Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Week 15 - 2011 College Football Rankings

The Army-Navy football game results had very little impact on the rankings. In fact, the results were exactly as you would expect based on their previous rankings, so even Army and Navy did not move up or down in the rankings. After running a number of simulations, we have estimated that Alabama needs to beat LSU in regulation by at least four points in the National Championship game for the Crimson Tide to take over the top ranking. No other team stands a chance of being declared champion after the bowls. However, this is a rough estimate. The results of every bowl game will have some impact on the rankings. Our estimate is simply based on the assumption that all other bowl games turn out as would be predicted by their current rankings. In other words, in the end, Alabama might need to win by more than four, or it might only need to win by four, depending on the results of other games. The requirement to win by four is merely an estimate.

1. LSU Tigers (13-0) - 1.0
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) - 2.0
3. Oregon Ducks (11-2) - 3.6
4. Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1) - 4.1
5. Boise State Broncos (11-1) - 4.4
6. Wisconsin Badgers (11-2) - 6.5
7. Stanford Cardinal (11-1) - 6.7
8. USC Trojans (10-2) - 9.2
9. Michigan Wolverines (10-2) - 10.3
10. Oklahoma Sooners (9-3) - 10.6
11. Arkansas Razorbacks (10-2) - 10.8
12. Houston Cougars (12-1) - 11.2
13. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2) - 11.5
14. Georgia Bulldogs (10-3) - 13.9
15. South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2) - 15.2
16. Michigan State Spartans (10-3) - 16.3
17. Baylor Bears (9-3) - 17.0
18. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (11-2) - 18.8
19. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) - 19.7
20. Texas A&M Aggies (6-6) - 19.9
21. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-4) - 21.4
22. Virginia Tech Hokies (11-2) - 21.5
23. Kansas State Wildcats (10-2) - 22.8
24. Florida State Seminoles (8-4) - 23.7
25. Clemson Tigers (10-3) - 24.1
26. Texas Longhorns (7-5) - 26.4
27. Toledo Rockets (8-4) - 28.5
28. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) - 28.6
29. Missouri Tigers (7-5) - 29.5
30. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (8-4) - 29.9
31. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3) - 31.5
32. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-6) - 31.8
33. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-3) - 32.7
34. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) - 34.7
35. Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-2) - 34.9
36. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-4) - 37.2
37. BYU Cougars (9-3) - 37.3
38. Florida Gators (6-6) - 38.3
39. Auburn Tigers (7-5) - 40.1
40. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-5) - 41.1
41. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) - 41.9
42. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-4) - 42.5
43. California Golden Bears (7-5) - 44.5
44. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-6) - 45.1
45. Temple Owls (8-4) - 45.3
46. NC State Wolfpack (7-5) - 45.8
47. Northern Illinois Huskies (10-3) - 47.1
48. Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) - 47.3
49. Louisville Cardinals (7-5) - 47.5
50. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) - 49.5
51. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-6) - 51.7
52. Miami Hurricanes (6-6) - 51.8
53. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-6) - 52.1
54. San Diego State Aztecs (8-4) - 54.1
55. South Florida Bulls (5-7) - 54.7
56. Ohio Bobcats (9-4) - 55.1
57. Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) - 58.0
58. Virginia Cavaliers (8-4) - 58.1
59. Western Michigan Broncos (7-5) - 58.8
60. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5) - 59.4
61. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-6) - 59.7
62. Utah Utes (7-5) - 61.7
63. Northwestern Wildcats (6-6) - 63.4
64. SMU Mustangs (7-5) - 64.3
65. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) - 65.9
66. Connecticut Huskies (5-7) - 66.1
67. Washington Huskies (7-5) - 67.3
68. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-6) - 67.4
69. Wyoming Cowboys (8-4) - 67.5
70. Navy Midshipmen (5-7) - 68.4
71. Air Force Falcons (7-5) - 71.9
72. Utah State Aggies (7-5) - 73.3
73. UCF Knights (5-7) - 73.6
74. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (8-4) - 74.4
75. FIU Golden Panthers (8-4) - 75.0
76. Purdue Boilermakers (6-6) - 75.6
77. UCLA Bruins (6-7) - 75.7
78. Syracuse Orange (5-7) - 77.9
79. Kentucky Wildcats (5-7) - 78.9
(tie) Marshall Thundering Herd (6-6) - 78.9
81. Boston College Eagles (4-8) - 80.2
82. Bowling Green Falcons (5-7) - 80.9
83. ECU Pirates (5-7) - 82.1
84. Ball State Cardinals (6-6) - 82.7
85. Hawaii Warriors (6-7) - 85.6
86. San Jose State Spartans (5-7) - 86.5
87. Eastern Michigan Eagles (6-6) - 87.2
88. Arizona Wildcats (4-8) - 88.1
89. Miami University RedHawks (4-8) - 88.9
90. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) - 91.2
91. UTEP Miners (5-7) - 93.2
92. Rice Owls (4-8) - 93.4
93. Kansas Jayhawks (2-10) - 93.9
94. Kent State Golden Flashes (5-7) - 94.3
95. Fresno State Bulldogs (4-9) - 94.4
96. Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-9) - 95.3
97. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5) - 96.0
98. Army Black Knights (3-9) - 99.1
99. Washington State Cougars (4-8) - 100.4
100. North Texas Mean Green (5-7) - 100.7
101. New Mexico State Aggies (4-9) - 101.5
102. Maryland Terrapins (2-10) - 102.0
103. Colorado Buffaloes (3-10) - 102.1
104. Duke Blue Devils (3-9) - 102.4
105. Central Michigan Chippewas (3-9) - 102.7
106. Buffalo Bulls (3-9) - 105.8
107. Idaho Vandals (2-10) - 107.3
(tie) Ole Miss Rebels (2-10) - 107.3
109. Oregon State Beavers (3-9) - 108.3
110. Indiana Hoosiers (1-11) - 109.4
111. Colorado State Rams (3-9) - 109.9
112. UAB Blazers (3-9) - 111.3
113. Troy Trojans (3-9) - 112.4
114. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-10) - 113.7
115. Memphis Tigers (2-10) - 114.5
116. UNLV Rebels (2-10) - 116.2
117. Tulane Green Wave (2-11) - 116.8
118. Akron Zips (1-11) - 117.4
119. Florida Atlantic Owls (1-11) - 119.2
120. New Mexico Lobos (1-11) - 119.8

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