Wednesday, December 16, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 15

Little change this week - only one game was played. Here are the final updated pre-bowl game rankings:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) - 1.3
2. Clemson Tigers (13-0) - 2.1
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 2.7
4. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 4.1
5. Stanford Cardinal (11-2) - 5.7
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2) - 6.8
7. Michigan State Spartans (12-1) - 7.8
8. Florida State Seminoles (10-2) - 8.7
9. Houston Cougars (12-1) - 9.4
10. Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) - 9.7
11. Iowa Hawkeyes (12-1) - 10.9
12. Baylor Bears (9-3) - 12.1
13. Navy Midshipmen (10-2) - 13.4
14. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 14.5
15. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2) - 15.5
16. Michigan Wolverines (9-3) - 15.7
17. LSU Tigers (8-3) - 17.1
18. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-2) - 19.1
19. Temple Owls (10-3) - 19.8
20. North Carolina Tar Heels (11-2) - 21.6
21. Florida Gators (10-3) - 22.3
22. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 22.9
23. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2) - 23.5
24. Oregon Ducks (9-3) - 23.9
25. Memphis Tigers (9-3) - 24.6
26. Bowling Green Falcons (10-3) - 25.2
27. Toledo Rockets (9-2) - 26.1
28. Northwestern Wildcats (10-2) - 26.7
29. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 29.2
30. Utah Utes (9-3) - 29.6
31. USC Trojans (8-5) - 29.9
32. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) - 30.8
33. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-2) - 31.7
34. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5) - 35.2
35. BYU Cougars (9-3) - 36.3
(tie) Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) - 36.3
37. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 37.3
38. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 37.7
39. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 38.9
40. Washington Huskies (6-6) - 41.2
41. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-5) - 43.5
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) - 43.5
43. San Diego State Aztecs (10-3) - 44.3
44. South Florida Bulls (8-4) - 45.2
45. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-3) - 45.8
46. UCLA Bruins (8-4) - 46.2
47. Miami Hurricanes (8-4) - 46.7
48. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-5) - 48.6
49. NC State Wolfpack (7-5) - 49.8
50. Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-7) - 49.9
51. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 50.3
52. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9-4) - 50.8
53. Louisville Cardinals (7-5) - 52.4
54. Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-3) - 54.2
55. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-6) - 54.4
56. Auburn Tigers (6-6) - 56.9
57. Boise State Broncos (8-4) - 57.3
58. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 57.8
59. Georgia Southern Eagles (8-4) - 58.0
60. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 60.7
61. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5) - 60.8
62. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) - 61.1
63. Washington State Cougars (8-4) - 61.4
64. Central Michigan Chippewas (7-5) - 61.5
65. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 62.5
66. Indiana Hoosiers (6-6) - 66.3
67. Air Force Falcons (8-5) - 66.5
(tie) Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 66.5
69. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-7) - 69.7
70. Akron Zips (7-5) - 71.1
71. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-7) - 71.3
72. Arizona Wildcats (6-6) - 73.4
(tie) Missouri Tigers (5-7) - 73.4
74. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 73.8
75. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) - 74.4
76. Utah State Aggies (6-6) - 74.8
77. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9) - 75.9
78. ECU Pirates (5-7) - 77.0
79. Connecticut Huskies (6-6) - 78.6
80. Colorado State Rams (7-5) - 79.5
81. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 81.5
82. Virginia Cavaliers (4-8) - 83.2
83. Maryland Terrapins (3-9) - 84.0
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (4-8) - 84.0
85. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 85.4
86. Boston College Eagles (3-9) - 86.1
(tie) Kentucky Wildcats (5-7) - 86.1
88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-6) - 86.7
89. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 87.1
90. New Mexico Lobos (7-5) - 90.4
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-9) - 92.6
92. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 94.2
93. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 95.1
94. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-6) - 95.2
95. Georgia State Panthers (6-6) - 95.6
96. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-9) - 96.5
97. Troy Trojans (4-8) - 96.6
98. FIU Golden Panthers (5-7) - 97.8
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (3-9) - 97.8
100. Purdue Boilermakers (2-10) - 98.5
101. Rice Owls (5-7) - 100.2
102. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 100.7
103. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 103.2
104. South Alabama Jaguars (5-7) - 104.4
105. Miami University RedHawks (3-9) - 105.4
106. Massachusetts Minutemen (3-9) - 106.2
107. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 107.5
108. UNLV Rebels (3-9) - 107.8
109. Ball State Cardinals (3-9) - 108.3
110. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-8) - 109.5
111. UTSA Roadrunners (4-10) - 110.1
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-7) - 111.2
113. Idaho Vandals (4-8) - 111.4
114. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 113.5
115. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-9) - 113.7
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 116.1
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-10) - 117.5
118. Hawaii Warriors (3-10) - 119.2
119. Texas State Bobcats (2-8) - 119.6
120. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 120.5
121. SMU Mustangs (2-10) - 121.1
122. Wyoming Cowboys (2-10) - 121.7
123. Army Black Knights (2-10) - 122.3
124. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-11) - 122.6
125. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-11) - 124.0
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-11) - 126.4
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-12) - 127.8
128. UCF Knights (0-12) - 128.5

Monday, December 7, 2015

2015 College Football Bowl Season - Most Intriguing Matchups

Each year we rank the bowls based on a measure we call "intrigue". Basically, what this means is that we look at each game and analyze, based on the performance of the two teams involved in the game, the relative chance that the game will play out to be a close game between two very good teams. It's a mixture of a measure of the quality of the teams involved and also how closely matched they are. Here are the results of our analysis of the 40 bowl games in the 2015/2016 bowl season:

1. College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl - #4 Oklahoma vs. #2 Clemson
2. BattleFrog Fiesta Bowl - #6 Notre Dame vs. #3 Ohio State
3. Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl - #8 Houston vs. #9 Florida State
4. College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic - #7 Michigan State vs. #1 Alabama
5. Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual - #5 Stanford vs. #11 Iowa
6. Allstate Sugar Bowl - #18 Oklahoma State vs. #10 Ole Miss
7. Russell Athletic Bowl - #20 North Carolina vs. #13 Baylor
8. Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl - #15 Michigan vs. #21 Florida
9. Valero Alamo Bowl - #24 Oregon vs. #16 TCU
10. Marmot Boca Raton Bowl - #27 Toledo vs. #19 Temple
11. Holiday Bowl - #31 USC vs. #32 Wisconsin
12. Outback Bowl - #28 Northwestern vs. #14 Tennessee
13. Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl - #35 BYU vs. #30 Utah
14. TaxSlayer Bowl - #41 Penn State vs. #35 Georgia
15. Hawai'I Bowl - #43 San Diego State vs. #48 Cincinnati
(tie) Foster Farms Bowl - #46 UCLA vs. #49 Nebraska
17. Military Bowl presented by Northrop Grumman - #38 Pittsburgh vs. #12 Navy
18. AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl - #17 LSU vs. #41 Texas Tech
19. Miami Beach Bowl - #23 Western Kentucky vs. #44 South Florida
20. Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl - #40 Washington vs. #52 Southern Miss
21. Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl - #37 Texas A&M vs. #53 Louisville
22. Belk Bowl - #49 NC State vs. #22 Mississippi State
23. San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl - #57 Boise State vs. #61 Northern Illinois
24. Motel 6 Cactus Bowl - #34 West Virginia vs. #55 Arizona State
25. R + L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - #54 Arkansas State vs. #62 Louisiana Tech
26. Hyundai Sun Bowl - #47 Miami vs. #63 Washington State
27. Birmingham Bowl - #56 Auburn vs. #25 Memphis
28. Quick Lane Bowl - #64 Central Michigan vs. #71 Minnesota
29. GoDaddy Bowl - #59 Georgia Southern vs. #26 Bowling Green
30. New Era Pinstripe Bowl - #66 Indiana vs. #74 Duke
31. Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - #70 Akron vs. #76 Utah State
32. Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl - #39 California vs. #67 Air Force
33. AutoZone Liberty Bowl - #65 Kansas State vs. #29 Arkansas
34. Raycom media Camellia Bowl - #67 Ohio vs. #33 Appalachian State
35. Popeyes Bahamas Bowl - #75 Middle Tennessee vs. #51 Western Michigan
36. St. Petersburg Bowl - #79 Conneticut vs. #45 Marshall
(tie) Cure Bowl - #93 San Jose State vs. #95 Georgia State
38. Gildan New Mexico Bowl - #72 Arizona vs. #90 New Mexico
39. NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl - #94 Nevada vs. #80 Colorado State

40. Camping World Independence Bowl - #88 Tulsa vs. #58 Virginia Tech

Saturday, December 5, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 14

According to our analysis, the four teams that had the best season this year were Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State and Oklahoma. Three of those teams will be in the College Football Playoff this year. Ohio State will not, and it's hard to disagree with the committee on this one. Ohio State didn't win its conference, by virtue of its loss to Michigan State. Conference championships should matter. However, Michigan State's loss to Nebraska (who isn't even bowl eligible) is problematic for the Spartans. The committee will probably overlook it and put them in the playoff. Our analysis says that PAC-12 champion Stanford, even with two losses is more deserving. Stanford's two losses were to Oregon (ranked #24 in our analysis) and Northwestern (ranked #28). They also have a win over Notre Dame (ranked #6), which our analysis also shows to be more deserving of being in the playoff. Michigan State comes in at #7.

Here are the rankings with only one regular season game left - next week's Army-Navy game:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) - 1.3
2. Clemson Tigers (13-0) - 2.1
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 2.7
4. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 4.1
5. Stanford Cardinal (11-2) - 5.7
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2) - 6.8
7. Michigan State Spartans (12-1) - 7.9
8. Houston Cougars (12-1) - 8.8
9. Florida State Seminoles (10-2) - 8.9
10. Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) - 10.0
11. Iowa Hawkeyes (12-1) - 11.3
12. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 11.5
13. Baylor Bears (9-3) - 12.8
14. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 14.7
15. Michigan Wolverines (9-3) - 15.8
16. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2) - 15.9
17. LSU Tigers (8-3) - 17.3
18. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-2) - 19.1
19. Temple Owls (10-3) - 19.8
20. North Carolina Tar Heels (11-2) - 21.7
21. Florida Gators (10-3) - 22.2
22. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 22.9
23. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2) - 23.5
24. Oregon Ducks (9-3) - 23.9
25. Memphis Tigers (9-3) - 24.3
26. Bowling Green Falcons (10-3) - 25.3
27. Toledo Rockets (9-2) - 26.1
28. Northwestern Wildcats (10-2) - 26.8
29. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 29.2
30. Utah Utes (9-3) - 29.6
31. USC Trojans (8-5) - 29.9
32. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) - 30.8
33. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-2) - 31.7
34. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5) - 35.2
35. BYU Cougars (9-3) - 36.3
(tie) Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) - 36.3
37. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 37.3
38. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 37.7
39. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 38.9
40. Washington Huskies (6-6) - 41.2
41. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-5) - 43.5
(tie) Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) - 43.5
43. San Diego State Aztecs (10-3) - 44.4
44. South Florida Bulls (8-4) - 45.1
45. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-3) - 45.8
46. UCLA Bruins (8-4) - 46.3
47. Miami Hurricanes (8-4) - 46.7
48. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-5) - 48.6
49. NC State Wolfpack (7-5) - 49.9
(tie) Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-7) - 49.9
51. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 50.2
52. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9-4) - 50.8
53. Louisville Cardinals (7-5) - 52.3
54. Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-3) - 54.2
55. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-6) - 54.4
56. Auburn Tigers (6-6) - 56.9
57. Boise State Broncos (8-4) - 57.3
58. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 57.8
59. Georgia Southern Eagles (8-4) - 58.0
60. Texas Longhorns (5-7) - 60.7
61. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5) - 60.8
62. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) - 60.9
63. Washington State Cougars (8-4) - 61.4
64. Central Michigan Chippewas (7-5) - 61.5
65. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6) - 62.5
66. Indiana Hoosiers (6-6) - 66.4
67. Air Force Falcons (8-5) - 66.5
(tie) Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 66.5
69. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-7) - 69.7
70. Akron Zips (7-5) - 71.0
71. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-7) - 71.3
72. Arizona Wildcats (6-6) - 73.4
(tie) Missouri Tigers (5-7) - 73.4
74. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 73.8
75. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) - 74.5
76. Utah State Aggies (6-6) - 74.9
77. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9) - 75.9
78. ECU Pirates (5-7) - 76.8
79. Connecticut Huskies (6-6) - 78.5
80. Colorado State Rams (7-5) - 79.7
81. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 81.5
82. Virginia Cavaliers (4-8) - 83.2
83. Maryland Terrapins (3-9) - 84.0
84. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-8) - 84.1
85. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 85.4
86. Boston College Eagles (3-9) - 86.1
(tie) Kentucky Wildcats (5-7) - 86.1
88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-6) - 86.7
89. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 87.1
90. New Mexico Lobos (7-5) - 90.2
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-9) - 92.6
92. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 94.4
93. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 95.1
94. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-6) - 95.2
95. Georgia State Panthers (6-6) - 95.5
96. Troy Trojans (4-8) - 96.6
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-9) - 96.6
98. FIU Golden Panthers (5-7) - 97.8
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (3-9) - 97.8
100. Purdue Boilermakers (2-10) - 98.5
101. Rice Owls (5-7) - 100.3
102. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 100.7
103. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 103.2
104. South Alabama Jaguars (5-7) - 104.4
105. Miami University RedHawks (3-9) - 105.4
106. Massachusetts Minutemen (3-9) - 106.1
107. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 107.5
108. UNLV Rebels (3-9) - 107.8
109. Ball State Cardinals (3-9) - 108.3
110. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-8) - 109.5
111. UTSA Roadrunners (4-10) - 110.1
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-7) - 111.2
113. Idaho Vandals (4-8) - 111.4
114. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 113.5
115. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-9) - 113.7
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 116.0
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-10) - 117.4
118. Hawaii Warriors (3-10) - 119.1
119. Texas State Bobcats (2-8) - 119.5
120. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 120.5
121. SMU Mustangs (2-10) - 120.9
122. Wyoming Cowboys (2-10) - 121.5
123. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-11) - 122.5
124. Army Black Knights (2-9) - 123.2
125. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-11) - 124.0
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-11) - 126.4
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-12) - 127.9
128. UCF Knights (0-12) - 128.4

Monday, November 30, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 13

Rather than having one team separate themselves from the rest, as usually happens as the season wears on, the race at the top of the standings is just getting tighter every week. This week, it couldn't get any tighter, as Clemson and Alabama both tie for the top spot in our analysis. Meanwhile, still undefeated Iowa actually dropped to 11th, after beating now-#52 Nebraska 28-20, making this week's Big Ten championship game between them and #8 Michigan State an interesting matchup, considering that #3 Ohio State still shows as the team with the best season in the conference, despite being locked out of the conference title game, because they lost the head-to-head game, and therefore the tiebreaker, to the Spartans. Michigan State has got to be kicking themselves for that one-point loss to Nebraska (who is not even bowl eligible).

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 1.8
(tie) Clemson Tigers (12-0) - 1.8
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 2.6
4. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 4.2
5. Baylor Bears (9-2) - 5.3
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2) - 6.8
7. Stanford Cardinal (10-2) - 7.4
8. Florida State Seminoles (10-2) - 9.2
(tie) Michigan State Spartans (11-1) - 9.2
10. Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) - 10.9
11. Iowa Hawkeyes (12-0) - 11.1
12. Houston Cougars (11-1) - 11.3
13. Navy Midshipmen (9-2) - 12.9
14. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2) - 14.0
15. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4) - 15.4
16. Michigan Wolverines (9-3) - 16.7
17. Temple Owls (10-2) - 17.7
18. LSU Tigers (8-3) - 18.0
19. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-2) - 18.1
20. North Carolina Tar Heels (11-1) - 20.3
21. Florida Gators (10-2) - 20.7
22. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 22.9
23. Memphis Tigers (9-3) - 25.0
24. Oregon Ducks (9-3) - 25.5
25. Toledo Rockets (9-2) - 26.0
26. USC Trojans (8-4) - 26.9
27. Northwestern Wildcats (10-2) - 27.1
28. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) - 28.6
29. Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-2) - 29.3
30. Bowling Green Falcons (9-3) - 29.4
31. Utah Utes (9-3) - 30.0
32. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-2) - 30.4
33. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) - 30.7
34. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-4) - 32.2
35. Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) - 35.9
36. BYU Cougars (9-3) - 37.5
37. Georgia Southern Eagles (8-3) - 37.9
38. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 38.3
39. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-4) - 38.6
40. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 39.6
41. Washington Huskies (6-6) - 42.2
42. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) - 44.6
43. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-5) - 44.7
44. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9-3) - 44.9
45. Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) - 45.8
46. UCLA Bruins (8-4) - 46.4
47. South Florida Bulls (8-4) - 46.7
48. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-3) - 47.2
49. Miami Hurricanes (8-4) - 47.6
50. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 49.9
51. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-5) - 50.2
52. Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-7) - 50.4
53. NC State Wolfpack (7-5) - 52.2
54. Louisville Cardinals (7-5) - 53.2
55. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-6) - 55.7
56. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-4) - 55.9
57. Auburn Tigers (6-6) - 57.8
58. Boise State Broncos (8-4) - 58.2
59. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-3) - 58.6
60. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 58.9
61. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) - 59.4
62. Central Michigan Chippewas (7-5) - 60.9
63. Washington State Cougars (8-4) - 62.3
64. Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 64.4
65. Indiana Hoosiers (6-6) - 65.5
66. Air Force Falcons (8-4) - 67.2
(tie) Kansas State Wildcats (5-6) - 67.2
68. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-7) - 68.7
69. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-7) - 69.9
70. Texas Longhorns (4-7) - 70.3
71. Akron Zips (7-5) - 70.7
72. Missouri Tigers (5-7) - 73.1
73. Arizona Wildcats (6-6) - 73.2
74. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 73.4
75. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) - 73.9
76. Utah State Aggies (6-6) - 74.6
77. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9) - 75.4
78. ECU Pirates (5-7) - 76.5
79. Connecticut Huskies (6-6) - 78.7
80. Colorado State Rams (7-5) - 79.6
81. Iowa State Cyclones (3-9) - 81.4
82. Virginia Cavaliers (4-8) - 83.2
83. Maryland Terrapins (3-9) - 84.3
84. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-8) - 84.4
85. Boston College Eagles (3-9) - 85.6
86. Kentucky Wildcats (5-7) - 85.8
87. Syracuse Orange (4-8) - 85.9
88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-6) - 86.8
89. Buffalo Bulls (5-7) - 86.9
90. New Mexico Lobos (7-5) - 89.7
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-9) - 92.5
92. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8) - 93.8
93. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 94.1
94. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-6) - 94.8
95. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-9) - 95.6
96. FIU Golden Panthers (5-7) - 97.0
97. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-9) - 97.2
98. Purdue Boilermakers (2-10) - 97.4
99. Rice Owls (5-7) - 98.9
100. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 99.3
101. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9) - 102.0
102. South Alabama Jaguars (5-6) - 103.3
103. Miami University RedHawks (3-9) - 104.5
104. Troy Trojans (3-8) - 104.7
105. Georgia State Panthers (5-6) - 104.9
106. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-7) - 105.0
107. Massachusetts Minutemen (3-9) - 105.7
108. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 107.1
109. UNLV Rebels (3-9) - 107.5
110. Ball State Cardinals (3-9) - 109.0
111. UTSA Roadrunners (4-9) - 109.2
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-7) - 111.8
113. Idaho Vandals (4-8) - 111.9
114. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 113.4
115. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-9) - 114.0
116. New Mexico State Aggies (3-8) - 114.4
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-10) - 117.7
118. Hawaii Warriors (3-10) - 119.3
119. Texas State Bobcats (2-8) - 119.5
120. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 120.3
121. SMU Mustangs (2-10) - 120.9
122. Wyoming Cowboys (2-10) - 121.4
123. Army Black Knights (2-9) - 123.1
124. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-11) - 123.5
125. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-11) - 123.6
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-11) - 126.3
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-12) - 128.0
128. UCF Knights (0-12) - 128.4

Sunday, November 22, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 12

After a loss by Ohio State and a game that was far closer than it ought to have been for Notre Dame, there are two new teams in the top four this week. Baylor is back in it, after a very good win over previously unbeaten Oklahoma State, and Navy comes in at number four, having blown out most of the teams they have played this year. The Navy-Notre Dame comparison is especially intriguing, because Notre Dame beat Navy head-to-head, and you would expect that if Navy was to be higher ranked, it would be because Notre Dame has a bad loss or two, but the Fighting Irish have only lost one game, on the road to undefeated Clemson, which cannot be classified as a bad loss. Instead, our analysis shows that Navy's wins are that much better than Notre Dame's other wins, which tend to be a little bit closer than they ought to be if the Fighting Irish want to be in the playoff. Notre Dame's upcoming game against #8 Stanford looms big if they want to justify a place in the top four again.

In another interesting side note, there are only two undefeated teams remaining - Clemson and the Iowa Hawkeyes that - because of their close games against a relatively week schedule - still come in at #9, even behind two-loss Stanford. Meanwhile, the PAC-12 South champion, the winner of next week's USC-UCLA rivalry game, is currently outside of the Top 25, meaning that it is possible, although certainly they would move up if they did beat Stanford in the PAC-12 Championship Game, for the PAC-12 representative to the Rose Bowl to not even be ranked.

Here are the complete rankings after Week 12:

1. Clemson Tigers (11-0) - 1.6
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) - 1.9
3. Baylor Bears (9-1) - 3.5
4. Navy Midshipmen (9-1) - 5.1
5. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-1) - 5.4
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-1) - 5.5
7. Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) - 6.4
8. Stanford Cardinal (9-2) - 8.6
9. Iowa Hawkeyes (11-0) - 10.0
10. Michigan Wolverines (9-2) - 10.2
11. Michigan State Spartans (10-1) - 11.5
12. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1) - 11.8
13. Ole Miss Rebels (8-3) - 13.4
14. Florida Gators (10-1) - 14.0
15. Toledo Rockets (9-1) - 15.7
16. Florida State Seminoles (9-2) - 15.9
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-3) - 16.5
18. TCU Horned Frogs (9-2) - 17.1
19. Tennessee Volunteers (7-4) - 18.0
20. Temple Owls (9-2) - 22.0
21. LSU Tigers (7-3) - 22.1
22. North Carolina Tar Heels (10-1) - 22.6
23. Oregon Ducks (8-3) - 23.7
24. Houston Cougars (10-1) - 24.2
25. Utah Utes (8-3) - 25.6
26. Northwestern Wildcats (9-2) - 25.9
27. Memphis Tigers (8-3) - 26.1
28. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-5) - 29.1
29. Bowling Green Falcons (8-3) - 30.0
30. USC Trojans (7-4) - 30.4
(tie) Wisconsin Badgers (8-3) - 30.4
32. Texas A&M Aggies (8-3) - 32.3
33. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-2) - 33.9
34. Georgia Bulldogs (8-3) - 34.6
35. Pittsburgh Panthers (8-3) - 34.9
36. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-4) - 36.3
37. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-2) - 36.6
38. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-2) - 38.8
39. UCLA Bruins (8-3) - 39.3
40. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-4) - 39.9
41. California Golden Bears (6-5) - 40.3
42. BYU Cougars (8-3) - 41.1
43. Georgia Southern Eagles (7-3) - 44.4
44. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-3) - 44.8
45. San Diego State Aztecs (8-3) - 45.4
46. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) - 46.6
47. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-3) - 47.8
48. NC State Wolfpack (7-4) - 48.2
49. Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-6) - 50.3
50. Air Force Falcons (8-3) - 50.6
51. South Florida Bulls (7-4) - 51.6
52. Washington State Cougars (8-3) - 51.9
53. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-5) - 52.0
54. Washington Huskies (5-6) - 53.0
55. Auburn Tigers (6-5) - 55.1
(tie) Southern Miss Golden Eagles (8-3) - 55.1
57. Miami Hurricanes (7-4) - 55.6
58. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-5) - 56.4
59. Central Michigan Chippewas (6-5) - 58.1
60. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-6) - 58.9
61. Western Michigan Broncos (6-5) - 60.4
62. Louisville Cardinals (6-5) - 60.9
63. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-3) - 62.1
64. Boise State Broncos (7-4) - 62.5
65. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-6) - 66.8
66. Missouri Tigers (5-6) - 68.1
67. Ohio Bobcats (7-4) - 68.2
68. Kansas State Wildcats (4-6) - 68.4
69. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-6) - 69.0
70. Texas Longhorns (4-6) - 70.3
71. Utah State Aggies (6-5) - 70.8
72. Indiana Hoosiers (5-6) - 72.9
73. Arizona Wildcats (6-6) - 73.2
74. Akron Zips (6-5) - 74.3
75. Duke Blue Devils (6-5) - 75.0
76. ECU Pirates (5-6) - 75.8
77. Iowa State Cyclones (3-8) - 76.7
78. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-8) - 77.0
79. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-5) - 77.1
80. Connecticut Huskies (6-5) - 77.5
81. Colorado State Rams (6-5) - 78.9
82. Kentucky Wildcats (5-6) - 83.0
83. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-7) - 83.4
84. Buffalo Bulls (5-6) - 83.6
85. Boston College Eagles (3-8) - 84.3
86. Virginia Cavaliers (4-7) - 85.0
87. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-6) - 88.2
88. Maryland Terrapins (2-9) - 88.4
89. Syracuse Orange (3-8) - 88.6
90. San Jose State Spartans (5-6) - 91.8
91. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-7) - 92.4
92. Purdue Boilermakers (2-9) - 92.6
93. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-5) - 94.2
94. Colorado Buffaloes (4-8) - 95.0
95. New Mexico Lobos (6-5) - 95.6
96. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-8) - 97.1
97. FIU Golden Panthers (5-7) - 97.3
98. UNLV Rebels (3-8) - 98.0
99. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-8) - 98.1
100. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-8) - 99.0
101. Troy Trojans (3-7) - 100.2
102. South Alabama Jaguars (5-5) - 102.0
103. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-9) - 102.9
104. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-6) - 103.5
105. Rice Owls (4-7) - 104.3
106. UTSA Roadrunners (4-8) - 106.7
107. Miami University RedHawks (3-9) - 106.8
108. Georgia State Panthers (4-6) - 107.2
109. Oregon State Beavers (2-9) - 108.2
110. Ball State Cardinals (3-8) - 109.0
111. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-6) - 111.1
112. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-9) - 111.6
113. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 113.1
(tie) UTEP Miners (4-7) - 113.1
115. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-8) - 113.2
116. Idaho Vandals (3-8) - 114.0
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-9) - 116.9
118. Texas State Bobcats (2-7) - 118.9
119. Hawaii Warriors (2-10) - 120.0
120. Tulane Green Wave (3-8) - 120.1
121. SMU Mustangs (2-9) - 120.4
122. Army Black Knights (2-9) - 122.6
123. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-10) - 123.4
124. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-10) - 123.7
(tie) Wyoming Cowboys (1-10) - 123.7
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-10) - 126.2
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-11) - 127.5
128. UCF Knights (0-11) - 128.5

Sunday, November 15, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 11

Several of the top 25 teams lost this week, especially in the PAC-12, where the Utah, Stanford and UCLA all lost - plus USC barely escaped with a win from bottom-of-the-PAC Colorado. Notre Dame is now in the top four, after Baylor lost to Oklahoma (which comes in at #5). Here are the full rankings for week 11:

1. Clemson Tigers (10-0) - 1.9
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) - 2.5
(tie) Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0) - 2.5
4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-1) - 4.5
5. Oklahoma Sooners (9-1) - 6.0
6. Navy Midshipmen (8-1) - 6.4
7. Baylor Bears (8-1) - 7.0
8. Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-0) - 7.6
9. Houston Cougars (10-0) - 8.9
10. Florida Gators (9-1) - 9.7
11. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-0) - 11.8
(tie) Stanford Cardinal (8-2) - 11.8
13. Michigan Wolverines (8-2) - 14.4
14. Memphis Tigers (8-2) - 14.8
15. LSU Tigers (7-2) - 15.8
16. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) - 17.6
(tie) TCU Horned Frogs (9-1) - 17.6
(tie) Tennessee Volunteers (6-4) - 17.6
19. Florida State Seminoles (8-2) - 18.7
20. Michigan State Spartans (9-1) - 20.0
21. Ole Miss Rebels (7-3) - 20.6
22. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) - 22.0
23. Bowling Green Falcons (8-2) - 23.0
24. Utah Utes (8-2) - 23.4
25. Toledo Rockets (8-1) - 24.2
26. USC Trojans (7-3) - 25.2
27. Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) - 25.9
28. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-4) - 27.1
29. Northwestern Wildcats (8-2) - 30.8
30. Oregon Ducks (7-3) - 31.4
31. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-2) - 33.2
32. Georgia Bulldogs (7-3) - 33.5
33. Temple Owls (8-2) - 33.7
34. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-3) - 34.3
35. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-4) - 35.3
36. Marshall Thundering Herd (9-2) - 36.7
(tie) Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 36.7
38. Texas A&M Aggies (7-3) - 37.2
39. California Golden Bears (6-4) - 37.5
40. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-2) - 40.1
41. Georgia Southern Eagles (7-2) - 42.0
42. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-4) - 43.1
43. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-3) - 43.2
44. BYU Cougars (7-3) - 43.6
45. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-3) - 44.1
46. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) - 45.7
47. UCLA Bruins (7-3) - 45.9
48. San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) - 47.6
49. NC State Wolfpack (6-4) - 48.2
50. Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-6) - 49.8
51. Air Force Falcons (7-3) - 52.7
52. Washington Huskies (4-6) - 53.2
53. Western Michigan Broncos (6-4) - 53.9
54. Central Michigan Chippewas (5-5) - 55.0
55. Auburn Tigers (5-5) - 56.5
56. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-5) - 58.4
57. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-5) - 58.7
58. Washington State Cougars (7-3) - 59.0
59. Miami Hurricanes (6-4) - 59.1
60. Louisville Cardinals (6-4) - 59.3
61. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-3) - 59.8
62. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-3) - 59.9
63. South Florida Bulls (6-4) - 60.7
64. Boise State Broncos (7-3) - 61.4
65. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-5) - 64.1
66. Missouri Tigers (5-5) - 65.4
67. Arizona Wildcats (6-5) - 67.1
68. Kansas State Wildcats (3-6) - 69.9
(tie) Texas Longhorns (4-6) - 69.9
70. Duke Blue Devils (6-4) - 70.2
71. Ohio Bobcats (6-4) - 70.5
72. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-7) - 70.8
73. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-6) - 73.3
(tie) Utah State Aggies (5-5) - 73.3
75. Iowa State Cyclones (3-7) - 76.0
76. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-7) - 76.3
77. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6) - 76.4
78. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-5) - 77.3
79. Buffalo Bulls (5-5) - 78.3
80. Indiana Hoosiers (4-6) - 79.3
81. Colorado State Rams (5-5) - 81.4
82. ECU Pirates (4-6) - 81.8
83. Akron Zips (5-5) - 83.1
84. Kentucky Wildcats (4-6) - 84.3
85. Maryland Terrapins (2-8) - 84.8
86. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-5) - 85.5
87. Boston College Eagles (3-7) - 86.3
88. Virginia Cavaliers (3-7) - 86.6
89. Connecticut Huskies (5-5) - 87.9
90. Syracuse Orange (3-7) - 89.1
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-7) - 91.2
92. Purdue Boilermakers (2-8) - 93.3
93. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-4) - 94.3
94. New Mexico Lobos (6-4) - 94.5
95. San Jose State Spartans (4-6) - 94.6
96. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-7) - 97.0
97. UNLV Rebels (3-7) - 97.3
98. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-7) - 97.8
99. FIU Golden Panthers (5-6) - 98.4
100. South Alabama Jaguars (5-4) - 98.7
101. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-7) - 100.7
102. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-5) - 101.2
103. Troy Trojans (3-7) - 102.5
104. Rice Owls (4-6) - 103.8
105. Oregon State Beavers (2-8) - 104.3
106. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-8) - 105.9
107. Ball State Cardinals (3-7) - 106.8
108. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8) - 108.1
109. UTSA Roadrunners (3-8) - 109.4
110. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-5) - 110.3
111. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-7) - 111.3
112. Miami University RedHawks (2-9) - 111.6
113. Idaho Vandals (3-7) - 112.1
114. Tulane Green Wave (3-7) - 113.9
115. UTEP Miners (4-6) - 115.1
116. Georgia State Panthers (3-6) - 115.2
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-8) - 116.8
118. New Mexico State Aggies (2-7) - 117.1
119. Hawaii Warriors (2-9) - 118.7
120. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-9) - 120.4
121. Army Black Knights (2-8) - 121.2
122. Texas State Bobcats (1-7) - 122.4
123. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-10) - 123.4
124. Wyoming Cowboys (1-10) - 123.7
125. SMU Mustangs (1-9) - 124.4
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-9) - 126.1
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-10) - 126.7
128. UCF Knights (0-10) - 127.5

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 10

This is a late post. No analysis.

1. Clemson Tigers (9-0) - 1.7
2. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0) - 2.8
3. Baylor Bears (8-0) - 3.0
4. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) - 4.6
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1) - 5.5
6. LSU Tigers (7-1) - 6.8
7. Stanford Cardinal (8-1) - 7.0
8. Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-0) - 7.6
9. Navy Midshipmen (7-1) - 9.9
10. Houston Cougars (9-0) - 10.9
11. Michigan Wolverines (7-2) - 11.4
12. Iowa Hawkeyes (9-0) - 11.8
13. Florida Gators (8-1) - 12.8
(tie) Oklahoma Sooners (8-1) - 12.8
15. Temple Owls (8-1) - 15.3
16. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2) - 16.0
17. Utah Utes (8-1) - 16.5
18. TCU Horned Frogs (8-1) - 17.4
19. Memphis Tigers (8-1) - 19.1
20. USC Trojans (6-3) - 20.7
21. Michigan State Spartans (8-1) - 21.6
22. Tennessee Volunteers (5-4) - 23.8
23. Ole Miss Rebels (7-3) - 23.9
24. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-1) - 24.1
25. Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) - 24.3
26. Florida State Seminoles (7-2) - 24.6
27. Northwestern Wildcats (7-2) - 25.9
28. Toledo Rockets (7-1) - 26.8
29. Bowling Green Falcons (7-2) - 28.3
30. BYU Cougars (7-2) - 32.0
31. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 32.2
32. UCLA Bruins (7-2) - 35.0
33. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-2) - 35.1
34. Texas A&M Aggies (6-3) - 37.3
35. Georgia Bulldogs (6-3) - 37.4
36. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-2) - 38.1
37. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-3) - 38.4
38. Boise State Broncos (7-2) - 38.9
39. California Golden Bears (5-4) - 39.3
40. Oregon Ducks (6-3) - 39.8
41. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-4) - 40.6
42. NC State Wolfpack (6-3) - 41.5
43. Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) - 41.9
44. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-2) - 42.3
45. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-3) - 42.5
46. West Virginia Mountaineers (4-4) - 42.7
47. Washington Huskies (4-5) - 43.9
48. Western Michigan Broncos (6-3) - 48.0
49. Miami Hurricanes (6-3) - 49.0
50. Northern Illinois Huskies (6-3) - 49.7
51. Georgia Southern Eagles (6-2) - 52.2
(tie) Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) - 52.2
53. San Diego State Aztecs (6-3) - 53.0
54. Auburn Tigers (5-4) - 53.6
55. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-5) - 55.4
56. Central Michigan Chippewas (5-4) - 55.7
57. Louisville Cardinals (5-4) - 56.4
58. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-5) - 59.1
59. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-4) - 59.7
60. Air Force Falcons (6-3) - 60.0
(tie) Kansas State Wildcats (3-5) - 60.0
62. Duke Blue Devils (6-3) - 62.1
63. Texas Longhorns (4-5) - 62.2
64. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-3) - 64.7
65. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-3) - 65.3
66. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-5) - 65.4
67. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-6) - 66.5
68. Washington State Cougars (6-3) - 66.9
69. Utah State Aggies (5-4) - 68.8
70. Arizona Wildcats (5-5) - 69.7
71. Missouri Tigers (4-5) - 70.8
72. Buffalo Bulls (5-4) - 72.6
73. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5) - 73.5
74. Ohio Bobcats (5-4) - 74.5
75. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-6) - 76.0
76. South Florida Bulls (5-4) - 76.7
77. Iowa State Cyclones (3-6) - 76.8
78. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (4-5) - 77.2
79. ECU Pirates (4-6) - 79.5
(tie) Indiana Hoosiers (4-5) - 79.5
81. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6) - 80.4
82. Kentucky Wildcats (4-5) - 82.5
83. Colorado State Rams (4-5) - 83.6
84. Akron Zips (4-5) - 84.7
85. Virginia Cavaliers (3-6) - 84.8
86. Boston College Eagles (3-7) - 84.9
87. Maryland Terrapins (2-7) - 85.3
88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-4) - 85.7
89. Connecticut Huskies (5-5) - 88.5
90. Syracuse Orange (3-6) - 90.1
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-6) - 92.9
92. UNLV Rebels (3-6) - 93.7
93. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-6) - 94.1
94. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6) - 95.0
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-6) - 95.0
96. Purdue Boilermakers (2-7) - 97.5
97. FIU Golden Panthers (5-5) - 97.7
(tie) Nevada Wolf Pack (5-4) - 97.7
99. San Jose State Spartans (4-5) - 97.8
100. Troy Trojans (3-6) - 98.0
101. Rice Owls (4-5) - 99.0
102. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-4) - 100.1
103. South Alabama Jaguars (4-4) - 101.7
104. Oregon State Beavers (2-7) - 103.5
105. New Mexico Lobos (5-4) - 104.5
106. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-7) - 104.9
107. Ball State Cardinals (3-7) - 108.6
108. UTSA Roadrunners (2-8) - 108.7
109. Miami University RedHawks (2-8) - 109.4
110. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-8) - 109.7
111. Idaho Vandals (3-6) - 110.0
112. UTEP Miners (4-5) - 113.1
113. Old Dominion Monarchs (4-5) - 113.2
114. Tulane Green Wave (2-7) - 113.5
115. Hawaii Warriors (2-8) - 114.1
116. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-7) - 116.3
117. New Mexico State Aggies (2-7) - 117.0
118. Charlotte 49ers (2-7) - 117.5
119. Georgia State Panthers (2-6) - 117.9
120. Texas State Bobcats (1-6) - 120.1
121. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-8) - 120.4
122. Army Black Knights (2-7) - 121.3
123. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-9) - 123.4
124. Wyoming Cowboys (1-9) - 124.1
125. SMU Mustangs (1-8) - 124.5
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-8) - 125.8
127. UCF Knights (0-10) - 127.1
128. Kansas Jayhawks (0-9) - 128.2

Saturday, October 31, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 9

In week nine, the top four teams remain the same, although the order shuffled a little bit, and now it's Clemson that is putting pressure on (and nearly passing) Baylor for the top spot. Meanwhile, at the bottom of the list, North Texas won a game and climbed out of the cellar, leaving the rankings with a new 128th-place team. Here are the complete rankings after nine games:

1. Baylor Bears (7-0) - 2.1
2. Clemson Tigers (8-0) - 2.2
3. LSU Tigers (7-0) - 3.2
4. Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) - 3.4
5. Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) - 6.7
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-1) - 7.2
7. TCU Horned Frogs (8-0) - 7.3
8. Memphis Tigers (8-0) - 8.7
9. Florida Gators (7-1) - 9.8
(tie) Stanford Cardinal (7-1) - 9.8
11. Houston Cougars (8-0) - 9.9
12. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-0) - 11.6
13. Michigan Wolverines (6-2) - 12.9
14. Michigan State Spartans (8-0) - 14.6
15. Oklahoma Sooners (7-1) - 15.9
16. Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-0) - 17.1
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-2) - 17.9
18. Temple Owls (7-1) - 18.3
19. Toledo Rockets (7-0) - 19.3
20. Utah Utes (7-1) - 19.7
21. Navy Midshipmen (6-1) - 21.3
(tie) USC Trojans (5-3) - 21.3
23. Ole Miss Rebels (7-2) - 23.1
24. Tennessee Volunteers (4-4) - 23.6
25. Florida State Seminoles (7-1) - 24.4
26. Wisconsin Badgers (7-2) - 26.3
27. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-1) - 26.8
28. Northwestern Wildcats (6-2) - 28.0
29. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-1) - 29.1
30. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1) - 30.1
31. Texas A&M Aggies (6-2) - 30.2
32. BYU Cougars (6-2) - 31.6
33. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2) - 33.3
34. California Golden Bears (5-3) - 33.5
35. Bowling Green Falcons (6-2) - 34.7
36. Washington Huskies (4-4) - 37.3
37. Boise State Broncos (7-2) - 37.8
38. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2) - 38.5
39. UCLA Bruins (6-2) - 39.4
40. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-3) - 40.3
41. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-2) - 41.7
42. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4) - 43.6
43. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-3) - 43.8
44. Oregon Ducks (5-3) - 44.0
45. Georgia Bulldogs (5-3) - 45.3
46. Arkansas Razorbacks (4-4) - 46.8
47. Georgia Southern Eagles (6-2) - 47.4
48. Miami Hurricanes (5-3) - 47.6
49. NC State Wolfpack (5-3) - 49.2
50. Duke Blue Devils (6-2) - 50.0
51. San Diego State Aztecs (6-3) - 50.1
52. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-4) - 50.3
53. Western Michigan Broncos (5-3) - 50.7
54. Central Michigan Chippewas (5-4) - 53.6
55. Utah State Aggies (5-3) - 53.9
56. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-5) - 54.7
57. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-4) - 57.7
58. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-6) - 59.9
59. Kansas State Wildcats (3-4) - 60.2
60. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-3) - 60.5
61. Texas Longhorns (3-5) - 60.9
62. Air Force Falcons (5-3) - 61.7
63. Louisville Cardinals (4-4) - 63.6
64. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-3) - 64.7
65. Auburn Tigers (4-4) - 65.5
66. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-6) - 66.0
67. Ohio Bobcats (5-3) - 67.6
68. Missouri Tigers (4-4) - 67.8
69. Iowa State Cyclones (3-5) - 68.7
70. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-4) - 68.8
71. Washington State Cougars (5-3) - 71.4
72. Arizona Wildcats (5-4) - 71.9
73. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-4) - 72.6
74. Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-3) - 73.8
(tie) Buffalo Bulls (4-4) - 73.8
76. Kentucky Wildcats (4-4) - 76.6
77. ECU Pirates (4-5) - 76.9
78. South Florida Bulls (4-4) - 77.1
79. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-5) - 77.4
80. Indiana Hoosiers (4-4) - 79.8
81. Boston College Eagles (3-6) - 81.3
82. Syracuse Orange (3-5) - 83.7
83. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) - 84.0
84. Akron Zips (3-5) - 84.1
85. Virginia Cavaliers (3-5) - 84.2
86. Maryland Terrapins (2-6) - 85.3
87. Colorado State Rams (3-5) - 85.9
88. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-4) - 87.5
89. Connecticut Huskies (4-5) - 87.7
90. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-5) - 90.4
91. Purdue Boilermakers (2-6) - 91.0
92. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-5) - 91.4
93. Rice Owls (4-4) - 92.6
94. Colorado Buffaloes (4-5) - 93.4
95. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-6) - 95.1
96. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5) - 96.3
97. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (3-4) - 97.5
98. San Jose State Spartans (4-4) - 98.8
99. Oregon State Beavers (2-6) - 99.4
100. UNLV Rebels (2-6) - 99.7
101. Nevada Wolf Pack (4-4) - 100.2
102. FIU Golden Panthers (4-5) - 101.3
103. Troy Trojans (2-6) - 102.4
104. South Alabama Jaguars (3-4) - 103.3
105. Ball State Cardinals (3-6) - 103.9
106. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-6) - 105.1
107. UTSA Roadrunners (2-7) - 107.7
108. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-7) - 108.3
109. Hawaii Warriors (2-7) - 109.6
110. Idaho Vandals (3-5) - 110.1
111. Miami University RedHawks (1-8) - 111.3
112. New Mexico Lobos (4-4) - 111.9
113. Tulane Green Wave (2-6) - 114.2
114. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-6) - 114.4
115. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-5) - 115.8
116. Texas State Bobcats (1-5) - 115.9
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-6) - 116.1
118. Georgia State Panthers (2-5) - 117.7
119. UTEP Miners (3-5) - 118.1
120. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-7) - 118.4
121. New Mexico State Aggies (1-7) - 120.8
122. Army Black Knights (2-6) - 121.0
123. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-8) - 123.5
124. Wyoming Cowboys (1-8) - 124.0
125. SMU Mustangs (1-7) - 124.5
126. North Texas Mean Green (1-7) - 125.6
127. Kansas Jayhawks (0-8) - 127.0
128. UCF Knights (0-9) - 128.2

Saturday, October 24, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 8

It appears that staying undefeated is beginning to mean more. For the first time in a few weeks, all of the top four spots in our analysis are taken by teams with no losses. If you need any more proof, ask the Utah Utes, who were ranked in our top four last week but lost big to a very low ranked USC team this weekend. As a result, the Utes dropped all the way to #19, while the Trojans jumped way up to #22 (from #37 last week). Baylor did manage to maintain the top spot this week, but has less of a stranglehold on that position as LSU, which climbed to #2 from #5 last week, is closing the gap quickly after beating Western Kentucky 48-20. The Hilltoppers had only lost one game before facing the Tigers and had climbed all the way up to #26 in our rankings last week.

Here are the rankings after 8 weeks of the season:

1. Baylor Bears (7-0) - 1.6
2. LSU Tigers (7-0) - 2.7
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) - 2.9
4. Clemson Tigers (7-0) - 3.2
5. Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) - 5.1
6. Stanford Cardinal (6-1) - 6.9
7. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1) - 8.6
8. Michigan Wolverines (5-2) - 9.4
9. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-0) - 10.4
10. Memphis Tigers (7-0) - 11.0
11. Michigan State Spartans (8-0) - 11.5
12. Houston Cougars (7-0) - 12.1
13. Oklahoma Sooners (6-1) - 13.1
14. TCU Horned Frogs (7-0) - 14.0
15. Florida Gators (6-1) - 15.0
16. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-2) - 16.1
17. Temple Owls (7-0) - 16.3
18. Toledo Rockets (7-0) - 18.2
19. Utah Utes (6-1) - 18.3
20. Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-1) - 19.2
21. Ole Miss Rebels (6-2) - 20.4
22. USC Trojans (4-3) - 21.6
23. Navy Midshipmen (5-1) - 22.4
24. Florida State Seminoles (6-1) - 23.3
25. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-0) - 24.5
26. Tennessee Volunteers (3-4) - 26.1
27. Wisconsin Badgers (6-2) - 27.7
28. Northwestern Wildcats (6-2) - 28.8
29. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-1) - 30.0
30. Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) - 30.9
31. California Golden Bears (5-2) - 32.3
32. Bowling Green Falcons (6-2) - 33.2
33. BYU Cougars (6-2) - 33.7
34. UCLA Bruins (5-2) - 34.7
35. Georgia Bulldogs (5-2) - 35.0
36. Marshall Thundering Herd (7-1) - 35.7
37. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-3) - 36.0
38. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) - 38.5
39. Duke Blue Devils (6-1) - 38.9
(tie) Pittsburgh Panthers (6-1) - 38.9
41. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) - 39.3
42. Boise State Broncos (6-2) - 43.9
43. Oregon Ducks (4-3) - 44.8
44. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-5) - 45.2
45. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-3) - 45.6
46. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-3) - 46.7
47. Georgia Southern Eagles (5-2) - 47.5
48. NC State Wolfpack (5-2) - 48.0
49. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-3) - 48.8
50. Texas Longhorns (3-4) - 49.5
51. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-5) - 51.7
52. Washington Huskies (3-4) - 51.9
53. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-3) - 52.1
54. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-4) - 52.5
55. Miami Hurricanes (4-3) - 54.2
56. Western Michigan Broncos (4-3) - 55.5
57. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-3) - 55.8
58. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-4) - 58.1
59. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-5) - 58.8
60. Louisville Cardinals (3-4) - 60.2
61. Arizona Wildcats (5-3) - 60.9
62. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-3) - 62.0
63. Kansas State Wildcats (3-4) - 63.2
64. San Diego State Aztecs (5-3) - 63.9
65. Utah State Aggies (4-3) - 64.7
66. Auburn Tigers (4-3) - 65.7
67. ECU Pirates (4-4) - 66.6
68. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-3) - 66.9
69. Air Force Falcons (4-3) - 67.8
70. Ohio Bobcats (5-3) - 70.6
71. Missouri Tigers (4-4) - 71.4
72. Washington State Cougars (5-2) - 71.9
73. South Florida Bulls (4-3) - 73.8
74. Buffalo Bulls (3-4) - 74.6
(tie) Kentucky Wildcats (4-3) - 74.6
76. Boston College Eagles (3-5) - 76.5
77. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-4) - 77.0
78. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) - 77.2
(tie) Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-3) - 77.2
80. Indiana Hoosiers (4-4) - 78.9
81. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) - 80.6
82. Syracuse Orange (3-4) - 83.3
83. Akron Zips (3-4) - 83.4
84. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-4) - 83.9
85. Colorado State Rams (3-4) - 84.1
86. Maryland Terrapins (2-5) - 85.6
87. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-5) - 87.7
88. Rice Owls (4-3) - 88.7
89. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-4) - 89.7
90. FIU Golden Panthers (4-4) - 90.0
91. Colorado Buffaloes (4-4) - 90.2
92. Iowa State Cyclones (2-5) - 90.7
93. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-5) - 94.6
94. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5) - 94.7
95. UTSA Roadrunners (2-6) - 94.9
96. Virginia Cavaliers (2-5) - 96.2
97. UNLV Rebels (2-5) - 97.7
98. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-4) - 98.0
99. Connecticut Huskies (3-5) - 98.5
100. Nevada Wolf Pack (4-4) - 99.0
101. Oregon State Beavers (2-5) - 101.0
102. San Jose State Spartans (4-4) - 101.5
103. Purdue Boilermakers (1-6) - 102.6
104. South Alabama Jaguars (3-4) - 104.1
105. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-6) - 104.6
106. Hawaii Warriors (2-6) - 106.6
107. Troy Trojans (2-5) - 106.9
108. Idaho Vandals (3-4) - 107.8
109. Ball State Cardinals (2-6) - 109.1
110. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-6) - 110.6
(tie) Tulane Green Wave (2-5) - 110.6
112. New Mexico Lobos (4-4) - 111.7
113. Texas State Bobcats (1-4) - 112.9
114. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-4) - 113.8
115. Miami University RedHawks (1-7) - 114.2
116. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-6) - 115.9
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-5) - 116.5
118. UTEP Miners (3-4) - 117.6
119. Army Black Knights (2-6) - 118.9
120. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-6) - 119.5
121. Georgia State Panthers (2-4) - 120.4
122. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-7) - 122.1
123. New Mexico State Aggies (0-7) - 122.8
124. Wyoming Cowboys (1-7) - 123.9
125. SMU Mustangs (1-6) - 124.7
126. Kansas Jayhawks (0-7) - 125.6
127. UCF Knights (0-8) - 127.0
128. North Texas Mean Green (0-7) - 128.4

Sunday, October 18, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 7

The instability of the 2015 season continued in week 7, as once again, Baylor jumped up to the top spot in our rankings, following Michigan's crazy last-second loss to Michigan State. Ohio State also made a jump up to the #2 spot after a convincing  blowout victory over (currently) #39 Penn State. Michigan's loss was just as damaging to Utah, which dropped to the #4 spot, despite beating (currently) #51 Arizona State 34-18 - the 16-point victory not quite being enough to qualify as a "blowout", at least as defined in our analysis algorithm. Here are the full rankings for week 7:

1. Baylor Bears (6-0) - 1.1
2. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) - 2.3
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) - 3.7
4. Utah Utes (6-0) - 5.6
5. LSU Tigers (6-0) - 6.0
6. Clemson Tigers (6-0) - 6.1
7. Michigan Wolverines (5-2) - 7.3
8. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-0) - 8.5
9. Florida State Seminoles (6-0) - 10.1
10. TCU Horned Frogs (7-0) - 10.4
11. Stanford Cardinal (5-1) - 10.6
12. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1) - 11.5
13. Houston Cougars (6-0) - 12.1
14. Florida Gators (6-1) - 14.7
15. Michigan State Spartans (7-0) - 15.0
16. Temple Owls (6-0) - 16.6
17. Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) - 17.9
18. Memphis Tigers (6-0) - 18.6
19. Toledo Rockets (6-0) - 18.7
20. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-2) - 19.5
(tie) Texas A&M Aggies (5-1) - 19.5
22. California Golden Bears (5-1) - 22.5
23. Navy Midshipmen (4-1) - 23.4
24. North Carolina Tar Heels (5-1) - 25.0
25. Tennessee Volunteers (3-3) - 25.6
26. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-0) - 27.7
(tie) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-1) - 27.7
28. Northwestern Wildcats (5-2) - 29.0
29. Wisconsin Badgers (5-2) - 29.9
30. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2) - 31.5
31. Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-1) - 32.1
32. Ole Miss Rebels (5-2) - 32.5
33. Georgia Bulldogs (5-2) - 32.6
34. BYU Cougars (5-2) - 34.4
35. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-3) - 35.3
36. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-1) - 35.5
37. USC Trojans (3-3) - 35.7
38. Georgia Southern Eagles (5-1) - 37.9
39. Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2) - 38.3
40. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-1) - 40.3
41. Duke Blue Devils (5-1) - 40.8
42. Bowling Green Falcons (5-2) - 41.0
43. Oregon Ducks (4-3) - 41.4
44. Utah State Aggies (4-2) - 43.3
45. UCLA Bruins (4-2) - 44.2
46. Washington Huskies (3-3) - 45.0
47. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-4) - 45.6
48. Boise State Broncos (5-2) - 46.4
49. Miami Hurricanes (4-2) - 47.3
50. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) - 51.2
51. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-3) - 51.7
52. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-2) - 51.8
53. Ohio Bobcats (5-2) - 56.5
54. Arizona Wildcats (5-2) - 57.1
55. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-3) - 57.2
56. Kansas State Wildcats (3-3) - 57.5
(tie) Texas Longhorns (2-4) - 57.5
58. Western Michigan Broncos (3-3) - 59.0
59. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-3) - 59.6
(tie) NC State Wolfpack (4-2) - 59.6
61. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-4) - 60.0
62. Northern Illinois Huskies (4-3) - 60.8
63. ECU Pirates (4-3) - 61.3
64. Louisville Cardinals (2-4) - 62.8
65. Missouri Tigers (4-3) - 63.1
66. Central Michigan Chippewas (3-4) - 64.7
67. Kentucky Wildcats (4-2) - 66.4
68. Auburn Tigers (4-2) - 67.0
69. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-5) - 69.0
70. Indiana Hoosiers (4-3) - 69.2
71. Boston College Eagles (3-4) - 73.1
72. Air Force Falcons (3-3) - 73.8
73. San Diego State Aztecs (4-3) - 74.1
74. Washington State Cougars (4-2) - 74.4
75. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-3) - 74.7
76. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-4) - 74.9
77. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (4-3) - 75.3
78. South Florida Bulls (3-3) - 77.2
79. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-3) - 77.7
80. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-4) - 79.2
81. Akron Zips (3-4) - 81.9
82. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-3) - 82.5
83. Syracuse Orange (3-3) - 83.7
(tie) Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-3) - 83.7
85. Colorado State Rams (3-4) - 84.6
86. Iowa State Cyclones (2-4) - 85.7
87. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) - 86.7
88. Buffalo Bulls (2-4) - 88.7
89. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-4) - 89.7
90. Rice Owls (3-3) - 90.1
91. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-4) - 90.2
92. Maryland Terrapins (2-4) - 91.2
93. Colorado Buffaloes (3-4) - 92.5
(tie) Connecticut Huskies (3-4) - 92.5
95. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-3) - 94.3
96. FIU Golden Panthers (3-4) - 95.9
97. Virginia Cavaliers (2-4) - 96.2
98. UNLV Rebels (2-5) - 98.7
99. Oregon State Beavers (2-4) - 100.4
100. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-4) - 100.9
101. South Alabama Jaguars (3-3) - 101.8
102. Purdue Boilermakers (1-6) - 102.4
103. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-5) - 103.1
104. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-5) - 104.7
105. Hawaii Warriors (2-5) - 105.2
106. UTSA Roadrunners (1-6) - 105.4
107. San Jose State Spartans (3-4) - 105.9
108. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-3) - 106.7
109. New Mexico Lobos (4-3) - 108.9
110. Ball State Cardinals (2-5) - 110.8
111. Charlotte 49ers (2-4) - 111.0
112. Tulane Green Wave (2-4) - 111.4
113. Miami University RedHawks (1-6) - 112.5
114. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-5) - 114.7
115. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-5) - 114.8
116. Texas State Bobcats (1-4) - 114.9
117. Idaho Vandals (2-4) - 116.9
118. Army Black Knights (2-5) - 118.0
119. Troy Trojans (1-5) - 118.2
120. Georgia State Panthers (2-4) - 119.2
121. New Mexico State Aggies (0-6) - 120.7
122. UTEP Miners (2-4) - 121.5
123. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-6) - 122.7
124. Wyoming Cowboys (1-6) - 124.1
125. SMU Mustangs (1-5) - 124.6
126. Kansas Jayhawks (0-6) - 125.7
127. UCF Knights (0-7) - 127.1
128. North Texas Mean Green (0-6) - 128.4

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 6

What Michigan has done since week one is impressive - really impressive. In fact, it's so impressive that even that close first week loss to Utah is not enough to keep us from putting the Wolverine's at the top of our rankings for week six - and that with a number of undefeated teams still remaining. Where is Utah ranked (the undefeated team that actually beat Michigan)? #3 - behind Michigan and Baylor. Remember these rankings are based on the resume of games played so far this season - in other words, who has had a better season so far, not necessarily on who is the better team. Here are the complete week six rankings - there's still a lot of football to be played:

1. Michigan Wolverines (5-1) - 1.4
2. Baylor Bears (5-0) - 1.9
3. Utah Utes (5-0) - 4.8
4. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) - 5.5
5. Texas A&M Aggies (5-0) - 6.0
6. Clemson Tigers (5-0) - 6.4
7. Florida Gators (6-0) - 6.5
(tie) Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0) - 6.5
9. LSU Tigers (5-0) - 7.8
10. Temple Owls (5-0) - 10.5
11. TCU Horned Frogs (6-0) - 11.5
12. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-1) - 11.9
13. Stanford Cardinal (4-1) - 12.3
14. Houston Cougars (5-0) - 14.1
15. Florida State Seminoles (5-0) - 15.3
16. Northwestern Wildcats (5-1) - 16.1
17. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-0) - 18.6
18. Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) - 19.9
19. Navy Midshipmen (4-1) - 20.8
20. Toledo Rockets (5-0) - 22.7
21. California Golden Bears (5-1) - 22.8
22. Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) - 22.9
23. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-0) - 25.2
24. Penn State Nittany Lions (5-1) - 25.5
25. Tennessee Volunteers (3-3) - 26.5
26. Boise State Broncos (5-1) - 27.0
27. Michigan State Spartans (6-0) - 27.2
28. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-1) - 28.4
29. Memphis Tigers (5-0) - 29.0
(tie) West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) - 29.0
31. Ohio Bobcats (5-1) - 31.3
32. Georgia Bulldogs (4-2) - 31.7
33. UCLA Bruins (4-1) - 31.9
34. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) - 32.6
35. USC Trojans (3-2) - 33.1
36. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-2) - 35.8
37. Duke Blue Devils (5-1) - 36.1
38. BYU Cougars (4-2) - 38.0
39. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-1) - 38.8
40. Washington Huskies (3-2) - 39.0
41. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-1) - 40.5
42. Wisconsin Badgers (4-2) - 41.9
43. Kansas State Wildcats (3-2) - 42.0
44. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-2) - 42.4
45. North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1) - 42.5
46. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-2) - 43.5
47. Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-1) - 46.6
48. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) - 48.1
49. Bowling Green Falcons (4-2) - 49.9
50. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) - 50.9
51. Arizona Wildcats (4-2) - 52.3
52. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-2) - 52.9
53. Miami Hurricanes (3-2) - 55.4
54. Indiana Hoosiers (4-2) - 55.5
(tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (3-3) - 55.5
56. Louisville Cardinals (2-3) - 55.7
57. NC State Wolfpack (4-2) - 57.4
58. Oregon Ducks (3-3) - 59.2
59. Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) - 59.6
60. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-2) - 59.9
61. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-2) - 60.1
62. Texas Longhorns (2-4) - 60.9
63. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-4) - 61.1
64. Air Force Falcons (3-2) - 62.3
65. Missouri Tigers (4-2) - 65.9
66. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-3) - 66.4
67. Utah State Aggies (3-2) - 67.4
68. Boston College Eagles (3-3) - 67.7
69. ECU Pirates (3-3) - 67.8
(tie) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-4) - 67.8
71. Akron Zips (3-3) - 69.8
72. Buffalo Bulls (2-3) - 70.2
73. Auburn Tigers (3-2) - 71.2
74. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-2) - 73.0
75. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) - 76.7
76. San Diego State Aztecs (3-3) - 77.5
77. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-3) - 78.1
78. Iowa State Cyclones (2-3) - 78.7
79. Central Michigan Chippewas (2-4) - 79.7
80. Syracuse Orange (3-2) - 81.2
81. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-4) - 81.8
82. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-4) - 81.9
83. South Florida Bulls (2-3) - 82.5
84. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-3) - 83.9
85. Washington State Cougars (3-2) - 86.7
86. Connecticut Huskies (3-3) - 88.1
87. Oregon State Beavers (2-3) - 88.5
88. Rice Owls (3-3) - 89.2
89. UNLV Rebels (2-4) - 89.4
90. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-3) - 91.1
91. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-4) - 91.9
92. Colorado State Rams (2-4) - 92.2
93. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-3) - 93.1
94. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-3) - 93.5
95. FIU Golden Panthers (3-3) - 93.6
96. Maryland Terrapins (2-4) - 93.7
97. Colorado Buffaloes (3-3) - 93.8
98. Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) - 94.8
99. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-3) - 98.8
100. Ball State Cardinals (2-4) - 99.8
101. UTSA Roadrunners (1-5) - 100.5
102. South Alabama Jaguars (3-2) - 101.5
103. San Jose State Spartans (3-3) - 102.8
104. Purdue Boilermakers (1-5) - 103.5
105. Virginia Cavaliers (1-4) - 104.9
106. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-4) - 105.6
107. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-4) - 105.9
108. Hawaii Warriors (2-4) - 108.3
109. Miami University RedHawks (1-5) - 109.5
110. Tulane Green Wave (2-3) - 109.8
111. New Mexico Lobos (3-3) - 110.7
112. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-4) - 111.8
113. Charlotte 49ers (2-3) - 112.9
(tie) Old Dominion Monarchs (2-3) - 112.9
115. Troy Trojans (1-4) - 115.1
116. Army Black Knights (1-5) - 115.9
117. Texas State Bobcats (1-4) - 116.4
118. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-5) - 118.6
119. New Mexico State Aggies (0-5) - 118.9
120. UTEP Miners (2-4) - 119.7
121. Idaho Vandals (1-4) - 120.5
122. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-5) - 121.4
123. Georgia State Panthers (1-4) - 123.1
124. SMU Mustangs (1-5) - 124.6
125. Kansas Jayhawks (0-5) - 124.9
126. Wyoming Cowboys (0-6) - 125.7
127. UCF Knights (0-6) - 126.7
128. North Texas Mean Green (0-5) - 128.3

Monday, October 5, 2015

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 4

For archival purposes, here are the rankings after week 4, which we did not get posted on time. (As you can see, the week to week changes are quite volatile this year. Week 5's #1 - Baylor - was #11 after week 4.)

1. Georgia Bulldogs (4-0) - 1.2
2. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0) - 2.7
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) - 5.3
4. Utah Utes (4-0) - 5.5
5. Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1) - 6.7
6. NC State Wolfpack (4-0) - 7.0
7. Michigan Wolverines (3-1) - 7.2
8. Florida State Seminoles (3-0) - 7.5
9. UCLA Bruins (4-0) - 7.7
10. Northwestern Wildcats (4-0) - 9.7
11. Baylor Bears (3-0) - 11.6
12. Texas A&M Aggies (4-0) - 12.1
13. Ole Miss Rebels (4-0) - 13.6
14. Michigan State Spartans (4-0) - 14.6
15. LSU Tigers (3-0) - 15.3
16. Stanford Cardinal (3-1) - 16.9
17. Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) - 17.8
18. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0) - 18.5
19. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-0) - 19.3
20. Clemson Tigers (3-0) - 20.0
21. Navy Midshipmen (3-0) - 20.7
22. TCU Horned Frogs (4-0) - 20.8
23. California Golden Bears (4-0) - 23.7
24. Temple Owls (3-0) - 25.5
25. Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) - 26.0
26. Tennessee Volunteers (2-2) - 26.1
27. USC Trojans (3-1) - 26.6
28. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-0) - 26.9
29. Florida Gators (4-0) - 29.0
30. Memphis Tigers (4-0) - 30.9
31. Miami Hurricanes (3-0) - 31.7
32. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) - 31.8
33. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-1) - 32.0
34. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) - 32.9
35. Houston Cougars (3-0) - 33.2
36. Air Force Falcons (2-1) - 34.8
37. Duke Blue Devils (3-1) - 34.9
38. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1) - 38.2
39. Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) - 38.6
40. Pittsburgh Panthers (2-1) - 41.2
41. Indiana Hoosiers (4-0) - 42.0
42. Toledo Rockets (3-0) - 42.5
43. Ohio Bobcats (3-1) - 43.1
44. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) - 44.1
45. Georgia Southern Eagles (3-1) - 45.6
46. BYU Cougars (2-2) - 47.9
47. Arizona Wildcats (3-1) - 48.3
48. Kentucky Wildcats (3-1) - 49.4
(tie) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-2) - 49.4
50. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-2) - 49.5
51. Boise State Broncos (3-1) - 50.8
52. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-1) - 51.2
53. Oregon Ducks (2-2) - 53.6
54. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-2) - 54.1
55. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1) - 54.5
56. Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) - 55.9
57. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-3) - 56.5
58. Washington Huskies (2-2) - 56.7
59. Syracuse Orange (3-1) - 57.8
60. Boston College Eagles (3-1) - 60.5
61. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2) - 60.7
62. Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) - 60.8
63. Missouri Tigers (3-1) - 63.5
(tie) Northern Illinois Huskies (2-2) - 63.5
65. Buffalo Bulls (2-2) - 63.6
66. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-2) - 65.0
67. Bowling Green Falcons (2-2) - 65.9
68. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-1) - 66.5
69. Colorado State Rams (2-2) - 68.1
70. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-1) - 69.1
71. Texas Longhorns (1-3) - 70.0
72. Cincinnati Bearcats (2-2) - 72.0
73. Ball State Cardinals (2-2) - 74.7
74. Virginia Tech Hokies (2-2) - 75.0
75. Oregon State Beavers (2-2) - 75.8
76. Iowa State Cyclones (1-2) - 77.0
77. Hawaii Warriors (2-2) - 78.7
78. Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) - 80.4
79. ECU Pirates (2-2) - 80.7
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-2) - 80.7
81. Rice Owls (2-2) - 81.1
82. Akron Zips (2-2) - 81.2
83. Vanderbilt Commodores (1-3) - 82.3
84. Connecticut Huskies (2-2) - 82.4
85. Louisville Cardinals (1-3) - 82.9
86. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-2) - 84.5
87. Maryland Terrapins (2-2) - 87.0
88. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) - 87.7
89. FIU Golden Panthers (2-2) - 87.8
90. San Jose State Spartans (2-2) - 89.6
91. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) - 91.5
92. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) - 91.6
93. Auburn Tigers (2-2) - 92.1
94. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-2) - 92.3
95. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-2) - 97.6
96. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-3) - 97.9
97. UNLV Rebels (1-3) - 98.1
98. Washington State Cougars (2-1) - 98.6
99. San Diego State Aztecs (1-3) - 99.4
100. Troy Trojans (1-2) - 101.0
101. Utah State Aggies (1-2) - 101.5
102. Miami University RedHawks (1-3) - 103.8
103. Old Dominion Monarchs (2-2) - 104.1
104. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1-2) - 104.3
105. Charlotte 49ers (2-2) - 104.7
106. Georgia State Panthers (1-2) - 105.2
107. South Florida Bulls (1-2) - 105.4
108. Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) - 106.0
109. South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) - 107.9
110. Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) - 108.3
111. Massachusetts Minutemen (0-3) - 110.5
112. Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) - 110.8
113. New Mexico State Aggies (0-3) - 112.9
114. UTEP Miners (2-2) - 114.0
115. Texas State Bobcats (1-3) - 114.2
116. UTSA Roadrunners (0-4) - 114.7
117. Tulane Green Wave (1-2) - 115.8
(tie) Virginia Cavaliers (1-3) - 115.8
119. New Mexico Lobos (2-2) - 117.3
120. Army Black Knights (1-3) - 119.7
121. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3) - 119.8
122. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-3) - 121.4
123. Idaho Vandals (1-3) - 122.8
124. North Texas Mean Green (0-3) - 124.4
125. SMU Mustangs (1-3) - 125.2
126. Kansas Jayhawks (0-3) - 125.7
127. Wyoming Cowboys (0-4) - 126.8
128. UCF Knights (0-4) - 127.3

2015 College Football Rankings - Week 5

After five weeks of the 2015 college football season, there is no team that has clearly had the best start to the season. No team has shown itself to be clearly performing above the others. Some teams just haven't played anyone difficult yet, so their blowout wins are not that impressive. Other teams have managed to get some impressive wins, but they have also lost a game. Still others have simply had close games against teams that aren't that good, canceling out other impressive wins. As a result, things can change quickly on a week-by-week basis, and it won't take losing a game to knock a team from its top perch. #1 Baylor's 2.8 rating shows its relative weakness in the top spot. For comparision, a clear-cut #1 would have a 1.0 rating. Northwestern, Michigan and Alabama all might just as easily have been placed at the top this week. Yet none of them were in the top four a week ago. Here are the rankings so far as they have sorted out according to our analysis:

1. Baylor Bears (4-0) - 2.8
2. Michigan Wolverines (4-1) - 3.6
3. Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1) - 4.3
(tie) Northwestern Wildcats (5-0) - 4.3
5. Utah Utes (4-0) - 4.4
6. Navy Midshipmen (4-0) - 5.6
7. Texas A&M Aggies (5-0) - 6.5
8. Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) - 6.9
9. Stanford Cardinal (4-1) - 7.9
10. Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) - 10.6
11. LSU Tigers (4-0) - 11.5
12. Florida State Seminoles (4-0) - 13.3
13. Clemson Tigers (4-0) - 14.5
14. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-0) - 14.7
15. Florida Gators (5-0) - 15.0
16. Temple Owls (4-0) - 16.8
17. Houston Cougars (4-0) - 17.2
18. TCU Horned Frogs (5-0) - 17.3
19. Georgia Bulldogs (4-1) - 18.9
20. USC Trojans (3-1) - 19.2
21. Michigan State Spartans (5-0) - 21.8
22. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1) - 22.7
23. California Golden Bears (5-0) - 23.8
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0) - 24.2
25. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) - 25.6
26. Toledo Rockets (4-0) - 25.9
27. Memphis Tigers (5-0) - 28.9
28. North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1) - 29.6
29. Tennessee Volunteers (2-3) - 29.9
30. Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) - 31.0
31. Duke Blue Devils (4-1) - 31.8
32. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-1) - 31.9
33. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2) - 33.0
34. Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) - 33.6
35. NC State Wolfpack (4-1) - 34.5
36. UCLA Bruins (4-1) - 35.7
37. Boise State Broncos (4-1) - 36.7
(tie) Wisconsin Badgers (3-2) - 36.7
39. BYU Cougars (3-2) - 39.2
40. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-1) - 40.0
41. Oregon Ducks (3-2) - 40.1
42. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-2) - 40.2
43. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1) - 40.9
44. Ohio Bobcats (4-1) - 43.7
45. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) - 45.4
46. Indiana Hoosiers (4-1) - 46.2
47. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-2) - 49.5
48. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-2) - 49.7
49. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1) - 50.7
50. Cincinnati Bearcats (3-2) - 51.5
51. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) - 51.6
52. Marshall Thundering Herd (4-1) - 53.1
53. Miami Hurricanes (3-1) - 53.3
54. Louisville Cardinals (2-3) - 53.6
55. Washington Huskies (2-2) - 53.7
56. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-3) - 53.9
57. Missouri Tigers (4-1) - 54.4
58. Syracuse Orange (3-1) - 58.7
59. Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) - 59.5
60. Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-1) - 59.7
61. Bowling Green Falcons (3-2) - 60.0
(tie) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-3) - 60.0
63. Air Force Falcons (2-2) - 60.1
64. Iowa State Cyclones (2-2) - 63.3
65. Boston College Eagles (3-2) - 64.6
66. ECU Pirates (3-2) - 66.6
67. Arizona Wildcats (3-2) - 67.5
68. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-2) - 67.7
69. Virginia Tech Hokies (2-3) - 69.1
70. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) - 71.3
71. Auburn Tigers (3-2) - 73.1
72. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-3) - 73.4
73. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-3) - 74.1
74. Central Michigan Chippewas (2-3) - 74.2
75. Oregon State Beavers (2-2) - 74.3
76. Buffalo Bulls (2-3) - 74.7
77. Northern Illinois Huskies (2-3) - 77.1
78. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-2) - 77.2
79. Colorado Buffaloes (3-2) - 79.1
80. Utah State Aggies (2-2) - 79.8
81. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) - 80.0
82. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-3) - 81.1
83. Texas Longhorns (1-4) - 81.6
84. Akron Zips (2-3) - 84.1
85. Ball State Cardinals (2-3) - 84.9
86. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-3) - 85.4
87. Colorado State Rams (2-3) - 85.5
88. San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) - 89.0
89. Connecticut Huskies (2-3) - 89.8
90. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-2) - 91.6
91. UNLV Rebels (2-3) - 91.8
92. Maryland Terrapins (2-3) - 93.6
93. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-3) - 94.6
94. Rice Owls (2-3) - 96.2
95. Purdue Boilermakers (1-4) - 96.4
96. FIU Golden Panthers (2-3) - 96.8
97. Washington State Cougars (2-2) - 97.1
98. Hawaii Warriors (2-3) - 97.6
99. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-3) - 98.5
100. South Alabama Jaguars (3-2) - 99.5
101. UTSA Roadrunners (1-4) - 100.2
102. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-3) - 102.2
103. San Jose State Spartans (2-3) - 103.2
104. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-3) - 103.5
105. New Mexico Lobos (3-2) - 103.7
106. Miami University RedHawks (1-4) - 104.9
107. Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) - 105.5
108. Tulane Green Wave (2-2) - 105.7
109. Texas State Bobcats (1-3) - 106.9
110. South Florida Bulls (1-3) - 107.3
111. Virginia Cavaliers (1-3) - 111.0
112. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-3) - 112.5
113. Troy Trojans (1-3) - 112.9
114. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1-3) - 113.9
115. Charlotte 49ers (2-3) - 114.3
116. Old Dominion Monarchs (2-3) - 115.1
117. Army Black Knights (1-4) - 116.9
118. New Mexico State Aggies (0-4) - 118.3
119. UTEP Miners (2-3) - 118.5
120. Fresno State Bulldogs (1-4) - 119.8
121. Eastern Michigan Eagles (1-4) - 120.1
122. Idaho Vandals (1-4) - 122.1
123. Georgia State Panthers (1-3) - 123.4
124. SMU Mustangs (1-4) - 124.5
125. North Texas Mean Green (0-4) - 124.7
126. Kansas Jayhawks (0-4) - 125.4
127. Wyoming Cowboys (0-5) - 126.8
128. UCF Knights (0-5) - 127.3

Monday, September 28, 2015

We're Back - Program Ratings

We're back! Here are the program ratings after the 2015 season.

1 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.860379479
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 0.854133343
3 Oklahoma Sooners 0.839935994
4 Florida State Seminoles 0.826420079
5 USC Trojans 0.826360818
6 Texas Longhorns 0.805823346
7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.801279665
8 Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.796240244
9 Georgia Bulldogs 0.793498777
10 Michigan Wolverines 0.78923427
11 Florida Gators 0.788009826
12 LSU Tigers 0.781589386
13 Penn State Nittany Lions 0.77446958
14 Tennessee Volunteers 0.757099912
15 Auburn Tigers 0.753338171
16 Miami Hurricanes 0.735784227
17 Boise State Broncos 0.73069931
18 Texas A&M Aggies 0.703577451
19 Clemson Tigers 0.697106482
20 Arkansas Razorbacks 0.690867189
21 Michigan State Spartans 0.689216666
22 UCLA Bruins 0.686348905
23 Oregon Ducks 0.682566056
24 Virginia Tech Hokies 0.661838823
25 Arizona State Sun Devils 0.661228105
26 Georgia Southern Eagles 0.653543307
27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0.651618852
28 Washington Huskies 0.644210129
29 Wisconsin Badgers 0.643508136
30 Stanford Cardinal 0.637148074
31 West Virginia Mountaineers 0.636943812
32 BYU Cougars 0.630956743
33 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.621739165
34 Missouri Tigers 0.612809318
35 Texas Tech Red Raiders 0.608761369
36 Ole Miss Rebels 0.606435417
37 Oklahoma State Cowboys 0.601663169
38 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.596594859
39 North Carolina Tar Heels 0.586791908
40 Pittsburgh Panthers 0.585240462
41 Arizona Wildcats 0.58185428
42 Utah Utes 0.579558926
43 Boston College Eagles 0.575819742
44 Syracuse Orange 0.558646731
45 Colorado Buffaloes 0.550318481
46 Mississippi State Bulldogs 0.549659683
47 TCU Horned Frogs 0.542606439
48 California Golden Bears 0.539613115
49 Purdue Boilermakers 0.533508445
50 Louisville Cardinals 0.530448522
51 NC State Wolfpack 0.525878889
52 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 0.525090191
53 Houston Cougars 0.519005735
54 Maryland Terrapins 0.518938981
55 Fresno State Bulldogs 0.518856065
56 South Florida Bulls 0.51322726
57 Baylor Bears 0.511095726
58 Kansas State Wildcats 0.509613657
59 Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.506471405
60 Air Force Falcons 0.498686182
61 Oregon State Beavers 0.487434402
62 UTSA Roadrunners 0.482630557
63 Virginia Cavaliers 0.480052342
64 UCF Knights 0.47959338
65 Kentucky Wildcats 0.477309556
66 ECU Pirates 0.473565926
67 San Diego State Aztecs 0.473151262
68 Cincinnati Bearcats 0.473095845
69 Bowling Green Falcons 0.470285882
70 Illinois Fighting Illini 0.469823073
71 Toledo Rockets 0.460080524
72 Navy Midshipmen 0.458794838
73 Washington State Cougars 0.457330879
74 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 0.449192612
75 Miami University RedHawks 0.432549385
76 Kansas Jayhawks 0.429054602
77 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0.427556778
78 Hawaii Warriors 0.422953031
79 Nevada Wolf Pack 0.414995338
80 Northwestern Wildcats 0.414379066
81 Connecticut Huskies 0.409733164
82 Vanderbilt Commodores 0.406860907
83 SMU Mustangs 0.400455979
84 Duke Blue Devils 0.398439759
85 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 0.398287903
86 Wyoming Cowboys 0.39676137
87 Iowa State Cyclones 0.391998856
88 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 0.385684398
89 Northern Illinois Huskies 0.382173237
90 Colorado State Rams 0.37907345
91 Appalachian State Mountaineers 0.377383727
92 Marshall Thundering Herd 0.375325931
93 Memphis Tigers 0.374273513
94 Troy Trojans 0.370816609
95 Indiana Hoosiers 0.369688593
96 Central Michigan Chippewas 0.368921229
97 Ball State Cardinals 0.354666996
98 Western Michigan Broncos 0.349963844
99 Utah State Aggies 0.347906213
100 Rice Owls 0.344666502
101 San Jose State Spartans 0.337975476
102 Army Black Knights 0.322547615
103 Temple Owls 0.315244951
104 Tulane Green Wave 0.313259307
105 Ohio Bobcats 0.307406322
106 Old Dominion Monarchs 0.307086614
107 New Mexico Lobos 0.306462987
108 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0.296296467
109 North Texas Mean Green 0.287530175
110 Arkansas State Red Wolves 0.260569801
111 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 0.257136751
112 UTEP Miners 0.240802432
113 UAB Blazers 0.240686653
114 Florida Atlantic Owls 0.236444633
115 UNLV Rebels 0.235904143
116 South Alabama Jaguars 0.225035273
117 Texas State Bobcats 0.224073615
118 Kent State Golden Flashes 0.214486446
119 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 0.208948138
120 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 0.195229292
121 Buffalo Bulls 0.191726875
122 Akron Zips 0.181112016
123 Idaho Vandals 0.165729506
124 New Mexico State Aggies 0.148267936
125 Eastern Michigan Eagles 0.140998516
126 FIU Golden Panthers 0.139035951
127 Massachusetts Minutemen 0.020954203
128 Georgia State Panthers 0.008063591

And, we weren't sure if we'd post rankings at the end of the season (after the bowls), due to the adoption of a four-team playoff. But so far it worked out okay. The playoffs actually gave Ohio State enough to jump to the top of the analysis, verifying, in our eyes, their national championship.

Here are the final rankings, then, from last year:

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (14-1) - 1.4
2. Oregon Ducks (13-2) - 2.0
3. TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) - 2.7
4. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-2) - 4.7
5. Marshall Thundering Herd (13-1) - 5.8
6. Michigan State Spartans (11-2) - 6.0
7. Ole Miss Rebels (9-4) - 7.1
8. Georgia Bulldogs (10-3) - 7.6
9. Baylor Bears (11-2) - 8.6
10. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-3) - 10.3
11. Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-3) - 11.2
12. Florida State Seminoles (13-1) - 11.6
13. Auburn Tigers (8-5) - 13.7
14. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-6) - 14.6
15. Boise State Broncos (12-2) - 15.7
16. Wisconsin Badgers (11-3) - 16.2
17. Clemson Tigers (10-3) - 16.6
18. UCLA Bruins (10-3) - 18.0
19. Arizona Wildcats (10-4) - 19.6
20. Missouri Tigers (11-3) - 20.1
21. Kansas State Wildcats (9-4) - 21.4
22. Stanford Cardinal (8-5) - 21.5
23. Arizona State Sun Devils (10-3) - 22.2
24. LSU Tigers (8-5) - 22.7
25. USC Trojans (9-4) - 25.4
26. Oklahoma Sooners (8-5) - 26.3
27. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-4) - 27.1
28. Louisville Cardinals (9-4) - 28.6
29. Utah Utes (9-4) - 29.1
30. Texas A&M Aggies (8-5) - 30.1
31. Florida Gators (7-5) - 31.0
32. Memphis Tigers (10-3) - 32.0
33. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-5) - 34.0
34. Tennessee Volunteers (7-6) - 34.3
35. Virginia Tech Hokies (7-6) - 34.8
36. Miami Hurricanes (6-7) - 36.8
37. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-6) - 37.0
38. Colorado State Rams (10-3) - 38.5
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (7-6) - 38.5
40. Utah State Aggies (10-4) - 40.8
41. Duke Blue Devils (9-4) - 41.3
42. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-5) - 41.8
43. Washington Huskies (8-6) - 42.2
44. Boston College Eagles (7-6) - 44.4
45. Georgia Southern Eagles (9-3) - 45.6
46. BYU Cougars (8-5) - 47.7
47. Air Force Falcons (10-3) - 47.8
48. NC State Wolfpack (8-5) - 48.2
49. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (9-5) - 48.4
50. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-5) - 48.5
51. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-4) - 50.9
52. ECU Pirates (8-5) - 52.8
53. Texas Longhorns (6-7) - 52.9
54. Virginia Cavaliers (5-7) - 54.9
55. Maryland Terrapins (7-6) - 55.1
56. Navy Midshipmen (7-5) - 56.1
57. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-6) - 56.3
58. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-7) - 59.1
59. Kentucky Wildcats (5-7) - 59.3
60. Northern Illinois Huskies (11-3) - 60.0
61. UCF Knights (9-4) - 61.2
62. Michigan Wolverines (5-7) - 61.8
63. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-7) - 63.5
(tie) Rice Owls (8-5) - 63.5
65. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-5) - 63.8
66. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-6) - 64.5
67. Western Michigan Broncos (8-5) - 68.1
68. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-6) - 69.0
69. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (9-4) - 69.1
70. California Golden Bears (5-7) - 69.4
71. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-6) - 69.5
72. Northwestern Wildcats (5-7) - 71.3
73. Houston Cougars (8-5) - 72.3
74. Oregon State Beavers (5-7) - 74.7
75. San Diego State Aztecs (7-6) - 75.2
76. Toledo Rockets (9-4) - 75.8
77. UAB Blazers (6-6) - 77.4
78. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-7) - 77.6
79. Temple Owls (6-6) - 79.2
80. UTEP Miners (7-6) - 79.4
81. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-6) - 80.3
82. Washington State Cougars (3-9) - 80.8
83. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-6) - 83.5
84. Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) - 85.5
85. Central Michigan Chippewas (7-6) - 85.6
86. Bowling Green Falcons (8-6) - 85.9
87. Texas State Bobcats (7-5) - 88.9
88. South Alabama Jaguars (6-7) - 89.2
89. Old Dominion Monarchs (6-6) - 89.5
90. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-8) - 90.0
91. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-5) - 90.2
92. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-8) - 90.6
93. Colorado Buffaloes (2-10) - 92.1
94. Wyoming Cowboys (4-8) - 93.0
95. Purdue Boilermakers (3-9) - 94.7
96. New Mexico Lobos (4-8) - 95.8
97. Ohio Bobcats (6-6) - 96.2
98. Syracuse Orange (3-9) - 98.3
99. UTSA Roadrunners (4-8) - 100.1
100. Ball State Cardinals (5-7) - 100.8
101. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 101.6
102. Akron Zips (5-7) - 102.7
103. Tulane Green Wave (3-9) - 103.5
104. Hawaii Warriors (4-9) - 104.5
105. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-9) - 105.2
106. Buffalo Bulls (5-6) - 106.4
(tie) FIU Golden Panthers (4-8) - 106.4
108. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) - 106.5
109. Kansas Jayhawks (3-9) - 107.8
110. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-9) - 110.5
111. Massachusetts Minutemen (3-9) - 110.8
112. San Jose State Spartans (3-9) - 111.7
113. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-9) - 112.1
114. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-9) - 113.0
115. South Florida Bulls (4-8) - 113.1
116. North Texas Mean Green (4-8) - 117.2
117. Army Black Knights (4-7) - 117.6
118. Miami University RedHawks (2-10) - 119.1
(tie) Troy Trojans (3-9) - 119.1
120. Iowa State Cyclones (2-10) - 120.2
121. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-10) - 120.6
122. Connecticut Huskies (2-10) - 121.1
123. Idaho Vandals (1-10) - 122.4
124. Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-10) - 123.4
125. UNLV Rebels (2-11) - 124.1
126. New Mexico State Aggies (2-10) - 125.0
127. Georgia State Panthers (1-11) - 126.8
128. SMU Mustangs (1-11) - 127.5

Our Week 4 rankings for the 2015 season will be out soon.