Monday, May 30, 2011

1956 College Football Final Rankings

1956 was the third consecutive season that the Oklahoma Sooners finished the season unbeaten and untied. Not surprisingly, they were awarded the national championship by the major polls. Our analysis agrees - sort of. We think that even though they did lose one game (to the Baylor Bears in the Sugar Bowl), the Tennessee Volunteers had an equally successful season. Remember that in our analysis, each year stands on its own - all teams being treated as equals from the start of the season and ranked based on their performance for that year - so our analysis was not biased in any way by the fact that the Sooners had been undefeated for three consecutive years. It is highly unlikely that voters were able to do the same. (The Sooners did not play in a bowl due to a conference rule that teams could not represent the conference to a bowl in consecutive seasons. A win in a bowl might very well have been enough to break the tie in their favor.)

1. Oklahoma Sooners (10-0) - 1.6
(tie) Tennessee Volunteers (10-1) - 1.6
3. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-1) - 3.0
4. Texas A&M Aggies (9-0-1) - 4.6
5. Arizona State Sun Devils (9-1) - 5.0
6. Baylor Bears (9-2) - 6.2
7. Michigan Wolverines (7-2) - 7.6
8. Miami Hurricanes (8-1-1) - 8.7
9. UTEP Miners (9-2) - 9.0
10. Iowa Hawkeyes (9-1) - 10.8
11. Yale Bulldogs (8-1) - 11.1
12. Syracuse Orange (7-2) - 13.9
(tie) Wyoming Cowboys (10-0) - 13.9
14. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-3-1) - 14.1
15. Michigan State Spartans (7-2) - 14.5
16. Ole Miss Rebels (7-3) - 16.2
17. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2-1) - 16.6
18. TCU Horned Frogs (8-3) - 17.5
19. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (8-2) - 18.3
20. Florida Gators (6-3-1) - 20.6
21. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-1-2) - 20.7
22. Houston Cougars (7-2-1) - 22.3
23. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-3) - 22.6
24. Colorado Buffaloes (8-2-1) - 24.9
25. USC Trojans (8-2) - 25.8
26. Auburn Tigers (7-3) - 26.4
27. Navy Midshipmen (6-1-2) - 27.0
28. Duke Blue Devils (5-4-1) - 28.3
29. Army Black Knights (5-3-1) - 28.8
30. Oregon State Beavers (7-3-1) - 30.6
31. Clemson Tigers (7-2-2) - 30.9
(tie) George Washington Colonials (8-1-1) - 30.9
33. UCLA Bruins (7-3) - 32.3
34. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-2-1) - 34.3
35. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4) - 34.6
36. Kentucky Wildcats (6-4) - 36.5
37. Oregon Ducks (4-4-2) - 37.3
38. North Texas Mean Green (7-2-1) - 39.0
(tie) Princeton Tigers (7-2) - 39.0
40. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-3) - 40.0
41. Pacific Tigers (6-3-1) - 41.0
42. Washington Huskies (5-5) - 42.9
43. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-4) - 43.0
44. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-2-1) - 43.3
45. Purdue Boilermakers (3-4-2) - 44.7
46. Tulane Green Wave (6-4) - 46.0
47. Florida State Seminoles (5-4-1) - 48.0
48. Rice Owls (4-6) - 48.1
49. Stanford Cardinal (4-6) - 48.6
50. Utah Utes (5-5) - 49.9
51. Villanova Wildcats (5-4) - 50.6
52. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-5-2) - 51.2
53. Brown Bears (5-4) - 52.7
54. Dartmouth Big Green (5-3-1) - 52.9
55. Northwestern Wildcats (4-4-1) - 55.5
56. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-5) - 57.0
57. Holy Cross Crusaders (5-3-1) - 57.5
58. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (4-6) - 58.5
59. Missouri Tigers (4-5-1) - 58.8
60. Colgate Raiders (4-5) - 59.3
61. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) - 59.8
62. SMU Mustangs (4-6) - 62.3
63. California Golden Bears (3-7) - 62.4
64. Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-7-1) - 63.6
65. Wisconsin Badgers (1-5-3) - 66.0
66. Idaho Vandals (4-5) - 66.6
67. Denver Pioneers (6-4) - 67.1
68. Arizona Wildcats (4-6) - 67.6
69. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-5-2) - 67.8
70. LSU Tigers (3-7) - 68.5
71. Georgia Bulldogs (3-6-1) - 71.4
72. Kansas Jayhawks (3-6-1) - 72.1
73. Boston College Eagles (5-4) - 72.9
74. Utah State Aggies (6-4) - 73.5
75. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-5) - 74.5
76. NC State Wolfpack (3-7) - 75.7
77. Pennsylvania Relays (4-5) - 76.4
78. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-5-3) - 77.6
79. Washington State Cougars (3-6-1) - 78.1
80. Citadel Bulldogs (3-5-1) - 80.8
81. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) - 82.1
82. Maryland Terrapins (2-7-1) - 83.2
83. Virginia Cavaliers (3-7) - 83.7
84. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-8) - 84.4
85. Davidson Wildcats (5-3-1) - 85.9
86. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-7-1) - 87.0
87. Texas Longhorns (1-9) - 87.8
88. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-7-1) - 88.2
(tie) Boston University Terriers (1-5-2) - 88.2
90. Kansas State Wildcats (3-7) - 88.9
91. Harvard Crimson (2-6) - 91.4
92. Wichita State Shockers (4-6) - 91.9
93. Dayton Flyers (4-6) - 92.4
94. Richmond Spiders (4-5) - 93.3
95. Indiana Hoosiers (3-6) - 94.6
96. VMI Keydets (3-6-1) - 95.4
97. Columbia Lions (3-6) - 96.9
98. Furman Paladins (2-8) - 97.4
99. New Mexico Lobos (4-6) - 98.3
100. Iowa State Cyclones (2-8) - 99.0
101. Cornell Big Red (1-8) - 100.6
102. Detroit Mercy Titans (2-8) - 102.2
103. Colorado State Rams (2-7-1) - 104.3
104. BYU Cougars (2-7-1) - 105.7
105. New Mexico State Aggies (1-9) - 106.0
106. San Jose State Spartans (2-7-1) - 106.4
107. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-7) - 107.3
108. Drake Bulldogs (3-6) - 109.3
(tie) William & Mary Tribe (0-9-1) - 109.3
110. Montana Grizzlies (1-9) - 111.0
111. Marquette Golden Eagles (0-9) - 112.0

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Saturday, May 28, 2011

1957 College Football Final Rankings

1957 had a split national championship. The AP writers' poll picked Auburn University while the UPI coaches' poll chose Ohio State. In part, this was due to the fact that Auburn was on probation for having paid a couple of its players $500 each. Allegedly, it costs a lot more to get players to play for Auburn now. Which poll does out analysis agree with? Would you believe neither? In fact, we don't have either team ranked higher than #5:

1. Arizona State Sun Devils (10-0) - 1.0
2. Navy Midshipmen (9-1-1) - 2.8
(tie) Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) - 2.8
4. Michigan State Spartans (8-1) - 4.2
5. Auburn Tigers (10-0) - 4.7
6. Ole Miss Rebels (9-1-1) - 5.9
7. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) - 7.0
8. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-1-1) - 8.3
9. Texas A&M Aggies (8-3) - 10.2
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-3) - 10.3
11. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-2-1) - 11.7
12. Wisconsin Badgers (6-3) - 11.8
13. Tennessee Volunteers (8-3) - 12.4
14. Rice Owls (7-4) - 14.3
15. Army Black Knights (7-2) - 14.4
16. Clemson Tigers (7-3) - 17.4
17. UCLA Bruins (8-2) - 18.5
18. NC State Wolfpack (7-1-2) - 19.1
19. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4) - 20.4
20. Duke Blue Devils (6-3-2) - 21.2
21. Florida Gators (6-2-1) - 22.4
22. Oregon State Beavers (8-2) - 23.5
23. VMI Keydets (9-0-1) - 23.6
24. Oregon Ducks (7-4) - 23.9
25. Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) - 24.1
26. Dartmouth Big Green (7-1-1) - 24.9
27. Texas Longhorns (6-4-1) - 26.2
28. Holy Cross Crusaders (5-3-1) - 26.5
29. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) - 28.5
30. Princeton Tigers (7-2) - 30.6
31. Colorado Buffaloes (6-3-1) - 32.6
32. TCU Horned Frogs (5-4-1) - 32.9
33. LSU Tigers (5-5) - 33.2
34. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-2-1) - 33.5
35. Yale Bulldogs (6-2-1) - 35.6
36. Washington State Cougars (6-4) - 36.1
37. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3) - 36.2
38. Syracuse Orange (5-3-1) - 37.8
39. Michigan Wolverines (5-3-1) - 37.9
40. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-5) - 39.6
41. Boston College Eagles (7-2) - 39.7
42. Maryland Terrapins (5-5) - 39.9
43. Stanford Cardinal (6-4) - 42.7
44. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3-1) - 43.0
45. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-3-2) - 44.0
46. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-4-2) - 46.6
47. Idaho Vandals (4-4-1) - 46.9
48. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-5) - 48.2
49. Utah Utes (6-4) - 48.8
50. Missouri Tigers (5-4-1) - 50.1
51. Miami Hurricanes (5-4-1) - 50.2
52. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-6) - 52.7
53. SMU Mustangs (4-5-1) - 53.1
54. Boston University Terriers (5-3) - 54.8
55. Brown Bears (5-4) - 54.9
56. Houston Cougars (5-4-1) - 55.1
57. Kentucky Wildcats (3-7) - 57.9
58. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5) - 59.3
59. Detroit Mercy Titans (6-3) - 60.6
60. Drake Bulldogs (7-2) - 60.8
(tie) Kansas Jayhawks (5-4-1) - 60.8
62. Virginia Cavaliers (3-6-1) - 61.0
63. Pacific Tigers (5-3-2) - 61.8
64. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (7-3) - 63.9
65. Baylor Bears (3-6-1) - 64.4
66. Georgia Bulldogs (3-7) - 65.4
67. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 66.3
68. William & Mary Tribe (4-6) - 69.5
69. Dayton Flyers (6-3-1) - 69.7
(tie) Iowa State Cyclones (4-5-1) - 69.7
71. Washington Huskies (3-6-1) - 71.0
72. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-4) - 71.5
73. Wyoming Cowboys (4-3-3) - 74.1
74. Kansas State Wildcats (3-6-1) - 74.2
75. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (5-5) - 74.8
76. UTEP Miners (6-3) - 76.2
77. Davidson Wildcats (5-3) - 79.2
78. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-4-1) - 79.5
79. Florida State Seminoles (4-6) - 79.8
80. Cornell Big Red (3-6) - 79.9
81. California Golden Bears (1-9) - 81.0
82. Villanova Wildcats (3-6) - 81.8
83. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-7-1) - 82.8
84. Denver Pioneers (6-4) - 83.6
85. Citadel Bulldogs (5-4-1) - 84.4
86. North Texas Mean Green (5-5) - 86.5
87. BYU Cougars (5-3-2) - 86.8
88. Colgate Raiders (3-6) - 86.9
(tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (4-6) - 86.9
90. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-6) - 88.7
91. George Washington Colonials (2-7) - 89.1
92. Tulane Green Wave (2-8) - 93.2
93. Harvard Crimson (3-5) - 93.7
94. Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-8) - 93.9
95. New Mexico Lobos (4-6) - 94.8
96. San Jose State Spartans (3-7) - 95.4
97. Richmond Spiders (4-6) - 96.1
98. Air Force Falcons (3-6-1) - 97.4
99. USC Trojans (1-9) - 98.7
100. Utah State Aggies (2-7-1) - 99.7
101. Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-9) - 101.4
102. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 102.6
103. Montana Grizzlies (2-7) - 103.0
104. Colorado State Rams (3-7) - 103.8
105. Furman Paladins (3-7) - 104.7
106. Columbia Lions (1-8) - 107.4
107. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (0-10) - 108.2
108. Wichita State Shockers (1-9) - 108.7
109. Indiana Hoosiers (1-8) - 109.5
110. Arizona Wildcats (1-8-1) - 111.1
111. Marquette Golden Eagles (0-10) - 111.5
112. Northwestern Wildcats (0-9) - 112.8


Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Friday, May 27, 2011

1958 College Football Final Rankings

In 1958, the AP and UPI polls crowned the LSU Tigers national champions (before the bowl games). The Football Writers' Association of America disagreed and (after the bowl games) awarded their national championship to the Iowa Hawkeyes (even though the Hawkeyes had lost one game and tied another). Our analysis respectfully disagrees with both.

1. Army Black Knights (8-0-1) - 1.3
2. Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) - 2.5
3. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1-1) - 3.1
4. LSU Tigers (11-0) - 3.3
5. Air Force Falcons (9-0-2) - 5.0
6. Wisconsin Badgers (7-1-1) - 6.8
7. Ole Miss Rebels (9-2) - 7.4
8. Auburn Tigers (9-0-1) - 8.8
9. Purdue Boilermakers (6-1-2) - 9.0
10. TCU Horned Frogs (8-2-1) - 9.5
11. Syracuse Orange (8-2) - 11.1
12. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-1) - 12.9
13. Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-3) - 13.1
14. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1-2) - 13.4
15. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-4) - 14.3
16. SMU Mustangs (6-4) - 15.4
17. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3-1) - 17.8
18. Dartmouth Big Green (7-2) - 18.1
19. North Texas Mean Green (7-2-1) - 18.3
20. Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) - 21.3
21. Florida Gators (6-4-1) - 21.9
22. Navy Midshipmen (6-3) - 24.0
23. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-3) - 24.1
24. Texas Longhorns (7-3) - 24.3
25. Houston Cougars (5-4) - 24.9
26. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-3) - 25.8
27. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-4-1) - 28.3
28. Georgia Bulldogs (4-6) - 29.5
29. Kentucky Wildcats (5-4-1) - 30.3
30. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-2-2) - 32.0
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2-3) - 32.0
32. Washington State Cougars (7-3) - 32.5
33. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-4-1) - 32.7
34. Rice Owls (5-5) - 35.6
35. Clemson Tigers (8-3) - 36.2
36. Wyoming Cowboys (8-3) - 37.1
37. Boston College Eagles (7-3) - 37.5
(tie) Pacific Tigers (6-4) - 37.5
39. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-4-1) - 39.5
40. Cornell Big Red (6-3) - 41.5
(tie) North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) - 41.5
42. Florida State Seminoles (7-4) - 41.9
(tie) Holy Cross Crusaders (6-3) - 41.9
44. Missouri Tigers (5-4-1) - 42.3
45. BYU Cougars (6-4) - 42.8
46. Colorado Buffaloes (6-4) - 43.2
47. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-3) - 46.7
48. Colorado State Rams (6-4) - 47.3
49. Princeton Tigers (6-3) - 48.6
50. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-5) - 51.2
51. West Virginia Mountaineers (4-5-1) - 51.8
52. New Mexico Lobos (7-3) - 53.2
53. Michigan State Spartans (3-5-1) - 53.8
54. Brown Bears (6-3) - 54.0
55. USC Trojans (4-5-1) - 56.4
56. California Golden Bears (7-4) - 56.7
57. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (6-5) - 57.7
58. Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) - 58.4
59. Duke Blue Devils (5-5) - 59.1
60. Oregon Ducks (4-6) - 59.9
61. Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) - 60.9
62. Indiana Hoosiers (5-3-1) - 61.1
63. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-6) - 62.1
64. Tulane Green Wave (3-7) - 62.4
65. VMI Keydets (6-2-2) - 62.5
66. Kansas Jayhawks (4-5-1) - 63.8
67. Boston University Terriers (4-5) - 64.2
68. Pennsylvania Relays (4-5) - 68.0
69. Harvard Crimson (4-5) - 68.1
70. Oregon State Beavers (6-4) - 69.0
71. Wichita State Shockers (4-5-1) - 69.9
72. Baylor Bears (3-7) - 72.3
73. San Jose State Spartans (4-5) - 73.4
74. Maryland Terrapins (4-6) - 73.5
75. Texas A&M Aggies (4-6) - 74.9
76. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-4-1) - 76.6
77. Iowa State Cyclones (4-6) - 78.0
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-7) - 78.0
79. UCLA Bruins (3-6-1) - 78.4
80. Michigan Wolverines (2-6-1) - 81.0
81. Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-8) - 81.3
82. Detroit Mercy Titans (4-4-1) - 81.4
(tie) Miami Hurricanes (2-8) - 81.4
84. Villanova Wildcats (6-4) - 84.8
85. Kansas State Wildcats (3-7) - 85.6
(tie) Utah Utes (4-7) - 85.6
87. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-7) - 87.1
88. Washington Huskies (3-7) - 87.5
89. Idaho Vandals (4-5) - 88.7
90. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-7) - 89.3
91. Denver Pioneers (2-8) - 91.0
92. NC State Wolfpack (2-7-1) - 91.1
93. Davidson Wildcats (5-4) - 92.8
94. Marquette Golden Eagles (2-7-1) - 93.8
(tie) Richmond Spiders (3-7) - 93.8
96. Utah State Aggies (3-7) - 97.2
97. Stanford Cardinal (2-8) - 98.2
(tie) William & Mary Tribe (2-6-1) - 98.2
99. Citadel Bulldogs (4-6) - 100.1
100. UTEP Miners (2-7) - 100.2
101. New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) - 102.2
102. Drake Bulldogs (2-7) - 104.0
(tie) George Washington Colonials (3-5) - 104.0
104. Colgate Raiders (1-8) - 104.5
105. Virginia Cavaliers (1-9) - 105.7
106. Yale Bulldogs (2-7) - 107.0
107. Arizona Wildcats (3-7) - 107.6
108. Furman Paladins (2-7) - 108.8
109. Dayton Flyers (2-8) - 110.1
110. Columbia Lions (1-8) - 111.3
111. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (1-9) - 111.9
112. Montana Grizzlies (0-10) - 112.7

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

1959 College Football Final Rankings

In 1959, the major polls (the AP and UPI polls) both ranked undefeated Syracuse as the #1 team in the nation, despite the fact that Ole Miss had blown out practically everyone they played. Mississippi's only loss came to the team the polls ranked #3, the LSU Tigers, a team they had a chance to play again in the Sugar Bowl and beat 21-0. LSU doesn't rank #3 in our analysis, but Ole Miss does get our #1 nod. Here's how the rest of the rankings turn out:

1. Ole Miss Rebels (10-1) - 1.2
2. Syracuse Orange (11-0) - 1.8
3. Washington Huskies (10-1) - 3.4
4. LSU Tigers (9-2) - 3.9
5. Texas Longhorns (9-2) - 5.7
6. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) - 6.8
7. Wyoming Cowboys (9-1) - 7.2
8. Georgia Bulldogs (10-1) - 7.5
9. TCU Horned Frogs (8-3) - 8.9
10. USC Trojans (8-2) - 10.3
11. Pennsylvania Relays (7-1-1) - 11.3
12. Clemson Tigers (9-2) - 13.0
13. Auburn Tigers (7-3) - 13.7
14. Arkansas Razorbacks (9-2) - 14.4
15. New Mexico State Aggies (8-3) - 15.6
16. Oregon Ducks (8-2) - 16.4
17. North Texas Mean Green (9-2) - 17.8
18. Oklahoma Sooners (7-3) - 17.9
19. Northwestern Wildcats (6-3) - 19.4
20. VMI Keydets (8-1-1) - 20.9
21. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-5) - 22.2
22. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-4) - 22.5
23. Purdue Boilermakers (5-2-2) - 23.4
24. Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2-2) - 25.8
25. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-3-1) - 26.7
26. Arizona State Sun Devils (10-1) - 27.7
(tie) Kentucky Wildcats (4-6) - 27.7
28. Washington State Cougars (6-4) - 28.4
29. Air Force Falcons (5-4-1) - 30.4
30. Iowa State Cyclones (7-3) - 32.2
(tie) New Mexico Lobos (7-3) - 32.2
32. Yale Bulldogs (6-3) - 32.5
33. Navy Midshipmen (5-4-1) - 32.7
34. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-4) - 34.0
35. SMU Mustangs (5-4-1) - 34.4
36. Tennessee Volunteers (5-4-1) - 34.7
37. Wisconsin Badgers (7-3) - 34.9
38. Miami Hurricanes (6-4) - 35.4
39. Florida Gators (5-4-1) - 36.8
40. UCLA Bruins (5-4-1) - 39.8
41. Kansas Jayhawks (5-5) - 41.4
42. Indiana Hoosiers (4-4-1) - 41.9
(tie) Missouri Tigers (6-5) - 41.9
44. Michigan State Spartans (5-4) - 42.1
45. Army Black Knights (4-4-1) - 43.4
46. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-5) - 45.1
47. Harvard Crimson (6-3) - 46.5
48. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-3-2) - 46.7
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-4) - 49.2
50. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-4) - 51.2
51. Ohio State Buckeyes (3-5-1) - 52.4
52. Dartmouth Big Green (5-3-1) - 52.7
53. Maryland Terrapins (5-5) - 52.9
54. North Carolina Tar Heels (5-5) - 55.9
55. Stanford Cardinal (3-7) - 56.7
56. Boston College Eagles (5-4) - 57.6
57. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-4) - 58.1
(tie) Tulane Green Wave (3-6-1) - 58.1
59. Utah Utes (5-5) - 58.7
60. Citadel Bulldogs (8-2) - 60.8
61. Michigan Wolverines (4-5) - 61.4
62. Colorado Buffaloes (5-5) - 61.6
63. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-4-1) - 62.7
64. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 63.3
65. Holy Cross Crusaders (6-4) - 64.0
66. Baylor Bears (4-6) - 64.9
67. Florida State Seminoles (4-6) - 66.7
68. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-6) - 68.2
69. Colorado State Rams (6-4) - 69.7
(tie) Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-7) - 69.7
71. Detroit Mercy Titans (6-4) - 70.7
72. Duke Blue Devils (4-6) - 71.5
73. Princeton Tigers (4-5) - 71.9
74. Texas A&M Aggies (3-7) - 72.7
75. San Jose State Spartans (4-6) - 73.7
76. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) - 76.1
77. Pacific Tigers (5-4) - 76.3
78. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-4) - 76.9
79. California Golden Bears (2-8) - 79.6
(tie) Wichita State Shockers (5-4-1) - 79.6
81. Oregon State Beavers (3-7) - 79.7
82. Cornell Big Red (5-4) - 81.0
83. Houston Cougars (3-7) - 81.4
84. Marquette Golden Eagles (3-7) - 83.3
85. Boston University Terriers (4-5) - 85.1
86. Richmond Spiders (4-5-1) - 86.0
87. Rice Owls (1-7-2) - 88.8
88. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-7) - 89.0
89. NC State Wolfpack (1-9) - 90.3
90. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (3-7) - 90.6
91. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-7) - 91.3
92. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-3) - 91.5
93. Utah State Aggies (5-6) - 92.0
94. William & Mary Tribe (4-6) - 92.3
95. UTEP Miners (3-7) - 93.3
96. Arizona Wildcats (4-6) - 95.4
97. Denver Pioneers (2-8) - 97.5
98. BYU Cougars (3-7) - 98.0
99. Colgate Raiders (2-7) - 98.2
100. Kansas State Wildcats (2-8) - 100.0
101. Columbia Lions (2-7) - 100.6
102. Brown Bears (2-6-1) - 101.7
103. Dayton Flyers (3-7) - 103.0
104. Furman Paladins (3-7) - 104.7
105. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (1-9) - 106.3
106. Xavier Musketeers (4-6) - 106.4
107. George Washington Colonials (1-8) - 107.3
108. Idaho Vandals (1-9) - 109.4
109. Montana Grizzlies (1-8) - 109.8
110. Davidson Wildcats (1-8) - 111.0
111. Villanova Wildcats (1-9) - 111.6
112. Virginia Cavaliers (0-10) - 112.9

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Monday, May 23, 2011

Ranking the College Football Programs of the 60's

We had previously posted that San Diego State had the team of the 60's (or rather 1961-1970). However, with new rules instituted on our decade rankings, the Aztecs are inelligible because they only competed in the top division of college football for two years out of the decade. The minimum number of years to be ranked is three. This reflects a need for consistent success over multiple years in a decade to be so highly ranked. Our updated rankings properly place the Alabama Crimson Tide as the team of the 60's.
Here is the rest of the list:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide
2. Texas Longhorns
3. Ole Miss Rebels
4. Arkansas Razorbacks
5. USC Trojans
6. LSU Tigers
7. Penn State Nittany Lions
8. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9. Nebraska Cornhuskers
10. Dartmouth Big Green
11. Missouri Tigers
12. Tennessee Volunteers
13. Purdue Boilermakers
14. Arizona State Sun Devils
15. Michigan State Spartans
16. Ohio State Buckeyes
17. Auburn Tigers
18. Oklahoma Sooners
19. Memphis Tigers
20. Florida Gators
21. Florida State Seminoles
22. Georgia Bulldogs
23. Syracuse Orange
24. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
25. Miami University RedHawks
26. Princeton Tigers
27. Wyoming Cowboys
28. Houston Cougars
29. Oregon State Beavers
30. Harvard Crimson
31. UCLA Bruins
32. Utah State Aggies
33. Minnesota Golden Gophers
34. Michigan Wolverines
35. Miami Hurricanes
36. Bowling Green Falcons
37. Stanford Cardinal
38. Washington Huskies
39. Yale Bulldogs
40. Army Black Knights
41. West Virginia Mountaineers
42. Colorado Buffaloes
43. Oregon Ducks
44. Ohio Bobcats
45. Kansas Jayhawks
46. Boston College Eagles
47. Virginia Tech Hokies
48. Toledo Rockets
49. Utah Utes
50. Air Force Falcons
51. Mississippi State Bulldogs
52. NC State Wolfpack
53. Cornell Big Red
54. West Texas A&M Buffaloes
55. Duke Blue Devils
56. Texas Tech Red Raiders
57. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
58. Navy Midshipmen
59. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
60. Villanova Wildcats
61. Clemson Tigers
62. Kentucky Wildcats
63. Arizona Wildcats
64. North Texas Mean Green
65. Oklahoma State Cowboys
66. California Golden Bears
67. Northwestern Wildcats
68. North Carolina Tar Heels
69. SMU Mustangs
70. TCU Horned Frogs
71. Baylor Bears
72. Texas A&M Aggies
73. Western Michigan Broncos
74. UTEP Miners
75. New Mexico State Aggies
76. Rice Owls
77. Iowa Hawkeyes
78. Illinois Fighting Illini
79. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
80. BYU Cougars
81. Cincinnati Bearcats
82. South Carolina Gamecocks
83. Wisconsin Badgers
84. Buffalo Bulls
85. Iowa State Cyclones
86. Louisville Cardinals
87. Colgate Raiders
88. Pittsburgh Panthers
89. New Mexico Lobos
90. Holy Cross Crusaders
91. Indiana Hoosiers
92. Kent State Golden Flashes
93. ECU Pirates
94. Maryland Terrapins
95. Virginia Cavaliers
96. Tulane Green Wave
97. Washington State Cougars
98. Xavier Musketeers
99. Columbia Lions
100. Vanderbilt Commodores
101. George Washington Colonials
102. Tampa Spartans
103. Dayton Flyers
104. Colorado State Rams
105. Richmond Spiders
106. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
107. William & Mary Tribe
108. Kansas State Wildcats
109. Pennsylvania Relays
110. Idaho Vandals
111. Pacific Tigers
112. Wichita State Shockers
113. San Jose State Spartans
114. Citadel Bulldogs
115. Detroit Mercy Titans
116. VMI Keydets
117. Marshall Thundering Herd
118. Brown Bears
119. Furman Paladins
120. Davidson Wildcats
121. Northern Illinois Huskies
122. Boston University Terriers
123. Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided much of the data for our analysis.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

1960 College Football Final Rankings

It's all been downhill since 1960 for the New Mexico State Aggies. Our most recent post listed the Aggies as the 150th most successful college program of the last 50 years - out of the 155 teams qualifying for the list. But in 1960, the Aggies went undefeated, beat Utah State in the Sun Bowl, and the program actually captured enough attention to be ranked in the Final Top 20 of both major polls. Our analysis goes a step further than the human polls. The Aggies' wins - while not against major teams - were impressive enough to rank the team #1 in our analysis for the 1960 season. Of course, this is in part due to the fact that no major teams finished the season undefeated. The AP and UPI national champion Minnesota Golden Gophers actually lost two games, in fact.

Only three of the Aggies' games were closer than 20 points - a three-point victory over Arizona State (who finished the season 7-3), a 12-point victory over the UTEP Miners, and the Sun Bowl 7-point victory over Utah State (who finished 9-2 and ranked #10 in our analysis). It was a season the Aggies have not come close to duplicating since.

1. New Mexico State Aggies (11-0) - 1.0
2. Ole Miss Rebels (10-0-1) - 2.4
3. Missouri Tigers (10-1) - 3.6
4. Yale Bulldogs (9-0) - 4.0
5. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1) - 4.5
6. Kansas Jayhawks (7-2-1) - 7.5
7. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-2) - 8.8
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2) - 9.1
9. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 9.2
10. Utah State Aggies (9-2) - 9.3
11. Washington Huskies (10-1) - 9.8
12. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 10.5
13. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1-2) - 13.8
14. Baylor Bears (8-3) - 15.7
15. Syracuse Orange (7-2) - 16.1
16. Florida Gators (9-2) - 16.3
17. Michigan State Spartans (6-2-1) - 17.2
18. Wyoming Cowboys (8-2) - 18.2
19. Auburn Tigers (8-2) - 19.1
20. Rice Owls (7-4) - 19.8
21. UCLA Bruins (7-2-1) - 20.3
22. Tennessee Volunteers (6-2-2) - 24.2
23. Michigan Wolverines (5-4) - 24.3
24. Arkansas Razorbacks (8-3) - 24.5
25. Purdue Boilermakers (4-4-1) - 24.6
(tie) Utah Utes (7-3) - 24.6
27. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-5) - 28.6
(tie) Texas Longhorns (7-3-1) - 28.6
29. LSU Tigers (5-4-1) - 31.4
30. Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) - 32.1
31. Kentucky Wildcats (5-4-1) - 32.2
32. Army Black Knights (6-3-1) - 32.5
33. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-3-3) - 33.2
34. Memphis Tigers (8-2) - 33.7
35. Georgia Bulldogs (6-4) - 34.0
36. Arizona Wildcats (7-3) - 34.9
37. Oregon Ducks (7-3-1) - 36.7
38. Duke Blue Devils (8-3) - 36.8
39. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-4) - 37.3
40. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-1) - 37.8
(tie) VMI Keydets (7-2-1) - 37.8
42. Princeton Tigers (7-2) - 38.6
43. Oregon State Beavers (6-3-1) - 43.1
44. Colorado Buffaloes (6-4) - 45.7
45. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-6-1) - 45.8
46. Iowa State Cyclones (7-3) - 46.8
47. Miami Hurricanes (6-4) - 47.1
48. TCU Horned Frogs (4-4-2) - 48.9
49. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-3) - 50.4
50. NC State Wolfpack (6-3-1) - 51.3
51. Holy Cross Crusaders (6-4) - 51.4
(tie) Houston Cougars (6-4) - 51.4
53. Wichita State Shockers (8-2) - 53.9
54. Wisconsin Badgers (4-5) - 54.1
55. Clemson Tigers (6-4) - 55.0
56. Detroit Mercy Titans (7-2) - 55.4
57. Dartmouth Big Green (5-4) - 57.2
58. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) - 57.7
59. New Mexico Lobos (5-5) - 58.9
(tie) Tulane Green Wave (3-6-1) - 58.9
61. Maryland Terrapins (6-4) - 60.4
62. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-4) - 60.7
63. Oklahoma Sooners (3-6-1) - 63.3
64. Citadel Bulldogs (8-2-1) - 63.5
65. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-6-1) - 65.0
66. George Washington Colonials (5-3-1) - 65.7
67. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-7) - 66.1
68. Air Force Falcons (4-6) - 66.6
69. USC Trojans (4-6) - 70.0
70. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-8) - 70.3
71. Boston College Eagles (3-6-1) - 71.6
72. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 71.7
73. Washington State Cougars (4-5-1) - 71.9
74. Texas A&M Aggies (1-6-3) - 72.1
75. Florida State Seminoles (3-6-1) - 75.9
76. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-6-1) - 76.5
77. Harvard Crimson (5-4) - 77.0
78. Montana Grizzlies (5-5) - 77.2
79. Columbia Lions (3-6) - 79.3
80. Pennsylvania Relays (3-6) - 80.7
81. UTEP Miners (4-5-1) - 81.1
82. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-7) - 81.7
83. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-7) - 83.0
84. Furman Paladins (5-4-1) - 85.0
(tie) San Jose State Spartans (5-4) - 85.0
86. California Golden Bears (2-7-1) - 86.1
87. West Texas A&M Buffaloes (3-7) - 86.8
88. Richmond Spiders (3-6-1) - 87.3
89. Denver Pioneers (3-7) - 88.9
90. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-6) - 90.7
91. BYU Cougars (3-8) - 91.7
92. Boston University Terriers (3-5-2) - 91.8
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-8) - 91.8
94. Xavier Musketeers (5-5) - 93.3
95. Davidson Wildcats (3-5) - 95.3
96. Indiana Hoosiers (1-8) - 96.8
97. Pacific Tigers (4-6) - 97.2
98. North Texas Mean Green (2-6-1) - 97.5
99. Brown Bears (3-6) - 99.5
100. William & Mary Tribe (2-8) - 99.9
101. Cornell Big Red (2-7) - 100.4
102. Villanova Wildcats (2-8) - 102.1
103. Marquette Golden Eagles (3-6) - 102.4
104. Colorado State Rams (2-8) - 102.9
105. SMU Mustangs (0-9-1) - 104.4
106. Colgate Raiders (2-7) - 106.2
107. Kansas State Wildcats (1-9) - 108.6
(tie) West Virginia Mountaineers (0-8-2) - 108.6
109. Idaho Vandals (1-9) - 109.2
110. Dayton Flyers (1-9) - 111.0
111. Stanford Cardinal (0-10) - 111.7
112. Virginia Cavaliers (0-10) - 113.4
113. Hardin-Simmons Cowboys (0-10) - 113.5

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided the data for our analysis.

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

The Most Successful Top Division College Football Programs of the Past 50 Years

We recently posted our program rankings based on the past 50 years of data. That ranking weighted recent success more heavily, as we felt that a highly ranked program should have a combination of recent success and a tradition of winning. However, another way of ranking the programs is to find out which programs have had the most success overall during the past 50 years. In other words, in the average year during the past 50 years, which teams have had the most success (regardless of whether that success came in 1961 or 2010)?

Figured that way, here are our rankings of the most successful football programs over the last 50 years. In order to be included in the rankings, a college had to sponsor football at the highest division level for at least 5 years during the decades in question. Only those years where the team competed in the top division of NCAA football were included in our calculations. As is our practice, teams are always listed with their most current mascot, even if they had a different mascot during the period of time being ranked. (It's just easier for us to keep track of things that way.)

1. Nebraska Cornhuskers
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
3. Ohio State Buckeyes
4. USC Trojans
5. Penn State Nittany Lions
6. Oklahoma Sooners
7. Texas Longhorns
8. Florida Gators
9. Michigan Wolverines
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
11. Florida State Seminoles
12. Tennessee Volunteers
13. Georgia Bulldogs
14. Auburn Tigers
15. LSU Tigers
16. Arkansas Razorbacks
17. Miami Hurricanes
18. UCLA Bruins
19. Arizona State Sun Devils
20. Boise State Broncos
21. Dartmouth Big Green
22. Washington Huskies
23. Yale Bulldogs
24. Texas A&M Aggies
25. Michigan State Spartans
26. Clemson Tigers
27. West Virginia Mountaineers
28. Virginia Tech Hokies
29. BYU Cougars
30. Ole Miss Rebels
31. McNeese State Cowboys
32. Colorado Buffaloes
33. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
34. Boston College Eagles
35. Stanford Cardinal
36. Texas Tech Red Raiders
37. Missouri Tigers
38. Syracuse Orange
39. Harvard Crimson
40. Oregon Ducks
41. Arizona Wildcats
42. South Florida Bulls
43. Purdue Boilermakers
44. North Carolina Tar Heels
45. NC State Wolfpack
46. South Carolina Gamecocks
47. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
48. Pittsburgh Panthers
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys
50. Maryland Terrapins
51. Houston Cougars
52. Iowa Hawkeyes
53. California Golden Bears
54. Wisconsin Badgers
55. Mississippi State Bulldogs
56. Miami University RedHawks
57. Utah Utes
58. Princeton Tigers
59. San Diego State Aztecs
60. Air Force Falcons
61. Fresno State Bulldogs
62. Minnesota Golden Gophers
63. Tampa Spartans
64. Kentucky Wildcats
65. Bowling Green Falcons
66. Virginia Cavaliers
67. Kansas Jayhawks
68. ECU Pirates
69. Washington State Cougars
70. Wyoming Cowboys
71. Illinois Fighting Illini
72. Hawaii Warriors
73. Baylor Bears
74. Louisville Cardinals
75. Memphis Tigers
76. Cornell Big Red
77. Toledo Rockets
78. Kansas State Wildcats
79. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
80. Oregon State Beavers
81. Connecticut Huskies
82. Central Michigan Chippewas
83. TCU Horned Frogs
84. Cincinnati Bearcats
85. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
86. UCF Knights
87. Troy Trojans
88. Nevada Wolf Pack
89. Iowa State Cyclones
90. Navy Midshipmen
91. SMU Mustangs
92. Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs
93. Villanova Wildcats
94. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
95. Colgate Raiders
96. Western Michigan Broncos
97. Colorado State Rams
98. Appalachian State Mountaineers
99. Indiana Hoosiers
100. Duke Blue Devils
101. Utah State Aggies
102. West Texas A&M Buffaloes
103. New Mexico Lobos
104. Ball State Cardinals
105. San Jose State Spartans
106. Long Beach State 49ers
107. Temple Owls
108. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
109. Northwestern Wildcats
110. Brown Bears
111. Army Black Knights
112. Indiana State Sycamores
113. Ohio Bobcats
114. Western Carolina Catamounts
115. Tulane Green Wave
116. Texas-Arlington Mavericks
117. North Texas Mean Green
118. Vanderbilt Commodores
119. Furman Paladins
120. William & Mary Tribe
121. Citadel Bulldogs
122. Richmond Spiders
123. Northern Illinois Huskies
124. Rice Owls
125. Marshall Thundering Herd
126. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
127. Holy Cross Crusaders
128. UAB Blazers
129. George Washington Colonials
130. Dayton Flyers
131. UNLV Rebels
132. Pennsylvania Relays
133. Xavier Musketeers
134. Florida Atlantic Owls
135. Southern Illinois Salukis
136. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
137. UTEP Miners
138. Columbia Lions
139. Pacific Tigers
140. VMI Keydets
141. Lamar Cardinals
142. Kent State Golden Flashes
143. Buffalo Bulls
144. Arkansas State Red Wolves
145. Drake Bulldogs
146. Cal State Fullerton Titans
147. Akron Zips
148. Idaho Vandals
149. Wichita State Shockers
150. New Mexico State Aggies
151. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
152. Illinois State Redbirds
153. Eastern Michigan Eagles
154. Davidson Wildcats
155. FIU Golden Panthers

Special thanks to James Howell's College Football Scores, which provided much of the data for our analysis.