Utah State Aggies (9-2) - 9.3
11. Washington Huskies (10-1) - 9.8
12. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 10.5
13. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1-2) - 13.8
14. Baylor Bears (8-3) - 15.7
15. Syracuse Orange (7-2) - 16.1
16. Florida Gators (9-2) - 16.3
17. Michigan State Spartans (6-2-1) - 17.2
18. Wyoming Cowboys (8-2) - 18.2
19. Auburn Tigers (8-2) - 19.1
20. Rice Owls (7-4) - 19.8
21. UCLA Bruins (7-2-1) - 20.3
22. Tennessee Volunteers (6-2-2) - 24.2
23. Michigan Wolverines (5-4) - 24.3
24. Arkansas Razorbacks (8-3) - 24.5
25. Purdue Boilermakers (4-4-1) - 24.6
(tie) Utah Utes (7-3) - 24.6
27. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-5) - 28.6
(tie) Texas Longhorns (7-3-1) - 28.6
29. LSU Tigers (5-4-1) - 31.4
30. Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) - 32.1
31. Kentucky Wildcats (5-4-1) - 32.2
32. Army Black Knights (6-3-1) - 32.5
33. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-3-3) - 33.2
34. Memphis Tigers (8-2) - 33.7
35. Georgia Bulldogs (6-4) - 34.0
36. Arizona Wildcats (7-3) - 34.9
37. Oregon Ducks (7-3-1) - 36.7
38. Duke Blue Devils (8-3) - 36.8
39. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-4) - 37.3
40. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-1) - 37.8
(tie) VMI Keydets (7-2-1) - 37.8
42. Princeton Tigers (7-2) - 38.6
43. Oregon State Beavers (6-3-1) - 43.1
44. Colorado Buffaloes (6-4) - 45.7
45. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-6-1) - 45.8
46. Iowa State Cyclones (7-3) - 46.8
47. Miami Hurricanes (6-4) - 47.1
48. TCU Horned Frogs (4-4-2) - 48.9
49. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-3) - 50.4
50. NC State Wolfpack (6-3-1) - 51.3
51. Holy Cross Crusaders (6-4) - 51.4
(tie) Houston Cougars (6-4) - 51.4
53. Wichita State Shockers (8-2) - 53.9
54. Wisconsin Badgers (4-5) - 54.1
55. Clemson Tigers (6-4) - 55.0
56. Detroit Mercy Titans (7-2) - 55.4
57. Dartmouth Big Green (5-4) - 57.2
58. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) - 57.7
59. New Mexico Lobos (5-5) - 58.9
(tie) Tulane Green Wave (3-6-1) - 58.9
61. Maryland Terrapins (6-4) - 60.4
62. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-4) - 60.7
63. Oklahoma Sooners (3-6-1) - 63.3
64. Citadel Bulldogs (8-2-1) - 63.5
65. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-6-1) - 65.0
66. George Washington Colonials (5-3-1) - 65.7
67. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-7) - 66.1
68. Air Force Falcons (4-6) - 66.6
69. USC Trojans (4-6) - 70.0
70. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-8) - 70.3
71. Boston College Eagles (3-6-1) - 71.6
72. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 71.7
73. Washington State Cougars (4-5-1) - 71.9
74. Texas A&M Aggies (1-6-3) - 72.1
75. Florida State Seminoles (3-6-1) - 75.9
76. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-6-1) - 76.5
77. Harvard Crimson (5-4) - 77.0
78. Montana Grizzlies (5-5) - 77.2
79. Columbia Lions (3-6) - 79.3
80. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 80.7
81. UTEP Miners (4-5-1) - 81.1
82. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-7) - 81.7
83. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-7) - 83.0
84. Furman Paladins (5-4-1) - 85.0
(tie) San Jose State Spartans (5-4) - 85.0
86. California Golden Bears (2-7-1) - 86.1
87. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (3-7) - 86.8
88. Richmond Spiders (3-6-1) - 87.3
89. Denver Pioneers (3-7) - 88.9
90. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-6) - 90.7
91. BYU Cougars (3-8) - 91.7
92. Boston University Terriers (3-5-2) - 91.8
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-8) - 91.8
94. Xavier Musketeers (5-5) - 93.3
95. Davidson Wildcats (3-5) - 95.3
96. Indiana Hoosiers (1-8) - 96.8
97. Pacific Tigers (4-6) - 97.2
98. North Texas Mean Green (2-6-1) - 97.5
99. Brown Bears (3-6) - 99.5
100. William & Mary Tribe (2-8) - 99.9
101. Cornell Big Red (2-7) - 100.4
102. Villanova Wildcats (2-8) - 102.1
103. Marquette Golden Eagles (3-6) - 102.4
104. Colorado State Rams (2-8) - 102.9
105. SMU Mustangs (0-9-1) - 104.4
106. Colgate Raiders (2-7) - 106.2
107. Kansas State Wildcats (1-9) - 108.6
(tie) West Virginia Mountaineers (0-8-2) - 108.6
109. Idaho Vandals (1-9) - 109.2
110. Dayton Flyers (1-9) - 111.0
111. Stanford Cardinal (0-10) - 111.7
112. Virginia Cavaliers (0-10) - 113.4
113. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (0-10) - 113.5

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

The Most Successful Top Division College Football Programs of the Past 50 Years

We recently posted our program rankings based on the past 50 years of data. That ranking weighted recent success more heavily, as we felt that a highly ranked program should have a combination of recent success and a tradition of winning. However, another way of ranking the programs is to find out which programs have had the most success overall during the past 50 years. In other words, in the average year during the past 50 years, which teams have had the most success (regardless of whether that success came in 1961 or 2010)?

Figured that way, here are our rankings of the most successful football programs over the last 50 years. In order to be included in the rankings, a college had to sponsor football at the highest division level for at least 5 years during the decades in question. Only those years where the team competed in the top division of NCAA football were included in our calculations. As is our practice, teams are always listed with their most current mascot, even if they had a different mascot during the period of time being ranked. (It's just easier for us to keep track of things that way.)

1. Nebraska Cornhuskers
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
3. Ohio State Buckeyes
4. USC Trojans
5. Penn State Nittany Lions
6. Oklahoma Sooners
7. Texas Longhorns
8. Florida Gators
9. Michigan Wolverines
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
11. Florida State Seminoles
12. Tennessee Volunteers
13. Georgia Bulldogs
14. Auburn Tigers
15. LSU Tigers
16. Arkansas Razorbacks
17. Miami Hurricanes
18. UCLA Bruins
19. Arizona State Sun Devils
20. Boise State Broncos
21. Dartmouth Big Green
22. Washington Huskies
23. Yale Bulldogs
24. Texas A&M Aggies
25. Michigan State Spartans
26. Clemson Tigers
27. West Virginia Mountaineers
28. Virginia Tech Hokies
29. BYU Cougars
30. Ole Miss Rebels
31. McNeese State Cowboys
32. Colorado Buffaloes
33. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
34. Boston College Eagles
35. Stanford Cardinal
36. Texas Tech Red Raiders
37. Missouri Tigers
38. Syracuse Orange
39. Harvard Crimson
40. Oregon Ducks
41. Arizona Wildcats
42. South Florida Bulls
43. Purdue Boilermakers
44. North Carolina Tar Heels
45. NC State Wolfpack
46. South Carolina Gamecocks
47. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
48. Pittsburgh Panthers
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys
50. Maryland Terrapins
51. Houston Cougars
52. Iowa Hawkeyes
53. California Golden Bears
54. Wisconsin Badgers
55. Mississippi State Bulldogs
56. Miami University RedHawks
57. Utah Utes
58. Princeton Tigers
59. San Diego State Aztecs
60. Air Force Falcons
61. Fresno State Bulldogs
62. Minnesota Golden Gophers
63. Tampa Spartans
64. Kentucky Wildcats
65. Bowling Green Falcons
66. Virginia Cavaliers
67. Kansas Jayhawks
68. ECU Pirates
69. Washington State Cougars
70. Wyoming Cowboys
71. Illinois Fighting Illini
72. Hawaii Warriors
73. Baylor Bears
74. Louisville Cardinals
75. Memphis Tigers
76. Cornell Big Red
77. Toledo Rockets
78. Kansas State Wildcats
79. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
80. Oregon State Beavers
81. Connecticut Huskies
82. Central Michigan Chippewas
83. TCU Horned Frogs
84. Cincinnati Bearcats
85. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
86. UCF Knights
87. Troy Trojans
88. Nevada Wolf Pack
89. Iowa State Cyclones
90. Navy Midshipmen
91. SMU Mustangs
92. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs
93. Villanova Wildcats
94. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
95. Colgate Raiders
96. Western Michigan Broncos
97. Colorado State Rams
98. Appalachian State Mountaineers
99. Indiana Hoosiers
100. Duke Blue Devils
101. Utah State Aggies
102. West Texas A&M Buffaloes
103. New Mexico Lobos
104. Ball State Cardinals
105. San Jose State Spartans
106. Long Beach State 49ers
107. Temple Owls
108. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
109. Northwestern Wildcats
110. Brown Bears
111. Army Black Knights
112. Indiana State Sycamores
113. Ohio Bobcats
114. Western Carolina Catamounts
115. Tulane Green Wave
116. Texas-Arlington Mavericks
117. North Texas Mean Green
118. Vanderbilt Commodores
119. Furman Paladins
120. William & Mary Tribe
121. Citadel Bulldogs
122. Richmond Spiders
123. Northern Illinois Huskies
124. Rice Owls
125. Marshall Thundering Herd
126. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
127. Holy Cross Crusaders
128. UAB Blazers
129. George Washington Colonials
130. Dayton Flyers
131. UNLV Rebels
132. Pennsylvania Relays
133. Xavier Musketeers
134. Florida Atlantic Owls
135. Southern Illinois Salukis
136. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
137. UTEP Miners
138. Columbia Lions
139. Pacific Tigers
140. VMI Keydets
141. Lamar Cardinals
142. Kent State Golden Flashes
143. Buffalo Bulls
144. Arkansas State Red Wolves
145. Drake Bulldogs
146. Cal State Fullerton Titans
147. Akron Zips
148. Idaho Vandals
149. Wichita State Shockers
150. New Mexico State Aggies
151. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
152. Illinois State Redbirds
153. Eastern Michigan Eagles
154. Davidson Wildcats
155. FIU Golden Panthers

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided much of the data for our analysis.

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

1962 College Football Final Rankings

In 1962, USC won the Rose Bowl against #2 ranked Wisconsin and was crowned national champion by the polls. Did they have the best season in the country? We respectfully disagree. Our choice may not have been undefeated, but our analysis still shows that Alabama had the best season, followed closely by undefeated Mississippi:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) - 1.5
2. Ole Miss Rebels (10-0) - 1.7
3. USC Trojans (11-0) - 2.9
4. LSU Tigers (9-1-1) - 5.0
5. Dartmouth Big Green (9-0) - 5.1
6. Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) - 5.4
7. Oklahoma Sooners (8-3) - 8.3
8. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-3-1) - 9.0
9. Arkansas Razorbacks (9-2) - 9.7
10. Missouri Tigers (8-1-2) - 10.1
11. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) - 10.9
12. Texas Longhorns (9-1-1) - 12.3
13. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-2-1) - 13.2
14. Washington Huskies (7-1-2) - 14.0
15. Northwestern Wildcats (7-2) - 14.3
16. Memphis Tigers (8-1) - 15.0
17. Boston College Eagles (8-2) - 17.6
(tie) Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2) - 17.6
19. Oregon State Beavers (9-2) - 20.7
20. Bowling Green Falcons (7-1-1) - 20.9
21. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-2-1) - 21.1
(tie) Ohio Bobcats (8-3) - 21.1
23. Oregon Ducks (6-3-1) - 23.6
24. Florida Gators (7-4) - 24.0
25. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-3) - 24.7
26. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (9-2) - 24.8
27. Duke Blue Devils (8-2) - 27.4
28. Purdue Boilermakers (4-4-1) - 28.5
29. Utah State Aggies (8-2) - 28.7
30. Miami University RedHawks (8-2-1) - 30.1
31. Kansas Jayhawks (6-3-1) - 31.1
32. Miami Hurricanes (7-4) - 31.9
33. Houston Cougars (7-4) - 32.7
34. Michigan State Spartans (5-4) - 33.5
35. Florida State Seminoles (4-3-3) - 35.6
36. Navy Midshipmen (5-5) - 37.0
37. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-5) - 37.1
(tie) Villanova Wildcats (7-3) - 37.1
39. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-2) - 38.3
40. TCU Horned Frogs (6-4) - 40.0
41. Maryland Terrapins (6-4) - 40.8
42. Syracuse Orange (5-5) - 41.1
43. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-5) - 44.3
44. Holy Cross Crusaders (6-4) - 44.8
45. Auburn Tigers (6-3-1) - 44.9
46. Western Michigan Broncos (5-4) - 46.4
47. Iowa State Cyclones (5-5) - 46.9
(tie) New Mexico Lobos (7-2-1) - 46.9
49. Washington State Cougars (5-4-1) - 47.8
50. Harvard Crimson (6-3) - 49.4
51. Louisville Cardinals (6-4) - 50.6
52. Clemson Tigers (6-4) - 53.1
53. Indiana Hoosiers (3-6) - 53.8
54. Army Black Knights (6-4) - 54.1
55. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 55.1
56. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-5-1) - 58.1
57. Kentucky Wildcats (3-5-2) - 58.8
58. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-6) - 59.1
59. Georgia Bulldogs (3-4-3) - 60.4
60. Stanford Cardinal (5-5) - 61.4
61. North Texas Mean Green (6-4) - 61.7
62. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-5) - 61.8
63. Wyoming Cowboys (5-5) - 63.9
64. VMI Keydets (6-4) - 65.6
65. Xavier Musketeers (6-4) - 65.9
66. Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) - 66.0
67. Arizona Wildcats (5-5) - 66.8
68. UCLA Bruins (4-6) - 67.8
69. Baylor Bears (4-6) - 68.3
(tie) Rice Owls (2-6-2) - 68.3
71. BYU Cougars (4-6) - 70.4
72. Utah Utes (4-5-1) - 70.8
73. Virginia Cavaliers (5-5) - 72.8
74. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-6) - 73.2
75. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-5) - 75.0
76. Air Force Falcons (5-5) - 76.0
77. SMU Mustangs (2-8) - 77.0
78. Princeton Tigers (5-4) - 77.7
79. UTEP Miners (4-5) - 78.1
80. NC State Wolfpack (3-6-1) - 78.6
81. Buffalo Bulls (6-3) - 79.2
82. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-7) - 81.9
83. New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) - 82.2
84. Texas A&M Aggies (3-7) - 85.6
85. William & Mary Tribe (4-5-1) - 86.1
86. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-5) - 86.6
87. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6) - 87.9
88. Pacific Tigers (5-5) - 88.4
89. Richmond Spiders (6-3) - 89.8
90. George Washington Colonials (3-7) - 90.6
91. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-7) - 92.0
92. Toledo Rockets (3-6) - 92.6
93. Montana Grizzlies (5-5) - 93.1
94. Michigan Wolverines (2-7) - 93.2
95. Cornell Big Red (4-5) - 94.1
96. Yale Bulldogs (2-5-2) - 94.2
97. Columbia Lions (5-4) - 95.8
98. Boston University Terriers (2-7) - 98.1
99. Marshall Thundering Herd (4-6) - 98.8
100. California Golden Bears (1-9) - 100.2
101. Citadel Bulldogs (3-7) - 100.9
102. Colgate Raiders (3-5-1) - 101.1
103. Wichita State Shockers (3-7) - 102.1
104. Cincinnati Bearcats (2-8) - 104.3
105. Furman Paladins (4-6) - 105.2
(tie) Idaho Vandals (2-6-1) - 105.2
107. Brown Bears (1-6-2) - 106.3
108. Davidson Wildcats (3-5-1) - 106.9
109. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 108.0
110. San Jose State Spartans (2-8-1) - 108.2
111. Dayton Flyers (2-8) - 111.7
112. Vanderbilt Commodores (1-9) - 112.4
113. Colorado Buffaloes (2-8) - 113.2
114. Detroit Mercy Titans (1-8) - 113.7
115. Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-9) - 114.6
116. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (1-9) - 114.8
117.Tulane Green Wave (0-10) - 118.6
118. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (0-10) - 118.9
119. Kansas State Wildcats (0-10) - 119.9
120. Colorado State Rams (0-10) - 120.6

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

1963 College Football Final Rankings

In 1963, Roger Staubach won the Heisman playing for the Navy Midshipmen. His #2 ranked team also played #1 Texas in the Cotton Bowl - a game that Texas won and ended up a solid #1 both in the polls and in our analysis:

1. Texas Longhorns (11-0) - 1.1
2. Ole Miss Rebels (7-1-2) - 2.3
3. Memphis Tigers (9-0-1) - 2.6
4. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-1) - 4.0
5. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-2) - 5.6
6. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 6.4
7. Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-1) - 7.4
8. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2-2) - 8.9
9. Auburn Tigers (9-2) - 9.0
10. Princeton Tigers (7-2) - 10.8
11. Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) - 12.8
12. Michigan State Spartans (6-2-1) - 12.9
13. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-3) - 13.0
14. Illinois Fighting Illini (8-1-1) - 14.1
15. Oregon Ducks (8-3) - 15.7
16. Syracuse Orange (8-2) - 16.7
17. Utah State Aggies (8-2) - 17.2
18. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 17.3
19. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-2) - 17.7
20. USC Trojans (7-3) - 18.0
21. Army Black Knights (7-3) - 21.4
(tie) Baylor Bears (8-3) - 21.4
23. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-1) - 23.6
(tie) Dartmouth Big Green (7-2) - 23.6
25. LSU Tigers (7-4) - 24.1
26. NC State Wolfpack (8-3) - 27.7
(tie) Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) - 27.7
28. Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5) - 28.3
29. Missouri Tigers (7-3) - 28.6
30. Air Force Falcons (7-4) - 29.7
31. Rice Owls (6-4) - 31.8
32. Florida Gators (6-3-1) - 33.0
33. Wichita State Shockers (7-2) - 33.1
34. Virginia Tech Hokies (8-2) - 33.9
35. Washington Huskies (6-5) - 36.3
36. Florida State Seminoles (4-5-1) - 37.1
37. Yale Bulldogs (6-3) - 37.2
38. Kansas Jayhawks (5-5) - 37.5
39. Ohio State Buckeyes (5-3-1) - 37.7
40. Michigan Wolverines (3-4-2) - 39.6
41. Bowling Green Falcons (8-2) - 41.1
42. Harvard Crimson (5-2-2) - 41.7
43. Tennessee Volunteers (5-5) - 42.2
44. Wisconsin Badgers (5-4) - 45.5
45. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-4) - 45.7
46. SMU Mustangs (4-7) - 48.0
47. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-3-2) - 48.2
48. Wyoming Cowboys (6-4) - 48.5
49. Clemson Tigers (5-4-1) - 49.3
(tie) Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-6) - 49.3
51. Oregon State Beavers (5-5) - 50.5
52. Columbia Lions (4-4-1) - 50.8
53. Duke Blue Devils (5-4-1) - 53.0
54. Boston College Eagles (6-3) - 53.1
55. TCU Horned Frogs (4-5-1) - 54.5
56. New Mexico Lobos (6-4) - 55.0
57. West Virginia Mountaineers (4-6) - 58.1
58. Georgia Bulldogs (4-5-1) - 58.4
59. Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) - 59.9
60. Cornell Big Red (5-4) - 60.3
61. Utah Utes (4-6) - 60.4
62. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-3-1) - 62.1
63. Brown Bears (3-5) - 62.3
64. California Golden Bears (4-5-1) - 63.1
65. Miami University RedHawks (5-3-2) - 65.6
66. Arizona Wildcats (5-5) - 66.3
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-5) - 66.3
68. Indiana Hoosiers (3-6) - 67.2
69. Kentucky Wildcats (3-6-1) - 67.4
70. Ohio Bobcats (6-4) - 69.0
71. Xavier Musketeers (5-4-1) - 71.1
72. Furman Paladins (7-3) - 71.3
73. Idaho Vandals (5-4) - 73.7
74. Texas A&M Aggies (2-7-1) - 74.0
75. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (4-4-1) - 74.4
76. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-7) - 74.7
77. Iowa State Cyclones (4-5) - 76.7
78. Buffalo Bulls (5-3-1) - 77.5
79. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 78.8
80. Miami Hurricanes (3-7) - 81.4
81. San Jose State Spartans (5-5) - 82.1
82. Maryland Terrapins (3-7) - 82.9
83. Stanford Cardinal (3-7) - 83.0
84. Washington State Cougars (3-6-1) - 83.4
85. William & Mary Tribe (4-6) - 84.4
86. VMI Keydets (3-5-2) - 87.5
87. UTEP Miners (3-7) - 88.1
88. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-4-1) - 88.8
89. Houston Cougars (2-8) - 89.3
90. UCLA Bruins (2-8) - 90.2
91. Villanova Wildcats (5-4) - 90.8
92. Holy Cross Crusaders (2-6-1) - 91.5
93. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5-1) - 92.7
94. Colgate Raiders (3-4-1) - 93.5
95. Virginia Cavaliers (2-7-1) - 93.9
96. Richmond Spiders (3-6-1) - 96.2
97. North Texas Mean Green (3-6) - 97.8
98. Colorado Buffaloes (2-8) - 98.1
99. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 98.3
100. Vanderbilt Commodores (1-7-2) - 99.5
101. New Mexico State Aggies (3-6-1) - 99.8
102. George Washington Colonials (2-7) - 100.7
103. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-6) - 102.8
104. Toledo Rockets (2-7) - 104.5
105. Citadel Bulldogs (4-6) - 105.8
(tie) Kansas State Wildcats (2-7) - 105.8
107. Detroit Mercy Titans (2-6-1) - 106.3
108. Western Michigan Broncos (2-7) - 108.9
109. Dayton Flyers (1-7-2) - 110.2
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (1-8-1) - 110.2
111. Colorado State Rams (3-7) - 111.6
112. Louisville Cardinals (3-7) - 111.9
113. Tulane Green Wave (1-8-1) - 112.8
114. Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-8) - 113.7
115. Boston University Terriers (1-6-1) - 114.2
116. Davidson Wildcats (1-5-2) - 115.6
117. BYU Cougars (2-8) - 117.8
118. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-9) - 119.4
119. Pacific Tigers (2-8) - 120.0
120. Lehigh Mountain Hawks (1-8) - 120.6

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Monday, May 9, 2011

1964 College Football Final Rankings

In 1964, both Alabama and Arkansas finished the regular season undefeated. Alabama lost its bowl game, while Arkansas won. However, because of the way the polling system worked in 1964, Alabama remained the national champion. (There was no voting after the bowls.) Looking back, which team should actually have won the national title? How about a tie for the championship between Arkansas and ... Notre Dame? That's what our analysis shows:

1. Arkansas Razorbacks (11-0) - 1.6
(tie) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-1) - 1.6
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) - 3.4
4. Princeton Tigers (9-0) - 4.3
5. Michigan Wolverines (9-1) - 4.9
6. Texas Longhorns (10-1) - 5.7
7. Florida State Seminoles (9-1-1) - 7.8
8. Utah Utes (9-2) - 8.5
9. Bowling Green Falcons (9-1) - 9.3
10. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (9-2) - 10.1
11. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2) - 10.3
12. Florida Gators (7-3) - 11.0
13. Cincinnati Bearcats (8-2) - 13.4
14. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2) - 14.3
15. USC Trojans (7-3) - 16.1
16. Purdue Boilermakers (6-3) - 17.4
17. LSU Tigers (8-2-1) - 18.6
18. Wyoming Cowboys (6-2-2) - 20.8
19. Georgia Bulldogs (7-3-1) - 21.8
(tie) Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3) - 21.8
21. Oregon Ducks (7-2-1) - 22.0
22. Syracuse Orange (7-4) - 24.0
23. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-2) - 24.2
24. Villanova Wildcats (6-2) - 24.3
25. Ole Miss Rebels (5-5-1) - 24.6
26. Colgate Raiders (7-2) - 25.4
27. New Mexico Lobos (9-2) - 26.0
28. Dartmouth Big Green (6-3) - 26.3
29. Missouri Tigers (6-3-1) - 27.0
30. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-4) - 27.7
31. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-3) - 30.5
32. Auburn Tigers (6-4) - 30.9
33. Arizona Wildcats (6-3-1) - 32.6
34. Oregon State Beavers (8-3) - 34.8
35. Utah State Aggies (5-4-1) - 35.6
(tie) Yale Bulldogs (6-2-1) - 35.6
37. Miami University RedHawks (6-3-1) - 36.8
38. Michigan State Spartans (4-5) - 37.1
39. Oklahoma Sooners (6-4-1) - 37.9
40. Washington Huskies (6-4) - 38.9
41. Cornell Big Red (3-5-1) - 39.6
42. Stanford Cardinal (5-5) - 42.8
43. Boston College Eagles (6-3) - 43.2
44. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) - 43.9
45. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4-1) - 44.5
46. Harvard Crimson (6-3) - 47.4
47. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-4) - 48.4
48. North Carolina Tar Heels (5-5) - 49.5
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-6) - 51.1
50. Maryland Terrapins (5-5) - 53.3
51. Miami Hurricanes (4-5-1) - 53.8
52. Kentucky Wildcats (5-5) - 54.3
53. Rice Owls (4-5-1) - 55.5
54. Baylor Bears (5-5) - 55.7
(tie) West Virginia Mountaineers (7-4) - 55.7
56. Memphis Tigers (5-4) - 56.7
57. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-3) - 57.5
58. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-6) - 58.7
59. Brown Bears (5-4) - 59.5
60. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-5-2) - 60.0
61. Air Force Falcons (4-5-1) - 60.4
62. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-4) - 60.6
63. Kansas Jayhawks (6-4) - 60.7
64. Tennessee Volunteers (4-5-1) - 61.5
65. George Washington Colonials (5-4) - 62.8
66. Navy Midshipmen (3-6-1) - 64.5
67. Ohio Bobcats (5-4-1) - 65.9
68. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-3) - 66.5
69. Idaho Vandals (4-6) - 66.9
70. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-5) - 69.7
71. Buffalo Bulls (4-4-1) - 71.1
72. Duke Blue Devils (4-5-1) - 72.2
73. Columbia Lions (2-6-1) - 72.9
74. New Mexico State Aggies (6-4) - 74.1
75. California Golden Bears (3-7) - 75.2
76. Tulane Green Wave (3-7) - 76.1
77. Northwestern Wildcats (3-6) - 76.2
78. UCLA Bruins (4-6) - 76.6
79. Indiana Hoosiers (2-7) - 76.9
80. Marshall Thundering Herd (7-3) - 78.3
81. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6-1) - 79.4
82. BYU Cougars (3-6-1) - 82.9
(tie) NC State Wolfpack (5-5) - 82.9
84. Army Black Knights (4-6) - 84.7
85. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-5-2) - 85.4
86. Washington State Cougars (3-6-1) - 86.9
87. Wisconsin Badgers (3-6) - 88.1
88. Clemson Tigers (3-7) - 88.8
89. Xavier Musketeers (4-5-1) - 89.7
90. Colorado Buffaloes (2-8) - 90.3
91. Holy Cross Crusaders (5-5) - 90.7
92. Houston Cougars (2-6-1) - 91.3
93. TCU Horned Frogs (4-6) - 93.2
94. Kansas State Wildcats (3-7) - 93.8
95. San Jose State Spartans (4-6) - 94.6
(tie) Virginia Cavaliers (5-5) - 94.6
97. Detroit Mercy Titans (3-7) - 95.6
98. Colorado State Rams (5-6) - 96.2
99. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5-1) - 98.0
100. Iowa State Cyclones (1-8-1) - 100.7
101. Wichita State Shockers (4-6) - 101.0
102. William & Mary Tribe (4-6) - 102.0
103. Texas A&M Aggies (1-9) - 102.6
104. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (4-6) - 103.8
105. Citadel Bulldogs (4-6) - 105.0
(tie) Toledo Rockets (2-8) - 105.0
107. Western Michigan Broncos (3-6) - 106.7
108. Dayton Flyers (3-7) - 107.4
109. North Texas Mean Green (2-7-1) - 109.0
110. SMU Mustangs (1-9) - 110.1
111. UTEP Miners (0-8-2) - 111.3
112. Richmond Spiders (3-7) - 113.2
113. VMI Keydets (1-9) - 114.3
114. Boston University Terriers (2-7) - 114.8
115. Pennsylvania Relays (1-8) - 114.9
116. Louisville Cardinals (1-9) - 116.1
117. Davidson Wildcats (3-6) - 117.9
118. Furman Paladins (3-7) - 118.6
119. Lehigh Mountain Hawks (1-7-1) - 120.0
120. Pacific Tigers (1-9) - 121.0

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Saturday, May 7, 2011

1965 College Football Final Rankings

1965 was one of those years that would have driven the BCS formula crazy. Going into the bowls, four different teams were undefeated - Michigan State, Nebraska, Arkansas and Dartmouth. (Dartmouth, as an Ivy League school, is problematic for our analysis because Ivy League schools played fewer games than everyone else, and of course, most of these games were against each other. Typically those teams would only schedule two non-conference games and those were usually against smaller, weaker schools - even lower division schools. As a result, it is very difficult to rank an Ivy League school that went undefeated, especially if they won many of their games by a large margin, as Dartmouth did.)

None of the previously referred to undefeated teams played each other in bowl games, and amazingly after the bowls were over, the only remaining undefeated team was Dartmouth (the Ivy League school), which didn't play in a bowl game. All three of the other teams had lost their bowl game. The human polls ended up crowning Alabama, which had one loss and one tie, as the national champion (and Alabama wasn't even one of the undefeated teams heading into the bowls). Did they get it right? Here is what our analysis shows:

1. Michigan State Spartans (10-1) - 1.5
2. Dartmouth Big Green (9-0) - 1.9
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1-1) - 3.2
4. Tennessee Volunteers (8-1-2) - 5.2
5. Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-1) - 5.6
6. Arkansas Razorbacks (10-1) - 5.9
7. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2-1) - 6.6
8. UCLA Bruins (8-2-1) - 6.8
9. Princeton Tigers (8-1) - 8.8
10. USC Trojans (7-2-1) - 9.9
11. Missouri Tigers (8-2-1) - 11.3
12. Ole Miss Rebels (7-4) - 12.7
13. LSU Tigers (8-3) - 14.4
14. ECU Pirates (9-1) - 14.6
15. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (8-3) - 15.0
16. Florida Gators (7-4) - 15.3
(tie) Purdue Boilermakers (7-2-1) - 15.3
18. Kentucky Wildcats (6-4) - 18.3
19. Utah State Aggies (8-2) - 19.6
20. Syracuse Orange (7-3) - 20.2
21. Georgia Bulldogs (6-4) - 20.8
22. Miami University RedHawks (7-3) - 21.7
23. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-3-1) - 22.8
24. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-3) - 24.4
25. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-4) - 25.5
26. Penn State Nittany Lions (5-5) - 26.6
27. Auburn Tigers (5-5-1) - 28.1
28. Washington Huskies (5-5) - 29.2
29. UTEP Miners (8-3) - 30.0
30. Miami Hurricanes (5-4-1) - 30.4
31. Wyoming Cowboys (6-4) - 31.5
32. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2) - 32.8
33. TCU Horned Frogs (6-5) - 33.9
34. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-4-1) - 35.4
35. California Golden Bears (5-5) - 35.8
36. New Mexico State Aggies (8-2) - 36.2
(tie) Stanford Cardinal (6-3-1) - 36.2
38. Texas Longhorns (6-4) - 37.5
39. Navy Midshipmen (4-4-2) - 39.9
40. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-2) - 41.0
41. Florida State Seminoles (4-5-1) - 42.8
42. Boston College Eagles (6-4) - 44.2
43. Colorado Buffaloes (6-2-2) - 45.1
44. Michigan Wolverines (4-6) - 45.6
45. Houston Cougars (4-5-1) - 45.7
46. BYU Cougars (6-4) - 46.0
47. Harvard Crimson (5-2-2) - 46.8
48. Memphis Tigers (5-5) - 47.6
49. Duke Blue Devils (6-4) - 48.0
50. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) - 49.6
51. Louisville Cardinals (6-4) - 50.2
52. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-4-1) - 51.8
53. Xavier Musketeers (8-2) - 51.9
54. Washington State Cougars (7-3) - 52.8
55. Bowling Green Falcons (7-2) - 53.1
56. SMU Mustangs (4-5-1) - 53.9
57. NC State Wolfpack (6-4) - 54.9
58. Cornell Big Red (4-3-2) - 55.7
59. Baylor Bears (5-5) - 59.4
60. Western Michigan Broncos (6-2-1) - 61.2
61. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-4) - 62.0
62. William & Mary Tribe (6-4) - 62.9
63. Army Black Knights (4-5-1) - 63.2
64. Idaho Vandals (5-5) - 63.8
65. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-4) - 64.7
66. Oregon State Beavers (5-5) - 66.9
67. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-3) - 67.7
68. Clemson Tigers (5-5) - 68.1
69. Oregon Ducks (4-5-1) - 68.4
70. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-5) - 69.2
71. Air Force Falcons (3-6-1) - 72.3
72. Iowa State Cyclones (5-4-1) - 72.4
73. Toledo Rockets (5-5) - 73.0
74. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (6-4) - 73.1
75. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-7) - 75.3
76. George Washington Colonials (5-5) - 75.7
77. Colgate Raiders (6-3-1) - 77.6
78. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-7) - 78.0
79. Northwestern Wildcats (4-6) - 79.9
80. San Jose State Spartans (5-5) - 80.8
81. Colorado State Rams (4-6) - 81.5
82. Virginia Cavaliers (4-6) - 81.6
83. Davidson Wildcats (6-4) - 81.8
84. Quantico Marines (6-4) - 83.9
85. North Carolina Tar Heels (4-6) - 84.4
86. Texas A&M Aggies (3-7) - 85.0
87. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-5) - 85.3
88. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-5) - 87.1
89. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-7-1) - 87.6
90. Buffalo Bulls (5-3-2) - 89.3
91. Utah Utes (3-7) - 90.1
92. Maryland Terrapins (4-6) - 90.5
93. North Texas Mean Green (3-7) - 93.7
94. Oklahoma Sooners (3-7) - 93.8
95. Pennsylvania Relays (4-4-1) - 94.2
96. Furman Paladins (5-5) - 97.4
97. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-7) - 98.2
98. Wisconsin Badgers (2-7-1) - 98.4
99. Tulane Green Wave (2-8) - 99.1
100. Wichita State Shockers (2-7) - 100.8
101. Arizona Wildcats (3-7) - 101.0
102. New Mexico Lobos (3-7) - 101.6
103. Iowa Hawkeyes (1-9) - 102.2
104. VMI Keydets (3-7) - 102.4
(tie) Yale Bulldogs (3-6) - 102.4
106. Brown Bears (2-7) - 106.0
107. Indiana Hoosiers (2-8) - 107.8
(tie) Rice Owls (2-8) - 107.8
109. Holy Cross Crusaders (2-7-1) - 108.7
110. Kansas Jayhawks (2-8) - 110.0
111. Columbia Lions (2-7) - 111.6
112. Dayton Flyers (1-8-1) - 112.9
113. Citadel Bulldogs (2-8) - 113.8
114. Villanova Wildcats (1-8) - 114.3
115. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-6) - 116.0
116. Ohio Bobcats (0-10) - 116.3
117. Lehigh Mountain Hawks (1-8) - 118.0
118. Kansas State Wildcats (0-10) - 119.6
(tie) Pacific Tigers (1-8) - 119.6
120. Richmond Spiders (0-10) - 120.8

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.