Sunday, December 9, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 15

After the final game of the regular season (Army-Navy), there were some minor changes in our analysis. Here are the final results (for the regular season):

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (13-0) - 2.0
3. Georgia Bulldogs (11-2) - 3.3
4. UCF Knights (12-0) - 3.8
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0) - 4.9
6. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 6.1
7. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 7.3
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1) - 7.7
9. Oklahoma Sooners (12-1) - 9.2
10. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 11.1
11. Syracuse Orange (9-3) - 13.2
12. Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) - 14.0
13. Fresno State Bulldogs (11-2) - 14.1
14. Florida Gators (9-3) - 14.4
15. Washington State Cougars (10-2) - 14.5
16. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) - 15.6
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 16.7
18. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 17.9
19. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-2) - 19.3
20. Washington Huskies (10-3) - 20.0
21. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 20.8
22. Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2) - 22.5
23. Utah State Aggies (10-2) - 23.5
24. Utah Utes (9-4) - 24.1
25. Boise State Broncos (10-3) - 24.7
26. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) - 25.8
27. Army Black Knights (10-2) - 26.9
(tie) South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 26.9
29. Texas Longhorns (9-4) - 29.3
30. Stanford Cardinal (8-4) - 30.7
31. NC State Wolfpack (9-3) - 31.7
32. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 32.9
33. Purdue Boilermakers (6-6) - 33.6
34. Michigan State Spartans (7-5) - 34.8
35. Miami Hurricanes (7-5) - 35.4
36. Oregon Ducks (8-4) - 35.8
37. Iowa State Cyclones (8-4) - 35.9
38. Georgia Southern Eagles (9-3) - 38.6
39. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 39.2
40. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 41.5
41. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-6) - 41.7
42. Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 42.0
43. Virginia Cavaliers (7-5) - 42.8
44. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5) - 44.1
45. Northwestern Wildcats (8-5) - 45.3
46. Buffalo Bulls (10-3) - 45.8
47. Memphis Tigers (8-5) - 46.7
48. Boston College Eagles (7-5) - 47.5
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6) - 50.6
50. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 51.5
51. Wisconsin Badgers (7-5) - 52.0
52. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-4) - 54.6
53. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-5) - 54.7
54. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-5) - 55.6
55. Temple Owls (8-4) - 56.4
56. BYU Cougars (6-6) - 57.2
57. Maryland Terrapins (5-7) - 57.5
58. UAB Blazers (10-3) - 57.6
59. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 59.0
60. USC Trojans (5-7) - 59.6
61. North Texas Mean Green (9-3) - 59.9
62. Houston Cougars (8-4) - 62.5
63. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 64.1
64. Baylor Bears (6-6) - 64.8
(tie) Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) - 64.8
66. TCU Horned Frogs (6-6) - 65.9
67. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 66.3
68. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 67.0
69. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 68.5
70. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5) - 68.6
71. Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 69.0
72. Toledo Rockets (7-5) - 71.6
73. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-4) - 72.0
74. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 73.3
75. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 74.1
76. Indiana Hoosiers (5-7) - 75.4
77. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (7-6) - 75.6
78. Kansas State Wildcats (5-7) - 75.8
79. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 78.4
80. Arizona Wildcats (5-7) - 78.9
81. FIU Golden Panthers (8-4) - 80.5
82. San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) - 81.6
83. Florida State Seminoles (5-7) - 82.8
84. Tulane Green Wave (6-6) - 83.5
85. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 83.8
86. Air Force Falcons (5-7) - 85.4
87. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 87.3
88. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5) - 88.3
89. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 88.4
90. Colorado Buffaloes (5-7) - 88.5
91. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 91.0
92. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 91.1
93. Hawaii Warriors (8-5) - 92.1
94. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 93.0
95. South Florida Bulls (7-5) - 94.0
96. UCLA Bruins (3-9) - 96.0
97. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-5) - 98.1
98. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-8) - 99.8
(tie) North Carolina Tar Heels (2-9) - 99.8
100. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) - 100.2
101. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-7) - 100.3
102. Navy Midshipmen (3-10) - 100.5
103. Liberty Flames (6-6) - 102.4
104. Kansas Jayhawks (3-9) - 105.1
105. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-9) - 105.8
106. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-10) - 106.1
107. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 106.8
108. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 108.4
109. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 109.8
110. South Alabama Jaguars (3-9) - 110.9
111. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-8) - 111.2
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (4-8) - 111.3
113. Akron Zips (4-8) - 111.7
114. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 113.1
115. Georgia State Panthers (2-10) - 114.7
116. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-11) - 115.8
117. UTSA Roadrunners (3-9) - 117.8
118. Bowling Green Falcons (3-9) - 118.4
119. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 118.9
120. Texas State Bobcats (3-9) - 120.4
121. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-10) - 121.6
122. Louisville Cardinals (2-10) - 121.9
123. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 122.6
124. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 123.1
125. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-11) - 124.6
126. San Jose State Spartans (1-11) - 125.7
127. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-9) - 125.9
128. Rice Owls (2-11) - 127.2
129. Connecticut Huskies (1-11) - 128.6
130. UTEP Miners (1-11) - 129.8

Sunday, December 2, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 14

Who SHOULD be in the College Football Playoff? Alabama, Clemson, Georgia and Central Florida. Yes, Georgia and Central Florida. When you remove the names of the teams and simply compare teams based on who they played (with names removed) and what the score was in those games, those are the four teams that actually had the best year and should be in the playoff.

Here is our complete analysis after 14 weeks. Only the Army-Navy game remains and then it's bowl season.

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (13-0) - 2.0
3. Georgia Bulldogs (11-2) - 3.3
4. UCF Knights (12-0) - 3.8
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0) - 4.9
6. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 6.1
7. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 7.3
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1) - 7.7
9. Oklahoma Sooners (12-1) - 9.2
10. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 11.1
11. Syracuse Orange (9-3) - 13.2
12. Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) - 14.0
13. Fresno State Bulldogs (11-2) - 14.2
14. Florida Gators (9-3) - 14.4
(tie) Washington State Cougars (10-2) - 14.4
16. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) - 15.6
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 16.7
18. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 17.9
19. Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-2) - 19.3
20. Washington Huskies (10-3) - 20.0
21. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 20.8
22. Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2) - 22.5
23. Utah State Aggies (10-2) - 23.8
24. Utah Utes (9-4) - 24.3
25. Army Black Knights (9-2) - 24.9
(tie) Boise State Broncos (10-3) - 24.9
27. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) - 25.8
28. South Carolina Gamecocks (7-5) - 26.9
29. Texas Longhorns (9-4) - 29.4
30. Stanford Cardinal (8-4) - 31.1
31. NC State Wolfpack (9-3) - 31.8
32. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 33.2
33. Purdue Boilermakers (6-6) - 33.7
34. Michigan State Spartans (7-5) - 35.0
35. Miami Hurricanes (7-5) - 35.4
36. Oregon Ducks (8-4) - 35.8
37. Iowa State Cyclones (8-4) - 35.9
38. Georgia Southern Eagles (9-3) - 38.7
39. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 39.3
40. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 41.5
41. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-6) - 41.7
42. Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 42.1
43. Virginia Cavaliers (7-5) - 42.7
44. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5) - 44.2
45. Northwestern Wildcats (8-5) - 45.2
46. Buffalo Bulls (10-3) - 45.4
47. Memphis Tigers (8-5) - 47.0
48. Boston College Eagles (7-5) - 47.6
49. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6) - 50.6
50. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 51.5
51. Wisconsin Badgers (7-5) - 51.9
52. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-4) - 54.6
(tie) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-5) - 54.6
54. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-5) - 55.6
55. Temple Owls (8-4) - 56.4
56. BYU Cougars (6-6) - 57.3
57. Maryland Terrapins (5-7) - 57.4
58. UAB Blazers (10-3) - 57.7
59. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 59.0
60. USC Trojans (5-7) - 59.6
61. North Texas Mean Green (9-3) - 59.8
62. Houston Cougars (8-4) - 63.0
63. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 64.1
64. Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) - 64.7
65. Baylor Bears (6-6) - 64.8
66. TCU Horned Frogs (6-6) - 65.9
67. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 66.1
68. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 66.9
69. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 68.4
70. Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5) - 68.6
71. Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 68.8
72. Toledo Rockets (7-5) - 71.7
73. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-4) - 72.0
74. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 73.4
75. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 74.1
76. Indiana Hoosiers (5-7) - 75.4
77. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (7-6) - 75.6
78. Kansas State Wildcats (5-7) - 75.8
79. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) - 78.4
80. Arizona Wildcats (5-7) - 78.9
81. FIU Golden Panthers (8-4) - 80.4
82. San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) - 81.6
83. Florida State Seminoles (5-7) - 82.8
84. Tulane Green Wave (6-6) - 83.8
(tie) Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 83.8
86. Air Force Falcons (5-7) - 85.4
87. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 87.3
88. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5) - 88.3
89. Colorado Buffaloes (5-7) - 88.4
(tie) Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 88.4
91. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 90.9
92. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 91.0
93. Hawaii Warriors (8-5) - 92.2
94. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 93.2
95. South Florida Bulls (7-5) - 94.0
96. UCLA Bruins (3-9) - 95.8
97. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-5) - 98.1
98. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-9) - 99.6
99. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-8) - 99.7
100. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) - 99.8
101. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-7) - 100.0
102. Navy Midshipmen (3-9) - 101.8
103. Liberty Flames (6-6) - 102.3
104. Kansas Jayhawks (3-9) - 104.9
105. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-9) - 105.9
106. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-10) - 106.0
107. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 106.7
108. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 108.4
109. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 109.8
110. South Alabama Jaguars (3-9) - 110.9
111. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-8) - 111.3
(tie) Old Dominion Monarchs (4-8) - 111.3
113. Akron Zips (4-8) - 111.7
114. ECU Pirates (3-9) - 113.1
115. Georgia State Panthers (2-10) - 114.7
116. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-11) - 115.8
117. UTSA Roadrunners (3-9) - 117.9
118. Bowling Green Falcons (3-9) - 118.3
119. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 118.9
120. Texas State Bobcats (3-9) - 120.4
121. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-10) - 121.6
122. Louisville Cardinals (2-10) - 121.9
123. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 122.6
124. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 123.1
125. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-11) - 124.6
126. San Jose State Spartans (1-11) - 125.7
127. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-9) - 125.9
128. Rice Owls (2-11) - 127.2
129. Connecticut Huskies (1-11) - 128.6
130. UTEP Miners (1-11) - 129.8

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 13

The first thing that jumps out about our Week 13 rankings is that, once again, UCF is in our top four approaching the end of the season - ahead of undefeated Notre Dame. This may appear shocking to some, but Notre Dame has a few games where they should have won by a greater margin than they actually did. UCF does not have as many of those games. Besides - and this does not play into our analysis at all - any team that can go undefeated for two straight seasons against any kind of schedule (with two games pending this year) is a really, really good team. We feel that UCF isn't getting enough credit - and our computer analysis that takes into account such things as strength of schedule and the team's performance against that schedule backs that sentiment up. This is yet one more example of the way the system is stacked against the have-nots of the college football world. We're just surprised that more people aren't up in arms about it. According to our analysis, UCF deserves a chance to be in the playoff to show just how good they are. They have done nothing less than everything that is asked of them, but they are still locked out by an unfair system that favors teams that have been invited to be part of certain elitist conferences. Participation in the playoff should be determined by performance in 2018, not the name on the jersey or the name of the team's opponents or what any of those teams did 40 years ago to gain the reputation they have.

That being said, here is the results of our analysis after 13 weeks:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (12-0) - 2.0
3. Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) - 3.3
4. UCF Knights (11-0) - 3.9
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0) - 4.8
6. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 6.2
7. LSU Tigers (9-3) - 6.9
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) - 8.1
9. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) - 9.3
10. Missouri Tigers (8-4) - 11.2
11. Syracuse Orange (9-3) - 13.3
12. Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) - 13.8
13. Fresno State Bulldogs (10-2) - 13.9
14. Florida Gators (9-3) - 14.4
15. Washington State Cougars (10-2) - 14.9
16. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) - 15.9
17. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) - 16.1
18. Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) - 18.1
19. Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-2) - 20.1
(tie) Washington Huskies (9-3) - 20.1
21. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) - 20.7
22. Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2) - 22.6
23. Army Black Knights (9-2) - 23.9
24. Utah Utes (9-3) - 24.0
(tie) Utah State Aggies (10-2) - 24.0
26. Boise State Broncos (10-2) - 24.7
27. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) - 25.4
28. Texas Longhorns (9-3) - 27.6
29. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5) - 28.2
30. Iowa State Cyclones (7-4) - 32.7
31. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 33.1
(tie) Purdue Boilermakers (6-6) - 33.1
33. Michigan State Spartans (7-5) - 34.3
34. NC State Wolfpack (8-3) - 34.7
35. Miami Hurricanes (7-5) - 35.2
36. Stanford Cardinal (7-4) - 36.0
37. Oregon Ducks (8-4) - 36.6
38. Buffalo Bulls (10-2) - 37.1
39. Georgia Southern Eagles (9-3) - 39.4
40. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 40.3
41. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-5) - 41.4
42. Ohio Bobcats (8-4) - 41.5
43. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) - 42.1
44. Troy Trojans (9-3) - 43.8
45. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5) - 44.8
46. Virginia Cavaliers (7-5) - 46.4
47. Memphis Tigers (8-4) - 47.3
48. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-4) - 47.7
49. Boston College Eagles (7-5) - 49.2
50. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6) - 50.2
51. Wisconsin Badgers (7-5) - 52.0
52. Duke Blue Devils (7-5) - 53.6
53. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-4) - 55.5
54. Temple Owls (8-4) - 56.4
55. Maryland Terrapins (5-7) - 57.3
56. BYU Cougars (6-6) - 57.5
57. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-5) - 57.6
58. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6) - 59.1
59. Marshall Thundering Herd (8-3) - 60.0
60. USC Trojans (5-7) - 60.9
61. North Texas Mean Green (9-3) - 62.1
62. California Golden Bears (7-4) - 62.6
(tie) Houston Cougars (8-4) - 62.6
64. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 63.6
65. Baylor Bears (6-6) - 64.5
66. Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) - 65.3
67. TCU Horned Frogs (6-6) - 66.0
68. Eastern Michigan Eagles (7-5) - 67.1
(tie) Miami University RedHawks (6-6) - 67.1
70. UAB Blazers (9-3) - 67.7
71. Ole Miss Rebels (5-7) - 69.0
72. Toledo Rockets (7-5) - 71.7
73. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) - 73.3
74. Kansas State Wildcats (5-7) - 73.6
75. Indiana Hoosiers (5-7) - 74.9
76. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (7-5) - 75.0
77. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 75.6
78. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-5) - 75.7
79. FIU Golden Panthers (8-4) - 77.0
80. Arizona Wildcats (5-7) - 77.7
81. San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) - 80.9
82. Tulane Green Wave (6-6) - 83.5
83. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 83.8
84. Florida State Seminoles (5-7) - 84.1
85. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-7) - 85.2
86. Air Force Falcons (5-7) - 85.3
87. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-6) - 85.7
88. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5) - 87.3
89. Colorado Buffaloes (5-7) - 87.5
90. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5) - 88.4
91. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-6) - 90.6
92. SMU Mustangs (5-7) - 92.7
(tie) Wyoming Cowboys (6-6) - 92.7
94. Hawaii Warriors (8-5) - 92.8
95. South Florida Bulls (7-5) - 93.2
96. UCLA Bruins (3-9) - 95.7
97. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-5) - 98.1
98. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) - 99.0
99. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-8) - 99.3
100. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-9) - 100.0
101. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-7) - 100.4
102. Navy Midshipmen (3-9) - 101.6
103. Liberty Flames (5-6) - 103.1
104. Kansas Jayhawks (3-9) - 104.6
105. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-9) - 105.8
106. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-10) - 106.2
107. Ball State Cardinals (4-8) - 106.9
108. UNLV Rebels (4-8) - 108.4
109. Akron Zips (4-7) - 109.5
110. New Mexico Lobos (3-9) - 110.3
111. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-8) - 111.7
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (4-8) - 111.8
113. ECU Pirates (3-8) - 112.1
(tie) South Alabama Jaguars (3-9) - 112.1
115. Georgia State Panthers (2-10) - 115.0
116. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-11) - 115.7
117. Bowling Green Falcons (3-9) - 117.8
118. UTSA Roadrunners (3-9) - 118.4
119. Oregon State Beavers (2-10) - 118.9
120. Texas State Bobcats (3-9) - 120.7
121. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-10) - 121.1
122. Louisville Cardinals (2-10) - 122.2
123. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 122.7
124. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) - 123.2
125. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-11) - 124.5
126. San Jose State Spartans (1-11) - 125.8
(tie) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-9) - 125.8
128. Rice Owls (2-11) - 127.3
129. Connecticut Huskies (1-11) - 128.5
130. UTEP Miners (1-11) - 129.8

Monday, November 19, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 12

Not much change at the top of this week's rankings. The top 8 teams are all the same from last week. There weren't many chances for upsets, with what at least seemed like most of the SEC taking the week off to play against FCS teams. Yes, UCF is still undefeated. No, they have not yet been able to crack the top four, even after beating #17 Cincinnati soundly. What is really interesting is that Michigan, Georgia and Notre Dame are all really close to each other this week in the #3, #4 and #5 spots. It will be interesting to see if undefeated Notre Dame is able to pass one of those teams to get into our final four.

Here is the complete list of rankings:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (11-0) - 2.0
3. Michigan Wolverines (10-1) - 4.1
4. Georgia Bulldogs (10-1) - 4.2
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-0) - 4.4
6. UCF Knights (10-0) - 5.3
7. LSU Tigers (9-2) - 7.0
8. Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) - 8.4
9. Washington State Cougars (10-1) - 9.2
10. Missouri Tigers (7-4) - 11.8
11. Fresno State Bulldogs (9-2) - 14.0
12. Penn State Nittany Lions (8-3) - 14.5
(tie) West Virginia Mountaineers (8-2) - 14.5
14. Kentucky Wildcats (8-3) - 14.8
15. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-1) - 15.0
16. Florida Gators (8-3) - 16.2
(tie) Syracuse Orange (8-3) - 16.2
18. Utah State Aggies (10-1) - 17.0
19. Texas A&M Aggies (7-4) - 18.6
20. Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) - 19.1
21. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) - 22.5
22. Army Black Knights (9-2) - 22.8
(tie) Utah Utes (8-3) - 22.8
24. Washington Huskies (8-3) - 23.9
25. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-2) - 24.5
26. Texas Longhorns (8-3) - 24.9
27. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-2) - 25.6
28. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-4) - 27.5
29. Boise State Broncos (9-2) - 29.5
30. Michigan State Spartans (6-5) - 30.3
31. Iowa State Cyclones (6-4) - 31.8
32. Auburn Tigers (7-4) - 32.5
33. NC State Wolfpack (7-3) - 33.2
34. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4) - 33.5
35. Stanford Cardinal (6-4) - 37.1
36. Purdue Boilermakers (5-6) - 38.3
37. Virginia Cavaliers (7-4) - 39.1
38. Oregon Ducks (7-4) - 39.4
39. Northwestern Wildcats (7-4) - 39.6
40. Wisconsin Badgers (7-4) - 40.4
41. Duke Blue Devils (7-4) - 41.0
42. Troy Trojans (9-2) - 42.6
43. Miami Hurricanes (6-5) - 42.7
44. Georgia Southern Eagles (8-3) - 44.3
45. Boston College Eagles (7-4) - 45.3
46. Buffalo Bulls (9-2) - 45.9
(tie) Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-5) - 45.9
48. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-5) - 47.5
49. Ohio Bobcats (7-4) - 47.8
50. Houston Cougars (8-3) - 49.9
51. North Texas Mean Green (8-3) - 52.3
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6) - 52.3
53. UAB Blazers (9-2) - 52.8
54. Maryland Terrapins (5-6) - 53.7
55. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4) - 54.2
56. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-6) - 55.8
57. Tennessee Volunteers (5-6) - 57.6
58. BYU Cougars (6-5) - 57.9
59. Temple Owls (7-4) - 59.3
60. Ole Miss Rebels (5-6) - 59.6
61. USC Trojans (5-6) - 61.8
62. Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-4) - 63.7
63. Memphis Tigers (7-4) - 64.0
(tie) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-4) - 64.0
65. Eastern Michigan Eagles (6-5) - 65.0
66. Marshall Thundering Herd (7-3) - 65.3
67. Indiana Hoosiers (5-6) - 67.1
68. Baylor Bears (5-6) - 69.5
69. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-4) - 69.7
70. California Golden Bears (6-4) - 70.2
71. TCU Horned Frogs (5-6) - 70.7
72. Kansas State Wildcats (5-6) - 71.4
73. Florida Atlantic Owls (5-6) - 74.0
74. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-7) - 74.5
75. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-6) - 74.6
76. Toledo Rockets (6-5) - 74.8
77. Arizona Wildcats (5-6) - 75.3
78. Miami University RedHawks (5-6) - 75.8
79. FIU Golden Panthers (8-3) - 76.9
80. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-4) - 77.7
81. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-4) - 80.6
82. San Diego State Aztecs (7-4) - 81.6
83. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-5) - 82.2
84. Colorado Buffaloes (5-6) - 83.6
85. Florida State Seminoles (5-6) - 83.7
86. Air Force Falcons (4-7) - 84.8
87. Tulane Green Wave (5-6) - 86.6
88. SMU Mustangs (5-6) - 87.4
89. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-6) - 89.4
90. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (5-5) - 89.6
91. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-6) - 90.2
92. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-5) - 91.4
93. Western Michigan Broncos (6-5) - 91.5
94. South Florida Bulls (7-4) - 91.7
95. UCLA Bruins (3-8) - 96.0
96. Hawaii Warriors (7-5) - 96.1
97. Wyoming Cowboys (5-6) - 97.1
98. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-6) - 97.9
99. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-7) - 99.4
100. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-8) - 100.4
101. Liberty Flames (4-6) - 101.6
102. Navy Midshipmen (3-8) - 101.8
103. Charlotte 49ers (4-7) - 103.0
104. Kansas Jayhawks (3-8) - 105.0
105. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9) - 105.3
106. Old Dominion Monarchs (4-7) - 105.5
107. Akron Zips (4-6) - 107.7
108. Ball State Cardinals (4-7) - 107.9
109. New Mexico Lobos (3-8) - 108.2
110. ECU Pirates (3-7) - 110.9
(tie) Massachusetts Minutemen (4-8) - 110.9
112. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-9) - 111.0
113. Georgia State Panthers (2-9) - 113.4
114. UNLV Rebels (3-8) - 114.4
115. South Alabama Jaguars (2-9) - 115.5
116. Bowling Green Falcons (3-8) - 115.7
117. Oregon State Beavers (2-9) - 116.9
118. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-10) - 117.1
119. Texas State Bobcats (3-8) - 119.1
120. UTSA Roadrunners (3-8) - 119.9
121. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-9) - 121.7
122. Louisville Cardinals (2-9) - 122.7
123. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-10) - 122.8
124. New Mexico State Aggies (3-8) - 123.0
125. Colorado State Rams (3-8) - 123.2
126. San Jose State Spartans (1-10) - 125.3
127. Connecticut Huskies (1-10) - 127.1
128. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-9) - 128.2
129. UTEP Miners (1-10) - 128.7
130. Rice Owls (1-11) - 129.4

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 11

Alabama, Clemson, Michigan and Georgia are our Top Four again this weekend. That is no surprise. Nor is Notre Dame climbing back up into the #5 spot, passing undefeated UCF. This time of year, unless there are upsets, there aren't a whole lot of surprises in the rankings - and week eleven did not have many upsets, certainly not at the top of the rankings. Even USC's loss to #79 California wasn't that big of a surprise, as the Trojans are not very good this year, falling to #52 in this week's rankings with a 5-5 record. The biggest question at this point seems to be if Notre Dame will be able to catch up with #4 Georgia before the bowls are announced. Of course, if Georgia beats Alabama in the SEC title game, it seems likely that once again, two SEC teams would be in the College Football Playoff (based on the actual College Football Rankings) and our own rankings would also likely agree. But that's still a few weeks away.

Here are our complete rankings after 11 weeks:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (10-0) - 2.3
3. Michigan Wolverines (9-1) - 2.9
4. Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) - 4.3
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-0) - 5.0
6. UCF Knights (9-0) - 5.5
7. LSU Tigers (8-2) - 7.2
8. Oklahoma Sooners (9-1) - 8.4
9. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-1) - 9.5
10. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) - 11.4
(tie) Syracuse Orange (8-2) - 11.4
12. Utah State Aggies (9-1) - 12.1
13. Washington State Cougars (9-1) - 12.5
14. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) - 14.6
15. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-2) - 15.3
16. Army Black Knights (8-2) - 17.6
17. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-1) - 18.5
18. Missouri Tigers (6-4) - 18.7
19. Kentucky Wildcats (7-3) - 19.0
20. Florida Gators (7-3) - 20.0
21. Iowa State Cyclones (6-3) - 22.1
22. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4) - 22.7
23. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-4) - 24.0
24. Michigan State Spartans (6-4) - 25.6
(tie) Washington Huskies (7-3) - 25.6
26. Utah Utes (7-3) - 25.8
27. Buffalo Bulls (9-1) - 25.9
28. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-2) - 26.3
29. Texas Longhorns (7-3) - 28.9
30. Texas A&M Aggies (6-4) - 30.3
31. Boise State Broncos (8-2) - 30.4
32. NC State Wolfpack (6-3) - 31.4
33. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-4) - 32.3
34. Boston College Eagles (7-3) - 36.9
35. Purdue Boilermakers (5-5) - 37.1
36. UAB Blazers (9-1) - 37.8
37. Duke Blue Devils (7-3) - 38.1
38. Stanford Cardinal (6-4) - 38.8
39. Virginia Cavaliers (7-3) - 39.1
40. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-4) - 39.3
41. Troy Trojans (8-2) - 39.8
42. Auburn Tigers (6-4) - 40.1
43. Wisconsin Badgers (6-4) - 41.9
44. Northwestern Wildcats (6-4) - 43.8
45. Oregon Ducks (6-4) - 45.6
46. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-4) - 45.7
47. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-5) - 46.3
48. North Texas Mean Green (7-3) - 48.7
49. Tennessee Volunteers (5-5) - 49.9
50. Miami Hurricanes (5-5) - 50.1
51. Georgia Southern Eagles (7-3) - 50.3
52. USC Trojans (5-5) - 52.5
53. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6) - 53.8
54. Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-5) - 55.3
55. Houston Cougars (7-3) - 56.4
56. Maryland Terrapins (5-5) - 57.0
57. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4) - 58.3
58. Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) - 59.4
(tie) Temple Owls (6-4) - 59.4
60. BYU Cougars (5-5) - 59.7
61. Eastern Michigan Eagles (6-5) - 60.5
62. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-3) - 61.6
63. Baylor Bears (5-5) - 62.7
64. Ohio Bobcats (6-4) - 65.2
65. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-3) - 66.7
66. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-3) - 66.9
67. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-5) - 67.7
68. Indiana Hoosiers (5-5) - 68.2
69. Marshall Thundering Herd (6-3) - 69.4
70. California Golden Bears (6-4) - 70.6
71. Arizona Wildcats (5-5) - 71.2
72. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4) - 73.1
(tie) Florida Atlantic Owls (5-5) - 73.1
74. Memphis Tigers (6-4) - 73.3
75. TCU Horned Frogs (4-6) - 74.8
76. Air Force Falcons (4-6) - 75.2
77. Tulane Green Wave (5-5) - 75.4
78. Colorado Buffaloes (5-5) - 76.8
79. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-7) - 77.0
80. FIU Golden Panthers (7-3) - 78.4
81. SMU Mustangs (5-5) - 80.5
82. San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) - 81.8
83. Toledo Rockets (5-5) - 81.9
84. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (5-5) - 82.2
85. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-5) - 83.2
86. Nevada Wolf Pack (6-4) - 84.6
87. Kansas State Wildcats (4-6) - 85.9
88. Miami University RedHawks (4-6) - 86.2
89. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-5) - 88.0
90. Western Michigan Broncos (6-4) - 88.7
91. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-4) - 90.0
92. South Florida Bulls (7-3) - 90.5
93. Florida State Seminoles (4-6) - 91.7
94. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (4-5) - 93.0
95. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-5) - 94.6
96. Hawaii Warriors (6-5) - 96.9
97. Liberty Flames (4-5) - 98.1
(tie) UCLA Bruins (2-8) - 98.1
99. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-6) - 98.4
100. Wyoming Cowboys (4-6) - 101.0
101. Akron Zips (4-5) - 101.3
102. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-8) - 102.7
103. Charlotte 49ers (4-6) - 103.4
104. Navy Midshipmen (2-8) - 104.1
105. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-8) - 104.8
106. Kansas Jayhawks (3-7) - 106.1
107. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-7) - 106.7
108. New Mexico Lobos (3-7) - 106.8
109. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-8) - 109.5
110. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-7) - 109.6
111. Georgia State Panthers (2-8) - 112.5
112. UNLV Rebels (3-7) - 112.8
113. ECU Pirates (2-7) - 113.0
114. Ball State Cardinals (3-7) - 113.4
115. Oregon State Beavers (2-8) - 114.4
116. South Alabama Jaguars (2-8) - 116.6
117. UTSA Roadrunners (3-7) - 116.7
118. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-9) - 117.7
119. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-8) - 119.5
120. Texas State Bobcats (3-7) - 120.3
121. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 120.4
122. Louisville Cardinals (2-8) - 121.0
123. Bowling Green Falcons (2-8) - 122.5
124. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-10) - 123.8
125. Colorado State Rams (3-7) - 124.2
126. Connecticut Huskies (1-9) - 126.1
(tie) San Jose State Spartans (1-9) - 126.1
128. UTEP Miners (1-9) - 127.6
129. Rice Owls (1-10) - 129.1
130. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-9) - 129.6

Sunday, November 4, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 10

This week, #3 LSU's inability to score any points against #1 Alabama, combined with #5 Michigan's convincing win over #15 Penn State 42-7, meant that the Tigers dropped to #7 in the rankings, and Michigan skipped over #4 Georgia to take LSU's spot in the Top Four. Of course, undefeated (and unchallenged) Alabama continues to be ranked #1.

Surprisingly, undefeated UCF also has squeaked past undefeated Notre Dame into the #5 spot as the Fighting Irish have not won convincingly enough against teams like #47 Northwestern (this week), #114 Ball State, #54 Vanderbilt and #58 Pittsburgh. While the Knights have not faced any opponents that are even in the same class as Northwestern, they have won almost all of their games in blowouts. Interestingly enough, both teams faced schools with 5-3 records this week. Notre Dame beat Northwestern by 10 points, while UCF beat #68 Temple by 12 points. We doubt that these games were enough to put UCF ahead of Notre Dame in the rankings, so it is likely that the difference can be found in this week's performance of teams each had previously played resulting in a strengthening of UCF's strength of schedule and (likely the most important factor) a weakening of Notre Dame's.

UCF's chances of actually getting into the Top Four either in our rankings or (more importantly for them) in the CFP rankings have taken blows recently, though, as both teams that looked to be their toughest competition of the season, Cincinnati and South Florida, which they are going to face in the final two weeks of the regular season, have lost (South Florida twice). Cincinnati currently sits at #25 in our rankings, but South Florida has dropped all the way to #82, which will not help UCF at all if they want an opportunity to climb.

The PAC 12 continues to cannibalize itself. The Power 5 conference only has one team remaining in our Top 25 - Washington State, which sits at #13. Comparatively, the SEC has 7 teams in the Top 25, the Big Ten has 6, the ACC has 3, the Big 12 has 2, and even the AAC and MWC, which are Group of 5 Conferences, each have 2. (There are also two independents.)

Here are our rankings after ten weeks:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (9-0) - 2.6
3. Michigan Wolverines (8-1) - 2.7
4. Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) - 4.2
5. UCF Knights (8-0) - 5.3
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-0) - 5.9
7. LSU Tigers (7-2) - 6.6
8. Oklahoma Sooners (8-1) - 8.6
9. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-1) - 10.0
10. Kentucky Wildcats (7-2) - 10.4
11. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-1) - 10.9
12. Syracuse Orange (7-2) - 12.5
13. Washington State Cougars (8-1) - 13.8
14. Utah State Aggies (8-1) - 14.2
15. Missouri Tigers (5-4) - 17.2
16. Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) - 17.8
17. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3) - 18.2
18. Michigan State Spartans (6-3) - 18.6
19. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-3) - 19.8
20. NC State Wolfpack (6-2) - 20.5
21. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3) - 22.0
22. Army Black Knights (7-2) - 22.3
23. Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) - 22.9
24. Florida Gators (6-3) - 23.3
25. Cincinnati Bearcats (8-1) - 24.3
26. North Texas Mean Green (7-2) - 26.7
27. Iowa State Cyclones (5-3) - 28.1
28. Boston College Eagles (7-2) - 28.8
29. Washington Huskies (7-3) - 29.2
30. UAB Blazers (8-1) - 29.6
31. South Carolina Gamecocks (5-3) - 30.4
32. Utah Utes (6-3) - 30.9
33. Buffalo Bulls (8-1) - 31.7
34. Texas Longhorns (6-3) - 32.8
35. Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-2) - 34.2
36. Texas A&M Aggies (5-4) - 34.9
37. Wisconsin Badgers (6-3) - 37.2
38. Duke Blue Devils (6-3) - 38.3
39. Auburn Tigers (6-3) - 39.9
40. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-4) - 40.9
41. Arizona State Sun Devils (5-4) - 42.3
42. Stanford Cardinal (5-4) - 43.2
43. Georgia Southern Eagles (7-2) - 44.0
44. Houston Cougars (7-2) - 44.4
45. Miami Hurricanes (5-4) - 44.8
46. Boise State Broncos (7-2) - 45.1
47. Oregon Ducks (6-3) - 45.9
48. Virginia Cavaliers (6-3) - 46.5
49. Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) - 46.7
50. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-4) - 49.7
51. USC Trojans (5-4) - 49.9
52. Ole Miss Rebels (5-4) - 52.8
53. Troy Trojans (7-2) - 52.9
54. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-5) - 54.4
55. Maryland Terrapins (5-4) - 55.2
56. Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-4) - 56.8
57. Baylor Bears (5-4) - 57.1
58. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-3) - 58.7
59. Ohio Bobcats (6-3) - 60.2
60. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-5) - 61.5
61. Toledo Rockets (5-4) - 63.0
62. San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) - 63.1
63. BYU Cougars (4-5) - 63.9
64. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-4) - 64.0
65. Colorado Buffaloes (5-4) - 64.5
66. TCU Horned Frogs (4-5) - 66.2
67. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-3) - 67.2
68. Arizona Wildcats (5-5) - 68.5
69. Temple Owls (5-4) - 69.3
70. Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) - 71.0
71. Tulane Green Wave (4-5) - 71.2
72. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-4) - 73.5
73. SMU Mustangs (4-5) - 74.3
74. Indiana Hoosiers (4-5) - 75.5
75. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-5) - 77.4
(tie) Memphis Tigers (5-4) - 77.4
77. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-3) - 77.5
78. Northern Illinois Huskies (6-3) - 77.6
79. California Golden Bears (5-4) - 78.0
80. Florida Atlantic Owls (4-5) - 79.0
81. Kansas State Wildcats (3-6) - 79.1
82. South Florida Bulls (7-2) - 82.3
83. FIU Golden Panthers (6-3) - 82.6
84. Air Force Falcons (3-6) - 83.8
85. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5) - 84.5
86. Western Michigan Broncos (6-4) - 84.7
87. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-4) - 85.4
88. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-7) - 85.7
89. Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) - 85.9
90. Florida State Seminoles (4-5) - 86.2
91. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-4) - 87.7
92. Miami University RedHawks (3-6) - 91.0
93. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (5-4) - 91.7
94. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-5) - 93.8
95. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (4-4) - 94.0
96. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-5) - 95.6
97. Liberty Flames (4-4) - 96.6
98. Hawaii Warriors (6-5) - 98.8
99. Akron Zips (4-4) - 99.2
100. UCLA Bruins (2-7) - 100.4
101. Wyoming Cowboys (4-6) - 101.1
102. Charlotte 49ers (4-5) - 102.0
103. New Mexico Lobos (3-6) - 103.1
104. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-7) - 104.3
105. Kansas Jayhawks (3-6) - 105.4
106. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-7) - 106.6
107. Navy Midshipmen (2-7) - 106.8
108. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-6) - 107.6
109. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-7) - 107.7
110. South Alabama Jaguars (2-7) - 111.4
111. Georgia State Panthers (2-7) - 112.0
(tie) Oregon State Beavers (2-7) - 112.0
113. Old Dominion Monarchs (2-7) - 113.1
114. UTSA Roadrunners (3-6) - 113.6
115. Ball State Cardinals (3-7) - 113.9
116. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-8) - 116.4
117. ECU Pirates (2-6) - 117.1
118. Texas State Bobcats (3-6) - 118.4
119. Kent State Golden Flashes (2-7) - 119.3
120. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-9) - 119.9
121. Louisville Cardinals (2-7) - 120.5
122. New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) - 121.3
123. UNLV Rebels (2-7) - 122.2
124. Colorado State Rams (3-6) - 123.7
125. Connecticut Huskies (1-8) - 125.4
126. Bowling Green Falcons (1-8) - 125.6
127. San Jose State Spartans (1-8) - 125.8
128. UTEP Miners (1-8) - 127.5
129. Rice Owls (1-9) - 129.2
130. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-8) - 129.6

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 9

Entering November, it is clear, once again, that the SEC has the class of the country this year. Three of our top four teams are once again from the SEC, with only Clemson breaking into that top four and Michigan, Notre Dame and UCF sitting barely on the outside. Four of the top ten teams in our rankings this week are actually from the SEC, with one-loss Kentucky also coming in at #10. One interesting addition to our top ten is Mountain West Conference leader Fresno State, which has climbed all the way up to #9 in the rankings. Meanwhile, previous top four team Ohio State continues to fall. Although the Buckeyes had a bye this week, the team they lost to in Week 8 (Purdue) lost this week and dropped out of the Top 25, dragging the Buckeyes further down to #20 in the rankings. Meanwhile, there are only four undefeated teams left in the country: #1 Alabama, #2 Clemson, #6 Notre Dame and #7 UCF. UCF still hasn't lost since their bowl game back in the 2016 season.

Here are our complete rankings after week 9:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (8-0) - 2.0
3. LSU Tigers (7-1) - 3.7
4. Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) - 4.7
5. Michigan Wolverines (7-1) - 4.8
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-0) - 6.1
7. UCF Knights (7-0) - 6.7
8. Oklahoma Sooners (7-1) - 8.5
9. Fresno State Bulldogs (7-1) - 9.7
10. Kentucky Wildcats (7-1) - 10.0
11. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2) - 11.5
12. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-1) - 13.3
13. Florida Gators (6-2) - 13.8
14. Washington State Cougars (7-1) - 14.9
15. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) - 16.8
16. Army Black Knights (6-2) - 17.1
(tie) Georgia Southern Eagles (7-1) - 17.1
18. Houston Cougars (7-1) - 17.6
19. Utah Utes (6-2) - 19.0
20. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1) - 19.1
21. Utah State Aggies (7-1) - 21.0
22. Syracuse Orange (6-2) - 21.9
23. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3) - 23.1
24. NC State Wolfpack (5-2) - 24.4
25. North Texas Mean Green (7-2) - 27.6
26. Boston College Eagles (6-2) - 27.7
27. Michigan State Spartans (5-3) - 28.5
28. Purdue Boilermakers (4-4) - 29.1
29. Iowa State Cyclones (4-3) - 30.2
30. Missouri Tigers (4-4) - 31.4
31. Texas Longhorns (6-2) - 31.8
(tie) Washington Huskies (6-3) - 31.8
33. Buffalo Bulls (7-1) - 32.2
34. UAB Blazers (7-1) - 33.9
35. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1) - 34.6
36. Miami Hurricanes (5-3) - 34.8
37. Virginia Cavaliers (6-2) - 35.6
38. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-3) - 36.9
39. Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-2) - 37.2
40. Wisconsin Badgers (5-3) - 38.0
41. Texas A&M Aggies (5-3) - 38.1
42. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-3) - 39.9
43. Stanford Cardinal (5-3) - 44.1
44. Auburn Tigers (5-3) - 44.2
45. Duke Blue Devils (5-3) - 45.4
46. Boise State Broncos (6-2) - 45.9
47. Northwestern Wildcats (5-3) - 48.1
48. Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) - 48.5
49. Ole Miss Rebels (5-3) - 48.7
50. Maryland Terrapins (5-3) - 49.9
51. Arizona State Sun Devils (4-4) - 52.5
52. Troy Trojans (6-2) - 53.4
53. USC Trojans (4-4) - 53.6
54. Vanderbilt Commodores (4-5) - 53.8
55. Oregon Ducks (5-3) - 54.3
56. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-2) - 54.6
57. FIU Golden Panthers (6-2) - 57.9
58. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-4) - 59.9
59. Toledo Rockets (4-4) - 60.4
60. Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-5) - 60.9
61. South Florida Bulls (7-1) - 62.0
62. Baylor Bears (4-4) - 63.5
63. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-4) - 64.2
64. Colorado Buffaloes (5-3) - 64.5
65. BYU Cougars (4-4) - 66.0
66. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-4) - 66.3
67. Indiana Hoosiers (4-5) - 67.1
68. Temple Owls (5-3) - 67.3
69. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-3) - 68.6
70. Arizona Wildcats (4-5) - 69.2
71. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-2) - 70.5
72. TCU Horned Frogs (3-5) - 71.2
73. San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) - 71.7
74. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-3) - 72.9
75. Ohio Bobcats (5-3) - 75.4
(tie) Western Michigan Broncos (6-3) - 75.4
77. Kansas State Wildcats (3-5) - 76.5
78. California Golden Bears (5-3) - 79.1
(tie) Florida State Seminoles (4-4) - 79.1
80. Northern Illinois Huskies (5-3) - 79.3
81. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-4) - 79.6
82. Tennessee Volunteers (3-5) - 80.0
83. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-3) - 83.4
84. Miami University RedHawks (3-5) - 83.6
85. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-6) - 84.2
86. Nevada Wolf Pack (5-4) - 84.3
87. Memphis Tigers (4-4) - 85.9
88. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-4) - 87.8
89. Air Force Falcons (3-5) - 88.2
90. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) - 90.2
91. Liberty Flames (4-3) - 90.8
92. Tulane Green Wave (3-5) - 91.6
93. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-5) - 91.8
94. UCLA Bruins (2-6) - 93.0
95. Hawaii Warriors (6-4) - 95.7
96. Akron Zips (4-3) - 95.9
97. SMU Mustangs (3-5) - 96.8
98. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-4) - 98.0
99. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-5) - 99.5
100. Charlotte 49ers (4-4) - 100.5
101. New Mexico Lobos (3-5) - 101.5
102. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-4) - 102.7
103. Kansas Jayhawks (3-5) - 103.1
104. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-6) - 103.4
105. Wyoming Cowboys (3-6) - 105.2
106. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-7) - 105.4
107. Navy Midshipmen (2-6) - 105.8
108. Massachusetts Minutemen (3-6) - 107.9
109. Oregon State Beavers (2-6) - 109.2
110. South Alabama Jaguars (2-6) - 110.5
111. Georgia State Panthers (2-6) - 110.6
112. ECU Pirates (2-5) - 113.5
(tie) Old Dominion Monarchs (2-7) - 113.5
114. Ball State Cardinals (3-6) - 114.0
115. UTSA Roadrunners (3-5) - 114.3
116. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-7) - 114.4
117. Louisville Cardinals (2-6) - 116.9
118. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-7) - 117.7
119. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-8) - 119.4
120. UNLV Rebels (2-6) - 121.0
121. New Mexico State Aggies (2-7) - 122.4
122. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-7) - 122.5
123. Colorado State Rams (3-6) - 123.3
124. Connecticut Huskies (1-7) - 123.5
(tie) Texas State Bobcats (2-6) - 123.5
126. San Jose State Spartans (1-7) - 124.2
127. Bowling Green Falcons (1-7) - 125.4
128. UTEP Miners (0-8) - 128.2
129. Rice Owls (1-8) - 128.7
130. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-7) - 129.4

Sunday, October 21, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 8

Ohio State's loss cost them. Purdue had been improving, but their poor start to the season had them ranked at #47 going into this game, as they only had a 3-3 record. The Buckeyes were not supposed to lose this game, certainly not 49-20. As a result, they dropped from #3 all the way to #15 in our week 8 analysis. This was a bad loss.

Purdue, on the other hand, broke into the Top 25 at #22 this week. Other new entrants to our Top 25 include Wisconsin (49-25 winners over #91 Illinois), Utah (who beat #49 USC 41-28), Miami (who had a bye this week) and Texas A&M (who also had a bye this week). Dropping out of the Top 25 were Cincinnati (who lost to #75 Temple 24-17), Duke (who lost to #45 Virginia 28-14), Army (who took two overtimes to beat #86 Miami of Ohio 31-30), North Texas (who lost to #43 UAB 29-21), and Texas (who had a bye but slipped from #24 to #26 in our analysis). Team movement during a bye (up or down) can be caused by the performance of teams that a given team has previously played in their schedule (affecting their strength of schedule), or wins and losses of teams that are ranked near a certain team can also push that team up or down.

Here are the complete week 8 rankings according to our analysis:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) - 1.0
2. Clemson Tigers (7-0) - 2.7
3. LSU Tigers (7-1) - 3.1
4. Michigan Wolverines (7-1) - 3.8
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-0) - 5.8
6. Georgia Bulldogs (6-1) - 6.5
(tie) UCF Knights (7-0) - 6.5
8. Oklahoma Sooners (6-1) - 8.9
9. Kentucky Wildcats (6-1) - 9.0
10. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1) - 9.6
11. Florida Gators (6-1) - 10.1
12. Washington Huskies (6-2) - 13.2
13. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-1) - 14.3
14. Washington State Cougars (6-1) - 14.6
15. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1) - 15.9
16. Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-1) - 16.8
17. Wisconsin Badgers (5-2) - 17.5
18. NC State Wolfpack (5-1) - 18.5
19. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-1) - 20.0
20. Utah Utes (5-2) - 20.1
21. Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2) - 21.6
22. Purdue Boilermakers (4-3) - 24.1
23. Utah State Aggies (6-1) - 25.1
24. Miami Hurricanes (5-2) - 26.0
25. Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) - 26.8
26. Texas Longhorns (6-1) - 27.1
27. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-1) - 27.3
28. North Texas Mean Green (6-2) - 28.8
29. Army Black Knights (5-2) - 29.7
30. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) - 30.7
31. Houston Cougars (6-1) - 31.1
32. Duke Blue Devils (5-2) - 31.6
(tie) Virginia Cavaliers (5-2) - 31.6
34. Syracuse Orange (5-2) - 33.0
35. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2) - 33.9
36. Buffalo Bulls (7-1) - 34.1
37. Oregon Ducks (5-2) - 34.6
38. Missouri Tigers (4-3) - 37.0
39. UAB Blazers (6-1) - 39.2
40. Stanford Cardinal (5-2) - 39.3
41. Georgia Southern Eagles (6-1) - 40.1
42. Auburn Tigers (5-3) - 42.0
43. Iowa State Cyclones (3-3) - 42.5
44. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-3) - 44.2
45. Boston College Eagles (5-2) - 45.4
46. Michigan State Spartans (4-3) - 45.5
47. Colorado Buffaloes (5-2) - 45.8
48. Ole Miss Rebels (5-3) - 46.0
49. South Florida Bulls (7-0) - 48.7
50. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-2) - 50.1
51. Boise State Broncos (5-2) - 50.3
52. Western Michigan Broncos (6-2) - 51.1
53. USC Trojans (4-3) - 52.3
54. Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-4) - 54.7
55. Baylor Bears (4-3) - 55.9
56. Maryland Terrapins (4-3) - 58.5
57. San Diego State Aztecs (6-1) - 58.7
58. Indiana Hoosiers (4-4) - 59.8
59. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-3) - 60.0
60. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-4) - 60.1
61. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-2) - 61.3
62. Troy Trojans (5-2) - 61.4
63. Northwestern Wildcats (4-3) - 62.3
64. TCU Horned Frogs (3-4) - 63.2
65. BYU Cougars (4-3) - 63.8
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) - 63.8
67. Marshall Thundering Herd (5-2) - 67.4
68. FIU Golden Panthers (5-2) - 67.5
69. Temple Owls (5-3) - 70.5
70. Florida State Seminoles (4-3) - 71.0
71. Kansas State Wildcats (3-4) - 71.3
72. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-4) - 71.9
73. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-4) - 74.4
74. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-4) - 75.0
75. Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) - 76.0
76. Air Force Falcons (3-4) - 77.0
77. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (4-3) - 78.5
78. Tennessee Volunteers (3-4) - 78.8
79. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (4-3) - 80.1
80. Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-6) - 80.4
81. Miami University RedHawks (3-5) - 80.6
82. Memphis Tigers (4-4) - 81.1
(tie) Northern Illinois Huskies (4-3) - 81.1
84. Ohio Bobcats (4-3) - 81.2
85. Toledo Rockets (3-4) - 82.0
86. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (3-4) - 84.2
87. Liberty Flames (4-3) - 87.4
88. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-4) - 87.6
89. UCLA Bruins (2-5) - 89.0
90. Arizona Wildcats (3-5) - 89.9
91. Nevada Wolf Pack (4-4) - 90.5
92. California Golden Bears (4-3) - 93.0
93. Tulane Green Wave (2-5) - 93.2
94. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-3) - 93.6
95. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-4) - 95.0
(tie) New Mexico Lobos (3-4) - 95.0
97. Hawaii Warriors (6-3) - 95.2
98. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-4) - 95.6
99. Akron Zips (3-3) - 98.8
100. Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6) - 99.8
101. SMU Mustangs (3-4) - 101.3
102. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-4) - 101.6
103. Charlotte 49ers (3-4) - 104.1
104. Navy Midshipmen (2-5) - 104.7
105. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-5) - 105.2
106. Kansas Jayhawks (2-5) - 108.8
107. Old Dominion Monarchs (2-6) - 108.9
108. Wyoming Cowboys (2-6) - 109.9
109. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-6) - 110.0
(tie) South Alabama Jaguars (2-5) - 110.0
111. UNLV Rebels (2-5) - 110.6
112. Ball State Cardinals (3-5) - 111.2
113. Georgia State Panthers (2-5) - 111.6
114. ECU Pirates (2-5) - 111.8
115. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-6) - 113.3
116. Louisville Cardinals (2-5) - 116.0
117. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-7) - 116.7
118. UTSA Roadrunners (3-5) - 116.9
119. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-7) - 120.5
120. Colorado State Rams (3-5) - 120.6
121. New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) - 121.5
122. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-7) - 121.7
123. Connecticut Huskies (1-6) - 122.2
124. Oregon State Beavers (1-6) - 122.4
125. Texas State Bobcats (1-6) - 124.0
126. Bowling Green Falcons (1-7) - 125.0
127. San Jose State Spartans (0-7) - 127.4
128. UTEP Miners (0-7) - 128.1
129. Rice Owls (1-7) - 128.6
130. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-6) - 128.8

Sunday, October 14, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 7

Upsets and close calls. There were a bunch of them in Week 7. As a result, the Top Ten was shuffled around quite a bit. Alabama, of course, was immune to all of this, rolling yet again and remaining at a very solid #1. Georgia lost to LSU, and it wasn't even that close. So LSU moved up to #2 from #7 and Georgia dropped to #8 from #2. Ohio State did about as expected, so they remained at #3. #9 Michigan had a big win (again, not even close) over #17 Wisconsin, which vaulted them up to #4 in our analysis and dropped Wisconsin all the way out of our Top 25. Clemson had a bye week, but they still slipped to #5. Notre Dame barely survived against #80 Pittsburgh, winning by just five points which is bound to drop you, so they ended up at #6. (At least they didn't lose.) UCF stayed undefeated as well, but only beat #71 Memphis by 1 point. They dropped to #7. Kentucky had a bye. Penn State and West Virginia both lost (to #43 Michigan State and #55 Iowa State respectively), so now Kentucky and Florida round out the new Top Ten.

Here are the complete rankings after seven weeks:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (7-0) - 1.0
2. LSU Tigers (6-1) - 2.4
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) - 3.7
4. Michigan Wolverines (6-1) - 4.0
5. Clemson Tigers (6-0) - 5.2
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-0) - 5.7
7. UCF Knights (6-0) - 8.3
8. Georgia Bulldogs (6-1) - 8.5
9. Kentucky Wildcats (5-1) - 9.0
10. Florida Gators (6-1) - 9.2
11. Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) - 10.8
12. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1) - 14.4
13. NC State Wolfpack (5-0) - 14.6
14. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-0) - 15.5
15. Duke Blue Devils (5-1) - 16.2
16. Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-1) - 16.5
17. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-2) - 16.9
18. Washington Huskies (5-2) - 18.2
19. Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1) - 19.3
20. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-1) - 19.9
21. Utah State Aggies (5-1) - 20.4
22. Army Black Knights (4-2) - 22.4
23. North Texas Mean Green (6-1) - 22.5
24. Texas Longhorns (6-1) - 23.7
25. Washington State Cougars (5-1) - 24.4
26. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) - 26.2
27. Wisconsin Badgers (4-2) - 28.2
28. Oregon Ducks (5-1) - 28.4
29. Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) - 29.2
30. Utah Utes (4-2) - 29.5
31. Syracuse Orange (4-2) - 30.6
32. Miami Hurricanes (5-2) - 31.0
33. Houston Cougars (5-1) - 31.9
34. Ole Miss Rebels (5-2) - 33.5
35. Michigan State Spartans (4-2) - 34.4
36. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-2) - 35.0
37. Colorado Buffaloes (5-1) - 37.0
38. Iowa State Cyclones (3-3) - 38.8
39. Buffalo Bulls (6-1) - 39.4
40. Stanford Cardinal (4-2) - 41.6
41. South Florida Bulls (6-0) - 42.0
42. Boston College Eagles (5-2) - 42.2
43. UAB Blazers (5-1) - 43.7
44. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-3) - 44.4
45. Virginia Cavaliers (4-2) - 45.7
46. Georgia Southern Eagles (5-1) - 46.0
47. Purdue Boilermakers (3-3) - 47.0
48. Maryland Terrapins (4-2) - 47.2
49. USC Trojans (4-2) - 47.8
50. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-2) - 48.6
51. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-3) - 51.0
52. Baylor Bears (4-3) - 52.6
53. Auburn Tigers (4-3) - 52.8
54. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-3) - 54.5
55. TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) - 55.3
56. Missouri Tigers (3-3) - 56.5
57. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-2) - 57.1
58. San Diego State Aztecs (5-1) - 58.4
59. Boise State Broncos (4-2) - 59.2
60. Indiana Hoosiers (4-3) - 60.2
(tie) Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-3) - 60.2
62. Western Michigan Broncos (5-2) - 60.9
63. BYU Cougars (4-3) - 63.8
64. Northwestern Wildcats (3-3) - 63.9
65. Troy Trojans (5-2) - 64.0
66. Memphis Tigers (4-3) - 66.2
67. Eastern Michigan Eagles (3-4) - 67.5
68. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) - 67.8
69. Kansas State Wildcats (3-4) - 69.9
70. FIU Golden Panthers (4-2) - 71.7
71. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-3) - 72.3
72. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-4) - 73.1
73. Tulane Green Wave (2-4) - 73.5
74. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-3) - 73.7
75. Temple Owls (4-3) - 75.0
76. Hawaii Warriors (6-2) - 75.7
77. Tennessee Volunteers (3-3) - 76.7
78. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-4) - 76.8
79. Air Force Falcons (2-4) - 80.3
80. Liberty Flames (3-3) - 81.2
(tie) Toledo Rockets (3-3) - 81.2
82. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-3) - 81.3
83. Marshall Thundering Herd (4-2) - 82.7
84. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-3) - 83.6
85. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (3-3) - 83.7
86. Miami University RedHawks (3-4) - 85.2
87. Arizona Wildcats (3-4) - 87.6
88. New Mexico Lobos (3-3) - 87.8
89. Northern Illinois Huskies (4-3) - 88.3
90. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-3) - 88.6
91. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-3) - 89.7
92. Florida State Seminoles (3-3) - 89.9
93. Ohio Bobcats (3-3) - 90.3
94. UCLA Bruins (1-5) - 94.6
95. Akron Zips (2-3) - 95.3
96. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-3) - 95.6
97. California Golden Bears (3-3) - 97.9
98. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-4) - 99.3
99. Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-6) - 100.4
100. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-4) - 101.2
101. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-5) - 101.5
102. Navy Midshipmen (2-4) - 102.5
103. Charlotte 49ers (3-3) - 103.0
104. Kansas Jayhawks (2-4) - 104.0
105. Ball State Cardinals (3-4) - 106.1
106. Georgia State Panthers (2-4) - 107.0
107. SMU Mustangs (2-4) - 107.1
108. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-6) - 107.3
109. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-5) - 108.6
(tie) UNLV Rebels (2-4) - 108.6
111. South Alabama Jaguars (2-5) - 111.2
112. Old Dominion Monarchs (1-6) - 111.3
113. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-6) - 112.6
114. ECU Pirates (2-4) - 113.7
115. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-4) - 114.2
116. Wyoming Cowboys (2-5) - 114.3
117. UTSA Roadrunners (3-4) - 116.2
118. Louisville Cardinals (2-5) - 117.6
119. Oregon State Beavers (1-5) - 119.2
120. Colorado State Rams (3-4) - 120.2
121. New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) - 120.6
122. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-6) - 122.0
123. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-6) - 122.9
124. Bowling Green Falcons (1-6) - 123.4
125. Texas State Bobcats (1-5) - 124.1
126. Connecticut Huskies (1-5) - 124.3
127. San Jose State Spartans (0-6) - 128.0
128. Rice Owls (1-6) - 128.1
129. UTEP Miners (0-6) - 128.6
130. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-5) - 128.8

Sunday, October 7, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 6

Alabama and Georgia solidified their positions at the top of the rankings, but the other two SEC teams that had been in the top four, LSU and Kentucky, both lost, dropping them back to #7 and #8. Still, the top four now is more familiar than ever, as undefeated Ohio State and Clemson have slid into the #3 and #4 spots respectively. The more things change, the more they say the same - especially in the world of college football.

Notre Dame is nipping at Clemson's heels, just barely back in the #5 spot, while, don't look now, but UCF still hasn't lost. The last time that happened was in the Cure Bowl on December 17, 2016. They have crept all the way up to #6. They still haven't played anybody voters would consider good - or in fact anybody with a winning record. Their best opponent according to our current rankings is #73 Florida Atlantic, which is (3-3). Nor do they play anyone that should be a challenge until November 17th, when they play #14 Cincinnati and November 23rd, when they play #32 South Florida. Both of those teams are currently undefeated and UCF has beaten the opponents they've played by an average of 31.2 points, with the closest game being a 20-point win over Florida Atlantic. It will be interesting to see if, with this schedule, UCF is able to build up enough of a resume to climb into our top four like they did last season entering the bowl games, which in our mind would justify including them in the College Football Playoff. There would be quite a clamor among the public as well, we believe, since that would mean that UCF was undefeated for the second straight season, a difficult feat to accomplish with any schedule.

Here are the current rankings as we see them after six weeks of the 2018 college football season:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) - 1.0
2. Georgia Bulldogs (6-0) - 2.0
3. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0) - 3.5
4. Clemson Tigers (6-0) - 4.6
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-0) - 4.8
6. UCF Knights (5-0) - 5.7
7. LSU Tigers (5-1) - 7.9
8. Kentucky Wildcats (5-1) - 8.4
9. Michigan Wolverines (5-1) - 9.7
10. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1) - 9.8
11. West Virginia Mountaineers (5-0) - 10.4
12. Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) - 11.3
13. Florida Gators (5-1) - 12.9
14. Cincinnati Bearcats (6-0) - 15.3
15. NC State Wolfpack (5-0) - 15.6
16. Washington Huskies (5-1) - 16.8
17. Wisconsin Badgers (4-1) - 17.1
18. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) - 20.2
19. Duke Blue Devils (4-1) - 21.7
(tie) Miami Hurricanes (5-1) - 21.7
21. Colorado Buffaloes (5-0) - 22.9
22. Army Black Knights (3-2) - 24.7
(tie) Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) - 24.7
24. Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) - 24.8
25. Oregon Ducks (4-1) - 25.6
26. Texas Longhorns (5-1) - 26.3
27. Washington State Cougars (5-1) - 26.5
28. Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-1) - 28.0
29. Utah State Aggies (4-1) - 28.1
30. South Carolina Gamecocks (3-2) - 28.3
31. Syracuse Orange (4-2) - 28.4
32. South Florida Bulls (5-0) - 29.2
33. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-2) - 33.1
34. Ole Miss Rebels (4-2) - 33.3
35. Auburn Tigers (4-2) - 34.5
36. North Texas Mean Green (5-1) - 35.5
37. Houston Cougars (4-1) - 37.1
38. Texas A&M Aggies (4-2) - 37.3
39. Utah Utes (3-2) - 38.1
40. Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) - 38.4
41. Stanford Cardinal (4-2) - 43.2
42. Missouri Tigers (3-2) - 43.4
43. Michigan State Spartans (3-2) - 43.7
44. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-2) - 44.1
45. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-2) - 45.2
46. Buffalo Bulls (5-1) - 48.0
47. Virginia Cavaliers (3-2) - 49.0
48. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-3) - 49.3
(tie) UAB Blazers (4-1) - 49.3
50. Boston College Eagles (4-2) - 50.2
51. Boise State Broncos (3-2) - 50.8
52. Indiana Hoosiers (4-2) - 51.9
53. Troy Trojans (5-1) - 52.1
54. Baylor Bears (4-2) - 52.4
55. Iowa State Cyclones (2-3) - 55.0
56. Hawaii Warriors (6-1) - 55.9
57. TCU Horned Frogs (3-2) - 56.1
58. Maryland Terrapins (3-2) - 57.1
59. USC Trojans (3-2) - 58.3
60. Purdue Boilermakers (2-3) - 60.6
61. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-2) - 60.7
62. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3) - 61.7
63. San Diego State Aztecs (4-1) - 63.3
64. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-3) - 64.2
65. Western Michigan Broncos (4-2) - 64.9
66. Illinois Fighting Illini (3-2) - 66.9
67. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-2) - 67.2
68. Northwestern Wildcats (2-3) - 67.4
69. New Mexico Lobos (3-2) - 68.9
70. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) - 69.4
71. Memphis Tigers (4-2) - 69.7
72. FIU Golden Panthers (3-2) - 71.2
73. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-3) - 73.7
74. BYU Cougars (3-3) - 74.7
75. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-3) - 75.2
76. Tulane Green Wave (2-4) - 77.5
77. Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-4) - 78.1
78. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-2) - 78.4
79. Air Force Falcons (2-3) - 78.7
80. Pittsburgh Panthers (3-3) - 78.8
81. Toledo Rockets (3-2) - 80.5
82. Arizona Wildcats (3-3) - 80.8
83. Temple Owls (3-3) - 82.0
84. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-2) - 83.0
85. Ohio Bobcats (3-2) - 84.6
86. California Golden Bears (3-2) - 85.7
87. Kansas State Wildcats (2-4) - 87.2
88. Liberty Flames (2-3) - 88.3
89. Florida State Seminoles (3-3) - 88.6
90. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-2) - 90.2
91. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-3) - 90.4
92. Miami University RedHawks (2-4) - 92.2
93. Tennessee Volunteers (2-3) - 93.0
94. Northern Illinois Huskies (3-3) - 93.2
95. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-2) - 93.8
96. Akron Zips (2-2) - 94.7
97. Navy Midshipmen (2-3) - 97.1
98. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-3) - 98.7
99. UNLV Rebels (2-3) - 101.2
100. Kansas Jayhawks (2-4) - 101.9
101. Wyoming Cowboys (2-4) - 102.9
102. Old Dominion Monarchs (1-5) - 103.3
103. Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-5) - 103.5
104. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-4) - 105.0
105. Ball State Cardinals (2-4) - 105.5
106. SMU Mustangs (2-4) - 106.1
107. ECU Pirates (2-3) - 107.4
108. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-5) - 108.7
(tie) Massachusetts Minutemen (2-5) - 108.7
110. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-3) - 108.8
111. UTSA Roadrunners (3-3) - 110.1
112. Georgia State Panthers (2-4) - 110.7
113. UCLA Bruins (0-5) - 111.9
114. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-5) - 113.2
115. Louisville Cardinals (2-4) - 113.3
116. Charlotte 49ers (2-3) - 114.3
117. South Alabama Jaguars (1-5) - 116.8
118. New Mexico State Aggies (2-4) - 117.6
119. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-4) - 118.1
120. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-5) - 119.9
121. Oregon State Beavers (1-5) - 120.5
122. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-5) - 120.6
123. Colorado State Rams (2-4) - 123.8
124. Connecticut Huskies (1-5) - 124.3
125. Bowling Green Falcons (1-5) - 124.6
126. Texas State Bobcats (1-4) - 124.9
127. Rice Owls (1-5) - 127.1
128. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-4) - 127.7
129. San Jose State Spartans (0-5) - 128.1
130. UTEP Miners (0-6) - 129.0

Saturday, September 29, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 5

The SEC has positioned itself well above the other conferences early in 2018. In our Week 5 analysis, the top four teams all come from the SEC, meaning five weeks in, they all have had better success than any other teams in the country. That would make quite a college football playoff. Of course, there is a lot of football left to go. Here are the rankings according to our analysis through week five:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0) - 1.5
2. Georgia Bulldogs (5-0) - 2.6
3. LSU Tigers (5-0) - 2.8
4. Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) - 4.2
5. Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) - 5.6
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-0) - 6.6
7. Clemson Tigers (5-0) - 6.8
8. Oklahoma Sooners (5-0) - 7.4
9. UCF Knights (4-0) - 9.0
10. West Virginia Mountaineers (4-0) - 10.1
11. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1) - 10.3
12. NC State Wolfpack (4-0) - 13.5
13. Washington Huskies (4-1) - 14.2
14. Syracuse Orange (4-1) - 14.8
15. Miami Hurricanes (4-1) - 16.0
16. Auburn Tigers (4-1) - 16.9
17. Michigan Wolverines (4-1) - 17.4
18. Oregon Ducks (4-1) - 20.4
19. Duke Blue Devils (4-1) - 21.1
20. Florida Gators (4-1) - 21.3
21. Army Black Knights (3-2) - 22.0
22. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0) - 22.3
23. North Texas Mean Green (4-1) - 22.6
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1) - 24.1
25. Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) - 25.9
26. Stanford Cardinal (4-1) - 26.0
27. Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-1) - 27.1
28. Michigan State Spartans (3-1) - 27.2
29. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2) - 29.4
30. Colorado Buffaloes (4-0) - 30.1
31. Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1) - 30.4
32. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-2) - 30.7
33. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) - 31.2
34. Boise State Broncos (3-1) - 33.9
35. Texas Longhorns (4-1) - 34.0
36. Washington State Cougars (4-1) - 36.1
37. Indiana Hoosiers (4-1) - 36.4
38. Ole Miss Rebels (3-2) - 39.3
39. Houston Cougars (3-1) - 40.6
40. South Florida Bulls (4-0) - 40.8
41. Virginia Cavaliers (3-2) - 43.0
42. Missouri Tigers (3-1) - 43.4
43. Maryland Terrapins (3-1) - 43.7
44. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2) - 43.8
45. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) - 45.1
46. Utah State Aggies (3-1) - 45.6
47. Hawaii Warriors (5-1) - 45.8
48. Boston College Eagles (4-1) - 47.5
49. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-2) - 47.6
50. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1) - 48.7
51. Buffalo Bulls (4-1) - 50.3
52. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-1) - 51.0
53. Baylor Bears (3-2) - 51.7
54. Georgia Southern Eagles (3-1) - 52.6
55. USC Trojans (3-2) - 54.7
56. Texas A&M Aggies (3-2) - 55.5
57. Troy Trojans (4-1) - 57.3
58. TCU Horned Frogs (3-2) - 57.5
59. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2) - 57.9
60. Purdue Boilermakers (2-3) - 59.8
61. FIU Golden Panthers (3-2) - 61.0
62. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-2) - 62.2
63. BYU Cougars (3-2) - 62.3
64. Memphis Tigers (3-2) - 65.4
65. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) - 66.3
(tie) Liberty Flames (2-2) - 66.3
67. Utah Utes (2-2) - 67.2
68. Western Michigan Broncos (3-2) - 67.8
69. Iowa State Cyclones (1-3) - 69.5
70. UAB Blazers (3-1) - 70.6
71. California Golden Bears (3-1) - 70.9
72. San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) - 71.8
73. Tulane Green Wave (2-3) - 71.9
74. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-2) - 73.2
75. Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-3) - 76.0
76. Akron Zips (2-1) - 77.7
77. Toledo Rockets (2-2) - 79.5
78. Northwestern Wildcats (1-3) - 79.7
79. Ohio Bobcats (2-2) - 80.1
80. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-3) - 81.0
81. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-1) - 81.5
82. Arizona Wildcats (2-3) - 81.6
83. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-2) - 82.4
84. New Mexico Lobos (2-2) - 82.6
85. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-2) - 83.2
86. Navy Midshipmen (2-2) - 84.6
87. Temple Owls (2-3) - 85.4
88. Florida State Seminoles (3-2) - 86.8
89. Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) - 89.3
90. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-3) - 90.9
91. Pittsburgh Panthers (2-3) - 91.9
92. UNLV Rebels (2-2) - 92.3
93. Old Dominion Monarchs (1-4) - 93.4
94. Air Force Falcons (1-3) - 94.6
95. Tennessee Volunteers (2-3) - 95.2
96. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-2) - 97.8
97. Kansas Jayhawks (2-3) - 99.0
98. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-2) - 99.3
99. Ball State Cardinals (2-3) - 100.1
(tie) ECU Pirates (2-2) - 100.1
101. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1-3) - 101.6
102. Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-4) - 101.7
103. SMU Mustangs (2-3) - 102.3
104. Northern Illinois Huskies (2-3) - 102.5
105. Miami University RedHawks (1-4) - 103.3
106. Louisville Cardinals (2-3) - 104.0
107. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3) - 106.9
108. South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) - 107.8
109. Georgia State Panthers (2-3) - 109.7
110. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-4) - 110.5
111. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-4) - 110.8
112. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-3) - 111.2
113. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-4) - 111.6
114. Wyoming Cowboys (2-3) - 112.3
115. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-4) - 114.3
116. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-3) - 115.0
117. Charlotte 49ers (2-3) - 115.6
118. UCLA Bruins (0-4) - 117.6
119. Oregon State Beavers (1-4) - 118.0
120. UTSA Roadrunners (2-3) - 119.2
121. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-4) - 121.5
122. Connecticut Huskies (1-4) - 122.1
123. Texas State Bobcats (1-3) - 123.7
124. Rice Owls (1-4) - 124.0
125. San Jose State Spartans (0-4) - 125.1
126. New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) - 125.9
127. Colorado State Rams (1-4) - 126.2
128. Bowling Green Falcons (1-4) - 126.3
129. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-4) - 127.3
130. UTEP Miners (0-5) - 129.3

Monday, September 24, 2018

2018 College Football Rankings - Week 4

Welcome to a new year of Baggaley NCAA Football Rankings. We're four weeks into the season, so we have enough data to begin to rank the teams with a reasonable measure of accuracy. Remember that these rankings are only a measure of what each team's performance has shown in the games they have played so far this season, and that the value of specific wins or losses is independent of the names on the teams, but only based on how those teams have performed in their other games. Unlike what happens with polls (especially those with preseason rankings), all teams begin the season in our analysis on exactly equal footing. What a team has done in any previous season has no bearing on the analysis for this year All that matters is the results (win or loss and final score) of the games that have been played this season.

As a result, there are teams who might be considered "better" teams who have not demonstrated such this season so far, which could be a result of the teams they have played in their schedule up to this point, and other teams who might not be generally considered as good as other teams who have actually had a great deal more success so far this season than other name teams. The result of the games - and the unbiased analysis that comes from those results - are what they are.

Here are our first rankings of the 2018 season:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) - 1.0
2. Georgia Bulldogs (4-0) - 2.1
3. Duke Blue Devils (4-0) - 4.1
4. Kentucky Wildcats (4-0) - 4.4
5. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) - 5.7
6. Clemson Tigers (4-0) - 7.2
(tie) North Texas Mean Green (4-0) - 7.2
(tie) Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) - 7.2
9. LSU Tigers (4-0) - 8.4
10. West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0) - 10.8
11. Syracuse Orange (4-0) - 11.1
12. Stanford Cardinal (4-0) - 12.4
13. Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) - 14.6
14. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0) - 15.2
15. Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) - 15.6
16. UCF Knights (3-0) - 15.8
17. Michigan Wolverines (3-1) - 17.3
18. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1) - 17.8
19. Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) - 19.2
20. Buffalo Bulls (4-0) - 19.8
21. Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-1) - 22.3
22. Miami Hurricanes (3-1) - 23.2
23. Baylor Bears (3-1) - 23.3
24. NC State Wolfpack (3-0) - 24.8
25. Auburn Tigers (3-1) - 26.0
26. Florida Gators (3-1) - 26.7
27. Michigan State Spartans (2-1) - 27.3
28. Cincinnati Bearcats (4-0) - 29.8
(tie) Texas Longhorns (3-1) - 29.8
30. Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) - 31.9
31. Washington Huskies (3-1) - 33.2
32. Houston Cougars (3-1) - 33.3
33. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) - 33.6
34. Oregon Ducks (3-1) - 34.7
35. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) - 35.3
(tie) Washington State Cougars (3-1) - 35.3
37. Army Black Knights (2-2) - 35.7
38. Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) - 37.0
39. Indiana Hoosiers (3-1) - 38.0
40. BYU Cougars (3-1) - 39.3
41. Hawaii Warriors (4-1) - 40.7
42. South Florida Bulls (4-0) - 41.5
43. Maryland Terrapins (3-1) - 42.5
44. Colorado Buffaloes (3-0) - 42.6
45. California Golden Bears (3-0) - 43.3
46. Missouri Tigers (3-1) - 44.6
47. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) - 45.0
48. Utah State Aggies (3-1) - 45.8
49. Memphis Tigers (3-1) - 46.6
50. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1) - 49.2
51. Texas A&M Aggies (2-2) - 50.1
52. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1) - 50.9
53. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-1) - 53.2
54. Boise State Broncos (2-1) - 53.3
55. USC Trojans (2-2) - 55.4
(tie) Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) - 55.4
57. Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-2) - 58.4
58. Georgia Southern Eagles (2-1) - 59.1
59. Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) - 59.2
60. Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-1) - 60.8
61. Boston College Eagles (3-1) - 61.5
62. TCU Horned Frogs (2-2) - 62.1
63. New Mexico Lobos (2-1) - 63.0
64. Virginia Tech Hokies (2-1) - 65.2
65. FIU Golden Panthers (2-2) - 65.4
66. Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) - 66.0
67. Toledo Rockets (2-1) - 66.8
68. Iowa State Cyclones (1-2) - 68.2
69. Arizona Wildcats (2-2) - 69.7
70. San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) - 69.8
71. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-1) - 71.5
(tie) Utah Utes (2-1) - 71.5
73. Western Michigan Broncos (2-2) - 73.4
74. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-2) - 75.7
(tie) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-1) - 75.7
76. Temple Owls (2-2) - 76.8
77. Akron Zips (2-1) - 77.7
78. Navy Midshipmen (2-2) - 78.6
79. Troy Trojans (3-1) - 79.2
80. Northwestern Wildcats (1-2) - 79.5
81. UAB Blazers (2-1) - 83.7
(tie) Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-2) - 83.7
83. Liberty Flames (1-2) - 84.5
84. Marshall Thundering Herd (2-1) - 84.6
85. Pittsburgh Panthers (2-2) - 84.9
86. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (1-3) - 85.4
87. Air Force Falcons (1-2) - 85.5
88. Kansas Jayhawks (2-2) - 88.2
89. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-2) - 89.1
90. Kansas State Wildcats (2-2) - 90.0
91. Ohio Bobcats (1-2) - 90.1
92. Tennessee Volunteers (2-2) - 90.9
(tie) UNLV Rebels (2-2) - 90.9
94. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1-2) - 92.3
95. Old Dominion Monarchs (1-3) - 96.6
96. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-2) - 96.9
97. Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-3) - 97.2
98. Louisville Cardinals (2-2) - 98.1
99. Florida State Seminoles (2-2) - 98.9
100. ECU Pirates (1-2) - 99.9
101. Tulane Green Wave (1-3) - 100.3
102. North Carolina Tar Heels (1-2) - 102.2
103. South Alabama Jaguars (1-3) - 104.6
104. Miami University RedHawks (1-3) - 104.9
(tie) Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) - 104.9
(tie) Wyoming Cowboys (2-2) - 104.9
107. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3) - 107.4
108. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-3) - 107.6
109. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-2) - 108.7
110. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-3) - 108.9
111. Charlotte 49ers (2-2) - 109.4
112. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) - 109.5
113. SMU Mustangs (1-3) - 111.7
114. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) - 112.8
115. Oregon State Beavers (1-3) - 113.4
116. UCLA Bruins (0-3) - 116.5
117. Ball State Cardinals (1-3) - 117.5
118. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-3) - 117.7
119. Northern Illinois Huskies (1-3) - 117.8
120. Rice Owls (1-3) - 118.9
121. UTSA Roadrunners (1-3) - 120.7
122. Connecticut Huskies (1-3) - 121.1
123. Bowling Green Falcons (1-3) - 122.9
124. Georgia State Panthers (1-3) - 123.9
125. Texas State Bobcats (1-3) - 124.2
126. New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) - 125.4
127. Colorado State Rams (1-4) - 126.4
128. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-3) - 127.6
129. San Jose State Spartans (0-3) - 128.5
130. UTEP Miners (0-4) - 129.4

Monday, August 20, 2018

Updated Program Rankings - NCAA College Football

We are proud to announce our updated program rankings for FBS College Football programs entering the 2018 season. These rankings are based on an analysis of a combination of recent and historic success. The level of success a program has had in any given recent year carries more weight in the rating system over a historical one, but it is most important for a program to have consistent winning over the entirety of the program's existence as an FBS program (or whatever the highest division of college football was in each year) in order to score well. To give you an idea of the relative weight of a given year in the overall scoring for a program, last year's results (2017) carried 4.95% of the total score for a program that began playing football over a century ago, while the 1968 season carried 0.72% of the total score. 106 years of data are included in this analysis, but only the years a program competed in the top division of college football are included for any given team and other years are not counted against them, so a team like Boise State, which only began competing at the top division of college football in 1996, is only evaluated on its relative success since then.

It has been three years since we posted program ratings, but you can compare how various programs did in this round of analysis with how they did three years ago by looking at our previous program rankings here: http://baggaleyfootball.blogspot.com/2015/09/were-back-program-ratings.html

Ohio State still has the top ranked overall football program in the country, but the difference between Ohio State and #2 Alabama has shrunk with Alabama's recent domination of the college football playoffs. Ohio State has held the top rating in our program rankings since the 2006 season. Prior to that, the highest ranking was held by Michigan, which is now #7 on the list. Other programs that have held the #1 ranking in the last 50 years include Nebraska (now #13), Notre Dame (now #6), Alabama, and Oklahoma (now #3). #4 USC has not held the #1 ranking since 1932, although the program had the second highest rating as recently as 2009. #5 Florida State has never held the top program rating, since they began competing as a top division football program in 1954. The highest the Seminoles have ever climbed is #3 in the rankings from 2003 to 2005.

Here's the entire list of current program rankings:

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (0.874945156)
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (0.870742028)
3. Oklahoma Sooners (0.849537669)
4. USC Trojans (0.831556081)
5. Florida State Seminoles (0.824773236)
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (0.802029203)
7. Michigan Wolverines (0.79907506)
8. Georgia Bulldogs (0.797245526)
9. LSU Tigers (0.792399358)
10. Penn State Nittany Lions (0.783277889)
11. Florida Gators (0.776474963)
12. Texas Longhorns (0.771252758)
13. Nebraska Cornhuskers (0.769325765)
14. Auburn Tigers (0.766001987)
15. Tennessee Volunteers (0.751118646)
16. Miami Hurricanes (0.746467526)
17. Boise State Broncos (0.738972527)
18. Clemson Tigers (0.727829099)
19. Texas A&M Aggies (0.693322033)
20. Michigan State Spartans (0.691326717)
21. Arkansas Razorbacks (0.687194456)
22. Washington Huskies (0.675791643)
23. UCLA Bruins (0.674771909)
24. Wisconsin Badgers (0.672806426)
25. Oregon Ducks (0.67101069)
26. Stanford Cardinal (0.665404283)
27. Virginia Tech Hokies (0.665361671)
28. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (0.650742512)
29. West Virginia Mountaineers (0.648857951)
30. Arizona State Sun Devils (0.644950826)
31. Ole Miss Rebels (0.625720396)
32. Iowa Hawkeyes (0.614300012)
33. Oklahoma State Cowboys (0.613422076)
34. BYU Cougars (0.60352873)
35. South Carolina Gamecocks (0.59718217)
36. Utah Utes (0.597146955)
37. Missouri Tigers (0.591573038)
38. Pittsburgh Panthers (0.590499439)
39. Texas Tech Red Raiders (0.590496076)
40. Mississippi State Bulldogs (0.584523979)
41. North Carolina Tar Heels (0.582362537)
42. Boston College Eagles (0.579406103)
43. TCU Horned Frogs (0.57777117)
44. Arizona Wildcats (0.567631548)
45. Louisville Cardinals (0.559714522)
46. NC State Wolfpack (0.559564112)
47. Colorado Buffaloes (0.548526594)
48. Houston Cougars (0.547417918)
49. California Golden Bears (0.54732862)
50. South Florida Bulls (0.54460472)
51. Syracuse Orange (0.533293444)
52. Kansas State Wildcats (0.528774815)
53. Minnesota Golden Gophers (0.523909437)
54. Appalachian State Mountaineers (0.517269204)
55. Purdue Boilermakers (0.516046057)
56. Baylor Bears (0.513221792)
57. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0.510133515)
58. San Diego State Aztecs (0.509648822)
59. Maryland Terrapins (0.509442234)
60. Air Force Falcons (0.508851358)
61. Navy Midshipmen (0.493280773)
62. Toledo Rockets (0.492931203)
63. Kentucky Wildcats (0.488763575)
64. Fresno State Bulldogs (0.483292394)
65. Washington State Cougars (0.482647979)
66. UCF Knights (0.481867503)
67. Virginia Cavaliers (0.462860493)
68. Cincinnati Bearcats (0.447373749)
69. Northwestern Wildcats (0.444588728)
70. Oregon State Beavers (0.443670137)
71. Illinois Fighting Illini (0.442955843)
72. Memphis Tigers (0.442454641)
73. Bowling Green Falcons (0.440258059)
74. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (0.438791696)
75. ECU Pirates (0.437659651)
76. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (0.435763014)
77. Georgia Southern Eagles (0.428287904)
78. Duke Blue Devils (0.416965943)
79. Miami University RedHawks (0.40756377)
80. Troy Trojans (0.403552346)
81. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (0.403350558)
82. Colorado State Rams (0.40227417)
83. Western Michigan Broncos (0.39901012)
84. Wyoming Cowboys (0.398064742)
85. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (0.395423635)
86. Vanderbilt Commodores (0.394594294)
87. Marshall Thundering Herd (0.392208124)
88. Iowa State Cyclones (0.392091044)
89. SMU Mustangs (0.387631046)
90. Hawaii Warriors (0.384232892)
91. Indiana Hoosiers (0.384176174)
92. Kansas Jayhawks (0.379256355)
93. Northern Illinois Huskies (0.379147093)
94. Nevada Wolf Pack (0.378763138)
95. Central Michigan Chippewas (0.374317361)
96. Temple Owls (0.363593881)
97. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0.354386927)
98. Utah State Aggies (0.351451768)
99. Connecticut Huskies (0.342377411)
100. Army Black Knights (0.33635048)
101. Ohio Bobcats (0.328791608)
102. Rice Owls (0.31831459)
103. UTSA Roadrunners (0.316098735)
104. Ball State Cardinals (0.315111821)
105. New Mexico Lobos (0.310978309)
106. Tulane Green Wave (0.310721709)
107. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (0.30799522)
108. San Jose State Spartans (0.303582434)
109. Arkansas State Red Wolves (0.290981057)
110. Old Dominion Monarchs (0.2860568)
111. North Texas Mean Green (0.274389812)
112. Florida Atlantic Owls (0.269055563)
113. UAB Blazers (0.254169624)
114. South Alabama Jaguars (0.253838651)
115. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (0.250449607)
116. UTEP Miners (0.225645263)
117. UNLV Rebels (0.220119636)
118. Akron Zips (0.20933597)
119. Buffalo Bulls (0.202455904)
120. Kent State Golden Flashes (0.194002978)
121. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (0.186646203)
122. Idaho Vandals (0.180058388)
123. FIU Golden Panthers (0.16532097)
124. Eastern Michigan Eagles (0.158717549)
125. New Mexico State Aggies (0.150651828)
126. Texas State Bobcats (0.146978489)
127. Georgia State Panthers (0.127572252)
128. Massachusetts Minutemen (0.100252489)
129. Charlotte 49ers (0.093666563)
130. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (0.085271318)