Week 15 Rankings

Not much changes with the results of the Army-Navy game, but here are the final standings going into the bowls:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) - 1.6
2. TCU Horned Frogs (12-0) - 2.1
3. Texas Longhorns (13-0) - 2.4
4. Boise State Broncos (13-0) - 4.0
5. Florida Gators (12-1) - 4.9
6. Cincinnati Bearcats (12-0) - 6.2
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 7.8
8. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3) - 8.0
9. Oregon Ducks (10-2) - 9.0
10. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 9.1
11. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 12.5
(tie) Oklahoma Sooners (7-5) - 12.5
13. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-2) - 13.4
14. Miami Hurricanes (9-3) - 13.5
15. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 14.4
16. Stanford Cardinal (8-4) - 18.8
17. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) - 19.4
18. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) - 19.5
19. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-3) - 19.6
20. Arizona Wildcats (8-4) - 19.7
21. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-4) - 20.7
22. Oregon State Beavers (8-4) - 21.5
23. BYU Cougars (10-2) - 21.8
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) - 23.4
25. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 25.3
26. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-3) - 27.5
27. Utah Utes (9-3) - 27.8
28. Ole Miss Rebels (8-4) - 28.2
29. USC Trojans (8-4) - 28.4
30. Clemson Tigers (8-5) - 29.0
31. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) - 29.7
32. Central Michigan Chippewas (11-2) - 30.5
33. Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) - 33.3
34. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) - 34.0
35. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 35.4
36. Connecticut Huskies (7-5) - 36.8
37. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 37.5
38. Houston Cougars (10-3) - 39.0
39. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 39.3
40. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 39.7
41. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-4) - 40.2
42. Boston College Eagles (8-4) - 42.1
43. California Golden Bears (8-4) - 43.5
44. Air Force Falcons (7-5) - 45.6
45. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-6) - 45.8
46. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 46.5
47. Texas A&M Aggies (6-6) - 47.6
48. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7) - 47.9
49. Florida State Seminoles (6-6) - 48.8
50. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) - 50.3
51. South Florida Bulls (7-5) - 50.7
52. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) - 50.9
53. Washington Huskies (5-7) - 51.2
54. ECU Pirates (9-4) - 53.5
55. UCLA Bruins (6-6) - 53.9
56. Michigan State Spartans (6-6) - 56.1
57. UCF Knights (8-4) - 58.2
58. Purdue Boilermakers (5-7) - 58.6
59. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) - 59.0
60. Navy Midshipmen (9-4) - 59.6
61. Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) - 62.1
62. Ohio Bobcats (9-4) - 62.5
63. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (9-3) - 62.8
64. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-7) - 63.8
65. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-8) - 64.0
66. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 64.7
67. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5) - 65.9
68. Kansas Jayhawks (5-7) - 67.2
69. Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) - 67.8
70. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-5) - 69.7
71. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 70.0
72. Michigan Wolverines (5-7) - 72.2
73. Baylor Bears (4-8) - 72.9
74. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-6) - 75.7
75. NC State Wolfpack (5-7) - 76.1
76. Temple Owls (9-3) - 76.2
77. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-8) - 78.7
(tie) Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 78.7
79. Colorado Buffaloes (3-9) - 80.0
(tie) UAB Blazers (5-7) - 80.0
81. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-9) - 81.6
82. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 81.7
83. Idaho Vandals (7-5) - 82.3
84. Louisville Cardinals (4-8) - 82.5
85. SMU Mustangs (7-5) - 82.8
86. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-7) - 86.1
87. UTEP Miners (4-8) - 88.6
88. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 89.2
89. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 89.7
90. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 90.9
91. Duke Blue Devils (5-7) - 91.9
92. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 93.3
93. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 93.9
94. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 94.5
(tie) Utah State Aggies (4-8) - 94.5
96. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 94.7
97. Virginia Cavaliers (3-9) - 94.9
98. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-8) - 99.0
99. Western Michigan Broncos (5-7) - 99.7
100. San Diego State Aztecs (4-8) - 99.8
101. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6) - 100.0
102. Maryland Terrapins (2-10) - 100.4
103. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 100.5
104. Toledo Rockets (5-7) - 102.8
105. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 104.0
106. Memphis Tigers (2-10) - 105.8
107. FIU Golden Panthers (3-9) - 107.1
108. Akron Zips (3-9) - 107.9
109. Army Black Knights (5-7) - 108.5
110. North Texas Mean Green (2-10) - 109.0
111. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 111.5
112. Ball State Cardinals (2-10) - 112.5
113. Miami University RedHawks (1-11) - 113.0
114. San Jose State Spartans (2-10) - 113.9
115. Rice Owls (2-10) - 114.5
116. Washington State Cougars (1-11) - 116.3
117. New Mexico State Aggies (3-10) - 116.4
118. New Mexico Lobos (1-11) - 117.2
119. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-12) - 118.9
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-12) - 120.6

Ranking the Bowls - From Least Intriguing to Most

Bowl season is a fun time, but with so many things going on this holiday season and so many games to choose from, which games most warrant your attention? Here's what our analysis says, starting with the least intriguing matchup to the most intriguing... (All times are EST)

34. Fresno State vs. Wyoming - New Mexico Bowl, Dec. 19th 4:30 PM
33. SMU vs. Nevada - Hawaii Bowl, Dec. 24th 8:00 PM
32. Bowling Green vs. Idaho - Humanitarian Bowl, Dec. 30th 4:30 PM
31. Temple vs. UCLA - Eaglebank Bowl, Dec. 29th 4:30 PM
30. Marshall vs. Ohio - Little Caesars Pizza Bowl, Dec. 26th 1:00 PM
29. South Florida vs. Northern Illinois - International Bowl, Jan. 2nd Noon
28. Northwestern vs. #25 Auburn - Outback Bowl, Jan. 1st 11:00 AM
27. ECU vs. #11 Arkansas - Liberty Bowl, Jan. 2nd 5:30 PM
26. Navy vs. Missouri - Texas Bowl, Dec. 31st 3:30 PM
25. Michigan State vs. #18 Texas Tech - Alamo Bowl, Jan. 2nd 9:00 PM
24. Minnesota vs. Iowa State - Insight Bowl, Dec. 31st 6:00 PM
23. Southern Miss vs. Middle Tennessee State - New Orleans Bowl, Dec. 20th 8:30 PM
22. Rutgers vs. UCF - St. Petersburg Bowl, Dec. 19th 8:00 PM
21. Florida State vs. West Virginia - Gator Bowl, Jan. 1st 1:00 PM
20. Clemson vs. Kentucky - Music City Bowl, Dec. 27th 8:30 PM
19. Texas A&M vs. Georgia - Independence Bowl, Dec. 28th 5:00 PM
18. Utah vs. California - Poinsettia Bowl, Dec. 23rd 8:00 PM
17. North Carolina vs. #19 Pittsburgh - Meineke Car Care Bowl, Dec. 26th 4:30 PM
16. Boston College vs. USC - Emerald Bowl, Dec. 26th 8:00 PM
15. Houston vs. Air Force - Armed Forces Bowl, Dec. 31st Noon
14. #8 Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee - Chick-Fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31st 7:30 PM
13. Connecticut vs. South Carolina - Papajohns.com Bowl, Jan. 2nd 2:00 PM
12. #14 Miami (FL) vs. Wisconsin - Champs Sports Bowl, Dec. 29th 8:00 PM
11. Troy vs. Central Michigan - GMAC Bowl, Jan. 6th 7:00 PM
10. #24 Oklahoma State vs. Ole Miss - Cotton Bowl, Jan. 2nd 2:00 PM
9. #23 BYU vs. #22 Oregon State - Las Vegas Bowl, Dec. 22nd 8:00 PM
8. #21 Nebraska vs. #20 Arizona - Holiday Bowl, Dec. 30th 8:00 PM
7. #7 Penn State vs. #15 LSU - Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1st 1:00 PM
6. #17 Iowa vs. #13 Georgia Tech - Orange Bowl, Jan. 5th 8:00 PM
5. #11 Oklahoma vs. #16 Stanford - Sun Bowl, Dec. 31st 2:00 PM
4. #10 Ohio State vs. #9 Oregon - Rose Bowl, Jan. 1st 4:30 PM
3. #5 Florida vs. #6 Cincinnati - Sugar Bowl, Jan. 1st 8:30 PM
2. #4 Boise State vs. #2 TCU - Fiesta Bowl, Jan. 4th 8:00 PM
1. #1 Alabama vs. #3 Texas - BCS Championship Game, Jan. 7th 8:00 PM

Note: A game's level of being "intriguing" is a combination of how highly ranked the participants are using our ranking system and how evenly matched the teams are (or rather, how close they are in rank to each other). In theory, then, an "intriguing" game is one that is likely to be a close game between two good teams.

Week 14 Rankings

Alabama's victory was convincing. Texas's was not - not convincing enough to hold on to the top spot or even to stay above idle TCU in our latest analysis. (The results of other games this week also affect how these teams are ranked, of course.) As a result, when all is said and done, our analysis suggests that the championship game SHOULD be Alabama vs. TCU. Will that actually be the case? Stay tuned for an analysis of all of the bowl games, including which are the most compelling matchups according to our computer analysis, coming soon...

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) - 1.6
2. TCU Horned Frogs (12-0) - 2.1
3. Texas Longhorns (13-0) - 2.4
4. Boise State Broncos (13-0) - 4.0
5. Florida Gators (12-1) - 4.9
6. Cincinnati Bearcats (12-0) - 6.2
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 7.8
8. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3) - 8.0
9. Oregon Ducks (10-2) - 9.0
10. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 9.1
11. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 12.5
(tie) Oklahoma Sooners (7-5) - 12.5
13. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-2) - 13.4
14. Miami Hurricanes (9-3) - 13.5
15. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 14.4
16. Stanford Cardinal (8-4) - 18.8
17. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) - 19.5
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) - 19.5
19. Arizona Wildcats (8-4) - 19.7
(tie) Pittsburgh Panthers (9-3) - 19.7
21. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-4) - 20.6
22. Oregon State Beavers (8-4) - 21.5
23. BYU Cougars (10-2) - 21.7
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) - 23.4
25. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 25.3
26. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-3) - 27.5
27. Utah Utes (9-3) - 27.8
28. Ole Miss Rebels (8-4) - 28.2
29. USC Trojans (8-4) - 28.3
30. Clemson Tigers (8-5) - 28.9
31. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) - 29.7
32. Central Michigan Chippewas (11-2) - 30.5
33. Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) - 33.3
34. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) - 34.0
35. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 35.4
36. Connecticut Huskies (7-5) - 36.9
37. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 37.5
38. Houston Cougars (10-3) - 39.0
39. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 39.3
40. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 39.7
41. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-4) - 40.2
42. Boston College Eagles (8-4) - 42.2
43. California Golden Bears (8-4) - 43.6
44. Air Force Falcons (7-5) - 45.7
45. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-6) - 45.9
46. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 46.4
47. Texas A&M Aggies (6-6) - 47.5
48. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7) - 47.9
49. Florida State Seminoles (6-6) - 48.5
50. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) - 50.5
51. South Florida Bulls (7-5) - 50.7
52. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) - 50.9
53. Washington Huskies (5-7) - 51.2
54. ECU Pirates (9-4) - 53.5
55. UCLA Bruins (6-6) - 53.8
56. Michigan State Spartans (6-6) - 56.1
57. UCF Knights (8-4) - 58.0
58. Purdue Boilermakers (5-7) - 58.6
59. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) - 59.0
60. Navy Midshipmen (8-4) - 60.4
61. Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) - 61.8
62. Ohio Bobcats (9-4) - 62.3
63. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (9-3) - 62.8
64. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-7) - 63.8
65. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-8) - 64.1
66. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 64.7
67. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5) - 65.9
68. Kansas Jayhawks (5-7) - 67.2
69. Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) - 67.7
70. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-5) - 69.7
71. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 70.0
72. Michigan Wolverines (5-7) - 72.2
73. Baylor Bears (4-8) - 72.9
74. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-6) - 75.7
75. NC State Wolfpack (5-7) - 76.0
76. Temple Owls (9-3) - 76.2
77. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 78.7
78. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-8) - 78.9
79. Colorado Buffaloes (3-9) - 80.0
(tie) UAB Blazers (5-7) - 80.0
81. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 81.6
(tie) Illinois Fighting Illini (3-9) - 81.6
83. Idaho Vandals (7-5) - 82.3
84. Louisville Cardinals (4-8) - 82.4
85. SMU Mustangs (7-5) - 82.9
86. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-7) - 86.1
87. UTEP Miners (4-8) - 88.6
88. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 89.2
89. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 89.7
90. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 91.0
91. Duke Blue Devils (5-7) - 91.7
92. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 93.4
93. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 94.0
94. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 94.4
95. Utah State Aggies (4-8) - 94.6
96. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 94.7
97. Virginia Cavaliers (3-9) - 94.8
98. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-8) - 99.0
99. Western Michigan Broncos (5-7) - 99.7
100. San Diego State Aztecs (4-8) - 99.8
101. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6) - 100.0
102. Maryland Terrapins (2-10) - 100.5
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 100.5
104. Toledo Rockets (5-7) - 102.8
105. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 104.0
106. Memphis Tigers (2-10) - 105.8
107. FIU Golden Panthers (3-9) - 107.2
108. Army Black Knights (5-6) - 108.0
109. Akron Zips (3-9) - 108.1
110. North Texas Mean Green (2-10) - 109.1
111. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 111.5
112. Ball State Cardinals (2-10) - 112.5
113. Miami University RedHawks (1-11) - 113.0
114. San Jose State Spartans (2-10) - 113.9
115. Rice Owls (2-10) - 114.4
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-10) - 116.4
(tie) Washington State Cougars (1-11) - 116.4
118. New Mexico Lobos (1-11) - 117.2
119. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-12) - 118.9
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-12) - 120.6

For Comparison - 2004 Heading Into the Bowls..

The year from the BCS era that most resembles this year is 2004, a year in which even after the bowl games, there were three undefeated teams. We decided to run the numbers to see how 2004 measured up, and Utah Ute fans might find some consolation in the result after losing the only game that matters to them this past weekend. In 2004, the Urban Meyer-led Utes beat every team they played by at least 14 points. They weren't in a single close game. They didn't play anybody who was any good - even in their bowl game, but they beat everyone they did play handily enough to merit a #1 ranking in our analysis of the 2004 season heading into the bowls. According to our analysis, what we should have had for a national championship game was Utah against Auburn. What we got was USC against Oklahoma, mainly because those were the teams that were ranked #1 and #2 heading into the season. That's a lot like this year, come to think of it. Florida is ranked #1, mainly because that's where they started, not because they've been all that impressive (our analysis has them at #4 currently). TCU, like Utah and Auburn in 2004, seems to have a legitimate claim that they should be in the national championship game, regardless of the outcome of the conference championship games - of course we'll have to see how those games play out before making that final analysis.

Here's how the 2004 season rates (no bowl games included ... yet):

1. Utah Utes (11-0) - 1.0
2. Auburn Tigers (12-0) - 2.1
3. USC Trojans (12-0) - 3.5
4. Oklahoma Sooners (12-0) - 4.4
5. California Golden Bears (10-1) - 4.7
6. Louisville Cardinals (10-1) - 5.6
7. Texas Longhorns (10-1) - 7.3
8. Boise State Broncos (11-0) - 7.4
9. Virginia Tech Hokies (10-2) - 9.5
10. Virginia Cavaliers (8-3) - 10.1
11. Miami Hurricanes (8-3) - 10.8
12. Florida State Seminoles (8-3) - 12.4
13. Georgia Bulldogs (9-2) - 12.6
14. Iowa Hawkeyes (9-2) - 14.6
15. LSU Tigers (9-2) - 15.1
16. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-3) - 17.6
17. Purdue Boilermakers (7-4) - 18.2
18. Tennessee Volunteers (9-3) - 19.8
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4) - 19.8
20. Michigan Wolverines (9-2) - 20.4
21. Florida Gators (7-4) - 21.1
22. Texas A&M Aggies (7-4) - 22.6
23. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) - 23.2
24. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3) - 23.4
25. Bowling Green Falcons (8-3) - 24.1
26. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-4) - 25.9
27. Oregon State Beavers (6-5) - 27.1
28. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 27.2
29. Wisconsin Badgers (9-2) - 27.7
30. UTEP Miners (8-3) - 31.3
31. Boston College Eagles (8-3) - 31.6
32. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5) - 31.9
33. UCLA Bruins (6-5) - 33.2
34. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-5) - 34.5
35. Alabama Crimson Tide (6-5) - 36.0
(tie) Arkansas Razorbacks (5-6) - 36.0
37. Toledo Rockets (9-3) - 38.3
38. Memphis Tigers (8-3) - 39.3
39. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-5) - 39.6
40. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-3) - 41.2
41. Syracuse Orange (6-5) - 42.9
42. Kansas Jayhawks (4-7) - 43.0
43. Maryland Terrapins (5-6) - 43.9
44. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-3) - 44.0
45. NC State Wolfpack (5-6) - 44.6
46. New Mexico Lobos (7-4) - 46.0
47. Stanford Cardinal (4-7) - 48.2
48. Miami University RedHawks (8-4) - 48.5
49. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-5) - 48.8
50. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 48.9
51. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-5) - 50.6
52. Clemson Tigers (6-5) - 50.7
53. Colorado Buffaloes (7-5) - 50.8
54. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-7) - 51.1
55. Iowa State Cyclones (6-5) - 54.9
56. Michigan State Spartans (5-7) - 57.5
57. BYU Cougars (5-6) - 57.6
58. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-7) - 58.5
59. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-5) - 59.9
60. Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-6) - 60.5
61. Northwestern Wildcats (6-6) - 60.6
62. Troy Trojans (7-4) - 62.2
63. Kansas State Wildcats (4-7) - 62.4
64. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-6) - 62.9
65. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 63.9
(tie) UAB Blazers (7-4) - 63.9
67. Washington State Cougars (5-6) - 66.3
68. Missouri Tigers (5-6) - 66.6
(tie) Oregon Ducks (5-6) - 66.6
70. Connecticut Huskies (7-4) - 69.0
71. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 69.8
72. Air Force Falcons (5-6) - 71.1
73. Ole Miss Rebels (4-7) - 74.0
74. Colorado State Rams (4-7) - 74.6
75. TCU Horned Frogs (5-6) - 75.1
76. Wyoming Cowboys (6-5) - 75.5
77. Arizona Wildcats (3-8) - 78.5
78. San Diego State Aztecs (4-7) - 78.7
79. Hawaii Warriors (7-5) - 79.8
80. Akron Zips (6-5) - 80.8
81. Indiana Hoosiers (3-8) - 81.5
82. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-6) - 81.8
83. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-7) - 84.2
84. Tulane Green Wave (5-6) - 85.2
85. South Florida Bulls (4-7) - 85.3
86. Baylor Bears (3-8) - 85.7
87. New Mexico State Aggies (5-6) - 86.5
88. North Texas Mean Green (7-4) - 86.6
89. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-8) - 89.1
90. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-8) - 89.2
91. Houston Cougars (3-8) - 90.3
92. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-8) - 92.0
93. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-6) - 92.1
94. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-9) - 92.7
95. Duke Blue Devils (2-9) - 96.4
96. Kentucky Wildcats (2-9) - 97.3
97. UNLV Rebels (2-9) - 97.9
98. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-7) - 98.5
99. Ohio Bobcats (4-7) - 98.9
100. Rice Owls (3-8) - 99.0
101. Army Black Knights (2-9) - 99.8
102. Temple Owls (2-9) - 101.0
103. SMU Mustangs (3-8) - 104.3
104. ECU Pirates (2-9) - 104.9
(tie) Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-7) - 104.9
(tie) Utah State Aggies (3-8) - 104.9
107. Ball State Cardinals (2-9) - 107.5
(tie) Washington Huskies (1-10) - 107.5
109. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (5-6) - 107.9
110. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) - 108.4
111. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-7) - 109.7
112. Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-7) - 112.7
(tie) Idaho Vandals (3-9) - 112.7
114. San Jose State Spartans (2-9) - 114.3
115. Buffalo Bulls (2-9) - 114.5
116. Western Michigan Broncos (1-10) - 115.5
117. UCF Knights (0-11) - 117.7

Week 13 Rankings

1. Texas Longhorns (12-0) - 1.2
2. TCU Horned Frogs (12-0) - 1.9
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) - 3.2
4. Florida Gators (12-0) - 4.1
5. Boise State Broncos (12-0) - 4.6
6. Cincinnati Bearcats (11-0) - 6.1
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 7.6
8. Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3) - 8.6
9. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 8.8
10. Oregon Ducks (9-2) - 9.0
11. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 12.3
12. Oklahoma Sooners (7-5) - 12.5
13. Miami Hurricanes (9-3) - 13.0
14. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-2) - 14.0
15. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 14.7
16. Stanford Cardinal (8-4) - 18.3
17. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) - 18.8
18. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-2) - 18.9
19. Oregon State Beavers (8-3) - 19.0
20. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) - 19.5
21. BYU Cougars (10-2) - 21.1
22. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) - 21.8
23. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) - 22.5
24. USC Trojans (8-3) - 24.1
25. Arizona Wildcats (7-4) - 25.6
26. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 25.8
27. Utah Utes (9-3) - 27.6
28. Clemson Tigers (8-4) - 28.4
(tie) Ole Miss Rebels (8-4) - 28.4
30. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 30.0
31. California Golden Bears (8-3) - 32.3
32. Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) - 33.0
33. Central Michigan Chippewas (10-2) - 34.1
34. Houston Cougars (10-2) - 34.3
35. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) - 34.4
36. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 35.8
37. Wisconsin Badgers (8-3) - 36.5
38. Connecticut Huskies (6-5) - 36.7
39. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 39.0
40. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 39.9
41. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-3) - 40.1
42. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4) - 40.5
43. Boston College Eagles (8-4) - 42.5
44. Air Force Falcons (7-5) - 45.7
45. Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) - 46.2
46. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7) - 47.2
47. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-6) - 47.5
48. Texas A&M Aggies (6-6) - 47.6
49. Florida State Seminoles (6-6) - 47.9
50. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) - 49.5
51. South Florida Bulls (7-4) - 51.0
52. Fresno State Bulldogs (7-4) - 51.5
53. UCLA Bruins (6-6) - 52.7
54. Michigan State Spartans (6-6) - 55.0
55. ECU Pirates (8-4) - 55.1
56. Washington Huskies (4-7) - 56.7
57. UCF Knights (8-4) - 57.2
58. Ohio Bobcats (9-3) - 58.8
59. Purdue Boilermakers (5-7) - 59.5
60. Navy Midshipmen (8-4) - 59.6
61. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) - 60.0
62. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (9-3) - 62.0
63. Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) - 62.5
64. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-7) - 63.6
65. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-8) - 64.3
66. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 64.8
67. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5) - 66.6
68. Kansas Jayhawks (5-7) - 66.9
69. Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) - 67.9
70. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 69.9
71. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-5) - 70.1
72. Michigan Wolverines (5-7) - 72.4
73. Baylor Bears (4-8) - 72.9
74. NC State Wolfpack (5-7) - 75.7
75. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-6) - 75.9
(tie) Temple Owls (9-3) - 75.9
77. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 78.7
78. Colorado Buffaloes (3-9) - 78.9
79. UAB Blazers (5-7) - 80.2
80. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-8) - 81.2
81. Louisville Cardinals (4-8) - 81.4
82. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 81.6
83. Idaho Vandals (7-5) - 81.7
84. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-8) - 82.5
85. SMU Mustangs (7-5) - 83.4
86. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-7) - 86.7
87. UTEP Miners (4-8) - 88.4
88. UNLV Rebels (5-7) - 88.5
89. Hawaii Warriors (6-6) - 90.1
90. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 90.3
91. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 91.0
92. Duke Blue Devils (5-7) - 91.9
93. Utah State Aggies (4-8) - 93.3
94. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 94.1
95. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 94.8
96. Virginia Cavaliers (3-9) - 95.3
97. Florida Atlantic Owls (4-7) - 97.4
98. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) - 98.1
99. Maryland Terrapins (2-10) - 99.3
100. San Diego State Aztecs (4-8) - 100.2
101. Western Michigan Broncos (5-7) - 100.4
102. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6) - 100.5
103. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 100.8
104. Toledo Rockets (5-7) - 102.5
105. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 103.9
106. Memphis Tigers (2-10) - 105.9
107. FIU Golden Panthers (3-8) - 106.3
108. Army Black Knights (5-6) - 108.3
109. Akron Zips (3-9) - 108.6
110. North Texas Mean Green (2-10) - 109.1
111. San Jose State Spartans (2-9) - 111.7
112. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 112.1
113. Ball State Cardinals (2-10) - 113.1
114. Miami University RedHawks (1-11) - 113.7
115. Rice Owls (2-10) - 114.7
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 115.6
117. Washington State Cougars (1-11) - 116.8
118. New Mexico Lobos (1-11) - 117.5
119. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-12) - 118.9
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-11) - 120.6

About the Baggaley NCAA FBS Division Football Ranking System

The Baggaley NCAA FBS Division Football Ranking System is a system for ranking the season success of each of the FBS division football programs. Note that there is a technical difference between this and ranking the teams based on which team is BETTER than another team or which team would beat another team if they played each other.

The ranking system is based on the simple premise that if a team beats another team, it should be ranked higher than that team and if a team beats another team by a lot of points, it should be ranked a lot higher than that other team. At the beginning of the season, unlike other ranking systems that release preseason rankings that unfortunately limit the potential of most FBS teams, all teams begin the season with the same ranking. Rankings are then adjusted week to week based only on wins, losses and margin of victory. If you beat a team that is ranked higher than you, they drop in rank and you go up in rank to the point that you are higher ranked than the team you beat. Additional adjustments are applied for the margin of victory, so teams that beat a lower ranked team can still rise based on that margin of victory (although it won't do you any good to score that additional touchdown to beat the other team by 56 instead of 49 - anything over a 20 point victory is considered a blowout and treated equally). Finally, there is a penalty applied to reduce the value of point differential for victories over lower ranked teams. The size of the penalty depends on how much lower ranked the other team is - for example a 21 point victory over a much weaker team might really only as valuable as beating a team that is your equal by a field goal.

That's the basic premise. However, recognizing that this gives an advantage to teams that win late in the season, the order in which the games occur is removed from the calculations by analyzing each team's rankings as if the games had occurred in a variety of different orders that end up weighting the weeks equally, and the rating that is used is an average of each of these possible results. In other words, after week 3, each team's ratings are based on how they would be ranked if week 1 was played first, then week 2, then week 3 AND how they would be ranked if the order of weeks went each of the following orders: 1-3-2, 2-1-3, 2-3-1, 3-1-2, and 3-2-1.

We will be glad to answer any questions.

Week 12 Rankings

1. Texas Longhorns (11-0) - 1.0
2. TCU Horned Frogs (11-0) - 2.1
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) - 3.1
4. Boise State Broncos (11-0) - 4.2
5. Florida Gators (11-0) - 4.6
6. Cincinnati Bearcats (10-0) - 6.1
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) - 7.1
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) - 8.7
9. Oregon Ducks (9-2) - 9.1
10. Virginia Tech Hokies (8-3) - 9.7
11. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-1) - 10.6
12. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-4) - 12.9
13. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-2) - 14.7
14. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-1) - 14.8
15. Miami Hurricanes (8-3) - 15.7
16. Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4) - 17.6
17. Clemson Tigers (8-3) - 18.0
18. Oklahoma Sooners (6-5) - 19.0
19. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) - 19.4
20. Arizona Wildcats (6-4) - 19.7
21. LSU Tigers (8-3) - 20.4
22. Oregon State Beavers (8-3) - 21.5
23. Ole Miss Rebels (8-3) - 22.9
24. BYU Cougars (9-2) - 23.0
25. Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-3) - 23.4
26. Stanford Cardinal (7-4) - 25.1
27. Utah Utes (9-2) - 27.6
28. Auburn Tigers (7-4) - 28.7
29. USC Trojans (7-3) - 30.3
30. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) - 31.0
31. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-3) - 31.9
32. California Golden Bears (8-3) - 32.5
33. Wisconsin Badgers (8-3) - 32.9
34. Tennessee Volunteers (6-5) - 34.4
35. Houston Cougars (9-2) - 35.4
36. Central Michigan Chippewas (9-2) - 35.8
37. Missouri Tigers (7-4) - 36.1
38. Boston College Eagles (7-4) - 37.4
39. South Florida Bulls (7-3) - 40.4
40. Connecticut Huskies (5-5) - 41.1
(tie) Florida State Seminoles (6-5) - 41.1
42. Troy Trojans (8-3) - 41.4
43. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-3) - 43.4
44. Air Force Falcons (7-5) - 43.5
45. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-5) - 43.6
46. UCLA Bruins (6-5) - 46.4
47. Georgia Bulldogs (6-5) - 47.3
48. Texas A&M Aggies (6-5) - 48.0
49. Navy Midshipmen (8-3) - 48.5
50. Nevada Wolf Pack (8-3) - 48.7
51. Kentucky Wildcats (7-4) - 49.7
52. Fresno State Bulldogs (7-4) - 50.3
53. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 52.7
54. Michigan State Spartans (6-6) - 54.1
55. ECU Pirates (7-4) - 56.2
56. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-7) - 56.5
57. UCF Knights (7-4) - 57.3
58. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) - 57.5
59. Purdue Boilermakers (5-7) - 58.1
60. Washington Huskies (3-7) - 60.0
61. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 62.5
62. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-4) - 63.3
63. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-7) - 64.0
64. Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) - 64.4
65. Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) - 65.3
66. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-4) - 66.1
67. Kansas Jayhawks (5-6) - 67.5
68. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-7) - 68.2
69. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-3) - 68.5
70. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 69.0
71. Temple Owls (9-2) - 69.3
72. Ohio Bobcats (8-3) - 69.5
73. Michigan Wolverines (5-7) - 72.1
74. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-5) - 72.5
75. Baylor Bears (4-7) - 75.5
76. Syracuse Orange (4-7) - 76.3
77. Louisville Cardinals (4-7) - 77.4
78. Idaho Vandals (7-4) - 78.9
79. Colorado Buffaloes (3-8) - 79.0
80. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7) - 81.4
81. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-8) - 81.6
82. SMU Mustangs (6-5) - 82.9
83. NC State Wolfpack (4-7) - 83.4
84. Buffalo Bulls (4-7) - 84.2
85. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7) - 84.8
86. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 87.6
87. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-6) - 87.7
88. Western Michigan Broncos (5-6) - 89.6
89. Duke Blue Devils (5-6) - 89.7
90. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-5) - 90.4
91. UNLV Rebels (4-7) - 90.5
(tie) Virginia Cavaliers (3-8) - 90.5
93. UAB Blazers (4-7) - 93.8
94. Wyoming Cowboys (5-6) - 94.3
95. UTEP Miners (3-8) - 94.8
96. San Diego State Aztecs (4-7) - 96.0
97. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-7) - 97.6
98. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-5) - 97.7
99. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-8) - 98.7
100. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-10) - 99.4
101. Hawaii Warriors (5-6) - 100.4
102. Maryland Terrapins (2-9) - 100.7
103. Utah State Aggies (3-8) - 100.9
104. Toledo Rockets (5-6) - 101.2
105. Colorado State Rams (3-8) - 103.6
106. Rice Owls (3-8) - 106.1
107. FIU Golden Panthers (3-8) - 107.2
108. Akron Zips (2-9) - 108.3
109. Memphis Tigers (2-9) - 108.8
110. Army Black Knights (5-6) - 109.3
111. North Texas Mean Green (2-9) - 109.9
112. Tulane Green Wave (3-8) - 112.3
113. San Jose State Spartans (1-9) - 113.2
114. Miami University RedHawks (1-11) - 113.7
115. Washington State Cougars (1-10) - 116.0
116. Ball State Cardinals (1-10) - 116.1
117. New Mexico Lobos (1-10) - 116.6
(tie) New Mexico State Aggies (3-8) - 116.6
119. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-11) - 118.9
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-10) - 120.7

Week 11 Rankings

We'll be posting a summary of how our ranking system works in the next few days, but for now, here are our current rankings after Week 11 of the 2009 season:

1. Texas Longhorns (10-0) - 1.0
2. TCU Horned Frogs (10-0) - 2.4
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-0) - 2.8
4. Florida Gators (10-0) - 4.4
5. Boise State Broncos (10-0) - 4.5
6. Cincinnati Bearcats (10-0) - 5.9
7. Oregon Ducks (8-2) - 7.8
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-2) - 8.0
9. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) - 9.4
10. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-3) - 10.0
11. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-1) - 10.2
12. Oklahoma Sooners (6-4) - 12.2
13. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-1) - 13.6
14. Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-2) - 14.9
15. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4) - 16.2
16. LSU Tigers (8-2) - 17.2
17. Stanford Cardinal (7-3) - 17.5
18. Miami Hurricanes (7-3) - 19.4
19. Clemson Tigers (7-3) - 19.8
20. Iowa Hawkeyes (9-2) - 19.9
21. Arizona Wildcats (6-3) - 21.3
22. Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-3) - 22.4
23. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-2) - 22.9
24. Ole Miss Rebels (7-3) - 23.3
25. Oregon State Beavers (7-3) - 23.7
26. Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) - 27.3
27. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4) - 27.9
28. Utah Utes (8-2) - 28.0
29. BYU Cougars (8-2) - 28.4
30. Auburn Tigers (7-4) - 28.9
31. USC Trojans (7-3) - 29.9
32. Boston College Eagles (7-3) - 31.2
33. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-3) - 33.6
34. Air Force Falcons (7-4) - 33.8
35. Missouri Tigers (6-4) - 35.8
36. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-3) - 37.2
37. Tennessee Volunteers (5-5) - 38.3
38. California Golden Bears (7-3) - 39.2
39. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-4) - 40.3
40. Central Michigan Chippewas (8-2) - 40.5
41. South Florida Bulls (6-3) - 41.2
42. Florida State Seminoles (5-5) - 41.8
(tie) Houston Cougars (8-2) - 41.8
44. Georgia Bulldogs (6-4) - 42.9
45. Connecticut Huskies (4-5) - 43.9
46. Navy Midshipmen (8-3) - 45.7
47. UCLA Bruins (5-5) - 47.2
48. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-3) - 47.3
49. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-4) - 49.1
50. Troy Trojans (7-3) - 50.0
51. Texas A&M Aggies (5-5) - 51.1
52. Kentucky Wildcats (6-4) - 51.6
53. Michigan State Spartans (6-5) - 51.8
54. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 53.1
55. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) - 53.6
56. ECU Pirates (6-4) - 58.2
(tie) Washington Huskies (3-7) - 58.2
58. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-3) - 59.2
59. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-7) - 59.6
60. Purdue Boilermakers (4-7) - 59.7
61. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-5) - 60.8
62. Iowa State Cyclones (6-5) - 63.0
63. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-6) - 63.4
(tie) UCF Knights (6-4) - 63.4
65. Kansas Jayhawks (5-5) - 64.9
66. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-4) - 65.7
67. Baylor Bears (4-6) - 66.1
68. Bowling Green Falcons (5-5) - 66.8
69. Northwestern Wildcats (7-4) - 67.7
70. Ohio Bobcats (7-3) - 70.3
71. Kansas State Wildcats (6-5) - 70.4
(tie) Michigan Wolverines (5-6) - 70.4
73. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-5) - 73.1
74. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-3) - 73.7
75. Temple Owls (8-2) - 75.0
76. Idaho Vandals (7-4) - 77.0
77. Louisville Cardinals (4-6) - 78.2
78. SMU Mustangs (6-4) - 81.2
79. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-7) - 81.4
80. NC State Wolfpack (4-6) - 81.5
81. Colorado Buffaloes (3-7) - 81.7
82. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7) - 82.0
83. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-5) - 82.8
84. Indiana Hoosiers (4-7) - 82.9
85. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-6) - 84.9
86. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-4) - 85.5
87. Duke Blue Devils (5-5) - 87.4
88. Western Michigan Broncos (5-6) - 89.6
89. UNLV Rebels (4-7) - 90.3
90. Virginia Cavaliers (3-7) - 90.5
91. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-6) - 91.6
92. Wyoming Cowboys (5-5) - 92.3
93. Buffalo Bulls (3-7) - 92.7
94. Syracuse Orange (3-7) - 92.8
95. UTEP Miners (3-7) - 93.9
96. San Diego State Aztecs (4-6) - 94.3
97. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) - 95.6
98. UAB Blazers (4-6) - 96.8
99. Colorado State Rams (3-7) - 98.3
100. Utah State Aggies (3-7) - 99.2
101. Hawaii Warriors (4-6) - 99.4
102. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-9) - 102.0
103. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (5-5) - 102.3
104. Toledo Rockets (4-6) - 102.5
105. Maryland Terrapins (2-8) - 103.5
106. FIU Golden Panthers (3-7) - 105.9
107. Memphis Tigers (2-8) - 106.8
108. North Texas Mean Green (2-8) - 108.5
109. Akron Zips (2-8) - 108.8
110. Rice Owls (2-8) - 109.6
111. Army Black Knights (4-6) - 110.5
112. Miami University RedHawks (1-10) - 112.2
113. Tulane Green Wave (3-7) - 112.8
114. San Jose State Spartans (1-8) - 114.4
115. Washington State Cougars (1-9) - 115.0
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 115.8
117. Ball State Cardinals (1-9) - 116.0
118. New Mexico Lobos (0-10) - 118.3
119. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-10) - 118.5
120. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-10) - 120.7