Saturday, January 15, 2011

Ranking the Programs - Update

Back in September, we posted our rankings of historical Division 1-A football programs - see http://baggaleyfootball.blogspot.com/2010/09/ranking-programs.html. At the time, the rankings were based on 40 years of historical data - back through 1970. We've added 9 years of historical data (back through 1961) and updated the rankings following the 2010 season - meaning now the rankings are based on 50 years of historical data. Of course, the biggest changes came about as a result of the season just completed, since recent success is weighted greater than historical success. If we were to add the previous 50 years (back through 1911), all of those 50 additional years combined would only have a 16% impact on the resulting rankings. With that explanation, here are how the various Division 1-A programs rank following the 2010 season, taking into account the past 50 years of football history.

1. Ohio State Buckeyes - 0.891150832
2. Florida Gators - 0.877670863
3. Nebraska Cornhuskers - 0.853544602
4. Florida State Seminoles - 0.852293552
5. Oklahoma Sooners - 0.850895413
6. USC Trojans - 0.840680456
7. Alabama Crimson Tide - 0.836977074
8. Texas Longhorns - 0.814228245
9. Auburn Tigers - 0.804964719
10. Georgia Bulldogs - 0.804096482
11. Miami Hurricanes - 0.802098145
12. Penn State Nittany Lions - 0.799937765
13. LSU Tigers - 0.785530553
14. Virginia Tech Hokies - 0.783017531
15. Michigan Wolverines - 0.778081425
16. Tennessee Volunteers - 0.765869419
17. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 0.758595071
18. Boise State Broncos - 0.755133235
19. Arkansas Razorbacks - 0.728979101
20. Oregon Ducks - 0.719754676
21. West Virginia Mountaineers - 0.718526855
22. Clemson Tigers - 0.713444416
23. Texas A&M Aggies - 0.694523954
24. BYU Cougars - 0.691782726
25. Wisconsin Badgers - 0.668514428
26. Texas Tech Red Raiders - 0.666169326
27. Iowa Hawkeyes - 0.65407483
28. UCLA Bruins - 0.652794606
29. Arizona State Sun Devils - 0.649783496
30. Michigan State Spartans - 0.649247099
31. Boston College Eagles - 0.643846793
32. Utah Utes - 0.63572054
33. South Carolina Gamecocks - 0.632864257
34. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - 0.629444141
35. Washington Huskies - 0.617760963
36. Arizona Wildcats - 0.612486024
37. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 0.607924401
38. Pittsburgh Panthers - 0.607111993
39. California Golden Bears - 0.606785273
40. Colorado Buffaloes - 0.595759671
41. South Florida Bulls - 0.592458002
42. Missouri Tigers - 0.591600485
43. Stanford Cardinal - 0.587262087
44. TCU Horned Frogs - 0.583634636
45. North Carolina Tar Heels - 0.582215918
46. NC State Wolfpack - 0.581228487
47. Air Force Falcons - 0.572420461
48. Southern Miss Golden Eagles - 0.567464199
49. Maryland Terrapins - 0.557883519
50. Ole Miss Rebels - 0.556573655
51. Kansas State Wildcats - 0.555266129
52. Virginia Cavaliers - 0.549781226
53. Purdue Boilermakers - 0.542192429
54. Louisville Cardinals - 0.53369945
55. Fresno State Bulldogs - 0.531843416
56. Syracuse Orange - 0.528494823
57. Oregon State Beavers - 0.522156391
58. Mississippi State Bulldogs - 0.519760088
59. Kentucky Wildcats - 0.485927424
60. Cincinnati Bearcats - 0.481810836
61. Illinois Fighting Illini - 0.47817633
62. Hawaii Warriors - 0.475163753
63. Minnesota Golden Gophers - 0.472611243
64. Connecticut Huskies - 0.468503706
65. Kansas Jayhawks - 0.465797279
66. Washington State Cougars - 0.462478027
67. Houston Cougars - 0.460865066
68. ECU Pirates - 0.459828997
69. Nevada Wolf Pack - 0.441819138
70. Tulsa Golden Hurricane - 0.436051956
71. UCF Knights - 0.433037311
72. Troy Trojans - 0.430914266
73. San Diego State Aztecs - 0.429962234
74. Toledo Rockets - 0.421991261
75. Miami University RedHawks - 0.418206099
76. Bowling Green Falcons - 0.417769083
77. Rutgers Scarlet Knights - 0.415382917
78. Wake Forest Demon Deacons - 0.410930526
79. Marshall Thundering Herd - 0.409437841
80. Navy Midshipmen - 0.407287937
81. Colorado State Rams - 0.40511239
82. Baylor Bears - 0.401776931
83. Iowa State Cyclones - 0.390355926
84. Northwestern Wildcats - 0.380916867
85. Wyoming Cowboys - 0.369919336
86. Central Michigan Chippewas - 0.366696887
87. Northern Illinois Huskies - 0.362104358
88. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - 0.360764786
89. Indiana Hoosiers - 0.352812358
90. Western Michigan Broncos - 0.351447592
91. Memphis Tigers - 0.33187297
92. New Mexico Lobos - 0.320421577
93. SMU Mustangs - 0.315621368
94. Vanderbilt Commodores - 0.305635634
95. Ball State Cardinals - 0.298320755
96. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - 0.29394931
97. UAB Blazers - 0.27704403
98. Duke Blue Devils - 0.270186913
99. San Jose State Spartans - 0.267503718
100. Temple Owls - 0.267478244
101. Rice Owls - 0.265714865
102. Ohio Bobcats - 0.262889007
103. Tulane Green Wave - 0.245270835
104. Florida Atlantic Owls - 0.243387674
105. UTEP Miners - 0.241899019
106. Army Black Knights - 0.228890312
107. UNLV Rebels - 0.224073881
108. Utah State Aggies - 0.222073424
109. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns - 0.195403074
110. North Texas Mean Green - 0.19382428
111. Akron Zips - 0.187159857
112. Arkansas State Red Wolves - 0.179803859
113. Idaho Vandals - 0.170898626
114. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - 0.16477316
115. Kent State Golden Flashes - 0.159658143
116. FIU Golden Panthers - 0.134867486
117. Buffalo Bulls - 0.129307436
118. Eastern Michigan Eagles - 0.129144898
119. New Mexico State Aggies - 0.123416506
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 0.10802521

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